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Chamath

$CLOV Bearish Channels Breakout upward Incoming$CLOV was consolidating after a retracement down. After consolidation and approaching the edge of a wedge indicating a big movement. They were unexpectedly the target of a short sellers report which caused the movement to continue downward. With a well articulated rebuttal the doc was able to rally and bounce back up. We appear to be at the bottom of a bearish channel and will likely retrace back up in the near future a short squeeze caused by any positive catalyst will likely break the channel upward allowing us to retrace upward towards the $14 area. With February 19th options expiring I expect the retracement to happen soon after.
NASDAQ:CLOVLong
by iamphatboy
SPACs research - 18 January 2021 - looking for SPACs under $11Today I am exclusively looking for SPACs that are as close as possible to $10 (also known as 'NAV') and have quality teams. Not fussy about what stage they're at in the process. $CRHC - Cohn Robbins Holdings Corp * currently searching, not targeting specific industry * solid team: Cohn former director of National Economic Council (NEC) and ex Goldman Sachs COO * chart currently at local resistance-support flip Verdict: watch for entry, take 1/3 position for long hold $ATAC - Altimore Acquisition Corp * definitive agreement in place * Owl Rock and Dyal Capital merging to form 'Blue Owl' * currently trading in a tight range between NAV and resistance ($12) Verdict - solid - question if range will break up or down in short term - set bids here and in the 10 - 10.5 region. $DEH - D8 Holdings * currently searching - consumer space * good team - former Macys, Estee Lauder, CAA * chart is a steady uptrend, but still near NAV Verdict - this one is being quietly accumulated, and the market's sleeping on it - nice one to take small position.
C
by theponzimaster
2
$SPCE How To Best Position Yourself For Future DevelopmentsThis is a follow-up post from my previous $SPCE analysis on October 4th titled "$SPCE Love Space Travel, But You May Want To Wait Before Buying". Technical Analysis In my previous post, when $SPCE was priced at $20.77 before the moon towards the October 20th's Highs of $24.36, I talked about how at that point in time, $SPCE had 2 unfilled gaps at $24.02 and $16.43 respective, despite having a history of closing any of its gaps. Within that post, I also gave 2 possible scenarios that I foresaw would occur leading up to the October 22nd's window opening for Virgin Galactic's next crewed spaceflight test. If you are interested to see what exactly my previous analysis was about, you can refer to my previous post which I have linked down below in the 'Related Ideas' section. Update 1: Since the post on October 4th, we saw $SPCE prices staying above the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern after breaking out of it and re-testing the Slope of Lower Highs on October 13th. After rejecting the Slope of Lower Highs, it continued bulling and eventually filled 1 of the 2 unfilled gaps at $24.02 on October 20th. However, after filling the gap and reaching the Highs of $24.36, we saw an immediate rejection within the same 4H candle, creating a Shooting Star candlestick pattern. Later on during the session, we saw prices rejecting all the way down and closing at $20.44 for the day. Update 2: What caused this huge 16% decline from the peak of $24.36? There are 2 reasons for this. The first reason is a technical one based on what I have mentioned earlier. After closing the $24.02 gap, $SPCE entered into a strong resistance zone of $24.26 to $24.85. On top of this, because of the meteoric rise, a Regular Bearish Divergence was also created. These technical factors combined created a retracement cum rejection from the strong resistance zone. Update 3: However, based on this factor alone, it does not justify a 16% decline from the peak. This brings me to my 2nd reason which is short-seller Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates' comment on the space sector. If you aren't aware of what happened, at an investor conference, Chanos expressed his bullishness on the space sector but later retracted his statement by saying that he was joking. This, combined with the technical factor I mentioned earlier, created a 16% decline from the peak of $24.36. Entries, Price Targets, Stop Losses Because of the highly speculative nature of $SPCE plays at this stage due to so many uncertainties surrounding it and so many things that can go wrong, I can't give an exact price target or stop loss at this juncture. But what I can say is that, if something does go wrong, even the most minute incident that is unfavorable for $SPCE, it is almost certain that we will see $SPCE back in the $16.43 range to close the last unfilled gap. What I can also say is that if you want to trade or invest in $SPCE - don't go all-in yet . The approach to take is to have a small enough position in $SPCE so that you feel that you have some skin in the game but not so much position such that even if $SPCE falls to the $14.00 to $16.00 range, you can still feel emotionless. Personally, I have taken this approach as well, where I have an entry at $20.91 and is mentally prepared to stay emotionless for both a meteoric crash towards $14.00 as well as a meteoric rise towards $30.00. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, give it a huge thumbs up, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:SPCELong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804
