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Centered Oscillators

Could we have bottomed early?Local maximums don't tend to follow the pattern of respecting overextensions like minimums do. This is mostly based on the positive bias people have of the future. Seeing a close this strong is a strong enough sign for the indicator of short term trend to become positive. If this is true then we should start pushing to new high, but if the market does so it risk overextending again but with the coming elections one could expect for the incumbent party to try to inflate stocks to have strong image heading into the polls. But by doing so it creates a high risk of over estimulation which could result in a time of euphoria followed by a crash. It's been 4 years since the 2020 crisis. The mode for recessions is every 3 to 4 years. If technicals begin to overextended and fundamentals to keep up, we might be headed to a new crisis. Technicals need to reset before going forward.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DarkMessiah777
Possible entries to a Liverpool LongThis seems like a great buying point, looking at all the technicals, it would be hard for price to keep pushing down. However, the moving averages do tend to work as resistance and support, so it could be possible for price to drop there. However, It's unlikely price will continue to move down by much. And if so, price is likely to keep on rising. As this company has proven to be a go-to store for Mexicans looking for presents during the holidays, special events, sports gear and many others. Despite big competitors, this brand has lasted the test of time.
BMV:LIVEPOL/C-1Long
by DarkMessiah777
American Express May Be Sneaking HigherAmerican Express broke out to record highs in January. Now after six weeks of tight price action, some traders may expect further upside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the jump on April 19 after earnings beat estimates. AXP cleared the late-March closing high around $229 and proceeded to retest and hold that same level on May 3. So, the current month’s low is near a previous month’s high. Has old resistance become new support? Next you have a higher low above $234 this week. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend. Finally, stochastics are near an oversold condition. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:AXP
by TradeStation
3M Pulls Back3M is emerging as a potential turnaround story following years of downside. Now trend followers may take interest in its latest pullback. The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of high-volume bullish candles since early March. MMM raised guidance, spun off its Solventum NYSE:SOLV health-care division and then ended with a consensus-beating quarterly report. The result has been a succession of higher lows and higher highs. Is a new uptrend emerging? Next is the July 2023 high of $94.59. Prices stalled at this level in early April and bounced above it on May 8. The 50-day simple moving average is in roughly the same place. If prices remain above those spots, it may suggest a more significant turn has occurred. Finally, stochastics have dipped toward oversold territory. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:MMM
by TradeStation
What’s Next for the S&P 500?The S&P 500 tried to break out yesterday, but got rejected at the highs. Some traders might view the resulting bearish outside day as a potential reversal pattern. How much damage was actually done? The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 28 peak of 5265. Notice how SPX made a new high by crossing this level on May 15. Yesterday’s pullback tested it and prices have bounced today. That may suggest old resistance is becoming new support. Second, this chart includes our MA speed custom study. It shows the rate of change for the 10-day simple moving average. Notice how the oscillator jumped as the index recovered in early May. This sharp acceleration resembled the move in early November as the current bull run began. Third is the relatively tight consolidation following the surge. That’s similar to other moments in late 2023. It may reflect a lack of selling pressure. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
Is Soybean Oil Heating Up? Of the grains and oilseeds, soybean oil has been the clear laggard. Corn, wheat, soybeans, and even soybean meal have seen notable rallies over the course of the last 4-6 weeks. However, there are indications that may soon change. As ingredient buyers know, soybean oil typically trades at a significant premium to its rival palm oil. The chart below overlays a 5-year continuous chart of front month soybean oil futures prices along with a 5-year continuous chart of Malaysian palm oil futures. As displayed by the chart, in each instance over the past 5 years in which SBO’s premium has eroded relative to palm oil, we’ve seen soybean oil prices rally in excess of 15%. Fund Positioning : Extreme fund positioning is typically viewed as a contrary indicator. As such, managed money funds holding their largest net-short position in soybean oil futures of any point in the last 5-years adds to the bullish case in the immediate term. Per the last CFTC Commitment of Traders report, managed money was holding a net-short position of 58,748 contracts. In the instance that prices grind higher, short-covering on behalf of managed money could accelerate a move to the upside. Technicals : Lastly, the technical landscape of soybean oil also looks constructive. There is significant bullish divergence between the two most recent lows, and a standard 14-day RSI. In other words, the most recent successive lows came on less conviction. A break and close above the most recent swing high of 50 should lay the groundwork for a test of the swing-highs observed last July between 64 and 66. