Dollar Index (DXY) - BUYERS DOMINANCE Remains
Dollar Index will remain bullish next week.
I see a new higher high higher close on an hourly time frame
and a consequent retracement.
After the completion of a local correctional movement,
the Index will grow!
Target level - 103.152
Please, support my work with like!
Centered Oscillators
BNB c-wave failure plus CMF bear divergenceBNBUSDT is heading a potential downward leg to complete iv-wave of this channel. On the 4H chart we can see a strong bearish correlation between the price action and Chaikin Money Flow bearish divergence, in which we have a c-wave failure case. The next demand zone is confluent with the Fibonacci retracement projection.
BTCUSDT Wave B seems to be accomplishedBTCUSDT just made a peak accomplishing the wave B, likely starting a impulse wave inner the next wave C downward. On Chaikin Money Flow we can see a hidden bearish divergence on this daily chart. Overbought condition on ESCGO_LB suggesting that a bearish leg is coming to close the week. I'm expecting a drop to the 20k demand zone region to finish this minor A-B-C zigzag correction phase.
BNBUSDT Price, time & divergences.As a update about my current bear position on CZ coin as you can see by the link below.
The price action is heading one leg downward to complete a wave 5 of a contracting ending diagonal, according to the Wave Principle. That seams a breakdown can be expected to the local demand, as we can see clearly on this chart. After broken, the trendline tends to be retested. All my projections are displayed.
Technicals:
* Chaikin Money + 100EMAx100MA cross;
* ESCGO_LB;
This H4 chart is showing a lot of correlations about price, time and divergences on Chaikin Money Flow in in conjunction of 100EMA & 100MA moving averages crossover plus regular and hidden divergences, which is my system I've used to finding turn-points. If in parallel with RSI, is possible to note a lot of divergences that only Chaikin oscillator can display.
* In addition, an ABCD reciprocal (0.886:1.128) projection as an alternative projection.
Ether RSI shows short term pop up I wanted to update you on the recent price movements of ETH/USD. Yesterday, the cryptocurrency reached a high of $1,761.96, but today it slipped to an intraday low of $1,727.75. Currently, it moved below a floor at $1,730.
However, bulls have stabilized this support zone, with the RSI finding its floor at 38.00. Currently, the price strength is at 38.81, which is within the oversold region. This could potentially be a positive sign for those looking to buy low.
Please let me know if you have any further questions in the comments.
Will ETH push to $1800 with the current level of RSI?I wanted to share some Ethereum (ETH) trading updates with you. While ETH moved slightly higher, it is still trading below $1,800. In today's session, the price of ETH/USD reached a high of $1,757.89, an improvement from yesterday's low of $1,723.09. The recent surge in price was due to bullish activity at a floor of $1,730, with the RSI bouncing from a floor of its own at 38.00.
Per the daily chart, the current price strength is tracking at 39.33, with the next visible point of resistance being 43.00. If the index moves beyond this ceiling, there is a strong possibility that ETH will climb to $1,800.
I hope this information is helpful to you. If you have any questions or concerns, please do not hesitate to comment in this idea.
Don’t Forget About AlphabetAlphabet has been on the sidelines since a big rally in May. Is it time for traders to think about more upside?
The first pattern on today’s chart is last August’s peak around $122.43. GOOGL chopped on either side of the level for three weeks but has mostly stayed above it. Last Wednesday’s pullback brought prices back to the line and it’s stayed there since. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, stochastics dipped near an oversold condition during the period of consolidation.
Third, GOOGL is near its rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). If price stays above that line, it could potentially signal that a bullish trend remains in effect.
Finally, remember that Artificial Intelligence (AI) advances lifted the stock in May. That narrative has continued to play out in other names like Nvidia (NVDA) and Adobe (ADBE). Investors following the movement may see an opportunity in GOOGL now that it’s pulled back.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NZD/USD Technical Analysis & Sentiment! BUY!
NZDUSD had a very bullish market opening.
Even though, we see a correctional movement on intraday time frames,
Daily time frame still remain very bullish.
Before the FOMC the pair will most likely manage to reach 0.618 level.
Please, support my work with like!
Vertex Pulls Back to Old HighsVertex Pharmaceuticals broke out to new highs last month, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area around $325, near the peaks in December and January. VRTX has dipped to revisit that level. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Second, the drugmaker is attempting to hold the bottom of its Keltner Channel.
Third, some chart matchers may view the recent slide as a completed A-B-C correction. That could make them think the pullback is nearing its end.
