Copper ~ Help Me Obi-China, You're My Only Hope (2H)CAPITALCOM:COPPER chart mapping/analysis.
Copper - off its October lows, yet still contending with global macro headwinds & China's difficulty in shaking off its deflationary economic funk..
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Prelim trading range = ~3.93 - ~3.73.
Under bearish pressure from 38.2% Fib rejections.
Bullish reaction to China/macro economic news = bounce off lower range of parallel channel (green) + 200SMA confluence support / break above 38.2% Fib / break above ~3.93 upper trading range.
Bullish extension target(s) = 50% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
Bearish reaction to China/macro economic news = break below ~3.73 lower trading range / lower range of parallel channel (green) / break underneath 200SMA, becoming dynamic resistance.
Bearish extension target(s) = 23.6% Fib / lower range of descending parallel channel (light blue).
CFD
USDCHF - Getting Over-Sold❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on Daily: Left Chart
USDCHF has been bearish trading inside the falling red channel. However it is currently approaching a strong daily support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: Right Chart
For bullish momentum to prevail and trigger our buy setup, a break above the recently highlighted grayed high is necessary.
Meanwhile , USDCHF would be bearish and can still trade lower to test the lower bound of the daily support. In this case we will be looking for new buy setups.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
US100 ~ November TA Outlook V2 (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis V2.
Always good practice to revisit your chart(s) after couple days with a refreshed perspective, to determine whether your initial TA has complimented developing price action, or your drawings need to be updated/overhauled.
Revisit updates:
Re-adjusted ascending parallel channel (green line) + highlighted middle trend-line (white dashed) to emphasize potential resistance of breakout price action
Extended descending trend-line (light blue dotted) to connect pivot points from Nov 2021 Dec 2021 peaks
Remaining TA drawings have held up so far, TBC.
US500 ~ November TA Outlook (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US500 chart mapping/analysis.
Ripping bounce off lower range of descending parallel channel (white) into upper range of Golden Fib Ratio (66% Fib / ~4370).
TBC consolidation/retracement for further bullish momentum to re-test upper range of parallel channel, or bearish continuation of downward trend.
Gold - was, is and will always be our Safe Haven!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on Daily: Left Chart
After rejecting the 1800.0 support, Gold has been bullish especially after breaking above 1900.0.
Currently, XAUUSD is sitting around a strong resistance in green.
For the bulls to remain in control, we need a break above 1960.0.
📈 In this case, a movement till the 2000.0 round number would be expected.
on H1: Right Chart
Meanwhile, the bears can still kick in. To be confirmed if the last low in gray at 1934.0 is broken downward around.
📉 In this case, we will be expecting a correction till the 1900.0 support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold - Real gold is not afraid of the melting pot 🪔Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last picture and video analysis (attached on the chart), we have been looking for buy setups around the lower bound of the channel.
This week, XAUUSD rejected the lower blue trendline and round number 1800, and traded higher.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone 1900.0 is a previous major low and round number.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange previous major low and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
As per my trading style:
As XAUUSD approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DXY/USD ~ Flat Bottom Pattern + Inverse H&S (15min)TVC:DXY developing flat bottom pattern after rejecting upper parallel channel + potential inverse H&S pattern, TBC.
Inverse H&S Playbook (Long):
- Break above 200MA/38.2% Fib/descending trend-line confluence
- Reject 50% Fib/overhead supply (white box) confluence then bounce off 38.2% Fib to create the "Right Shoulder"
- Re-test & break (hold) above overhead supply confluence to activate inverse H&S pattern
- TP 1st target = ~107.70-108 21st Nov 2022 wick top/supply (red box)
Inverse H&S breakout also coincides w/ break above ascending parallel channel.
Flat Bottom Bear Break Playbook (Short):
- Break below horizontal "Flat Bottom" line to re-test middle trend-line (dark blue/dashed)
- Failed re-test of Flat Bottom &/or middle trend-line validates Bearish price action
- Moving averages (esp. 200MA) act as dynamic resistance, pushing price action towards lower parallel channel
- TP 1st target = ~106-105.70 (green box)
Crude Oil ~ 4H Swing V2 (Sept-Oct)Updated 30/09/23:
- Revised up-trending parallel (green)
- Added down-trending/consolidation parallel (white)
- Added horizontal lines (yellow/dashed) to mark upper/lower range (94.239-87.829)
Everything else stays the same (chartist holy grail lol).
Notes:
- Further write-up on Daily Swing V2 Chart
- Faded out longer TF parallel lines (light blue)
TradingView has a sh*tty chart bug where any trend-lines drawn on longer TF become misaligned when you switch to shorter TFs.
Temporary workaround = set "Opacity" on affected lines to "0%" before publishing & restore afterwards so you don't have to manually erase/re-draw...just remember where you drew them to begin with lol.