Relative Strength Index (RSI) author died this day one year agoThe inventor of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) died this day one year ago.
🕯 RIP 🕯 John Welles Wilder Jr.
RSI is an absolute favorite technical oscillator.
Grateful for his contribution to this space. 🙏
en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
Centered Oscillators
Bitcoin – the best scenario!Hello, everyone!
The Bitcoin continued the sideways around $40k. I think that you are bored of my standard analysis methods. Today let’s use the trend and countertrend lines in our analysis.
What do we have right now? The trendline 1 was broken to the downside but was not retested. It’s retest is the perfect short entry point. Trendline 2 was not even tested and I suppose we will see it’s test very soon. The countertrend line 1 was tested ones by BTC but it got a rejection. Now it seems like the price broke it to the upside. It means that the local downtrend is finished, but not more global. I suppose that we will see the retest on countertrend line 1 in the intersection point with trendline 2. At this point the RSI will show the bullish divergence and it is going to be the best long entry point. This trade’s target is the trendline 2 retest. If the price break the trendline 2 the price will enter the uptrend phase.
I want to remind you that I am in small long trade and waiting for another dump to execute the large long trade.
Good luck!
DISCLAMER: This is not a financial advice, do you own study before making a decision on the real market. If you decided to follow the idea in this article, please restrict your risk to 0.5%-1% of your entire deposit.
Bulls in the Driver’s Seat at Avis Budget?Avis Budget rallied in the fourth quarter on a value-driven short squeeze. It’s calmed down since but now may be showing some interesting patterns.
First, consider the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on February 24. That could suggest the longer-term uptrend remains in effect.
Second, notice how prices have stayed in a tight channel since mid-March. Are they starting to resemble a bullish flag?
Third, CAR’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That suggests the shorter-term trend remains positive.
Fourth, stochastics are nearly oversold despite only a modest pullback in the shares.
Finally, the macro situation may favor CAR because it trades for less than 15 times earnings (placing it more in the “value” camp than “growth”). It could also benefit from the onset of summer vacations starting next month. Earnings are due May 2 in the post market.
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TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. Please click here for TradeStation Crypto’s risk disclosures on investing and trading in cryptocurrencies.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Is Tesla Going into Reverse?Tesla had a sharp rally in late March, but now there could be evidence of sellers taking the wheel.
The first major pattern on today’s chart is the trendline running along the peaks of November 4, January 4 and April 5. Each time prices have approached with a bang, only to reverse lower the next candle. The ovals highlight rejections near the highs, suggesting the line remains important resistance.
Second, MACD edged lower on Friday. Similar crosses marked downside turns at other times like mid-November and early January.
Third, TSLA made a higher high early last week. It then proceeded to close under the previous low. The result was a large bearish outside week -- another potential reversal pattern:
Finally, the March rally was partially fueled by news of its stock split and quarterly deliveries. Now that those events have passed, the broader weakness in high-multiple growth stocks could return to plague TSLA.
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Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. Please click here for TradeStation Crypto’s risk disclosures on investing and trading in cryptocurrencies.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/11/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022
- PR High: 14379.75
- PR Low: 14332.50
Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 369.67
- Volume: 37k
- Open Int: 231k
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -15.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 14675
- Mid: 13500
- Short: 12390
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
🔥 KCS finally break out from the pattern 🔥Hello traders 🐺 .
In my last idea about the KCS I was talked about the inverse H&S pattern which is playing out right now , and now as you can see KCS finally breaking out from the inverse H&S pattern neck line and this could bring a very good opportunity for the KCS bulls .
(you can find my previous idea about the KCS in the related ideas down below this idea)
1_pattern :
As you can see in the chart above , KCS finally break the neck line of the inverse H&S pattern and also the more important is that the KCS price create a new high above the previous high so as you can see price is currently trying the retest the daily structure as a new support and this is good sign for KCS bulls .
2_EMA Ribbon :
EMA Ribbon is now flipping to bullish and we could consider this as a bullish signal for the KCS and in my opinion price and the EMA Ribbon could touch each other around the daily support structure ,
3_ TSI & RSI :
In the RSI we haven't any kinds of divergence but the RSI is currently above the 50 and still didn't reach the over buy value .
But in the other side we could see that the TSI is currently breaking above the zero line and this a bullish signal for the KCS .
4_ price targets :
About the price targets I would expect something like a above picture but it's not for sure for example price could reach the ATH price without any retest the important levels or also it's possible to fail this long trade , However I think that the first level of the resistance for the CS is around the 0.618 but the last target of this inverse H&S pattern is around the ATH price .
This is not a Financial advice and always trade based on your trading strategy ; have nice day my dear friends .
Trade MACD Multi Time FrameMaking a trade plane using MACD Multi Time Frame.
