Silver is Next to Rally After Gold Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold.
Video discussion:
1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being
2. Why Gold and Silver always move in tandem over the long-term?
3. Is there a bond crisis ahead?
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: CG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Silver Futures & Options
Ticker: SI
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00
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CG
Short on Private Equity - BXA lot of people are thinking that this bear market is already in it's later innings. If anything, it's probably the opposite given that inflation has not yet broken, employment may only be starting to see it's cyclical decline, etc.
Private equity has been heavily levered during this cycle, and in general has dumped gobs of $ into shit investments (see the amount of private equity $ flowing into crypto junk over the past 2 years for example) that will eventually need to be marked down. Private equity has long been very pro-cyclical, and as the bear shifts into a proper more traditional recession, the publicly traded PE giants should all fall in tandem. Some will get hurt worse than others - picking BX here simply since it's the largest. Other targets include firms like $KKR, $CG $APO, $OWL, or you can even just short the etf $PSP.
AS of today (11/14/2022), a lot of these have retested top ends of bearish ranges and are getting smacked back down. With a big opex and things relatively pinned, I think there is still good opportunity through November to get good positions short of these, but I still think there will be chop for at least a little bit.
THE TOP WAVE STRUCTURE AND CYCLE PEAK DUE NOWTHIS is the Top wave structure as stated back about 10 days ago a cycle peak due sept 10/12 I would now look for another drop into the 9/15 /16 and then the LAST RALLY BEFORE THE CRASH Panic cycle as stated in 12/28/ 2021 forecast OCT 4TH TO THE 20TH FOCUS 10/10 PANIC AND ???
CG and TROW charts MOVE TO 100 % net long wave C rally The other day I covered ALL short and all puts as the market reached a very very over sold level in just 5 trading days I made a PROFIT based on the move from 90 to 110 % short at 4244 to 4285 area and took the profit . simple reason the MCO model was at a level I could not be short in fact I went long 25 % at 4130 and now moved that to75 % net long 4150 NO stop I also moved to a 100 % net long the other day in CG at 33.50 even .I am looking for a wave C up or a 2 but tend to view this drop as wave B down . I have had major spiral s 3 point to a top due 16 th to 25 of aug
E/G CG GARTLEY LONGWhat is a CG gartley (Chameleon Gartley)? well it is a gartley modified for a symmetrical ab=cd completion point. In this scenario is an A to B retracment of 0.707, the reciprocal of .707 is 1.141. A completion at 1.141 will give a equal ab=cd pattern also giving a better RR than traditional Gartley.
I take no credit for this pattern I learned it from Thomas Brandon.
Multiple Indicators, S/R, and Sentiment for EURUSD Long positionEURUSD has been consolidating the past few days. I believe it will continue to push upward for 3 reasons:
1. Support has been found at the ~1.13500 level on the 4H and Daily time frames.
2. iTrend has given reliable bullish signals since mid-February.
3. Trading View's built-in sentiment analysis is heavily bullish on the 4H and lower. This affects trader psychology greatly and I think it is a nice form of minor confirmation.
I rely on the iTrend on high timeframes to determine overall direction.
I then use the Laguerre RSI & Fisher Stochastic Center of Gravity for successful entry points.
I'm hoping to enter around 1.1379 (red dotted line) and ride out ~70 pips profit.
Gold Miners Run Up to Key ResistanceGold mining stocks have been trending higher, along with the overall U.S. equity market, of late. The recent support in gold prices allowed the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) a strong close last week, pushing 15 percent off the November 18 low.
Gold mining stocks really get a pass from traders, and it is still early to determine whether the move will last or not. And, this could depend largely on whether or not the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy for the first time since 2006. If the Fed does hike rates, gold prices could suffer.
Currently, GDX has been able to close around the 50 percent Fib. retracement on the October 15 high. The daily candle closed near the top of its range on strong volume. The ADX is ticking upwards with a concurrent upward movement in + DMI, and this can garner stronger upside potential.
Conversely, the GDX could see resistance at the 50 percent Fib. level, which also coincides with trend resistance (broken support). A reversal at current levels could send the mining ETF $14.20/00, while deeper price support lies at $13.38.
Further upside momentum would cause the GDX to test the larger, downside trend line between $15.50 and $15.75. If the Fed fails to hike rates in a mere week, the GDX will retest the 200-daily EMA.
Stock pickers could find undervalued gems in the mining space. Meera Shawn, Market Realist, points out that some miners have down quite well this year: Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), up 11.2 percent; Centerra Gold (CG), up 31.2 percent and Alacer Gold (ASR), up 8.4 percent versus a 23 percent decline in GDX as a whole. It is important when choosing commodity producers to look for strong balance sheets and low operation costs. This helps producers whether pricing declines
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Carlyle Group AB=CD bearish setup $CG setting up for massive short potential after a viscous gap fill attempt/C completion at .707. Remaining neutral until the short term trend line is violated and momentum indicators turn bearish.. Potential daily death cross on the horizon will aid the downslide flight to 1.41 BC projection at D.