Bitcoin: is price set to get cheaper or.....?Today's focus: BTCUSD
Pattern – Range, seller test.
Support – 62,000 area
Resistance – 73,000 area
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at BTC on the daily.
With sellers continuing to check buyers, it continues to look like we could see a new move at support. But for now, buyers continue to hold firm from around the 62,000 area.
We have run over a few scenarios. Could we see a move-through support to test the next lower Fibb point? Or will we see support contnue to hold the current range pattern?
Good trading.
Cfdtrading
Oil: Thoughts and analysis Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Continuation?
Support – 85.38
Resistance – 87.37
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at oil on the daily.
After a surge from the USD caught a lot of attention yesterday, we are watching oil after it rejected a push lower by sellers and continues to hold in a potential continuation type set-up.
Do you think that price is showing signs of a continuation? Could a close above yesterday's high signal a new move higher that could test resistance at 87.37?
Watch out for a new move lower that tests the 85.50 area, as that could be a sign that sellers have more numbers than first thought.
Good trading.
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Price Breakdown Pre-CPI
Today's focus: Nasdaq
Pattern – Range
Support – 17,832
Resistance – 18,355
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily.
Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish?
Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on the CPI and minutes front maintain buyer control?
We have run over the primary levels and are currently holding the price. Depending on what we see from the CPI, could we see a new break that is lower or higher? Traders also have to be aware of false breakouts.
Good trading.
#US500 maybe we are dealing with topThe US500 index has been rising within a rising wedge pattern since January 17th. However, this strong bullish trend has begun to show signs of losing momentum as overlapping waves develop.
Overlapping waves are a key indicator of a potential reversal, signaling a loss of momentum. Additionally, the rising wedge pattern itself is a powerful reversal pattern.
The combination of diminishing momentum and the breakout below the rising wedge suggests that the bullish trend may be coming to an end, at least temporarily, and we could anticipate a bearish correction.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation range
Support – 38,550
Resistance – 39,165
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 daily.
Yesterday's CPI didn't cause any serious moves but did show that inflation remains stubborn. Today, we have run over what we are watching on the US30 and the current main levels that are forming a price pattern.
Will we see a new test and break of resistance, or could we be in for further consolidation?
Good trading.
BTC EFT Update and US30 Analysis. Today's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation / ascending triangle pattern.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 37,770
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Crypto had a mainly higher but, in some cases, muted response to news that BTC ETFs will become a reality. We have run over some of the news and moves since yesterday.
The US30 is today's chart, and we are seeing a similar situation to what we discussed in yesterday's ETH update. ETH was one of the better-performing majors after the news hit yesterday.
The US30 sits in a continuation pattern that's inside a consolidation pattern. Buyer momentum remains firm today after yesterday's rally, and we are looking at tonight's CPI data. If CPI remains unchanged or surprises the downside, we will look for further upside on the US30. If it comes in hotter than expected, this could turn the price lower from resistance or above, depending on where price is later tonight.
US CPI data is due at 12:30 am ADET Friday.
Good trading.
Gold's Maintenance of Record Levels - Following Trend - TADear Esteemed Members,
Gold holds record levels, as the price is above its moving averages and the upper Bollinger band, indicating a strong bullish trend and a high volatility. The price could update the previous high in a wave y, and reach $2100 soon. RSI, stochastic, and OBV, to confirm the validity and strength of the trend.
Kind Regards,
Ely
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-FOMCToday's focus: US30
Pattern – N/A
Support – 36,280
Resistance – 36,900
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at US30 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if US30 will continue to track higher despite being well off its moving average. This can be a warning if you believe in mean revision. The other point we are looking at in today's report is whether we will see a stall at resistance and previous highs if the price continues to increase.
A key driver could be tomorrow's FOMC; traders will be looking to see if rates remain on hold as expected and what we will hear from the FED in the statement and projections. Ideas are that we could see an end to aggressive rate policy, and what could be coming next?
If it's dovish, we will look for stocks to rally; if it's hawkish, we will look for stocks to decline. Expectations are already in for May rate cuts to be priced in. Will we hear anything from the Fed to substantiate this?
