Nifty on 2024 Jan 20
1) On 2023 Dec 4, Nifty had a gap up opening.
2) This gap is 216 points between low and previous day’s high (20507.75-20291.55).
3) And it is 334 points between open and previous day’s close levels. (20601.95-20808.90).
4) Thereafter till 2024 January 16th, Nifty was travelling in an upward channel.
5) On 17th January this channel has been broken, and index closed below the channel.
6) On that day Nifty had a huge gap down opening. Even it tried to recover more than 50% of the gap, but failed to gain, and eventually closed 75 points below the opening level. And it is 460 points below the closing level of previous day.
7) On that day Nifty opened near the lower line of the channel, and closed below the line.
8) On the next day, Jan 18th, Nifty had another gap down opening. After a volatile intraday movement it had a positive closing, recovering 48 points from the opening level.
9) On 19th Jan, Nifty had a gap up opening and a less volatile intra-day movement, and closed with a 7 points gain from the opening level, creating a small a doji candle, showing indecisiveness among market participants.
10) On 19th Jan, index gained 50.45 pints above the closing level of 17th January.
11) Being at 21622.40, it is taking support at 147 square level. (ie. 147*147 = 21609)
# If nifty can gain about 100 points more, it can close in the upward channel again, If so, we can expect the continuation of the rally.
# If Nifty closes below 21460 level it may touch the 21325 level. If it goes further low it may fall to 21000 level.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purpose, not a trade recommendation, I am not SEBI registered adviser.
Channelbreak
Sell GBPUSD Bearish Channel GBP/USD has formed a bearish channel pattern on the H1 timeframe, indicating a potential for further downside.
Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the channel, creating a downward sloping trend.
Sell Entry: A break below the channel support at 1.2665 could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
Targets: Potential bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2558 and 1.2498.
Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed above the channel resistance at 1.2703.
Factors Underpinning the Downward Pressure:
Risk-Off Sentiment: Global markets are facing uncertainties, driving investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. This has put downward pressure on the relatively riskier pound sterling.
BoE Policy Divergence: The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at a slower pace than the US Federal Reserve, potentially widening the interest rate differential between the two economies. This could further weaken the pound against the dollar.
Trading Considerations:
Confirm Breakdown: Wait for a clear break below the lower boundary of the channel to validate the bearish momentum and potentially trigger sell trades.
Manage Risk: Implement stop-loss orders above the resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses course.
Monitor Fundamentals: Stay informed about economic data releases and central bank communications from both the UK and the US, as they can significantly influence the GBP/USD pair's trajectory.
Amazon - Massive Resistance AheadHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the quite obvious and expected channel breakout in 2016, we saw a rally of more than 500% towards the upside on Amazon. This pump was followed by a retracement back to a previous support level before we saw another bullish reversal. If Amazon breaks back above the structure mentioned in the analysis, market behaviour is bullish and I will be looking for longs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Sell GBPUSD Channel BreakoutWeaker inflation, higher unemployment and gloom from policymakers.
The fall in inflation is not the only issue holding the BoE back from hikes.
BoE’s decision to pause and the probable end to policy tightening represents a loss of interest rate support
Price breaks the channel now, its Good chance to sell now.
Thank you
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game:
Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now.
Thank you
Nvidia - Higher, Higher And HigherHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2014 Nvidia broke out of the long term symmetrical triangle formation and entered a crazy bullrun. With the current channel formation on Nvidia, there is a high chance this stock will push higher even more to retest the upper resistance mentioned in my analysis.
From there I do expect a correction which could be similar to the one of 2022.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
EURUSD|The probability of breaking the support zoneHello friends, I hope you are doing well, let's go to the popular currency pair EURUSD.
In EURUSD, the selling pressure seems to be more, we can understand this from the powerful candles, broken trends.
For this reason, short positions have a higher winning percentage.
By reaching the supply area (1.1015), we can enter a sell position with confirmation until the price (1.90).
In the future, if it can break the demand area, we expect the price of 1.080 to continue falling
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout1. European underperformance relative to the US should weigh on the shared currency.
