ALICE/USDT has a massive bullish potential!Hi every one
ALICE/USDT
ALICE/USDT is ranging in a broadening wedge it seems and now the price has reached the bottom of this pattern (which is also a strong support for ALICE!) so now it is expected that the price would Increase from this point because of this reasons:
1- the price has reached it's bottom (strong support)
2-on MACD indicator there is a visible bullish sign! the MACD line is about to cross the Signal line upwardly! this is of course a Good bullish sign!
3-there is a Regular Bullish Divergence on RSI indicator as well which is another Great bullish sign as well!
for this particular reasons ALICE has a strong chance of starting a Great bullish run so be prepared for it!
*Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck
Centered Oscillators
Visualizing the MACD EMAs on Bitcoin for tradesThe MACD is one of the most robust indicators that you can use due to the variety of signals you can use with hidden and traditional divergence on both the MACD itseft, as well as the histogram. Many people may tinker with the settings of the fast and slow EMA and they may look for crosses of the MACD and its own moving average, the signal line. Lots of attention is taken with looking at the MACD crossing the signal line for a change of trend but it seems fewer than would make sense look at the EMAs themselves, no matter which settings you use.
And even when people see the MACD cross the signal they don't pay it enough attention. We had a massive uptrend in 2017 and again this year and it ends with a MACD-Signal Cross. I posted on the MACD-Signal signal cross and lots of people pushed back. Lots of people doing TA on Trading View or YouTube commented on it, but still thought we would continue upward at $60K and did not have a proper appreciation for the cross given bitcoins history.
People saw a massive descending triangle in 2018 underneath a MACD-Signal cross and refused to accept it. The 12 and 26 EMAs crossed bearish, so the MACD and Signal line both went below zero, and people were still bullish. And really the charting come first. We get a chart pattern and then we should look to volume to confirm, and then we look for indicators to confirm.
Lets do a rundown on our current situation:
MACD-Signal Cross
Development of a bearish head and shoulders
The MACD EMAs, the 12 and the 26, are crossed bearish
What is missing is the Signal line crossing the zero along with the MACD, and I see that happening soon, very high probability, like over 90%.
Just take a look at this chart below. The 12-26 cross bearishly at the peak in 2011, 2014, and again in 2018. There was no bearish 12-26 EMA cross in 2013. Very simple TA has taken that off the table. But many people are still on that hopium. The 12-26 crossed in 2014 and there was some chop and a bear market. In 2017 it chopped to form a W pattern with the C19 dump but when we BTC cleared the bridge of the W we ran.
What do we do? We see a bearish structure and the easiest thing to do is look for historic support, be it chart structure or moving averages or do targeting based on the chart structure (fibs). Here is a quick look at targeting. Most likely the 200 will be support. If we have a NASDAQ dotcom bubble pop or a 2008 type recession we could go lower. The linked ideas have a variety of long term (years) and intermediate (months) for if we go into a bear market or the dotcom type bust.
Once again the charting isn't hard. It isn't hard to see the MACD-Signal cross and it isn't hard to see the 12-26 EMA cross bearish. It isn't hard to see the descending triangle and head and shoulders in 2017 and right now. But what is hard is accepting the facts in the charts against your hopes and bias.
The chances that this resolves to the downside are extraordinarily high. The chances that this formation breaks to the upside is very low. We could have a conversation on if this will lead to a V-shaped recovery or a prolonged downtrend. Will we get over-performance or under-performance to the downside? All these conversations will very likely end up happing more in the future than conversations trying to target $100k or $300k or any other upside target before we talk to the downside.
Thoughts?
EUR/USD 1DWe can see a falling wedge pattern on the chart that could lead to a bullish movement if a breakout happens. We can also see a bullish divergence on the RSI that is pretty common but still good to take under consideration. I think there is a big chance of a bullish movement on the EUR/USD , could be at the top of the falling wedge.