The FOMC will be held at 6:00 am AEDT, and the FOMC press conference will be held at 6:30 am Thursday.
Good trading.
NDX100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: NDX100 (NASDAQ)
Pattern – Continuation.
Support – 15,765
Resistance – 16,115, 16,085
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at NDX100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if NDX100 will continue to move higher after starting to break out of a range consolidation pattern. When these patterns are seen in uptrends, we tend to look at them as continuation patterns with a new breakout higher confirming the pattern.
We have run over what we are watching and things we want to see to confirm a new leg higher or things that could set some alarm bells for a potential fail or continued consolidation.
After Friday's higher-than-expected jobs data, the NDX100 started to confirm a breakout. Price is close but hasn't yet broken out, and resistance remains in play.
Will buyers shake off a weaker start to the week and push the price into a new up leg?
Good trading.
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout, Continuation.
Support – 1988, 1937.60
Resistance – 2018.50, 2050.45
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at Gold on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if Gold will contnue to move higher after yesterday's breakout. We have run over all the signals we see confirming the possibility of higher prices. We have also broken down higher resistance levels that we would like to see tested to maintain our thoughts and things to watch out for in case we see a new pullback from weekly highs.
What do you think? Could we see a new test of 2050 if the USD continues to trade lower?
Good trading.
ASX200: Thoughts and AnalysisPattern – Continuation HL
Support – 7035
Resistance – 7100
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at ASX200 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the ASX200 will confirm a continuation price pattern we are watching develop on the daily price chart. Buyers look okay after holding support and forming a bullish bar in today's session. The worry is the fade we are seeing. If the price fails to hold above yesterday's open, that's also a worry.
Other than that, we have the MA pointing up with an LH and a support hold after the new leg higher breakout, all showing buyer support. Let's see if we can see a confirmation bar on Monday if we get a trigger bar today.
Good trading.
US Russell 2000 RTY ~ Ping Pong Perpetuity (Daily Chart)CAPITALCOM:RTY chart mapping/analysis.
Russell 2000 still stuck within trading range despite recent rallies across major US indices.
What's on the chart:
Ascending parallel channel (light blue) captures upward trend over multi-decade timeframe
Descending parallel channel (white) frames downward trend from upper to lower range (multi-decade) parallel channel
Horizontal lines (yellow dashed) locks in trading range (June 2022 to present)
Descending trend-line (light blue dotted) highlights pivot support points
Fibonnaci levels establishes key supply/demand zones
Short-medium term outlook:
Neutral-bearish
RTY remains in " Ping Pong Perpetuity " until breakout on either side of trading range
200DMA acting as dynamic resistance, exerting downward pressure
Bullish reversal = rally above 200DMA to switch trend & test upper trading range
UK100: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: UK100
Pattern – LH decline
Support – 7375 - 7250
Resistance – 7466 - 7710
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the UK100 on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if the UK100 will continue to move lower after setting up a few beach technical signs. What do you think about the reasons presented in today's video update? Are the lower highs after the trend break and failed rally yesterday a new momentum shift to sellers in the short term?
We continue to look at major index influences and watch today's UK GDP. If buyers are able to reverse today's selling and break the 7466 resistance, this will cancel out this sell idea.
Good trading.
US100 ~ November TA Outlook V2 (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis V2.
Always good practice to revisit your chart(s) after couple days with a refreshed perspective, to determine whether your initial TA has complimented developing price action, or your drawings need to be updated/overhauled.
Revisit updates:
Re-adjusted ascending parallel channel (green line) + highlighted middle trend-line (white dashed) to emphasize potential resistance of breakout price action
Extended descending trend-line (light blue dotted) to connect pivot points from Nov 2021 Dec 2021 peaks
Remaining TA drawings have held up so far, TBC.
US500 ~ November TA Outlook (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:US500 chart mapping/analysis.
Ripping bounce off lower range of descending parallel channel (white) into upper range of Golden Fib Ratio (66% Fib / ~4370).
TBC consolidation/retracement for further bullish momentum to re-test upper range of parallel channel, or bearish continuation of downward trend.
GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.