Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
According to the analysis of the Bitcoin Daily Chart for October 25, the "Interim Rebound" in Bitcoin has successfully concluded the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It has subsequently retraced to the support level of 69400. This level represents the inverse of the previously completed Inner Coin Rally at 69400. We anticipate initiating a primary rebound, which is expected to support a recovery that will retest the Key Resistance at 73200. This movement will align with the completion of the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300 and may lead to further progression into the next phase of the bullish trend, designated as the Next Inner Coin Rally at 78500 and beyond. Conversely, we project a potential additional pullback to satisfy the criteria of the newly established Inner Coin Dip at 66200.
Macroeconomic Analysis And Trading Ideas
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
As stated in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of Oct 18, the Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' completed our Inner Coin Rally of 69300 and retreated to the Mean Support level of 66800 and interim squeeze extension of the Mean Support of 65300 in this week's trading session. Currently, we anticipate the onset of a primary rebound, which is expected to facilitate recovery and further advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend.
Eyes on BOE Gov speech It seems that a head and shoulders pattern is forming. If the speech by the Governor of the Bank of England regarding GBP suggests any acceleration in rate cuts, then we should definitely expect the completion of the head and shoulders pattern for this currency pair. In just a few minutes, we will be ready to trade this pair.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' rammed through our Mean Res 66300 and Inner Coin Rally 67000 and rested at our Mean Res 68500 in this week's trading session, and it is currently poised to hit Inner Coin Rally 69300. A breach of this critical price level will catalyze a movement towards the all-time prices marked as Key Res 73200 and the completed Main Inner Coin Rally 73300. However, on the downside, the interim bearish sentiment may lead to a decline in the coin's price value to the Mean Support level of 66800 and possibly the Mean Support of 65300. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The "Interim Squeeze" of Bitcoin has witnessed a significant decline to our Mean Support levels at 64400 and 63100, as well as the newly established 60200. On the upside, the cryptocurrency is approaching the critical Mean Resistance level of 64000. A breach of this pivotal level will trigger the movement to the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. Nevertheless, the prevailing market interim bearish sentiment anticipates a drop to the Mean Support level at 58000, with the potential for an extension to the Inner Coin Dip 55500 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
$EUIRYY -CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY (Eurozone Inflation Data; September/2024)
source: EUROSTAT
- Annual inflation rate in the Eurozone fell to 1.8% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in August and forecasts of 1.9%, preliminary estimates showed.
Inflation is now below the ECB target of 2%.
Prices fell much more for energy (-6% vs -3%) and inflation slowed for services (4% vs 4.1%) while prices for food, alcohol and tobacco increased slightly more (2.4% vs 2.3%).
Meanwhile, core inflation rate also eased to 2.7% from 2.8%.
Among the bloc's largest economies, inflation slowed in Germany (1.8% vs 2%), France (1.5% vs 2.2%), Italy (0.8% vs 1.2%), Spain (1.7% vs 2.4%).
The ECB expects inflation to rise again in the latter part of 2024, partly because previous sharp falls in energy prices will drop out of the annual rates.
Inflation should then decline towards 2% over the second half of 2025.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent weekly market activity, Bitcoin surpassed the completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 but encountered resistance before reaching the subsequent significant target, which was noted at 67000. However, the prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 64400, with the possibility of an extension before commencing the primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity demonstrated a resilient rebound from our Key Support level at 53000, surpassing the Mean Resistance levels at 56700 and 59700 and peaking at the newly established Mean Resistance level at 60500. Current market sentiment indicates a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 57300 before initiating the primary rekindled rebound and progressing into the second phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity witnessed a continued decline in the value of Bitcoin, leading to a significant drop and triggering a shift to our designated Key Support level of 54000. Current market sentiment indicates a potential recovery towards Mean Resistance 56700, possibly extending to Mean Resistance 59200. It is pertinent to acknowledge that persistent selling pressure at this stage could precipitate a further down towards the previously completed Interim Coin Dip 50000 before a resurgence occurs.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The "Primary Squeeze" of Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop to our Mean Support levels at 62700 and 60300, and it currently hovers just above the critical Mean Support level at 57600. Currently, the cryptocurrency is positioned for further upward movement, with the primary target being a retest of the completed Interim Coin Rally marked at 64900. It is noteworthy that the selling pressure at this level may lead to a decline in the coin's price towards the Key Support level at 54000.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 23, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has surpassed our Mean Resistance of 61700 and completed Interim Coin Rally 62200, finishing extended Interim Coin Rally 64900. Presently, the coin is positioned for further upward movement with a primary target of 68500 and a retest of our completed Main Inner Coin Rally 73200. The selling pressure at this level may cause the coin's price to decline toward the Mean Support level of 56600, possibly extending to the Mean Support level of 60300.