2. The Japanese currency was a significant underperformer during the global tightening phase, and so we believe the currency can become a significant outperformer during the global easing phase.
3. A likely hawkish monetary policy shift from the Bank of Japan later this year, combined with a weak US economy and lower US interest rates next year, should see the Yen strengthen
Thank you
GOLD|They are still the winners of the seller's marketAs we expected from gold, when we said that the selling pressure is more, it crossed the 2048 support area with great strength, in this area we did not have a suitable candle confirmation to enter the transaction. Arriving at the next support area that we mentioned before, by observing the pin bar candle Ascending in the price area of 2033, we could enter into buy transactions, which has already given us 160 pips of profit.
Continuing the movement with the growth experienced from the support area, I am still waiting for the price to reach the resistance areas to enter sell trades, the most important area ahead is the midline of the descending channel that has already been broken and the supply area price 2055. In case of reactions Returning from this area, as I said, we can place up to the price of 2035 equivalent to 200 pips for the profit limit.
As Expected, We Have Our Pullback! Now We Watch This Closely.Traders,
As predicted a few weeks ago, altcoins have finally met their downside target of 10-15% (see links to related ideas). But this move down will not confirm further downside unless/until we have confirmation to the underside of our current channel. We have to watch that bottom support closely along with the support on our RSI chart. Should one of them break and the price remain on the underside tomorrow through Friday, this can be further indication that more pullback may occur.
This is the healthy correction that I have been waiting patiently for and I am glad to see it.
Stay tuned.
Stewdamus
Potential Short on USDJPY
With the first trade working out on the USDJPY with the move from resistance of the top of the channel to the bottom with bearish RSI divergence its now setting up for another move to the downside with a break of the upward channel. For the second trade I am now looking for a retest of the break, there is some very good support with two trendlines converging @146.30 I will be looking for a rejection at this level and taking a entry with a stoploss at last swing high. Will be looking for a take profit at next resistance zone at around 138.00, it could be a bigger measured move with the channel pattern @131.00 so will use a trailing stop or move stoploss to last swing high if it gets to fist target area and update this idea if needed. Move SL to BE when safe to do so and good luck.
NATGASNATGAS was trading in descending parallel channel. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of descending channel.
Currently the price has given the breakout of channel and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 2.8.
What you guys think of this idea?
KAS Trading the Ascending Channel: A Liquidity Game !🚀🚀 In the bustling world of crypto trading, KAS has caught the attention of many as it gracefully maneuvers within the confines of an ascending channel. While the upper boundary may seem like a resistant force, a closer look reveals a nuanced interplay of liquidity dynamics that could potentially propel KAS into a parabolic ascent.
Chart Analysis: The Ascending Channel Dance
Ascending Channel Dynamics:
KAS has been gracefully traversing within the confines of an ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Traders are observing closely, especially as price action reaches the upper boundary of the channel.
Liquidity Pools and Trading Sentiment:
The upper boundary of the channel serves as a zone of interest for both bulls and bears.
Many traders attempt to short as the price hits the upper limit, expecting a pullback. However, the real game might be played around the liquidity pool created by stop-loss orders just above the upper border.
Anticipated Scenarios: Charting the Course Ahead
Parabolic Surge Scenario:
If KAS defies the expectations of short-sellers and surges beyond the upper boundary, triggering stop-loss orders, a parabolic rally might ensue.
This could be fueled by a cascade of liquidations and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) buying.
Retest and Rally Scenario:
Alternatively, KAS might undergo a retest of the lower boundary before launching a robust upward move.
A successful retest could provide a strong foundation for a sustained bullish trend.
Strategic Approaches: Navigating the Channel
Short-Term Caution:
Short-term traders should exercise caution when attempting to short at the upper boundary, considering the potential for unexpected upward movements.
Long-Term Optimism:
Long-term investors might find value in assessing the overall trend and considering potential accumulation opportunities during retests.