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition. With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500 Performance Disclaimer Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
CBOT:ZL1!Long
by Blue_Line_Futures
Downside in Dollar General?Dollar General fell sharply in 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may see further downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the large bearish engulfing candle on March 14, which occurred despite results beating estimates. The discount retailer stalled below that session’s high in April. This month, it stalled near the low. Has old support below new resistance? Second, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) potentially marks a long-term downtrend by steadily falling across the chart. Prices are also stalling below the 50-day SMA and are back under the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). That may reflect weakness over the long, intermediate and short terms. Third, stochastics are dipping from near an overbought condition. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:DG
by TradeStation
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
NSE:ABFRLLong
by karthikmarar
Bitcoin Leads the Charge: Bullish Signs Emerge Across Crypto MarA wave of optimism is sweeping across the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) at the forefront. After a period of consolidation, bulls appear to be taking charge, sparking positive momentum not only in Bitcoin but also in altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Fantom (FTM). Bitcoin's Technical Analysis Hints at Upswing Technical indicators for Bitcoin are painting a bullish picture. The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), a key indicator of short-term trends, has begun to turn upwards. This suggests a shift in momentum, with the path of least resistance now favoring an upward price movement. Further bolstering this bullish sentiment is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator measures the momentum of price movements and currently sits in positive territory. This indicates that buyers are in control and there's room for further price appreciation. Breaking Key Resistance Levels A crucial level to watch for Bitcoin is $68,000. If bulls can successfully push the price above this resistance point, it could trigger a retest of the formidable barrier at $72,000. Reclaiming this level would be a significant victory for Bitcoin bulls, potentially leading to a continuation of the upward trend. Bears Remain Vigilant However, the battle lines are not yet definitively drawn. Bears, the market participants who profit from price declines, are not ready to concede defeat. If they can successfully push the price below the 20-day EMA and the broader moving average support levels, it could signal a potential reversal in the current trend. A drop below $60,000 could then be on the cards. Beyond Bitcoin: Altcoins Join the Bullish Party The positive sentiment is not limited to Bitcoin. Several altcoins are also exhibiting bullish signs. Here's a closer look at a few: • Solana (SOL): SOL, known for its blazing-fast transaction speeds and scalability, has been on a tear lately. It's crucial to monitor technical indicators like moving averages and RSI to gauge its specific momentum. • Fantom (FTM): FTM, a smart contracts platform focused on scalability, has shown promising signs. Tracking its developer activity and ecosystem growth can offer clues about its future trajectory. A Word of Caution While the current market sentiment is encouraging, it's vital to remember that the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Opportunities and Challenges The recent bullish signs present both opportunities and challenges for investors. The potential for continued growth across the cryptocurrency market is exciting. However, the ever-present risk of volatility necessitates a cautious and informed approach. Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be leading the charge in a potential crypto market upswing. Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, but resistance levels need to be overcome. Encouragingly, several altcoins are also flashing bullish signs, adding to the overall optimism. As always, investors should approach the market with caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Info Edge (India) Ltd Showing Strong Up-Side MomentumStrong operating businesses Strong Operating Cash generation year with a run- rate of c1000 Cr plus (pre Tax) annually and growing. Negative working capital due to advance subscription fees (Rs 925 cr as on 31/12/23) Asset-light business models "Zero" Debt. Well Defined approach towards Financial Investments AIF structure for eventual and self-sustained independent financial investment business. Partnered with reputed Sovereign Fund (Temasek Holdings). AIF contribution commitment is currently pegged at ~USD 212.5m Funds created with a term of 12-14 years. Established Dividend payout track record. Formal dividend policy of paying 25%-40% of standalone cash PAT. Track record of consistent dividend payout for last 16 years. Paid 28% of cash PAT as dividend till date. Info Edge is India’s premier online classified company with a portfolio of brands. It owns various brands in different fields like naukri.com (online recruitment), 99acres.com (online real estate), jeevansathi.com (online matrimonial) as well as shiksha.com (online education information services). It also acts as an investor and has invested in many start-ups in the online space and is actively growing its investment portfolio. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 55.9% CAGR over last 5 years B2B revenues (as on date) comprise ~90% of overall Naukri revenue and includes: Resume database access (Naukri & iimjobs) Job Posting (response management) Employer branding (visibility) Application tracking tools (Zwayam) eHire - Resume short listing and Walk-ins Assessment services (Do-select) ■ B2C includes revenue from Job seeker services Career enhancement services (AmbitionBox, Coding Ninjas, Naukri Learning)
NSE:NAUKRILong
by iism-ExpertTrading
DXY about to be let loose!DXY retracement from it's last peak seems to have bottomed out, and is starting the next leg up to retest highs. Inflation is driving rates back up, or holding them up. While bonds occasionally sell off and yields rise. I imagine either other countries start lowering yields to prevent banking failures, or the US starts increasing yields to avoid dollar debt problems associated with inflation, the fed will probably exchange the banks bonds with higher yields so they can manage deposits without anymore losses. While the repo market drains... At some point the buck stops and the CB runs out of options. 3hr daily macro micro weekly macro micro monthly
TVC:DXYLong
by Mikhiavelli
1
Navigating Interest Rates with Micro Yield Futures Pair TradingIntroduction to Yield Futures In the complex world of financial markets, Treasury Yield Futures offer investors a pathway to be exposed to changes in U.S. treasury yields. Among these instruments, the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures stand out due to their granularity and accessibility. These futures contracts reflect the market's expectations for the yields of U.S. Treasury securities with corresponding maturities. Micro 10-Year Yield Futures allow traders to express views on the longer end of the yield curve, typically influenced by factors like economic growth expectations and inflation. Conversely, Micro 2-Year Yield Futures are more sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate, making them a ideal for short-term interest rate movements. Why Pair Trading? Pair trading is a market-neutral strategy that involves taking offsetting positions in two closely related securities. This approach aims to capitalize on the relative price movements between the two assets, focusing on their correlation and co-integration rather than their individual price paths. In the context of Micro Treasury Yield Futures, pair trading between the 10-Year and 2-Year contracts offers a strategic advantage by exploiting the yield curve dynamics. By simultaneously going long on Micro 10-Year Yield Futures and short on Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (or vice versa), traders can hedge against general interest rate movements while potentially profiting from changes in the yield spread between these maturities. Analyzing the Current Market Conditions Understanding the current market conditions is pivotal for executing a successful pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. Currently, the interest rate environment is influenced by a complex interplay of economic recovery signals, inflation expectations, and central bank policies. Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates directly affects the yield of U.S. Treasury securities. For instance, a hawkish outlook, suggesting rate hikes, can cause short-term yields to increase rapidly. Long-term yields might also rise but could be tempered by long-term inflation control measures. Strategic Approach to Pair Trading These Futures Trade Execution and Monitoring To effectively implement a pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures, traders must have a solid plan for identifying entry and exit points, managing the positions, and understanding the mechanics of yield spreads. Here’s a step-by-step approach: 1. Identifying the Trade Setup Mean Reversion Concept: In this strategy, we utilize the concept of mean reversion, which suggests that the yield spread will revert to its historical average over time. To quantify the mean, we employ a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the spread between the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. This moving average serves as a benchmark to determine when the spread is significantly deviating from its typical range. Signal Identification using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI): To further refine our entry and exit signals, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is employed. The CCI helps in identifying cyclical turns in the spread. This indicator is particularly useful for determining when the spread has reached a condition that is statistically overbought or oversold. 