Will Gold Hit $3,000 with Fed Rate Cuts and Geopolitical Risks?Gold has outperformed the broader U.S. stock market this year, with analysts predicting further gains as the Federal Reserve nears rate cuts. Gold surged to a new record high of over $2,500 per ounce, and some experts forecast it could reach $3,000 next year. Key drivers include potential Fed easing, geopolitical uncertainties, and increased demand from central banks diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. As interest rates decline, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset continues to grow.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading, Bitcoin underwent a retest of our Mean Resistance level of 61700 and, subsequently, the Mean Support level of 57400, marking the completion of the Interim Coin Rally at 62600. The presence of intermediary selling pressure may lead to a decline in the coin's price action toward the Mean Support level of 56600, 54000 and potentially result in a retesting of the completed Interim Coin Dip at 50000. On the positive side, the overall trend remains optimistic, with a focus on retesting the completed Interim Coin Rally at 62600 and potential extensions to the Mean Resistance levels of 65500 and 68500, respectively.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin encountered a substantial decline during this week's trading session, reaching Mean Support 55800 and Key Support 53800, and subsequently retesting completed Outer Coin Dip 54000. The considerable selling pressure finalized Outer Coin Dip 51000 and major Key Support 50700. The overall upward trend remains ongoing, leading to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance 61700 and the completion of the Interim Coin Rally 62600. The potential extension towards Mean Resistance 65500 and 68500 holds significant promise for the forthcoming week's sessions. The likelihood of temporary downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 57400 exists before the coin resumes its upward trajectory.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin experienced a significant drop from an attempt to complete the Inner Coin Rally of 70400. However, the Mean Resistance 68200 was the main barrier during this week's trading session. The overall trend suggests a recovery towards Mean Resistance 65300, with a possible extension to Mean Resistance 68200 and Inner Coin Rally 70400. There may be interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 55800 before the coin resumes its up movement.
Implied volatility for USD/JPY spikes ahead of BOJ, FOMCThis time tomorrow we will finally know the outcome of the BOJ and FOMC meetings. Options traders clearly have it on their radar, as the 1-day implied volatility band has expanded to nearly 4x its usual range (defined with a 20-day average).
But with bets of a hike already accompanied with a much weaker yen, traders may also want to be on guard for the potential the hike is already priced in. Or that the BOJ don't hike at all. The latter scenario could also help USD/JPY bounce quite hard heading into the FOMC meeting, where a loss-dovish-than-expected Fed could send it higher still.
There is a support zone between 151.30 - 152 made up of several technical levels including a high-volume node, previous MOF intervention level and the 152 handle itself. Bulls could seek cheeky longs around such levels heading into the BOJ meeting and look to exit prior. Or hold on if they think the BOJ will disappoint (which they tend to do these days at their meetings). and that could see 152 act as a springboard.
However, the 151.30 - 152 zone could quickly turn into an opened trap door should the BOJ deliver the hawkish meeting alongside a dovish tone from the Fed that markets are so desperately seeking.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 26, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin exhibited significant down movement by reaching our Mean Support level at 64000 and subsequently rebounded strongly to retest our Mean Resistance level at 68200, as outlined in the Weekly Chart Analysis for the Week of July 19. The overall trend indicates progression toward the Inner Coin Rally at 70400, a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73200, and striding on to the anticipated long-term target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. It's important to note the initial downward pressure on the primary support at 65400 as the coin moves upward.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has consistently demonstrated an upward trend in the current week's trading, aligning with the projections outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of July 12. Both the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800 were not only reached but surpassed greatly. The overall trajectory is progressing towards the long-anticipated target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. Concurrently, two significant interim milestones have emerged: the Inner Coin Rally at 70400 and a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It is imperative to underscore the substantial downward primary squeeze pressure toward 64000, prevalent across all specified upper target levels.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Over the course of this week's trading, Bitcoin has continuously traded within the range of the completed Outer Coin Dip of 54000 and the Mean Resistance level at 57900. Our analysis anticipates a potential breakout from this fluctuation zone, implying upward movement toward the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and possibly further to the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800. It is important to note the presence of potential downward squeeze pressure at the specified target level.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has retraced to our pre-established completed Inner Coin Dip level of 59000, Outer Coin Dip of 57000, and current Outer Coin level of 54000. We anticipate a recovery from this landmark move, with a target to attain the Mean Resistance at 57900 and extend to the Mean Resistance at 60400. Conversely, our principal downside objectives encompass a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 54000 and potentially the subsequent Outer Coin Dip 51000.