Finally, stochastics have slid into oversold territory.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Eli Lilly Finally Pulls BackDrug developer Eli Lilly shot to new highs earlier in the year, and now it’s finally pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the high-volume bullish candle on May 3. The move followed positive Phase 3 data for donanemab, its potential Alzheimer's disease treatment.
Second, prices are trying to hold the rising 21-day exponential moving average. That may indicate its short-term uptrend remains in effect.
Third, LLY apparently got ahead of itself last week and was unable to hold a new all-time high. But its quick pullback dragged stochastics to an oversold level where some buyers may feel more comfortable with the risk/reward.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Mastering Oscillators In TradingOscillator indicators are technical analysis tools that show the rate at which a particular asset's price or other aspect is changing. Oscillators help traders identify potential trend reversals, trend continuations, and overbought or oversold conditions. These are general strategies that can apply to most oscillators. We would like to cover these in detail so you can ensure that you are using your oscillators to the fullest of their potential.
There are literally thousands of oscillators to choose from on TradingView. All of them probably have a solid use case, but there are a handful of oscillators that have stood the test of time. Those titans of the oscillator category would include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Stochastic Oscillator.
1. Trading with Oscillators: Identifying Entry and Exit Points
To use oscillators for trading, traders can look for signals to enter or exit trades. For example, a bullish signal could occur when the indicator crosses above its centerline, indicating that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish. A bearish signal could occur when the indicator crosses below its centerline, indicating that the trend is shifting from bullish to bearish. Depending on if you are currently in a trade or considering a trade these bullish/bearish signals can be used as either an entry or exit signal.
Traders can also use the momentum of oscillator indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. An asset is considered overbought when the oscillator is above a certain threshold, such as 70. Conversely, an asset is considered oversold when an oscillator is below a certain threshold, such as 30. Traders can use these thresholds to identify potential reversal points. Highly overbought can be power areas to look for entry or exit signals.
2. Oscillator Divergences: Confirming Trend Reversals and Continuations
One of the most popular ways oscillators are used is by looking for divergences between the indicator and the price of the asset being analyzed.
For example, a bullish divergence could occur when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the oscillator is making higher lows. This could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse from bearish to bullish.
Conversely, a bearish divergence could occur when the price of an asset is making higher highs, Oscillator is making lower highs. This could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse from bullish to bearish.
3. Using Oscillators in Combination with Other Technical Indicators
While oscillators can be an incredibly powerful tool on their own, traders can also use them in combination with other technical indicators. For example, traders can use moving averages to confirm oscillator signals. If the oscillator generates a bullish signal and the price of the asset is above its 50-day moving average, it could be a strong indication that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish.
We see a similar use case in a bearish scenario to follow a trend!
Traders can also use momentum in combination with other oscillators, such as the relative strength index (RSI) or the Stochastic RSI. These indicators provide additional confirmation of momentum signals and can help traders avoid false signals. This is actually one of our favorites as the Stochastic RSI is a measure of the momentum of the RSI. So their respective signals can complement very well.
Putting It All Together
Traders can put this knowledge forward to use most oscillators correctly to adjust their trading strategies and adapt to changing market conditions. We also recommend looking at information the creator of an oscillator has put out in regard to how to properly use the indicator.
Traders can use these strategies to help modify or change their positions. For example, if the chosen oscillator used for an asset is weakening, it could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse. Traders can adjust their strategies accordingly by taking profit from their long positions or entering short positions.
Similarly, if the chosen oscillator for an asset is strengthening, it could be an indication that the trend is about to continue. Traders can adjust their strategies accordingly by adding to their long and short positions or entering new long or short positions.
In conclusion, oscillators are an extremely powerful technical analysis tool that can help traders identify potential trend reversals, trend continuations, and overbought or oversold conditions. By using oscillators in combination with other technical indicators and adjusting their trading strategies to adapt to changing market conditions, traders can improve their trading performance and achieve greater success in the markets.
Exxon Mobil Has Bounced Here BeforeExxon Mobil began the month with a pullback, but now it’s holding a spot that’s offered support before.
The first item on today’s chart is the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). XOM bounced at this long-term trend indicator in September and March. Will buyers defend it again?
Second, you have a rising trendline along the same lows.
Next, XOM appears to have completed an A-B-C correction pattern. That could make some traders feel it’s done pulling back.
Finally, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition. (The white arrows show other moments when this helped mark turns.)
