EURUSD H4 Short CCI divergence, tlbH4 CCI had a short entry and now another one, both crosses down thru up-trendlines
T1 38.2% or earlier at s2 ~1.77
Centered Oscillators
Feedback, concept common in Electronic EngineeringAn experimental application of feedback concept common in Electronic Engineering, attempting to present additional value/insight to the Indicators
The above chart presents example of negative and positive feedback applied on momentum adjusted moving average (MaMA) and rate of return (RoR).
Feedback concept in Electronic Engineering
Negative feedback (or balancing feedback) is applied to reduce the fluctuations, whether caused by changes in the source or by other disturbances. The applied negative feedback can improve performance, gain stability, linearity and reduce sensitivity to parameter variations due to environment.
Whereas positive feedback tends to lead to instability via exponential growth, oscillation or chaotic behaviour
Mathematical approach explained in description of "Rate of Return (RoR) by DGT" added as link to this idea, and an additional application of feedback efect presented in "Momentum adjusted Moving Average by DGT" also linked to the idea
AMD Short TERM Trading opportunityHi everyone, as always I am back, for another late night T.A. It gets me pretty excited to think about what is going to happen this month. So many stocks are near very pivotal resistances or supports and it truly is a great time to be alive. Speaking of pivotal points, I hope you all saw that Apple had a HUGE spike up last week, along with my long time favourite, AMD. I have always had an extremely bearish outlook on AMD, as you can tell from my past posts, but I think I am finally becoming an AMD bull, atleast for the time being ;). For now though, check out my T.A as to why I think this.
Elliottwave Analysis: The elliottwave analysis for this stock has taken me so long to figure out. I attempted to figure it out yesterday but I was seriously unable too. There is just so many possibilities, and measuring out the ratios seemed so challenging, but I have figured it out. Something that helped me choose my wave count, was that I would always compare the fibonacci ratios, and if the ratios seemed weird at the tops and bottoms of different waves, I would look at a different count. For example, if the wave 3 stopped at a 1.414 extension, I would immediately choose a different count, since that is such an awkward extension for a wave 3. So the wave count right now, is that we are in a larger cycles wave c of the wave 5. We have already finished wave 1, which is easy to see on the 15 minute and are headed up. How far up? Well< I am assuming that we are on our way to the 85-87 price target. This is because, it is a 0.764 extension of the wave a-b of wave 5, but it is also the 0.764 extension of the wave 1-3-4. Because these ratios align so perfectly, I am more incline to think that the wave c will hit somewhere here as opposed to the 0.618 or the 1:1 extension. In addition to this, on the 15 minute I have charted out what I suppose to be the wave count for the wave c of the wave 5, and using the wave 1 provided, I figured that the end of the wave, will hit the 3.618 extension of wave one, which also happens to be the 85 dollar range. Because of this large cluster of fibonacci extensions, I strongly believe that this is where we're headed. And if I am wrong, we will know right away, since I am setting the stop at the prior swing low (75.33). So that concludes the elliott wave analysis
Moving average analysis: The moving average analysis is telling me that we are also headed up. On the 15 minute, we have rested along the 55 ema for quite sometime, leading me to think we are going to be leaping off of it soon. On higher time frames, I am a bit weary, since we have no support except for the 13 ema on the 2 hour, which isn't that comforting.
RSI Analysis: The Rsi for this chart is really interesting. On the 15 minute we see some very strong bullish divergence and on the 1 hour, we see that the RSI keeps hitting incredibly high levels, but is also seeing a lot higher lows each and every time. This continues up on everytime frame until the daily. We are constantly seeing higher price action and higher rsi highs and lows. This is a really strong sign that we will continue to head upwards.
MACD analysis: On the MACD we are seeing that a move upwards is definitely on the way. On the 15 minute, we are hovering just below the zeroline reversal, but the positive ticking rsi leads me to believe it is another leap upwards for this week.
On the one hour, it is kinda bearish, since we have seen a bearish cross. Although, on the daily, we are continuing our exponential move upwards, which leads me to believe that we aren't headed down just yet.
All in all, it will be an exciting week for AMD. I am expecting that we hit the 85-87$ range which is a 10% return on your trade. In addition to this, the risk is only 2.64% or the 75.33. This is roughly a 4:1 risk to reward which is beautiful. I'll keep you posted as the trading week continues, and let you know if I am exiting the trade early or I am riding this wave even higher. Best of luck trading, and I hope you have a great long weekend.
Bitcoin ForecastD1 - After the bullish trend pattern we had a correction in the form of consolidation.
Currently, the price has broken above this consolidation and is holding above it.
H4 - We had a correction in the form of double wave down, bullish divergence, most recent downtrend line breakout.
H1 - Bullish trend pattern, expecting the price to continue further higher.
In addition to this, the MACD has ticked to the positive side in all the three timeframes (D1, H4 and H1) which we may consider as an evidence of bullish pressure.
Note: You can find the MACD complete guide here: vladimirribakov.com
STICK TO YOUR TRADING PLAN (DONT OVERTHINK, OVER RISK & OVER LEVRemember weekend price action has less then half the liquidity in the market since big players are out. (most of them)
Enjoy your weekend.
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS - NEW HIGHER LOWSGood afternoon everyone.
We've broken the downtrend since June 1st and have swept some of the highs.
I'd still like to see 9800 but if we start showing signs of bearish signals I'd look to build a short position. This can easily blast through 9600's once we break this resistance around 9575 zone. If bulls fail at doing that a retracement will be mandatory before continuation.
Spending the day watching video's and reading.
Enjoy your day & stick to your trading plan.
Buy setup - LNKHere is a buy setup in LNK we have a bullish falling wedge which price has broken out of, also broken above the 20MA on daily timeframe and MACD signalling an entry
my profit target is 4.75 stop loss would be a daily close below the 20 MA
BEST COMMODITY INTRA-DAY WTI CRUDE OIL 30 M TRADING STRATEGY#1 Add CCI Indicator with default 20 setting.
#2 Add a CCI 0 level line.
How to Filter Bad Trades.
A - Bad: when price action makes CCI take a long time to go from -100 to + 100.
B - Good: when price action makes CCImake a quick straight move from - 100 to + 100.
#3 Buy when CCL breaks above +100 level.
#4 SL below CCI +100 breakout candle.
#5 Exit trade when CCI crosses below 0 level line.
Entry in the 0.618% of Fibonacci!!! Sell SignalHello guys, in this updated of this technical analysis for Saturday, we see that Bitcoin is in the important zone to entry in short position and earn money with Bitcoin. Well, the price on entry is around of $9,170 USD, the SL is $9,250 USD and finally our target profit if $8,966 USD. I invest 0.04 BTC lots in my trading plattforms. Important to you is always analyze in H4 and entry in H1 timeframe, I dont recall for you to analyze H1 because H1 is not a stable timeframe to analyze, H4 for me is the best for analysis if you're swing trader o Day Trader. Also, I add a important message because I have an alert of updates of some chartist pattern in formation in weekly that you need to know.
Look in Daily, I mark this green zone because it's work as strong support, if you see, we are into the simetric triangle in general, that don't have any direction of the market, but that yes have is to make prepared in both worlds because Bitcoin could to break up or break down, but I have a evidence of that is respald for me to make prepare. Look this green zone, as Bitcoin was rejection 2 times, there are a possibl formation of any armonic pattern hiding of this technical analysis, also that is not a tripple bottom, but yes a possible formation of armonic pattern to follow in our trend. Now, there are a possibility that Bitcoin if make a rejection of $9,000 USD that mean that there are a buyers demand to broke up the descending channel, we can to entry in buy until the $9,650 USD as target profit, because Bitcoin need to complete this simetric triangle. Also, in the RSI there are a formation of lower low of this indicator, that mean a possible go back up the price.
And finally, in weekly this is the scenario that we are here, in this simetric triangle, also, this is not neccesary that Bitcoin go to broke down, but when we see this chartist pattern, that could be a possible bull continuation of above of $10,000 USD, if in case to broke up, in case that broke down, we can see another drop, and also, stock market is the mix of what Bitcoin do. That indicator is so important to know in our mind. But as reference, MACD show a possible sell zone and weakness of buyers, so possible bear are soon to drop the price.
