LEVERFI close to channel and triangle resistance 💡🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel resistance and the triangle resistance level ✔️
if
the price breaks these areas to the upside, we will see more gain ✔️
otherwise
more correction expected ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Channelbreak
Sell position in this currency pairConsidering that according to the world economy, most currencies such as the pound and the euro have been under the pressure of the US dollar, and according to the channel strategy that I have mentioned on YouTube, we have overlapped resistances (daily channel ceiling and 20 daily moving average). The sell position is logical from a technical point of view, but if the channel fails, the sell position will be canceled. So, the possible option is that you can trade with high volume for selling, and for buying with low volume, but remember to set a loss limit. You can even hedge positions.
Be sure to suggest and criticize in order to improve this strategy, I welcome it
$SENX - Reversal for upside of +12% to +40% Technical Analysis
Weekly William %R and RSI are oversold.
Daily channel being created with resistance at 50EMA>
Scenario 1 - BUY
Breach of 50EMA and uses it as support.
Scenario 2: - SELL/WAIT
Bounces off 50EMA as resistance and come back down to create a higher low.
Based on the technical environment and high William %R I expect scenario 2 to happen with high low being used to propel price upwards and for a push to $13.75 to $18.50>
Price Target
Entry: $12.30
Target 1: $13.75 (+12%)
Target 2: $18.20 (+40%)
Analyst Target: $61
Fundamental/Financial Analysis (FA)
Strong financial metrics and passes quality screen.
GBP/USD - Wait For A Break, Close & Retest Of The Channel TopHi Traders,
Today we are looking at trading GBP/USD on the 1-hour time frame.
We can see that price reached a high of 1.228 and then slowly began its fall bouncing between the bottom and top of this descending channel.
We have had two taps on the bottom and four taps on the top. I have put little arrows to show exactly where the price has been touching.
I always look for a minimum of 2 taps on either side to confirm a channel.
I also look for price respecting the middle line of a channel that helps to confirm a true channel as price always seems to treat the middle line as some sort of Support or Resistance. We can clearly this happening on the chart.
So, now that we can confirm that this is a downwards channel, what should we be looking for?
Well, we look for some sort of bullish divergence on the MACD.
We look at the histogram as well as the MA Lines.
Looking at the histogram, we can see that price is sloping upwards. I have drawn an arrow to show this clearly. This tells us that the volume of sellers is weakening and buyers should be stepping in at some point.
Looking at the MA lines of the MACD, we don’t see this as yet. So, we have what we call partial divergence.
Now, we are waiting for a break from the channel top. We want the price to close above the top of the channel with a clear break and close. If we see that, we can then wait for a retrace back down to the top of the channel before opening up a long position targeting the previous high of around 1.228.
This is how we trade Ascending and Descending channels. We want divergence showing a possible change in trend, a break and close above the channel, and then a retrace back down to the channel top before entering into a long position.
These patterns work extremely well when we have full divergence as confluence.
It works just s well with partial divergence but as it's only partial divergence, I would not class it as an ‘A’ grade setup. This means I would class it as a ‘B’ or ‘C’ grade setup, which means I would not risk my usual amount on this position. I would risk less as I know the probability of this setup performing well is not as strong as a setup with full divergence.
As most of you know, I am a swing trader and I look for setups on higher time frames. However, when I am in front of my charts and I do have the time to trade shorter time frame setups, I will take advantage of that.
Hope you all have a great Wednesday.
The Vortex Trader.
$MASS, growth stock close to breakout908 Devices Inc is in the Medical-Research Eqp/Svc Group. It develops analytical devices for chemical and biomoecular solutions.
The price made a shortfall within the channel that has been forming since January. This shortfall may signal a breakout in the right direction.
I would buy it with a target sell at its next resistance level which is at $29, that's a +20% profit. Play this trade with your own risk/reward strategy. I'm sure I will.
Also just recently, the company tweeted: "Proud to share our #MX908 device was chosen by the U.S. Army to provide chemical identification in their #AugmentedReality training program, ensuring optimal safety when encountering unidentified substances".
GBP/USD Daily Descending Trend line Hi Traders,
Have a look at GBP/USD on the 4-hour and daily chart today.
Having a look at the Daily time frame, we can see that price has been respecting this bearish trend line since the 20th of February 2022. We've had 5 taps so far on this giant daily trend line. Currently, it looks like the price is pushing to print its 6th tap.
Now, we don’t know whether or not this next tap will be the one to finally break us out of this bearish pressure that we have been in for the greater part of 2022.
However, if we were analyzing a trend, we can see that this trend is not bullish. Our bias must remain bearish until proven otherwise. Now, I am no fortune teller and I am not one of those traders that say that they can pick out where the exact bottom is. I only trade setups that make sense to me. So having said that, let's go deeper into the 4-hour time frame.
This chart shows that price has been pushing upwards, bouncing inside this ascending channel.
What do we look for on ascending channels? Usually, we look for a break and retest of the channel bottom. This means we are waiting for a possible bearish break of this channel with a retest of the bottom of the channel. If we see that, we can open up a short position with our targets being previous support around the 1.176 price level.