2. Trade Execution: Going Long on One and Short on the Other: Depending on your analysis, you might go long on the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures if you anticipate the long-term rates will increase more relative to the short-term rates, or vice versa. Position Sizing: Determine the size of each position based on the volatility of the yield spreads and your risk tolerance. It's crucial to balance the positions to ensure that the trade remains market-neutral. Regular Review and adjustments: Regularly review the economic indicators and Fed announcements that could affect interest rates. Keep an eye on the spread for any signs that it might be moving back towards its mean or breaking out in a new trend. Contract Specifications To further refine our strategy, understanding the specific contract details of Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures is crucial: Micro 10-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 10Y1!) and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 2YY1!): Tick Value: Each tick (0.001) of movement is worth $1 per contract. Trading Hours: Sunday to Friday, 6:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. (New York time) with a 60-minute break each day beginning at 5:00 p.m. Initial Margin: Approximately $350 per contract, subject to change based on market volatility. Pair Margin Efficiency When trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures as a pair, traders can leverage margin efficiencies from reduced portfolio risk. These efficiencies lower the required capital and mitigate volatility impacts. The two charts below illustrate the volatility contrast: the Daily ATR of the yield spread is 0.033, significantly lower than the 0.082 ATR of the Micro 10-Year alone, nearly three times higher. This lower spread volatility underlines a core advantage of pair trading—reduced market exposure and potentially smoother, more predictable returns. Risk Management in Pair Trading Micro Yield Futures Effective risk management is the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, especially in pair trading where the goal is to mitigate market risks through balancing positions. Here are key risk management techniques that should be considered when pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures: 1. Setting Stop-Loss Orders: Pre-determined Levels: Establish stop-loss levels at the outset of the trade based on historical volatility, maximum acceptable loss, and the distance from your entry point. This helps in limiting potential losses if the market moves unfavorably. Trailing Stops: Consider using trailing stop-loss orders that move with the market price. This method locks in profits while providing protection against reversal trends. 2. Position Sizing and Leverage Control: Balanced Exposure: Ensure that the sizes of the long and short positions are balanced to maintain a market-neutral stance. This helps in minimizing the impact of broad market movements on the pair trade. Leverage Management: Be cautious with the use of leverage. Excessive leverage can amplify losses, especially in volatile market conditions. Always align leverage with your risk tolerance and market assessment. 3. Regular Monitoring and Adjustments: Adaptation to Market Changes: Be flexible to adjust or close the positions based on significant changes in market conditions or when the initial trading assumptions no longer hold true. 4. Utilizing Risk Management Tools: Risk Management Software: Set alerts on TradingView to help track the performance and risk level of your pair trades effectively. Backtesting: Regularly backtest the strategy against historical data to ensure it remains effective under various market conditions. This can also help refine the entry and exit criteria to better handle market volatility. Effective risk management not only preserves capital but also enhances the potential for profitability by maintaining disciplined trading practices. These strategies ensure that traders can sustain their operations and capitalize on opportunities without facing disproportionate risks. Conclusion Pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures offers traders a sophisticated strategy to exploit inefficiencies within the yield curve while mitigating exposure to broader market movements. This approach leverages the distinct characteristics of these two futures contracts, aiming to profit from the relative movements between long-term and short-term interest rates. Key Takeaways: Market Neutral Strategy: Pair trading is fundamentally a market-neutral strategy that focuses on the relative performance of two assets rather than their individual price movements. This can provide insulation against market volatility and reduce directional risk. Importance of