Conclusion: Navigating the Liquidity Game
As KAS dances within the ascending channel, traders find themselves at the intersection of technical analysis and liquidity dynamics. The upper boundary serves not only as a technical resistance but also as a stage for a liquidity game that could dictate the trajectory of KAS in the coming weeks.
🔄 Riding the Channel Waves | 🚀 Unlocking Liquidity Dynamics | 🔄 Navigating the Ascendancy
❗See related ideas below❗
Share your insights on KAS's ascending channel and contribute to the collaborative analysis, enhancing our collective understanding of this intriguing digital asset. 💚📈💚
Very critical area for Silver
Silver is currently at a critical juncture, and a breakout above this resistance could lead to a rapid shift in the overall market sentiment.
It's essential to note that we are analyzing a daily chart featuring a bearish channel. In the event of a bullish breakout, the price target would be the width of this daily channel. Given the high correlation between silver and gold, we may anticipate a similar behavior in gold.
Considering that both gold and silver are often considered risky assets, particularly gold, if they are poised for such a movement, it suggests there might be a significant news release providing the necessary momentum for a breakout above this crucial resistance.
However, it's crucial to remain cautious, as any breakout without substantial news support could be deemed a false breakout, potentially leading to a reversal.
🚀 DOGE: From Memes to Moonshots! 🌕DogeCoin (DOGE) has transcended its meme origins, showcasing resilience by trading at elevated levels compared to its historical lows. The chart narrative unfolds within a descending channel, a setting that historically paves the way for intriguing price action. Let's delve into the DOGE dynamics, balancing on the edge of a potential bullish breakout.
Chart Analysis: DOGE's Ascent Above the Norm
DOGE, the crypto that began as a meme, is now positioned in a noteworthy range relative to its historical performance. The elevation from its lows signals a bullish undertone, catching the attention of traders. The current downward channel sets the stage for a unique interplay of liquidity dynamics, often observed in breakout scenarios.
Anticipated Move: Aiming for the Stars with the Three Drives Pattern
As DOGE navigates the descending channel, the prospect of a Three Drives Pattern emerges. This pattern, characterized by a sequence of higher lows, hints at an upcoming breakout. Each descent into the lower boundary leaves a trail of liquidity, setting the stage for a potential bullish surge that could propel DOGE to new heights.
Trading Strategy: Charting the Course for DOGE's Moonshot
For traders eyeing DOGE, the heightened levels combined with the descending channel present an intriguing setup. The Three Drives Pattern adds a layer of anticipation, making strategic entry points pivotal for those aiming to ride the potential moonshot. Vigilance during the upcoming price action is key to capitalizing on DOGE's transformative journey.
Conclusion: DOGE's Evolution Continues
DOGE's trajectory, from meme coin to an elevated trading range, suggests a narrative beyond its cultural origins. As the Three Drives Pattern hints at a potential breakout, traders prepare for a journey that could see DOGE reaching for the stars.
🚀 DOGE Analysis | 📈 From Memes to Moonshots | 🌕 Three Drives Pattern
❗See related ideas below❗
What are your thoughts on DOGE's evolving story? Share your predictions, strategies, and moonshot expectations in the comments! The DOGE journey continues, and your insights add to the vibrant narrative. 🚀🌕💚
RNDRUSDTIs RNDRUSDT exhausting at highs?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 2.8 followed by 2.4.
What you guys think of it?
#AUDJPY buying opportunityLet's take a look at the AUDJPY 4-hour timeframe chart and explore the potential buying opportunity in this pair.
Price yesterday successfully broke above the short-term bearish channel, aligning with the higher timeframe market structure, which adds to the possibility of the price intending to move higher.
Currently, the price is situated at today's Pivot area, which has been providing support since this morning. Additionally, we are above the 1-hour, 30-minute, and 15-minute EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) of 200, all of which together offer crucial support for the price.
Moreover, this recent bearish move can be interpreted as a pullback to the broken channel line.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
MKRUSDTMKRUSDT was trading under declining trendline and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted then bulls took the charge and break through declining trendline.
Currently the price has given the breakout from falling trendline and now forming a local support around 1400 region.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher?