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Bitcoin BTCUSD Trying Hard to Change Trends Today Bitcoin BTCUSD Trying Hard to Change Trend Bitcoin broke above the 9537 line here and then moved up to testthe upper parallel, making an 02:15gmt/21:15est high within the first hour of far East opening before falling away \again to an 08:15gmt/03:15est low right on the blue support line at 9373 before bouncing again on European interest at the lower levels. Now it's bounced to touch the first line of resistance at 9537 once more and day traders are taking a fast 200 point win and cashing back out again many of whom have shorted at the usual 06:00gmt traditional short time and made 200 down and now 200 up again. At the moment Bitcoin is still in day-traders' and scalpers' territory with no killer swings to trade as yet. It's still trapped in a downtrend but is at least trying to form a higher low so far today and therefore showing first signs that this downwave is running out of downside momentum. In very near term it's gone into a small continuation pattern and is trying to break above the 9537 line where fixed and dynamics converge - tiny pins below and above price forming on 15 minute chart meaninga big battle is raging below the surface here. Things only begin to turn positive again now when the 9537 line is retaken and held by the bulls - that will likely lead to a test of the upper parallel again at 9682-9715 - and then the big test...Bitcoin has to break and hold above the 9715 level before the last bear will back off. It would be yet another brilliant escape act by Bitcoin if it can manage this at any point today, attracting every bull still left in town back to the game and should be followed higher if we see this price action develop. But until then Bitcoin is effectively trapped at these lower levels and the downtrend remains in force - but it's not super- bearish here, just mildly so - and so we need to watch it here to see if it tries to break above the smallest parallel of the continuation pattern - if so can follow with stops below 9480. Otherwise we wait for lower values still.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by sumastardon
10
Well Well Well... BTC!Hello all and welcome to my little corner of the internet. It isn't big, nor is it fancy, but what about the chart art! Now I've warned of a correction for some time (quite a bearish outlook if you were to look back at my other publications... and give em a like) but it seems as though things are playing out as i stated. I hope that any who viewed my charts saw the drop coming a mile away as i did and took the correct precautions. Lets jump into the meat though. I'm still quietly confident BTC will drop to ~9.3k-9.7k (The wick low could be 9K) and i have arrived at this conclusion based on probability and the accuracy of my charting. Here's how it is - we're still in a bear market guys, it isn't hard to see that, but after this low we could very well be looking at a recovery and a TRANSITION. YES! a transition into the long awaited bull season. This is great news, now I'm not saying it wont go for another dip, in fact i expect it will - as is required to signal the return of a healthy bull market. Check out the green channel i have plotted on the chart: This is the healthy channel. This is the area we want to see BTC move in and when it makes a break above we simply say hallelujah and we sell (at the peak of course!). When it breaks below we double down and buy the dip, this is how money is made. There are lots of "analysists" out there that will feed you what you want to hear, because they want it too but the market cares not for your wants, dreams or aspirations. The market knows only what the whales want: either swim with them or get eaten. Now there's always the chance I'm way off, as i said the market doesn't care, but i make my calls based on probability and as such there's a good chance i have it pegged MOST times. Anyway, time for me to wrap this up so I'll leave you with this: REACT. always REACT. cover your butts because at the end of the day I'm not going to make you money, the other analysists aren't going to make you money - that's on you. So be careful in the worlds most volatile market. I wish you all the best fellow traders!
by Disaster_Chartist
EURUSD and DXY confirming signal of change in trend for dollarEURUSD EURUSD and DXY EUR is tracking an inverse set of parallels to DXY. When EUR breaks lower it's a second sell/add shorts signal which must be confirmed by DXY breaking above the upper parallel containing this impulse wave from inception. DXY has to break and hold above that parallel before the bears will back off - but it's fighting here, where it should if it's to turn back up from here. The confirming signal is the break above the upper parallel. DXY Dollar Index Despite the spike and noise surrounding CPI numbers yesterday DXY has been forced back down the same small parallels it was travelling down before the numbers hit the newsfeeds. As in last comment Dollar bulls still have the double bottom on their side here. The last one was one week apart, this one is 2 weeks apart. The Dollar is likely to hold here at these lower levels and then begin to rally. It's waiting on Wall St to open now but bears in London have failed to push it below the double bottom. A sign of waning downside momentum. Once it can break above the upper small parallel guiding the descent it should attract more buyers and move back up to test the 89.37 line where it will likely meet resistance again...it has to push on through here during the course of today for the bulls to gain more traction and flip DXY into more positive mode from this point. This battle may take some time to resolve - DXY has to fight its way through three lines of near term resistance at 89.37, 89.51 and then 89.62 to turn back to positive again. Look to buy dips here and on the pairs with stops under 88.40 on DXY for small loss if wrong from here. Increase longs on move above the smaller upper parallel. On downside, DXY will have to break below 88.40 today to change this view to near term negative but only back to 87.70 at lowest where DXY should find final support and begin to rally again. But so long as 88.40 holds up today the Dollar's downtrend is finally coming to an end.
by sumastardon
Bat Pattern, Eur/Aud, 1 hrHere we have a completed Gartley pattern in the positive deviation area of the last 100 and 200 moves. According to my strategy , this market is likely to reverse down into the negative regression. As of right now, the market is retesting the high at point D and we should see a trade completion in the next couple of hours. Anyone that has been following my trades knows that last week I had a very bad week and I am making a minor change to my strategy for the week , until we recover from our losses, i was previously trading all harmonics to the 1.618 extension of the BC leg, but as of this week , i will only be trading harmonics to the .618 extension , just for a guaranteed close for profit. I have placed my trade actions as follows: Limit: point X Entry: point D Limit: the .618 extension of the BC leg Please like and comment if you agree or disagree respectively. And always follow me for more updates on market analysis and harmonic patterns , and recently a lot of wave theory's. And as always Good Trading Everyone!
Short
by Kylan_Laymance