Strategy and Discipline: Successful pair trading requires a disciplined approach to strategy implementation, from trade setup and execution to ongoing management and exit. Adhering to a predefined strategy helps maintain focus and objectivity in trading decisions. Dynamic Market Adaptation: The financial markets are continuously evolving, influenced by economic data, policy changes, and global events. A successful pair trader must remain adaptable, continuously analyzing market conditions and adjusting strategies as needed to align with the current economic landscape. Comprehensive Risk Management: Effective risk management is crucial in pair trading, involving careful consideration of position sizing, stop-loss settings, and regular strategy reviews. This ensures sustainability and longevity in trading by protecting against undue losses. By maintaining a disciplined approach and adapting to market changes, traders can harness the potential of Micro Treasury Yield Futures for strategic pair trading, balancing risk and reward effectively. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT_MINI:10Y1!Education
by traddictiv
4
Introducing another way to display volume profile sectionsHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- The indicators activated in the settings are those created by trading volume. Therefore, this indicator represents the volume profile section. The indicator that the arrow points to is the indicator I mentioned earlier. By looking at this indicator together with volume candles, you can more clearly identify the volume profile section and support and resistance sections. In addition, you can verify the start of trading by checking the movement of the BW indicator, which consists of five indicators, namely MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and superTrend indicators. BW-MACD, BW-StochRSI, BW-CCI, BW-PVT, and BW-superTrend indicators are displayed separately to help you understand the indicators. Once your trading timing has been selected, you need to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style. What is important in creating a trading strategy that suits your investment style is the investment period and investment size. Once the investment period and investment size have been decided, you must create a trading method and profit realization method using the information obtained from chart analysis. Trading methods include buying, selling, and stop loss methods. The purchase method should focus on how to lower the average purchase price by purchasing in installments. At that time, when the price falls below the stop loss point and shows resistance, you need to think about how to proceed with selling. When taking a stop loss, you must proceed according to the investment period you have set. For example, if you decide to trade within one wave as a short-term trade and proceed with the trade, but the price falls below the stop loss point, you should be able to sell 100% and then watch the situation. If the price rises after purchasing, you must proceed with selling according to the selling method. The selling method must also be carried out according to the investment period. However, the method of increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit by selling the amount equal to the purchase amount can be continued into mid- to long-term trading even if the transaction was done through day trading or short-term trading. The reason is that the average purchase price of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits is 0. If you add other indicators to help you conduct split transactions based on price fluctuations, the chart will look like the one above. If the chart is unfamiliar to your eyes, It is recommended to view only the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched. #BTCUSD 1M If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Potential Bitcoin Long on Weekly Stochastic RSI CrossoverBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a volatile period in recent months. However, a technical indicator on the weekly timeframe is sparking potential buying opportunities for long-term investors. This indicator is the Stochastic RSI, and a recent or upcoming bullish crossover could signal a reversal in the downtrend. Understanding the Stochastic RSI The Stochastic RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical momentum indicator that oscillates between 0 and 100. It measures the closing price of an asset relative to its price range over a specific period. In simpler terms, it indicates whether the asset is currently trading near the highs or lows of its recent price range. The Stochastic RSI consists of two lines: %K and %D. The %K line is the faster-moving average of the RSI, while the %D line is a slower-moving average of %K. A bullish crossover occurs when the %K line crosses above the %D line, suggesting a potential reversal from oversold conditions and a possible upswing in price. Why a Weekly Stochastic RSI Crossover Matters The weekly timeframe provides a broader perspective on price movements compared to daily or hourly charts. A bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI suggests a shift in momentum that could hold more weight than on shorter timeframes. This crossover can indicate that oversold conditions have been exhausted, and buyers are starting to take control. Current Bitcoin Situation and the Stochastic RSI By analyzing historical charts, we can see that the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin has fluctuated between oversold and overbought territories throughout its history. In previous instances, bullish crossovers on the weekly timeframe often coincided with periods of price accumulation and subsequent price increases. Is a Bullish Crossover Imminent? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, a potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin is an interesting development to watch. If the crossover materializes and is accompanied by other positive indicators, it could signal a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Important Considerations Before Going Long on Bitcoin • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Even with a bullish technical indicator, there's no guarantee of a sustained price increase. • Fundamental Analysis: Don't rely solely on technical indicators. Consider fundamental factors like regulations, adoption rates, and overall market sentiment when making investment decisions. • Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to limit potential losses. Bitcoin is a high-risk investment, and investors should only allocate a portion of their portfolio that they can afford to lose. Conclusion A potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin presents a glimmer of hope for long-term investors. However, it's crucial to remember that technical indicators are just one piece of the puzzle. A comprehensive investment strategy should also consider fundamental analysis and proper risk management. While the future remains uncertain, this technical development is worth keeping an eye on as Bitcoin continues to navigate a volatile market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
#DLINKINDIA is Near to Break Previous All Time High Company has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 28.0% CAGR over last 5 years Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.8% Strengths: Established market position and strong distribution network: D-Link is the market leader in switches and wireless local area network (WLAN) products, with a significant market share. In fiscal 2019, the company introduced a series of high-end products for its enterprise business, including unmanaged long-term power over ethernet (PoE)/PoE plus switches; new generation layer 3 stackable managed switches with advance hardware and software enhancements for better performance, flexibility and ease of management; and industrial grade switches. D-Link has invested in state-of-the-art support infrastructure for both consumers and enterprises, which includes 10 D-Link-owned service centres with more than 50 experts in tier 1 cities, over 23 partner service centres with more than 40 experts in tier 2 / tier 3 cities, partner collection points in more than 105 cities and logistical support in over 190 cities. D-Link Technical Support Centres (DTSC) are manned by over 30 highly skilled engineers providing L1 to L3 support for all retail and enterprise customers. Healthy financial risk profile: Networth was Rs 363 crore as on March 31, 2023, and is expected to increase over the medium term because of steady accretion to reserves and absence of debt repayment. Return on capital employed improved to 36% in fiscal 2023 as profitability increased. In the absence of any debt-funded capex, the financial risk profile is expected to remain healthy over the medium term. Weaknesses: Exposure to intense competition and risks inherent in the networking industry: D-Link mainly operates in the home and small and medium enterprise segments of the networking industry, where profitability is lower than that in the institutional sales segment. The latter is dominated by Cisco India and other new entrants. Profitability in the retail segment is constrained by intense competition and commoditised products. Susceptibility to volatility in input price and currency: Copper, the key input for manufacturing cables is an open market commodity traded globally on exchanges, leading to volatility in its prices. Furthermore, fluctuations in currency also impact profitability, as the company imports about 30% of its traded products. Complete and immediate passing on of cost increases is difficult given the competitive pressure. The company experiences lag of 45-60 days in passing on price hikes. Hence, the operating margin will remain susceptible to fluctuations in raw material prices and currency. D-Link hedges currency exposure up to 70% of the total exposure by entering forward contracts. Liquidity: Adequate Cash accrual, expected at Rs 65-75 crore in fiscals 2024 and 2025, will support liquidity in the absence of any capex or debt obligation. Unutilised bank limit of Rs 10 crore will be adequate to fund the company’s fixed expenses. Cash surplus is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
NSE:DLINKINDIALong
by iism-ExpertTrading
