NDX100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: NDX100 (NASDAQ)
Pattern – Continuation.
Support – 15,765
Resistance – 16,115, 16,085
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at NDX100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if NDX100 will continue to move higher after starting to break out of a range consolidation pattern. When these patterns are seen in uptrends, we tend to look at them as continuation patterns with a new breakout higher confirming the pattern.
We have run over what we are watching and things we want to see to confirm a new leg higher or things that could set some alarm bells for a potential fail or continued consolidation.
After Friday's higher-than-expected jobs data, the NDX100 started to confirm a breakout. Price is close but hasn't yet broken out, and resistance remains in play.
Will buyers shake off a weaker start to the week and push the price into a new up leg?
Good trading.
Cfdtrading
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout, Continuation.
Support – 1988, 1937.60
Resistance – 2018.50, 2050.45
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if Gold will contnue to move higher after yesterday's breakout. We have run over all the signals we see confirming the possibility of higher prices. We have also broken down higher resistance levels that we would like to see tested to maintain our thoughts and things to watch out for in case we see a new pullback from weekly highs.
What do you think? Could we see a new test of 2050 if the USD continues to trade lower?
Good trading.
ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisPattern – Continuation HL
Support – 7035
Resistance – 7100
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at ASX200 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the ASX200 will confirm a continuation price pattern we are watching develop on the daily price chart. Buyers look okay after holding support and forming a bullish bar in today's session. The worry is the fade we are seeing. If the price fails to hold above yesterday's open, that's also a worry.
Other than that, we have the MA pointing up with an LH and a support hold after the new leg higher breakout, all showing buyer support. Let's see if we can see a confirmation bar on Monday if we get a trigger bar today.
Good trading.
US Russell 2000 RTY ~ Ping Pong Perpetuity (Daily Chart)CAPITALCOM:RTY chart mapping/analysis.
Russell 2000 still stuck within trading range despite recent rallies across major US indices.
What's on the chart:
Ascending parallel channel (light blue) captures upward trend over multi-decade timeframe
Descending parallel channel (white) frames downward trend from upper to lower range (multi-decade) parallel channel
Horizontal lines (yellow dashed) locks in trading range (June 2022 to present)
Descending trend-line (light blue dotted) highlights pivot support points
Fibonnaci levels establishes key supply/demand zones
Short-medium term outlook:
Neutral-bearish
RTY remains in " Ping Pong Perpetuity " until breakout on either side of trading range
200DMA acting as dynamic resistance, exerting downward pressure
Bullish reversal = rally above 200DMA to switch trend & test upper trading range
UK100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: UK100
Pattern – LH decline
Support – 7375 - 7250
Resistance – 7466 - 7710
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the UK100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the UK100 will continue to move lower after setting up a few beach technical signs. What do you think about the reasons presented in today's video update? Are the lower highs after the trend break and failed rally yesterday a new momentum shift to sellers in the short term?
We continue to look at major index influences and watch today's UK GDP. If buyers are able to reverse today's selling and break the 7466 resistance, this will cancel out this sell idea.
Good trading.
US100 ~ November TA Outlook V2 (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis V2.
Always good practice to revisit your chart(s) after couple days with a refreshed perspective, to determine whether your initial TA has complimented developing price action, or your drawings need to be updated/overhauled.
Revisit updates:
Re-adjusted ascending parallel channel (green line) + highlighted middle trend-line (white dashed) to emphasize potential resistance of breakout price action
Extended descending trend-line (light blue dotted) to connect pivot points from Nov 2021 Dec 2021 peaks
Remaining TA drawings have held up so far, TBC.
US500 ~ November TA Outlook (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US500 chart mapping/analysis.
Ripping bounce off lower range of descending parallel channel (white) into upper range of Golden Fib Ratio (66% Fib / ~4370).
TBC consolidation/retracement for further bullish momentum to re-test upper range of parallel channel, or bearish continuation of downward trend.
GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.
NAS100 DAILY ANALYSIS After taken liquidity of the buy side of this week and fill FVG we will see a continuation of down trend to taken liquidity sell side and fill FVG of up trend so that's just a retaracement we are still in brearish move.
-- Tading is probability control your risk management.
Good luck !
DXY/USD ~ Flat Bottom Pattern + Inverse H&S (15min)TVC:DXY developing flat bottom pattern after rejecting upper parallel channel + potential inverse H&S pattern, TBC.
Inverse H&S Playbook (Long):
- Break above 200MA/38.2% Fib/descending trend-line confluence
- Reject 50% Fib/overhead supply (white box) confluence then bounce off 38.2% Fib to create the "Right Shoulder"
- Re-test & break (hold) above overhead supply confluence to activate inverse H&S pattern
- TP 1st target = ~107.70-108 21st Nov 2022 wick top/supply (red box)
Inverse H&S breakout also coincides w/ break above ascending parallel channel.
Flat Bottom Bear Break Playbook (Short):
- Break below horizontal "Flat Bottom" line to re-test middle trend-line (dark blue/dashed)
- Failed re-test of Flat Bottom &/or middle trend-line validates Bearish price action
- Moving averages (esp. 200MA) act as dynamic resistance, pushing price action towards lower parallel channel
- TP 1st target = ~106-105.70 (green box)
ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: ASX200
Pattern – Support/ Regular Divergence
Support – 6885
Resistance – 7000 - 7070
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over ASX200, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
Interest today starts from the support hold we are watching from 6885. This lines up with the bottom of the overall range. We can also see regular divergence forming with price holding at this support point. This could set off a new rally that could get back up to test 7000.
If this level of support breaks and price closes below, this could break the range and set off a new overall downtrend. Are stocks a bit oversold at this point? Keep in mind we have US employment data due out this Friday.
Have a great day and good trading.
Crude Oil ~ 4H Swing V2 (Sept-Oct)Updated 30/09/23:
- Revised up-trending parallel (green)
- Added down-trending/consolidation parallel (white)
- Added horizontal lines (yellow/dashed) to mark upper/lower range (94.239-87.829)
Everything else stays the same (chartist holy grail lol).
Notes:
- Further write-up on Daily Swing V2 Chart
- Faded out longer TF parallel lines (light blue)
TradingView has a sh*tty chart bug where any trend-lines drawn on longer TF become misaligned when you switch to shorter TFs.
Temporary workaround = set "Opacity" on affected lines to "0%" before publishing & restore afterwards so you don't have to manually erase/re-draw...just remember where you drew them to begin with lol.