6
$SPCE Love Space Travel, But You May Want To Wait Before BuyingTechnical Analysis Currently, $SPCE is respecting a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern, where neither the buyers nor the sellers are pushing the price far enough to form a clear trend. As of 4/10/2020, the price closed at $20.77, at the slope of lower highs. Even though I believe that $SPCE has explosive long-term growth potential, assuming that the company is able to reach the stage where they are able to successfully follow their timeline and fly Sir Richard Branson to space , based on the technical factors and risk-reward ratio, I strongly advise against entries at the current price point until further confirmation signals. The reason that $SPCE was able to soar to the $20 mark in such a short period of time from the recent $16 range is due to a gap up driven by BofA Securities upgrading $SPCE to "buy" with a price target of $35.00. However, as you can see from my chart, historically, gaps are almost always filled - rather quickly in fact. There are 2 exceptions where gaps are not filled yet, namely the 3/8/2020 gap down from $24.02 to $21.75 and the 25/9/2020 gap up from $16.43 to $18.29. With the bearish market outlook currently due to POTUS contracting COVID-19 acting as a catalyst and the Symmetrical Triangle acting as a resistance to push the price down, the likelihood that we will revisit $16.43 to close the gap is very plausible. Furthermore, fundamentally, there has been no change to the company yet - at least until 22/10/2020 . Thus, with the price being purely driven by BofA, the $20.00 price may not be sustainable in the short-term. Entries, Price Targets, Stop Losses The best price for entry would either be at the $16.43 range or if the price breaks above the Symmetrical Triangle, retrace back to the slope of lower lows or the $21.00 to $21.58 Support and Resistance Zone, and holds above it. For my price target prior to 22/10/2020, depending on whether you are bullish or bearish on $SPCE short-term, it will either be $24.02 or $16.43. Since I am bearish short-term but bullish long-term, I am leaning more towards $16.43 prior to 22/10/2020. As for my price target beyond 22/10/2020, it will depend on whether the suborbital test flight is successful. I will do an update of this post in the future once $SPCE announces the result. As for my stop-losses, bulls stop-loss will be at $16.43 while bears stop-loss will be at $24.02. As you can see, if you were to enter into a new position at the current price-point, bulls have an upside gain of $3.25 per share with a downside risk of $4.34 while it is vice-versa for the bears. Thus, the risk-reward is really not that worth it. Even if you are a long-term investor, $SPCE is still at a highly speculative stage. The best-case scenario in the event of a test-flight delay or crash is a plunge towards $16.43. Although if everything goes as planned, $20.77 would look like a steal for you in the future. But if you have the conviction, go for it. It is a really high risk, high reward play for investors, and it will take conviction to stay in the trade. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, give it a huge thumbs up, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:SPCELong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804
Consolidation in December. Large players publicly enter the frayNews of Blackstone Group L.P. and Fortress Investment Group LLC buying Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. is fairly bullish and new RSI support has been formed and will provide liftoff from the descending triangle IPOA.U has been living in since creation. There will be a good parabolic movement when we are able to escape. Catalyst: News that the SPAC will indeed find a unicorn to mate with. Chamath is very public and cares about his image as a disruptor so he will deliver big or not at all and apologize and try again and win big. I expect him to go after a company with large market cap(up and maybe past $10Billion) within his range and with undeniably bullish potential. Chamath is to take a board seat on this company. if we are able to make a deal for 10% of a $10 Billion dollar company then the cap of IPOA.U goes to higher than one billion as the holding company is going to be worth as much as the asset + future growth of that unicorn priced in just like a regular IPO pump. Hopefully this is a multi X play, my conservative target is $25 for IPOA.U
ILong
by DavidSamuelMann
1