Gold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves SingGold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves Sing, But Can It Break Through? (XAU/USD Forecast) The price of gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential return to its upward climb after a brief consolidation period. This renewed bullish sentiment comes on the back of dovish signals from central banks and a key resistance level waiting to be breached. Central Banks Singing a Softer Tune The Bank of England (BoE) recently surprised markets by holding interest rates steady at 0.75%. This decision, coupled with a downward revision of inflation forecasts, suggests a more cautious approach from the central bank. The underlying message: interest rate hikes, which typically put downward pressure on gold prices, might be delayed. Across the pond, the Federal Reserve remains the center of attention this week. With key Fed speakers scheduled for Friday, investors are eagerly awaiting any clues regarding the future of monetary policy in the United States. A dovish tone from the Fed, hinting at a slower pace of interest rate hikes, could further bolster gold prices. Why is This Good News for Gold? Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge. When inflation rises, the value of traditional currencies like the US dollar erodes. As a result, investors turn to gold as a store of value, seeking to preserve their purchasing power. Additionally, higher interest rates typically translate into a stronger US dollar, making gold less attractive as an investment. Therefore, a scenario where central banks adopt a more cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy translates into two potential benefits for gold: • Lower inflation expectations: If inflation forecasts are revised downwards, the pressure on gold as an inflation hedge might lessen. However, gold's appeal as a store of value could still persist due to ongoing geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainties. • Slower interest rate hikes: A dovish Fed with a slower pace of rate hikes could weaken the US dollar, making gold a more attractive investment proposition. The $2,340 Hurdle: Can Gold Break Through? Despite the positive tailwinds from central banks, XAU/USD currently faces a critical resistance level at around $2,340. A decisive break above this level could signal a renewed uptrend for gold. Conversely, a failure to breach this resistance could lead to a period of consolidation or even a potential pullback. Technical Indicators Offer Mixed Signals Technical indicators on the daily chart paint a somewhat mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits around 57, indicating neither overbought nor oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also suggests a neutral outlook. However, a recent break above the 50-day SMA could be interpreted as a bullish sign. Looking Ahead: What Could Drive the Gold Price? Several factors beyond central bank decisions could influence the gold price in the coming weeks: • Geopolitical Tensions: Heightened geopolitical tensions or conflicts can trigger a flight to safety, driving investors towards gold. • Global Economic Data: Economic data releases, such as inflation reports or jobs numbers, can impact investor sentiment and influence the demand for gold. • US Dollar Strength: The strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role. A weakening dollar can benefit gold prices. Conclusion: A Potential Bullish Run on the Horizon The combination of dovish central bank signals and a key resistance level waiting to be tested creates an intriguing scenario for the gold price. While technical indicators remain somewhat neutral, the near-term outlook appears positive. However, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor economic data, geopolitical developments, and the US dollar's performance for a clearer picture of the gold market's direction. A decisive break above $2,340 could signal the start of a renewed bullish run for XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
#NHPC Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 49.5% The company is actively engaged in the construction of 15 Solar and Hydro Power Projects of 10449 MW Capacity (including JV & Subsidiaries). Total projects under clearance stood at 4112 MW and projects under survey stood at 4110 MW as on Dec’23. MOUs Company has signed a MoU on 3 Jan 2024 with GPCL for proposed investment of Rs.4000 Cr in Kuppa Pumped Storage Project (750 MW), Chhota Udaipur, Gujarat. Company signed an MOU with Govt. of Odisha through GRIDCO Limited on 23 Jun 2023 for Development of Pumped Storage Projects and Renewable Energy in the State of Odisha. It signed an MOU on 23 Aug 2023 with APGENCO for Implementation of Pumped Hydro Storage Projects and Renewable Energy Projects under Joint Venture Mode in Andhra Pradesh. The MOU envisages Implementation of two Identified Pumped Hydro Storage Projects namely Kamlapadu- 950 MW and Yaganti 1000 MW PSPs in the first phase. Focus Being a hydro power company shifting its focus toward the renewable energy segment as well. Out of 10499 MW capacity under construction 1135 MW is for Solar power. It has recently signed a contract to develop additional 2000 MW solar power capacity in Rajasthan. About 9090 MW Solar power capacity is under Tender and pipeline including as a Intermediary Procurer.
