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Here is why the Us-Dollar stands still! Pump should come soon!Hey tradomaniacs, everything I wanna say is mentioned in the chart. Yields are currently falling due to more demand in Bonds (oversold market) which are attractive for investors who want less volatility. When there is demand in Bondy yields are moving down (negative correlation) which is dragging down the momentum for US-Dollar which should actually move up when equities fall. Wait for yields to pump during the sell-off in stocks and US-Dollar will pump.
TVC:US10YLong
by Trading2ez
BITCOINS chaotic price-action is causing confusionHEy tradomanics, looking at the previous price-action and momentum of BITCOIN we see a little bit of mixed signals and confusion. The recent wash-out and so called "flash-crash" is usually a strong indication for stop-loss-fishing and so a very bullish sign. All combined with an S/H/S-Pattern which should attract more sellers to save profits or to bet on shorts actually less necessary imo. If all this liquidity got grabbed by bigger players, we should actually see a reversal and so more strong momentum to the upside. Since we`ve seen another quick fakeout abpve the current trendline, the market continues to consolidate between the neckline of the S/H/S and TL. What do you think is going to happen with Bitcoin in short-term? Does that wash-out soon will cause another rally? Or will this S/H/S get triggered again?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trading2ez
5
NZD/USD testing a key-support-zone!Hey tradomaniacs, I`m currently waiting for the FED to give the market more fundamental impulses. Looking at NZD/USD we can see a secondary downtrend within a triangle which finds support at the wekly key-support-level. Triangles are always tricky due to lots of fakeouts but also breakouts against the actual trend, which is according to the textbook, not usual since the triangle is a trend-continuation-pattern. NZD/USD will be very tricky because we don`t know how equities are going to react to a potential tapering. We could either see cashflow out of stocks more into bonds due to higher exepctations for rate-hikes in the future, or cashflow from value into growth and vica verse. (Other sectors would become more interesting) If we get hawkish tones by the FED, the US-Dollar will go up against the NZD. The frist scenario would cause risk-off and so less demand for the New Zealand Dollar. If NZD falls and USD rises, we could see a strong breakout to the downside. The second scenario could cause a less volatile NZD/USD, but still with uncertain moves due to a strong US-Dollar. I overall think stocks are overheated and this rally is based on liquidity that has been provided. Let`s see! :-) LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
by Trading2ez
1
DXY (US-DOLLAR) playing GAMES! Good momen tum coming soon? Hey tradomaniacs, looking at DXY we can clearly see how the market does not know what to do. It`s kinda hard to say where majors go as long as DXY (US-DOLLAR-BASKET) is playing these games. After three attempts to break through the resistance while SPX500 has shown a fakeout below a Key-Support-Level yesterday DXY continues to consolidate in a range. I`m carefully watching the current market-depth but its just an random up and down. A break into any direction will probably cause good momentums to catch. Stimulus seems to be impossible ahead the election so a break to the upside could be likely. LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:DXY
by Trading2ez
1
NZD/CHF: Your OPPORTUNITIES for the WEEK Hey tradomaniacs, this is just meant to be a weekly preparation and shows that NZD/CHF is currently right at a significant level. If the Key-Support-Zone (CHECK WEEKLY CHART) holds and price stays inside the FLAG-PATTERN we could get a potential BUY-SIGNAL! If the Key-Support-Zone can`t hold and price breaks out of the FLAG we could get a potential trendfollowing breakout and a SELL-SIGNAL! LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
by Trading2ez
2
GOLD: Preparation for the week! Looks very BULLISH!OpportunityHey tradomaniacs, welcome to the weekly outlook of GOLD. Overall we still see a correction between two very important price-levels. We can consider that the market does continue the rally unless the stock-market climbs aswell. Sentiment: What we`ve seen is a changing cash-flow out of Gold into the stockmarket even though the volume is very very low. This almost flat-type-correction in form of a falling wedge which retraced almost 38,2% of the impulse is actually a joke compared the price-run of indicies such as SPX500. But still... we see very low volume and probably a fake-rally. Anything else I want to say is shown in the chart! What do you think will happen? Have a great start into the week! :-) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:GOLDLong
by Trading2ez
ETHEREUM: It`s probabvly TIME TO BUY!#ChanceoftheyearHey tradomaniacs and cryptoheads, welcome to an analysis of ethereum! My friends, I think it`s time to buy! BUY WHY? In this analysis we wanna take a look at time-cyclers which are clearly underestimates and not as common as the classic TA which is basically used to compare price-action or price-patterns. From another perspective looking at the big picture, we see that ethereum had an awesome run with the recent impulse-phase down from 5,60 up to it`s peek of 1.436,-! IS THAT CRAZY? Yeah.. the hype-train of 2017 was very fast and completly sold out and we`ve never seen so many passengers. But ever since the train was so fast a lot of passengers got shaky hands and sweaty palms. The train was very fast, as fast as no train before and the crowd inside the train felt insecure and fear crept in. The entire trip was an amazing journey of 399 DAYS and it was obviously time to rest and enjoy the result of this new world record. The impulse was over and we were heading into a correction which took excactly 399 DAYS until now! The market indicates more and more evidence for a new rally. New carbon has been delivered and the burning stoves are clened up and ready for an new ride.. Technical Aspects: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Timelines: All Time-Lines are pretty harmonic indicated by the low of the sub-divided SIN-Wave @ the High of the primary Sin-Wave. The Alpha-Waves are confirming that cycle and accurate time-lines are indicating a perfct cycle. The impulse- and corrective phase are showing the same running time of 399 DAYS. Price-Action: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave 1 has been completed with the previous impulse @ Wave 5 and we`ve made 25513,25%. Since