Make you bets !
USD/CAD: bearish movement is coming.Hello every one
U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
USD/CAD has formed a rising wedge pattern .this means it is time for bears to take control .after the break out happens the price can fall to the support levels shown in the picture. There are also regular bearish divergences on both MACD and RSI indicators which makes the bear market more reliable. after the break out we can take sell position with ease.
Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
BNBUSD sitting on the EMAWe are sitting on the 200 EMA, strong support. I think the entry is now pretty attractiv.
Correction wave seems to be completed and the sideways trend is accumulating for the trend up I guess.
The MACD shows us still a big oversold over the bigger time frame.
Long term target $480
Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed on the MonthlyPreamble
There is quite a debate as to what constitutes a bear market generally and what constitutes a bear market in crypto specifically. Having pondered this question at length for myself and experiencing the pain of indecision this is what I have developed. This determination is very important because in bull markets bullish formations overperform and even bearish formations can break upward. In bear markets bullish formations fail to trigger and bearish formations over-perform. In the linked ideas you will see that I rang a warning bell when the three day condition was met at 50k and I called the bear market at 43k and look at us now, struggling to stay above 33.5k. I have been at sundry times mocked for my call, in person and online. Meh. We see the system is now printing a bearish close on the monthly timeframe and that is going to be extraordinarily difficult to overcome.
The System
The key components to this system are the VSTOP and the MTF VSTOP, which are based off the Average True range, a most valuable indicator for its use at finding lows in markets, and its use in measuring volatility for stops and the Keltner Channel. When both are flipped bearish or bullish the uptrend is extraordinarily resilient and despite viscous retracements there can be a lot more continuation potential. As they have both flipped bearish I continue to foresee a lot of bearish continuation. The monthly 20 SMA will very likely (above 90%) fall as support. Price may chop around there on the weekly chart for weeks but ultimately downside targets are going to be reached. The monthly MACD cross is almost upon us and in short order I foresee that happening as well. On lower time frames I can add the Ichimoku cloud or On Balance Volume with EMAs, but due to the high time frame those are unworkable now.
Targets
I continue to think that BTC will see some wicking below the monthly Keltner channel. We may even close a candle body below it before chopping sideways and then up. Please review the linked idea for more details on that.
Final Thoughts
If you are still bullish please let me know, technically, why. MY system lets me change my biases and my behavior as soon as the 3 day or weekly conditions are met. This monthly post is to help people understand the scope of that we are dealing with, and the forces that are at play. It is not possible for me to chart the 20 month wrong, or the VSTOP wrong. There is no squinting and seeing a falling wedge that isn't there or misreading divergences. The bias is bearish.
BTCUSD Daily 13CCI tbl and triangle apex still Short until..In a big picture, standing aside until price breaks above $41.5k or below $28.5k can save a lot of whipsaw unless one is nimble, has low fees on trades, has limit and stop orders available, and is a good chart reader.
For those wanting to use 13CCI signals to trade in/out during this extended consolidation, daily CCI is currently on a short signal. It would change to a long signal when 13 CCI crosses up thru the last shown down-trendline. We would also expect to see that the apex of triangle drawn on CCI would have its apex at or above zeroline
$HAI with fib and oscilators buy setupThis prediction lies upon MACD convergence point coming, based on a wave pattern of MACD. EWO also supports this, reaching it's peak in a downward trend, with fib you could expect a solid 30% growth in price in a medium-long time period. This downtrend for HAI is expected to change now. To use it with risks included I've made this buy setup:
buy price: 0.1000-0.1010
tp: 0.1315
sl: 0.900
BTC Eve and Adam suggest one is forming on ETHBTCI got a scratching in my head again when looking at the ETHBTC chart and it was beginning to resemble the bitcoin chart and a bit more tinkering has resulted in this post. I see myself doing a couple of editions of this basic concept over the next couple of days. The fib levels show that BTCUSD had a more powerful move as BTC was able to reach the 0.786 Fib retracement level and ETHBTC did a good showing of breaking 0.618 before getting rejected. It is a bit to early to guess now, but that could mean that ETHBTC may not reach the full 1.618 fib extension on its upleg if the Eve and Edam pattern develops and we may have to settle of a mere 1.414 extension. Likewise, the very bullish Eve and Adam had a higher low on the Adam. No guarantee that the Adam low will be lower or higher than the eve on ETHBTC at this point.