NSE:NHPCLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
Avalanche in 2024: Boom or Bust? Examining Analyst Predictions The cryptocurrency space is a whirlwind of predictions, with influencers and analysts vying for attention with bold claims about the future of various digital assets. One such case is Crypto Archie, a popular Twitter personality who recently made a bullish prediction for Avalanche (AVAX), a gaming-centric cryptocurrency. With AVAX experiencing a significant rise this year, the question remains: is Avalanche poised for an "explosion" in 2024? Avalanche's 2024 Trajectory: A Look at the Numbers Crypto Archie's prediction certainly piques investor interest. Avalanche has indeed made impressive strides in 2024, boasting a 158% year-to-date (YTD). This growth is a testament to the increasing adoption and potential of the Avalanche ecosystem. However, recent price fluctuations paint a slightly different picture. Trading around $35 at the time of writing, Avalanche seems to be experiencing a period of uncertainty. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a technical indicator used to gauge market momentum, currently sits around 52. This suggests a balanced market, with no clear indication of overselling or overbuying. This neutrality could be interpreted as a sign of consolidation before a potential breakout, but it also reflects investor hesitation. Technical Support and Resistance: A Range-Bound AVAX? Currently, Avalanche seems to be tethered between $30 and $34. This relatively narrow range indicates potential price fluctuations within these boundaries in the near future. While this might not align with Crypto Archie's vision of an "explosion," it doesn't necessarily negate the possibility of future growth. Beyond Predictions: The Strength of Avalanche's Technology While analyst predictions and price movements are important factors, they shouldn't be the sole basis for investment decisions. A crucial element to consider is the underlying technology powering the cryptocurrency. Avalanche boasts a unique architecture designed for scalability and speed, addressing some of the limitations plaguing older blockchains like Ethereum. Avalanche's platform allows for the creation of subnets, essentially customized blockchains for specific applications. This caters particularly to the gaming industry, where fast transaction speeds and scalability are paramount. Additionally, Avalanche's security relies on a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, which is considered more energy-efficient compared to Proof-of-Work (PoW) used by Bitcoin. These technological advantages position Avalanche as a strong contender in the burgeoning blockchain-powered gaming space. Increased adoption from game developers and players could fuel future price growth for AVAX. Investing in Avalanche: A Calculated Approach While Crypto Archie's prediction injects optimism, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with a healthy dose of skepticism. The market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact prices. Conducting thorough research beyond analyst predictions is crucial. Understanding the technology behind Avalanche, the competitive landscape, and the overall market trends is essential. Additionally, investors should consider their risk tolerance and develop a well-defined investment strategy before committing any capital. Avalanche in 2024: A Promising Future Built on Technology Whether Avalanche experiences an "explosion" in 2024 remains to be seen. However, its robust technology, focus on the booming gaming sector, and existing community support create a compelling case for its long-term potential. While short-term price movements may be uncertain, Avalanche's fundamentals offer a solid foundation for future growth. For investors, careful research, understanding individual risk tolerance, and building a balanced portfolio remain key to navigating the ever-evolving cryptocurrency landscape.
Long
by bryandowningqln
BTC 1D Showing major red flagsHey how's everyone doing? It's been a while but I'm going to keep this explanation brief as the chart is self explanatory. This is one of the strongest indications I look for when trying to predict price drops. The way the MACD and RSI look together right now shows very strong potential for a sharp drop. Keep in mind that this is the daily timeframe so it the move may not necessarily play out overnight but it is possible. Even though it is the weekend, I do feel its one of those rare weekends where we can possible see price movement. I do think there's some potential for a move higher in the short term as I've indicated here on the 4H timeframe. As long as BTC is below the 0.786 level on the chart (70K) there is strong potential for a 15%+ move to the downside IMO. I'd look for potential support in the lower 50K area (54K +/- 2K) Another possibility to look out for is a quick sharp drop that plays out very fast (within a day) creating a quick wick / bullish hammer candle which would be a strong bullish indicator on the daily chart for upside continuation. The point is the possibility for the move down before upside continuation is very high. As I've mentioned, Invalidation point would be a move above 70K. That's all for now. Take care & Trade safe.
Short
by Mboersma0324
4