then the corrective-wave retraced down to 83,29$ which is still a very important support. This retracement indicates a motive wave, which is not a classic impulse but eventually a leading diagonal because WAVE C of the correction went below the territory of WAVE 4 but DID NOT touch the high of Wave 1 again. This means we see a confirmed MOTIVE-WAVE indicating an uptrend should tend to continue. The corrective Wave headed down to the 1.272 Extension, which is a very common level. The second picture indicates optimism of the market: The active trendchannel was very dominant and predimonated over the market-players behaivor. But since the strong sell-off down to the corrections low @ 83,29 $ we`ve seen two attempts to break out of this channel. The first one failed @ the 100 M/A (purple) which was obviously the target of the bulls which this impulse. The market smelled a chance and didn`t hesitate to push the price out of this channel again. the correction was very strong because the price danced around the resistance of the channel. THE NEXT PUMP got confirmed by a consolidation.. and not as ususal.. a hard dump! The 50 M/A and 1 00 M/A are about cross and care getting in touch for the first time since July 2018! THIS IS a very crucial moment for ETH and it`s future because the next move could be the the path we choose to go! Mac-D: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- During the correction the MAC-D used to bounce of the ZERO aka TRIGGERLINE and refuse to get above it. Since the first attempt to break out of the channel, we`ve seen that the market is not wolling to drop significantly below it again and flucuates around it. The BULLISH divergence indicates higher LOWS while the price-action indicates lower lows and looks likea triangle with the first attempt to break out. The classic retest should be the confirmation of this upcoming impulse! If we violate the MA-Comb, bounce of the triggerline of the MAC-D and and create a new higher highit will be time TO BUY ETHEREUM! Misspelling? Sorry guys.. I`m lazy! ;-D ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Trading2ez
4
SPX500: Weekly outlook! Evidences for an UPTREND and RECOVERY!HEy tradomaniacs, quick an overview and preparation for the nextweek! DAMN.. if we can hold this support we should MOON and recover quickly! Just have a look and check my previous analysis. This is just an update of --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Trading2ez
DAX: Weekly outlook and detailed analysis!#CHANES and ENTRYS.HEy tradomaniacs, welcome to a little weekly outlook! Overall we`ve seen a very nice correction back above 11.100 which is a decent retracement after this holy moly huge sell-off we`ve seen after the S/H/S and Diamond-Pattern got triggered though we have not even finished this superir trend-changing pattern yet. So what can we expect? There is a lot of fundamental things going on, such as the tradewar, brexit and so on. How ever, we want to focus on the technicals aspects and talk about important price-levels and possibilities. Technical Aspects: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price-Action: Since we`ve seen the Breakout of the S/H/S or Diamond-Pattern, Team bear seemed to be unstoppable and sold the diva down to capitulation to a significant Support-Area between 10.261 and 10.859. After the violatin of the important Resistance @ 11.000 and 11.100 and the confirmed S&R-Flip, we were not able to do anything and just consolidated in between the red Resistance-Zone and the current major support. It looks like the market is waiting for a clear impulse in to a direction, thus the next impulse should be crucial for the next upcoming moves. Either we continue the downtrend with a lower high by a break through 11.100, indicated by the red diagonal resitance of the shorter timeframe, or we violate the current resistance and probably retest at least 11.416, which is the next subservient resistance marked up in red. The last "Endboss" to liquidate the bears of this downtrend would be @ 11.500 - 11.700. A violation of this resistance could completly destroy dow current downtrend. RSI: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The RSI indicated a completly oversold market. This might be one reason for this retracement but also could be interpreted as "Shit, I will never get the DIVA as cheap as now again." and a new impulse upwards in the longer time frame. For now we are back and are knocking at the door of Mr. Overbought to enter "Profit-Safe-Zone". MAC-D: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- After the divergence the market reacted as expected. We are above teh triggerline but could create a Sell-Signal very soon, since both MA/s tend to cross again. This would probably force the Bulls of this impulse to safe their profit. Moving Average: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The yellow moving average represents a period of the important 100 days. As you can see, we are currently close below and could bergin to test it, after we`ve seen a breakout! The blue moving average represents a period of 50 days, AS you cann see we already respected that MA as a new support and could bounce of it over and over again. Fibonacci: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The yellow Fibo-Bar represents the retracement of the very big timeframe and shows a stop of the sell-off close @the 61,8% retracement. This is a very good sign and represents a valid UPTREND in the big picture, according to the elliot-wave-theory. Please check my other charts to see more in the weekly chart! The green Fib-Bar measures the current retracement of the sell-off. We made it above the 23,6% retracement, which is exactly between the current Support-Zone @ 11.052. A further retracement up to 38,2 is very likely if we break through the current "Sell-Pressure-Zone". The sell-off ended btw. @ the 161% extension of the impulse downwards! Steepness: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The steepness is decreasing and represents weakness of the down-trend. How ever, it looks like we currently stuck in a very tight range and should wait for the next impulse to come! If we fall, then we`d see a classic trend-continuation. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion and nice prices to trade: Sell below 11.050 or below the 50 MA @ 10.971! Buy @ 11.289 or above 11.300! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AND as always: Don`t just randomly trade. Wait for your triggers, confirmations.. and.. yeah I guess you know what I mean. I wish you a great start into the next trading-week! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
XETR:DAX
by Trading2ez
4