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Indicators Signal Short-Term Buying Opportunity for STX (Stacks)I aspire, and expect Bitcoin to recover and resume its upward movement, with $STX ultimately closing the weekly candle above $0.84. Nevertheless, in technical analysis and trading, wishful thinking is not enough and holds no weight. The key is to identify conditions with a high likelihood of success.
Presently, $STX has fallen below $0.84 and is expected to continue its downward trend for the time being. Nonetheless, there is still hope for the short term.
The 'ZigZag Fibonacci Tool' has automatically mapped out several Fibonacci levels that could potentially serve as support zones in the future (see my green arrows)
Additionally, the Chris Moody Slingshot tool indicates a high probability of an upward tick around $0.77. The green candle colour suggests a conservative buying opportunity at present.
Furthermore, the TD Sequential countdown to 9 on the daily chart indicates a buying opportunity as it identifies turning points in asset or index price trends, printing a TD9 after nine consecutive candles above/below the previous four candles' closing price.
In conclusion, although Stacks has slipped through its support zone, favourable days are expected in the short term.
The current undervaluation of $STX makes it an attractive bargain.
ERX Energy is backERX is a leveraged ETF tracking the energy sector. On the 4H chart it has been in a downtrend
since mid-March. IT dropped to the bottom of the high volume area on the long term profile
as well as the lowermost VWAP band. Firday May 12th marked the reversal with buying volume
replacing selling volume and then a significant rise in price in the past week.
On the AI moving moving average indicator, the optimized shorter Hull moving average
(red line) has crossed over the longer EMA moving average ( blue line) as has the price.
I conclude the energy sector is heating up. My new idea on BOIL supports this. I will take
trades with energy in mind and review big oil stocks and natural gas stocks as well as
pipeline and oilfield services stocks.
Introducing the Trendicator (by Stock Justice)In this comprehensive tutorial, we dive deep into the world of the Trendicator, a powerful and innovative trading tool made by @StockJustice that enables traders to identify trends, spot reversals, detect bullish and bearish divergences, and perform multi-timeframe analysis. We delve into the inner workings of this never-before-seen indicator, demystifying its complex algorithms and showing you how to harness its full potential. From understanding the unique features of the Trendicator such as its compression stages, divergences, and MACD crossovers, to learning how to pair it with a Displaced Aggregated Moving Average (DACD) for enhanced precision, we cover it all in a fun and engaging manner.
The tutorial is not just about explaining the Trendicator's functionalities, but it also provides practical tips and strategies for using it in real-world trading scenarios. We discuss how the Trendicator can help traders spot the onset of a trend, gauge its strength, and pinpoint potential reversal points. Additionally, we explain how traders can utilize the bullish and bearish divergences identified by the Trendicator to anticipate market turns and make informed trading decisions.
Lastly, we emphasize the importance of multi-timeframe analysis in trading and demonstrate how the Trendicator can facilitate this process. By interpreting the Trendicator's signals across different timeframes, traders can gain a more comprehensive view of the market and make more accurate predictions. This tutorial is a must-watch for any trader aspiring to level up their technical analysis skills and trade more confidently and effectively. So, get ready to embark on an exciting journey of learning and discovery with the Trendicator!
SPCE ? Consolidation ? Short Squeeze ?SPCE is at a line in the sand of the chaos of the market.
On the 4H chart, price has bottomed and might be making a reversal pivot
as supported by a rising line segment on the RSI out of the oversold zone.
The though of a reversal is also supported by price crossing over the POC
line of the volume profile. Price above the POC line shows buyers are dominating
although some of the buyers are buying to cover shorts. Below the POC line,
sellers are dominating. If SPCE can get a trajectory upward, a short squeeze
could ignite a launch.
( Fundamentally, SPCE is dying and waiting for Eton Musk to make a good offer.)
This could be worth watching with an alert set 10% above the current price and
a volume alert at 50% above the moving average 20-day volume.
Stochastic RSI in detail and how to use it.The Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical analysis indicator used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in financial markets. It is a combination of two popular indicators: the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The Stoch RSI applies the Stochastic Oscillator formula to the RSI values, aiming to provide a more sensitive and faster signal for potential trend reversal.
The Stoch RSI is calculated as follows:
Choose the time period for which you want to calculate the Stoch RSI. The most common period is 14 .
Calculate the RSI: (Detailed post on this in the link below)
Determine the highest and lowest RSI values: Identify the highest and lowest RSI values over the same time period (e.g., 14 days).
Calculate the Stoch RSI: Use the following formula to calculate the Stoch RSI:
Stoch RSI = (Current RSI - Lowest RSI) / (Highest RSI - Lowest RSI)
The resulting Stoch RSI value will range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). A value above 0.8 (or 80%) typically indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential price correction or reversal, while a value below 0.2 (or 20%) indicates an oversold condition, which may represent a buying opportunity.