Chart & Indicator :
1. Heikin Aishi Candle
2. Current Chart MACD
3. Higher TF MACD
4. ADX
Steps :
1. Look at Higher TF MACD Direction
2. Check if lower TF MACD is aligned
3. Check if ADX / trend's strength
4. Set a limit position, wait for the price to break support.
5. Set SL in previous high. Set TP accordingly: using Fibonacci or previous zone as a target.
This is only for educational purposes. Do your own research accordingly.
Bitcoin – local correction before the last pumpHello, everyone!
Yesterday I told you that the $50k is going to be the highest price for BTC before the new huge dump. Today I found the nice price action model which can explain why this level could be the reversal point.
I started to study VSA(volume-spread analysis) and want to use my knowledge on practice. Last 2 weeks I understood that was able to make profit only because the proper money management, but my predictive power is low. I found that VSA is one is the best way to understand the market and just started to learn it, please don’t judge me harshly.
What about analysis? Let’s take a look at the consolidation before the last pump it was with the low volume, that’s why the Bitcoin price did not need a lot of effort to maintain the price. Thus, the buying volume shifted the price higher easily. If we take a look at the current consolidation we can notice that the volume increased dramatically. Moreover the large volume candles are at the consolidation’s upper band. It means that the sellers activated here. If we combine this knowledge with the RSI divergence we can anticipate the local correction.
To determine the correction levels let’s use the Fibonacci golden pocket = $44500. Here will be the nice local long trade entry point. The price target for such corrections is the Fibonacci zone 27 = $50000. Here is the potential short signal could be flashed, but it will be later.
Guys, I kindly ask you to write about your experience of VSA(volume-spread analysis) trading and Wyckoff methodology. Thank you!
Good luck!
DISCLAMER: This is not a financial advice, do you own study before making a decision on the real market. If you decided to follow the idea in this article, please restrict your risk to 0.5%-1% of your entire deposit.
$JNJ to make new ATH's$JNJ looks primed and ready to make new all-time highs this week. JNJ is in an ascending channel and based on RSI staying above 50 combined with MACD building and not near its relative "max" (about 4.44), this stock looks like it has legs. I think it is about to break through resistance relatively easily.
With this risky, volatile, day-to-day market, healthcare will be one of the sectors to hide out in and have relative stability and more potential for upside. A good defensive place to be that can be a lucrative trade/investment. JNJ is the best-in-breed, blue-chip with a solid diversified portfolio and potential for capital appreciation alongside a 2.40% dividend yield.
Healthcare is going to be a killer sector to be in if you have about a 5-year time horizon. During tightening cycles, tech, energy, and utilities do well, but I do see healthcare being one of the need-to-be in sectors going forward.
Has United Airlines Reached Its Maximum Altitude?United Airlines has taken off in the last two weeks, but some chart watchers may think it’s reached its highest altitude.
The key pattern on today’s chart is the $40-42 area level. UAL jumped above this price zone in November 2020 when the vaccine news emerged, followed by a successful retest in January 2021. The airline held $40 again in December, January and February before knifing lower in early March. Now UAL is trying to reclaim this range. Will it provide support again, or become new resistance?
Second, notice how stochastics have returned to an overbought condition. This has marked tops several times in the last year.
Finally, the macro environment remains difficult given the rise in energy costs and the increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve.
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Important Information
TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Bullish bounce Activision Blizzard There are several factors that lead me to thing ATVI will have a very strong bounce in the near few. One of which is the MACD. On 1D it is getting back to the cross point. This could mean that it would go lower right. Well on the 240 it is well below the cross. Signaling a sign of probability over sold also judging by previous supply and demand zone. It may want to rise back up to that cross on the 4 hour. Making that 1D MACD bounce very likely.
Also speaking of 1D and 240 candle the RSI looks to be getting very low. With the 1 hour and 4 hour look to be getting back up on the RSI. The daily could see a reversal due to the strong reduced angle it has been since the 15th.
Another factor I believe this to be at or near a bounce into the bullish direction is the BOLL. I been seeing the BOLL has strong support and resistance. It is at that low BOLL line on the 1D usually point in the direction of getting back to center or testing the upper line.
HP Will Likely Gain This Week Before DeclinesBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 36.29.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 36.71 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.499% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.594% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 12.467% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Coca-Cola May Recover Over Next 2 WeeksBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 58.72.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 59.02 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 1.5345% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.719% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.30% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14.0 trading bars; half occur within 26.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 36.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Double Bottom in Disney?Walt Disney has been under pressure for the last year. But now it may have formed a bullish reversal pattern.
DIS dove toward $129.30 on January 24 during the S&P 500’s initial swoon this year. It retested and held that level on Tuesday, resulting in a potential double-bottom pattern.
Next, the pullback represents a retracement of the entire rally that occurred in late 2020 and early 2021 after Pfizer’s vaccine news spurred confidence in the economy reopening .
Third, stochastics have dipped to an oversold condition.
The trend remains bearish and sentiment is negative following the spike in gasoline and jet-fuel prices. However this double-bottom pattern could make traders start to think about a bounce .
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
LAC about to jump higher before the March stumble?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 4, 2022 with a closing price of 24.973.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 25.11 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.579% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.399% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.491% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 40 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
SOLANA Slope RSI at an extreme pointThere has not been a pattern to confirm the bottom yet and it would be unwise to enter a trade right now but we the indicators are telling me that the bottom has been reached. The honey Cypher VWAP is at a very low point, the previous time it reached this level we got a massive move to the upside. At this point we had a double bottom formation which further increased the likelyhood of a strong trend.
My strategy here is to wait for a reversal pattern to surface and enter a trade with a very small stop loss, -2% with a TP1 5% TP2 10% and a trailing at 3% with -3%. You could also enter a trade the moment a reversal brick get's printed but that is less reliable than the patterns.
Link to the bounded slope oscillator.
History Repeating on MACDIt seems history is repeating.
Weekly MACD histogram and daily MACD and histogram crossing negative preceded the crash in May. Daily MACD finding support, followed by the histogram crossing positive marked the start of the rally in August.
The same sequence of events has just completed in the last few days. Time for a bull run?
RSI AMPLIFIER// (v4) RSI AMPLIFIER ( MCDX-Oscillator + Renko-Filter ) ( BTC ) ( 1h,2h,3h,4h )
//Authors credit:
//Smart Money based of / Indicator | MCDX
//Renko Volume based of "Weiss Wave Volume" / "WWV"
//The SmartMoney MCDX (MultiColor-Dragon) amplify rsi values to give confirmation of so called BANKER or SMART-MONEY against Retaillers.
//The main issue to me was that the original "SmartMoney MCDX" give only half the potential information since it focus only on positive price action.
//Therefore this version is a SMART-MONEY OSCILLATOR built to give entry/exit signals for shorts as well as long.
//The Real-Momentum plot replaces HOT MONEY (area, darkgreen/darkred), react quickly to oversold/overbought and hit the max/min value at almost every bar.
//The Over-Extended plot replaces BANKER MONEY (stepline, yellow/blue), need a stronger oversold/overbought value to move from the middle.
//The Signal-Line plot (line, green/red, with filler), is halfway between the Real-Mommentum & Over-Extended trying to give a signal after the move start but before the biggest candles.
//
//The original RETAILLERS MONEY carries no information and as been erased.
//
//Renko-Filter reduce the noise by adding volume values to each new columns until the trend reversal.
//How to use:
//
//The purpose and logic of this indicator is " Amplify to Simplify "
//
//Enter trade when the Signal-Line leave the middle.
//Long when it go TOP GREEN / Short when it go BOTTOM RED
//Exit trade when the Signal-Line return to middle or/while the Renko-Filter reverse.
//
//When you analyze the chart stay zoom out with max/min on the edges of the pan. Only the biggest Renko-series will be visible.
//When trading, you may zoom in to see evolution in real time.(version built for minutes time-frames in progress)
//
//You can easily set a LONG TRADE alarm on the Signal-Line, choosing "Greater than 10" then "Less than 50000"
//You can easily set a SHORT TRADE alarm on the Signal-Line, choosing "Less than -10" then "Greater than -50000"
//
//Be careful when Real-Momentum start being choppy or simply goes too much/too long in the opposite side of the trend.
//If the Over-Extended plot follow the Signal-Line after you enter a trade, you're good but always exit before the Over-Extended return to mid.
//Use the Renko-Filter to detect lauching Extended-Trend, to confirm Real-Momentum reversal, or to stay in a trade to the last candles.
// INFO:
//This version is built on purpose for BTC 1h/2h/3h/4h, differents assets, time-frames or exchanges may need change.
//If you can't see the Over-Extended, Signal Line or Renko-Filter with a particular time-frame or asset, you can change the value of the rsi at "rsi := 500000" & "rsi := -500000".
//Change by a value > to that of the candles (last value in status line).
//Zoom in on the indicator to see the Renko-Filter but idealy you want to see the max/min value of the 3 plot of the indicator(default = 50000).
//
// Overlay:
//You can display this indicator directly on your Chart and set No scale (fullscreen), to use it like as a RSI Baseline.
//If so, i made specifics version doing it by default (overlay,BTC)(overlay,largeCAP).
//@version=4
CCI has light at the end of this tunnelBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 18, 2022 with a closing price of 162.34.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 171.32 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 15.282% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.349% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 28.872% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14 trading bars; half occur within 27 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).