What's interesting to look for is that if this channel breaks to the downside and retests just as the price is touching or tapping the daily descending trend line, well then that gives us huge confluence to go short.
To add to that confluence, we have divergence on the MACD Histogram. As price makes higher highs within the ascending channel, we can see the histogram make lower lows showing that the bulls that are there right now might start to run out of steam and the giant daily bears might be biding their time, waiting for that perfect moment to push price back down.
To sum up my current thoughts .. Do nothing until shown a reason to jump in. I cannot force these charts and bend them to my will. Therefore, we wait until these patterns present themselves to us on a silver platter. Then, we jump in and take full advantage of the offering.
Hope you all have a fantastic Tuesday.
See you all on the next one.
The Vortex Trader.
AUDUSD to 0.60 in short orderThanks for viewing,
This is my tentative view on the AUDUSD pairing over the rest of the year.
FOREX loves to stay within a channel, this pairing is no exception. In my view the market weakness is about to steepen. What was trend-line support is now resistance.
Look there are a lot of pretty colours, so I must be right.
1. There is some weakness shown by the daily candle - doji with long wicks - its an indecision candle right at the 55EMA / upper trend-line of my new speculative channel (5 channel touches - the previous channel had 12 touches). A channel with less than 4 touches is speculative, this one is plausible.
2. I count wave 1 down (of wave (C)) - all five sub-divisions showing normal extensions and no overlap. Then there was another wave 1 and 2 (or (i) and (ii) to hunt all the stop-loss positions from people / organisations that were short. For the Elliot Wave viewpoint to hold this should result in even more volatile downward price movement (especially to stay within this much steeper channel) as wave 3 of wave (C) develops. Wave (iii) of wave 3 will be vertical and there will be a lot of gaps (that won't be filled for some time).
3 Since the start of 2021 everything above the 55EMA was over-valued (opaque red boxes) and most of the price action happened below the 55 EMA. Over the past 18 months, you would have been very profitable if you sold / shorted every time the price dropped below the 55EMA (eight out of 9 times at least). Now there is a good chance that the price won't be above the 55EMA for some months (traders catch on the the 55EMA upwards cross-over is a rally that should be sold into rather than bought).
4. There is precedent for this over years past. Once the price drops down below the channel, support becomes resistance and the price drop speeds up - making a new steeper channel. If this new channel is valid, the price will have to go almost vertical to stay within its bounds.
5. I put some support levels - based on previous price action - that if you don't believe in others do and will target to exit or reduce short positions / buy. I see a deep drop to 0.63-0.64 and the down to 0.6 or maybe a little bit further. This is based on
- channel support turned resistance,
- EMA resistance,
- 1.618 fib extensions of wave 1 and of wave (i) and (ii) of wave 3,
- Support swing lows,
- Channel support and resistance (from March to May 2020), and
- Elliot wave (wave (C) always has 5 sub-waves) and normally extends roughly 1:1 of wave (A) (sometimes less sometimes more).
So, what will I be looking for over the next days to a week?
1. Another indecision candle on below average or low volume, or an inverted hammer on low volume with a similar size wick to the upside. Followed by higher volume as the price drops from current levels. If you go short don't have the stop-loss too close to the swing high as professional traders will look to stop you out of the trade before resuming the down-trend.
2. My speculative channel to remain largely intact.
3. What is labelled as wave 1 swing low of 0.68290 to remain intact and to not be exceeded by subsequent pull-backs in price.
4. Watch out below.
Just look back in the past... In economic down-turns the money goes home (or goes to) to the US for safety. It doesn't stay in the AUD even though the bond return is marginally higher. I don't think this is a comment on the strength of the Aussie economy, it's just a flight to safety and away from uncertainty.
Protect those funds and happy trading. Anyone who is left at the end of my essay CHEERS. Hopefully, whether you follow EW, or channels, or fibonacci extensions, candle patterns, or support and resistance, or something else. I have still made a good case.
TTM: breaking out of bearish channelTTM ( Tata Motors , Indian conglomerate):
Nice set up here as we had a multi week bear channel and we're now breaking out of this channel, signalling a potential reversal to the upside.
To maintain this reversal, the price will need to remain above the line of the bear channel which is now acting as support. Note that price could go up a bit and retest the breakout point before really taking off.
I'm long with a stop at 26.19. All targets are on the chart. Two important targets are 29.13 which is the previous high, and 34.49.
Trade safe.
LKQ: breakout watchLKQ is currently at a resistance point of a downtrend channel that started back in December 2021.
Watch for LKQ to break that trend line. A break would mark a potential reversal of the downtrend.
I'll be entering a long position on the break, with a stop at 49.50.
The ideal situation is if we break 51.60/51.70, then maybe we can fill the small gap at 53/53.50.
Next targets are 56.48 and 60.14.
Trade safe
XMRUSDT retest the 0.618 Fibonacci level 🦐XMRUSDT on the 4h chart is trading inside an ascending channel.
The price after the yesterday's impulse is now trading in a choppy way with a retest of the 0.618 fibonacci support.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the EU market open and in the case that the price will break above the 4h resistance i will consider a long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