What does Stoch RSI tell us ?
Stoch RSI is a measure of how fast the RSI is changing. As an analogy. Imagine you are driving your car and have foot on the accelerator which will cause increase in the speed of your cat at every moment, now the rate at which your car's speed increases is acceleration. The bigger the more powerful engine your car has the more acceleration you get and the faster you get to the top speed of your car. So, in this analogy speed of your car at any instant is RSI , acceleration is Stoch RSI and top speed of your car is overbought condition of an asset.
RSI measures who is relatively more aggressive among buyers and sellers at a given instant. Stoch RSI measures how aggressive the buyers or sellers are at a given instant.
So just like in a fight if someone is too aggressive, they are going to spend themselves too quickly and even though they want to fight more they won't be able to until they ease up and relax a bit, this is similar to Stoch RSI of an asset getting to overbought condition and then asset either retraces or takes a pause as buyers are exhausted and need to regain strength by taking profits which turns them into sellers and the asset starts moving in opposite direction.
Why is 80 considered overbought?
The number 80 is chosen based on empirical evidence, suggesting that when the Stoch RSI reaches these extreme values, there is a higher probability of a price reversal or correction. When the Stoch RSI is above 80, it indicates that the asset's price has risen significantly over a short period and could be overextended. In this situation, the asset may be overvalued, and traders may consider selling or taking profits as the price could reverse or correct.
How to use Stoch RSI to enter a trade?
How to enter a Long Trade:
=======================
Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in oversold zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is resting on a key support level and holding it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
How to enter a Short Trade:
=======================
Step 1. Always use Stoch RSI along with RSI to make a decision:
Step 2. Use it on mid to high term time frame (4h and higher).
Step 3. Make sure both RSI and Stoch RSI are in overbought zone.
Step 4. Make sure the asset is rejected from a key resistance level and is not able to breach it.
Step 5. Fearlessly enter the trade.
What happens if Support or Resistance is broken in Step 3 above:
=======================================================
That's where divergences come into play.
What is a divergence?
===================
Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and RSI/Stoch RSI indicator move in opposite directions, indicating a potential trend reversal.
There are two types of divergences: bullish divergence and bearish divergence.
Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a higher low. Remember from explanation provided in sections above, this suggests that even though the price is going lower there
are more buying activities than selling and the assets are becoming stronger, and a potential trend reversal may be imminent.
Bearish divergence, on the other hand, occurs when the price of an asset makes a new high while the RSI/Stoch RSI indicator makes a lower high.
I have highlighted bullish divergence in chart with purple line. Shown in Red line is bullish Divergence in Stoch RSI, when RSI is not fully oversold, this can happen when a new support is being formed on the chart due to changes in fundamentals of the underlying asset or some news events.
Bullish and Bearish Divergences are even more powerful signals for taking trades, but we must make sure price is holding a support or rejecting from a resistance before taking the trades, otherwise divergences can easily disappear.
Why do traders fail to effectively use RSI?
The primary reason is lack of experience in trading.
Which leads to impatient behavior.
Not knowing how to mark key support/resistance levels.
No risk management skills. (Taking too much risk)
Lack of trust in self when taking trades, (Keep stopping losses too tight which knocks them out of the trades).
I have shown several instances where RSI generated long signals and all of them were successful, the only reason a trader would not be able to use RSI effectively is because of the above reasons.
RSI in detail and how to effectively use itWhat is RSI?
RSI stands for Relative Strength Index; The RSI measures the strength of asset's price action by comparing the magnitude of its recent gains to the magnitude of its recent losses.
The RSI is calculated using the average gain and average loss over a specified period, typically 14. The formula for the RSI is:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss.
To calculate the average gain, add up the gains over the specified period and divide by the number of periods.
Average Gain = Sum of Gains over N periods / N
To calculate the average loss, add up the losses over the specified period and divide by the number of periods.
Average Loss = Sum of Losses over N periods / N
In simple terms : To determine the average gain/loss for the closing price of the asset for each period in the selected time.
Calculate the difference between the closing price of the current period and the closing price of the previous period. If the current closing price is higher than the previous closing price, the difference is considered a gain. If the current closing price is lower than the previous closing price, the difference is considered a loss. Then calculate the average loss by summing up all the losses over the specified time period and dividing them by the number of periods in the timeframe.
What does RSI tell you?
To understand RSI we must understand the term Relative Strength which refers to the ratio of the average gain to the average loss over a specified period. It is used to compare the strength of the stock or asset price gains to its price losses over a certain timeperiod.
For example, let's say we want to calculate the relative strength of a stock over the past 14 trading days. We first need to calculate the average gain and average loss over that period. Suppose the average gain is USD 2 per share, and the average loss is USD 1 per share.
To calculate the Relative Strength (RS), we divide the average gain by the average loss:
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
= USD2 /USD 1
= 2
RS value greater than 1 indicates that the stock has experienced more gains than losses over the specified time period. In this case, the RS value of 2 indicates that the stock has had twice as many gains as losses over the past 14 trading days. The higher value of relative strength indicates Buyers have been relatively stronger than sellers over a period of the time and vice-versa of the relative strength is below 1, which indicates sellers have been stronger compared to buyers over a period of time.
When the RS remains above 1 over an extended period of time the RSI plot will keep rising, it can have a maximum value of 100. Any value higher than 70 for RSI is considered overbought and an RSI value below 30 is considered oversold.
What is overbought and oversold?
Overbought is a zone in time and the price of an asset that has risen in price rapidly and is now considered to be trading at a higher value than its true worth or fair value.
When an asset becomes overbought, it means that there are more buyers in the market than sellers, causing the price to increase rapidly. This can occur when investors become overly optimistic about the asset's future prospects or when there is a surge in demand for the asset.
However, an overbought asset is not necessarily a signal to sell. In fact, some traders and investors may view an overbought asset as an opportunity to profit from further price gains. Nevertheless, an overbought asset is often seen as a warning sign that the price may be due for a correction or pullback, as it may have become detached from its underlying fundamentals or economic conditions.
Oversold conditions are simply the opposite of overbought.
Why is RSI above 70 considered overbought?
The reason a reading above 70 is considered overbought in RSI is because it is a widely used and accepted threshold. The value of 70 is not based on any specific mathematical or statistical calculation, but rather it is a commonly used level that has been found to be effective over time. Now because it's a commonly used threshold it becomes self-fulfilling prophecy, where everyone starts acting on it and start selling the asset or at least being to anticipate coming pull back, which leads to slowdown in buying and increased selling, which causes RSI to start going down in oversold territory and the cycle is repeats.
How to effectively use RSI?
For a long trade:
Step 1: Use it on mid to high term timeframe ideally 4h and above.
Step 2: Wait for the RSI to come to the oversold zone.
Step 3: To make sure RSI oversold conditions are to be trusted for entering a trade, the Price must be a key support level and holding it.
Step 4: If all above conditions are met, then fearlessly enter a trade.
For a Short trade:
Step 1: Use it on mid to high term timeframe ideally 4h and above.
Step 2: Wait for the RSI to come to the overbought zone.
Step 3: To make sure RSI overbought conditions are to be trusted for entering a trade, the Price must be a key resistance level and rejecting it.
Step 4: If all above conditions are met, then fearlessly enter a trade.
What happens if Price fails to hold Support or Breaches Resistance in step 3 above?
That's where divergences come into play.
What is a divergence?
Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and its RSI indicator move in opposite directions, indicating a potential trend reversal.
There are two types of RSI divergences: bullish divergence and bearish divergence.
Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes a new low while the RSI indicator makes a higher low. Remember from explanation provided in sections above, this suggests that even though the price is going lower there
are more buying activities than selling and the assets are becoming stronger, and a potential trend reversal may be imminent.
Bearish divergence, on the other hand, occurs when the price of an asset makes a new high while the RSI indicator makes a lower high.
I have highlighted bullish divergence in chart with purple line.
Bullish and Bearish Divergences are even more powerful signals for taking trades, but we must make sure price is holding a support or rejecting from a resistance before taking the trades, otherwise divergences can easily disappear.
Why do traders fail to effectively use RSI?
The primary reason is lack of experience in trading.
Which leads to impatient behavior.
No risk management skills. (Taking too much risk)
Lack of trust in self when taking trades, (Keep stopping losses too tight which knocks them out of the trades).
I have show several instances where RSI generated long signals and all of them were successful , the only reason a trader would not be able to use RSI effectively is because of above reasons.
BTCUSDT Update - leading to retrace at 27750Price action is probably leading to retrace at least 27750 to make the minuscule wave 2. Patience will pay swing traders aiming lower lows. On this updating 15m wavw count you see the crystal clear. Look at Chaikin Money Flow and compare to RSI. You can see how good is this oscillator.