Quick reminder on Divergences
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
The BTCUSD high on the main chart looks a bit deceptive on the log scale, in part because that 90% move doesn't look that impressive. Below it makes things a bit clearer were I focus more on the Eves and not a wider picture. BTCUSD has a technical double top from the weekly candle bodies from the beginning of 2018 to the middle of 2019 and the divergence tore the uptrend to pieces. I also was torn to pieces looking for a short entry too soon and not just being patient and buying the dip. By the time the dip fell to my level I was so pissed off at myself I didn't buy crypto, I had been too burned out on it. ETHBTC is off to the left and the hidden bearish divergence is much clearer. There can be some considerable chop over the next six to nine months as everything comes to order.
I called the top on BTC when everyone else was looking for upside continuation and I still remain steadfast on my downside targets on BTCUSD reaching around 14-16k until such time as the 20 week SMA is no longer acting as resistance. So I am operating under the assumption that ETH will fall faster than BTC and perhaps BTC will recover quicker as well and then ETH will have a huge run, appreciating 10x against BTC from its current position. I also called the local top in 2019, but as I mentioned, shorted to soon, repeatedly, and it burned me. I developed my stop and short strategies a bit since then so I may give it another college try in the future.
My linked idea from August 2019 is one of my most frustrating ones because, despite the chop it reached my long term target and I tore my account to pieces. I suspect with patience ETHBTC will reach the box below around 0.019 to 0.023. My recent idea on BTC has some target setting for BTC any my target setting for eth is along the same lines (Below the monthly Keltner channel).
Amazon Harmonic - Daily & Hourly Bearish BatThere isn't much more to say other than that if the 0.886 retracement holds on both the hourly and daily timeframes into Tuesday's morning session, this Bearish Bat harmonic could end up confirming an enormous reversal that has been nearly a year in the making.
I remember reading that some dude had a 2M put position going into Amazon's 2020 Q2 earnings report... despite the fact that this was the first blow-out earnings beat (10 times street expectations top and bottom!) the put position wouldn't have bankrupted him in a day. I know this because I speculated with reasonable calls into that ER, thought I had won the lottery, only to watch this thing selloff like hotcakes on the open.
Point is that Amazon runs like hell both randomly and seldomly. Thus, the odds of it making all-time highs is actually much slimmer than one would believe - especially if they were to also look at the volatility that is implied by last week's options. Sometimes black-box financial engineering methods employed by machines lack the human intuition to know when a financial asset is ready to turn. The implied volatility assumed into Amazon's near-term contracrs is one such example that can be exploited for an easy volatility flip on the first break of harmonic support.
That, or you could try for the almighty dime-bagger that this harmonic structure implies in the mid-term, the likes of which would produce some of the most expensive same-week options that have ever been printed.
-AmazonianSwine
NASDAQ:AMZN
AMEX:ARKK
NASDAQ:AAPL
CURRENCYCOM:US100
TVC:IXIC
TVC:NDX
TVC:SPX
CURRENCYCOM:US500
$GTT Target 4.42 for 49.83%$GTT Target 4.42 for 49.83%
Or double position at 1.54
Here's another one you might want to stay away from unless you just love adrenaline 😏🤓
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
I finally added my YouTube Training Video to my profile tagline since I’m not allowed to on here. It’s a quick 15 minute training video on how to set up your chart and how to spot opportunities. So check here first but If you have questions just message me.