CFD
US30 - Uptrend intact. Iran sanctions minorTrump exaggerated seriousness of sanctions against Iran. Considering that 80% of Iran's economy crippled by existing sanctions, new sanctions announced by Trump yesterday were aimed at heads of the Republic. Market reacted positively (as it's not a war), shooting up toward 26830.
Right now we are in range trading which will probably last until Monday, pending trade war negotiations with Xi.
Personally, I'm long from 26750 with SL at 26730. We are clearly still within ascending channel and prior to G20 might test ATH at 26900 with high probability as there is no negative news on the horizon.
-=Never give up=-
US30 - Sanctions on Iran, another chance to bearsAs always, Trump likes it to make important decision while markets closed or on weekends. This is market manipulation, probing waters with airstrikes days earlier and calling the off shortly after. Now we need to dump or release some bullish pressure to go to ATH or 3000 SPX.
This is not trade war with China, hence I don't anticipate any huge down movement at the open on Sunday. My scalp position will be set to 26515 with SL at 26460. We shall see tomorrow.
-=Never give up=-
OIL - A Little Throwback?!Oil tanker explosions, Iran admitted shooting down a US drone, crude inventories decrease - those are probably the major reasons why USOIL has made a pretty solid climb upwards.
It has climbed into a pretty interesting area where we can make a short-term SELL:
1. Previously worked support levels has become resistance.
2. Fibonacci Extensions
3. Fibonacci Retracements
4. 2006 Low (not so significant but still, one yearly low has been in this area)
5. AB=CD - D point is on the marked blue box.
6. The price has got a rejection from those levels and the rejection has ended with a bearish candlestick pattern called Evening Star, not a perfect because the previous two candles have been a bit tiny ones but the idea remains still the same.
On the top, we have also a Shooting Star and after that, the selloff has been pretty decent.
Do your own research and if this matching with mine then you are ready to go!
Please, take a second and support my idea post by hitting the "LIKE" button, it is my only fee from You!
Best regards,
Vaido
Corn/USD Bearish Divergence- Corn have an exponential growth recent month. but i expect a consolidation after it hit the 2.618 fib line(golden ratio fib) area just like in 29 may 2019.
- Bearish Divergence sighted but it could be negated if the indicators could rise in a same level as a previous level high.
- expect a golden ratio fib, EMA and SMA as a potential support and resistance line.
peace.
DAX30 CFD about to enter bearish seasonal window–but the Fed...As we enter the start of the trading week the economic calendar is quite thin, so our focus will be on the technical and seasonal aspects of the DAX30 CFD.
From a purely technical perspective, the DAX30 CFD can be considered range-bound on an hourly time-frame between 12,050 and 12,220 points. The bearish tendency into the last weekly close gives the neutral picture a bearish touch, and a sustainable break below 12,050 points would likely be followed by a dynamic test of the region around 12,000 points, a drop below activates 11,900/930 points.
This bearish touch is underlined by a bearish seasonal window beginning today: over the last 21 years, the DAX lost in 16, or 76% of the cases 187 points between the June 17-25. In the other 5 years, the DAX gained on average only 48 points with a maximum drawdown of only 144 points.
But with the Fed rate decision coming on Wednesday and current rising speculation of a equity-friendly rate cut - which is probably also the reason for the dynamic break to new yearly highs in Gold last Friday - we consider anticipating a break lower in the DAX30 CFD to be too aggressive, and favour a short entry only if we get to see a clear, clean, sustainable break below 12,050 points:
Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GOLD/USD Is Looking BullishGold/USD is moving inside the ascending triangle Pattern and held above the current up trendline in weekly chart.
Recently it hit an upper line of the resistance. If the price action do retrace, I assume the current up trendline or fibonacci line would be a good bounce in price action and buy opportunity.
Indicators:
Macd line cross over with signal line for bullish signal for gold/usd. Histogram for buyer is also continue to building up.
DMI+ is above DMI- which current trend is bullish.DMX is still relatively weak (below 25).
please take this idea as a grain of salt as reality always differ from what i expect as this post merely just an opinion.
and please feel free to share what your thought on comment section.
peace.
dax - pullback sur triangle ascendant cassure haussière du triangle ascendant
en attente d’un pullback sur la précédente résistance vers 12 120
le marché est en configuration acheteuse :
le scénario le plus probable est donc une continuation de la tendance haussière
il faut surveiller de possibles opportunités acheteuses !
Gold/USD updateOn the weekly chart.. Price action is all above the Moving averages.
From DMI also look bullish, DMI+ spikes up above DMI- indicate a bullish trend. Keep in mind that DMX is still below 25 which is very low momentum strength for now.
it also possible it would broke the short term trendline within the symmetrical triangle and retest the yellow trendline below.
see the price value for the expected support also resistance.
DMI
As long the price action above the trend line extending yellow line. i think it will doing just fine.
this chart invalidated once it broke the yellow trendline or prolonged sideway
Peace.,
Intraday triangle Got in the breakout of the intraday triangle. The market is around the important support on D chart ~2650. Attempted to catch some significant correction up. Correction happened but not as big as I expected, should've just aimed for 1:3 R/R. My stop loss was under local lows of the triangle and the profit target is around the low on November 16.
(posted post factum)
Corn/USD Bounce UpLooks bullish.. looking forward a retracement into +- 4 $ or emas line after it's challenging the resistance at $ 4.28
Indicator looks bullish, volume is rising rapidly.
DMI : +DMI is rising and -DMI is dropping hard creating a huge range between them, bullish also DMX is rising too.. bullish momentum is increasing
Macd : buy histogram is higher than the previous high.. bullish sign so far.
Volume MA is rising
S&P 500 Pulling Back after Tariffs | $USD $SPX500After Trump announced more tariffs on China we can see that the S&P 500 has propped down quite strongly, hitting a solid support at 2860. We can also see that the drop was caused buy a very solid multiple to rejection.
Is this pullback a setup to Blow past our double top or will it continue to consolidate in it's current zones?
BrentCrude Oil. Turning up now. Note: If you like trends, you'll like oil. When oil trends, there is no limit. It can trend for a VERY long time.
Trading Criteria:
Regardless which way you want to trade, look for minimum five 4hr. candles in consolidation zones (yellow border boxes), or five daily candles for solid yellow boxes. If you're a pattern trader or pinbar trader, this might be useful here.
Wait for a significant breakout of the 4hr. consolidation or daily consolidation from red border boxes to take the trade. Red border boxes are the High/Low of a consolidation period inside the consolidation zone. I usually aim for 80% of the weekly ATR (or monthly ATR for yellow solid boxes) taking profit but not always at the next yellow box. I place my stop loss above/below red border box.
*These zones, with the inclusion of price action described above, have remarkable accuracy.
Yellow border box: weekly consolidation zone
Yellow solid box: monthly consolidation zone
Red border box: High/Low breakout box (5 minimum candles)