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Chaostheory

Gold. Why we should trade "bigger pic"?! 2/Dec/23XAUUSD. Elliott wave concept which is based on fractal "nature repeating pattern" theory. AND pattern "need our bared" eye "staring at screen".. Zooming in until " the tiniest spot". So..So,, We have better, bigger "vision" on Bigger Time Frame Chart! E.g yearly, Monthly Chart! As we have limitation to "Zooming" into 1hours or even1 minute chert with our "bared eye"! So who said cant't predict long term?! It's "more consistent" to predict on long term chart than short term chart!
TVC:GOLD
by SteveTan
Scott Carney's "Deep Crab" & the Fields Medal in MathematicsQ: What does the former have to do with the later? A: The intuition in the former (S. Carney) is born out by the later (A. Avila; Fields Medal - 2014) From Scott Carney's website; --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Harmonic Trading: Volume One Page 136 The Deep Crab Pattern™, is a Harmonic pattern™ discovered by Scott Carney in 2001. The critical aspect of this pattern is the tight Potential Reversal Zone created by the 1.618 of the XA leg and an extreme (2.24, 2.618, 3.14, 3.618) projection of the BC leg but employs an 0.886 retracement at the B point unlike the regular version that utilizes a 0.382-0.618 at the mid-point. The pattern requires a very small stop loss and usually volatile price action in the Potential Reversal Zone." --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- From Artur Avila's Fields Medal Citation; --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Artur Avila is awarded a Fields Medal for his profound contributions to dynamical systems theory, which have changed the face of the field, using the powerful idea of renormalization as a unifying principle. Description in a few paragraphs: Avila leads and shapes the field of dynamical systems. With his collaborators, he has made essential progress in many areas, including real and complex one-dimensional dynamics, spectral theory of the one-frequency Schrödinger operator, flat billiards and partially hyperbolic dynamics. Avila’s work on real one-dimensional dynamics brought completion to the subject, with full understanding of the probabilistic point of view, accompanied by a complete renormalization theory. His work in complex dynamics led to a thorough understanding of the fractal geometry of Feigenbaum Julia sets. In the spectral theory of one-frequency difference Schrödinger operators, Avila came up with a global description of the phase transitions between discrete and absolutely continuous spectra, establishing surprising stratified analyticity of the Lyapunov exponent." --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The connection here, as it is related to the specific "Deep Crab" harmonic pattern in trading, between intuition and general, analytical result, is illustrated somewhat simplified (but without distortion). In essence, Avila has shown that in dynamical systems, in the neighborhood of phase-transitions in the case of one-dimensional (such as: Price) unimodal distributions, after the onset of chaos, there are islands of stability surrounded nearly entirely by parameters that give rise to stochastic behavior where transitions are Cantor Maps - i.e., fractal. From that point it is an obvious next step to generalize to other self-affine fractal curves , such as the blancmange curve , which is a special case of w=1/2 of the general form: the Takagi–Landsberg curve. The "Hurst exponent"(H) = -log2(w) , which is the measure of the long-term-memory of a time series . Putting it all together, it is not pure coincidence that a reliable pattern (representation) emerges from intuition (observation) which proves to be a highly stable (reliable) pattern that is most often the hallmark of a near-term, violent transition.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Nemo_Confidat
Biil Williams Aligator Indicator Explanation on BTC MarketCapHello Friends. Today we will explain Aligator indicator on BTC Marketcap Chart. this post has 2 purpose: 1)BTC marketcap analyze 2)Learn how Bill Williams Aligator indicator works First lets see how this indicator works: The Alligator indicator is composed of three smoothed moving averages. It is named ‘alligator’ because it mimics the feeding habit of the animal and can help traders pick out the best times to ‘feed’ on the pips available in a trending market. Here are the lines that constitute the Alligator indicator: Alligator’s Jaw This is a 13-period smoothed moving average.This line is typically visualised in blue. Alligator’s Jaw = SMMA (median price, 13, 8) Alligator’s Teeth This is an 8-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in red. Alligator’s Teeth = SMMA (median price, 8, 5) Alligator’s Lips This is a 5-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in green. Alligator’s Lips = SMMA (median price, 5, 3) Trading Rules: When the lines are intertwined or converging, it implies that the market is ranging (the ‘alligator’ is sleeping). The longer the alligator sleeps, the hungrier it will wake up; prolonged consolidation will imply a massive breakout. The alligator’s lip will be the first to move (crossing above or below the jaw) when it is waking up, which denotes the Begining of a new trend. An upward movement implies an uptrend might be forming, whereas a downward movement implies that a potential downtrend is starting. A trend will be confirmed when the alligator’s teeth cut through the lips. This will be the signal to buy in a confirmed uptrend or to sell in a confirmed downtrend. The signal to take profits will come when the lines start to converge again, which will mean that the alligator is now about to repeat the sleep cycle. Now lets see what happened in BTC marketcap According to this Strategy: We can see awakening of aligator from 9 march 2020 untill 12 april 2021. it shows a strong uptrend and aligator lines divergence. I show it with a Green Ellipse in chart. after that aligator go to sleep for a while from 12 april 2021 to 18 jan 2022. so we can see a Range in price and aligator lines converging. I show that with a Yellow Ellipse in chart. after that we see aligator lips and teeth breaks jaw and aligator awake in a downward trend so we approch a bearish market and i show that with a Red Ellipse. no one know how much this cycle last. after this section i think aligator go to sleep again and after that awake upward. please protect your capital and know about market cycles. we could see new bottoms so we must manage our risk. after that when diffrent conditions confirm uptrend we can buy again. Remember: Buy expensive but confident !!!NOTE!!! MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE. SO DO ON YOUR OWN OPINION AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS. Thank you all for reading this article hope that be useful for you. share me your opinion in comment please.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCEducation
by TraderAmin-KZ
Chaos Theory and Fractals: A forgotten name in HealthcareAbout the Tickers: Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ:CRBP is a clinical-stage company focused on the development and commercialization of novel medicines designed to target the endocannabinoid system. The Company’s lead product candidate, lenabasum, is a novel, oral, selective cannabinoid receptor type 2 (CB2) agonist designed to provide an alternative to immunosuppressive medications in the treatment of chronic inflammatory and fibrotic diseases. Lenabasum is currently being evaluated in dermatomyositis and systemic lupus erythematosus. Corbus is also developing a pipeline of other preclinical drug candidates from its endocannabinoid system platform. Phase 3 trial of Lenabasum in Systemic Sclerosis was unsuccessful last year. Currently, a phase 3 trial in Dermatomyositis is scheduled to read out top line results by Q2 2021. The Chart: Appears similar to Cassava NASDAQ:SAVA which also saw setbacks and plunged to about $1 a share. Can we use fractals and chaos theory to predict the price of $CRBP stock in the near term? Possibly. Corbus Pharmaceuticals ($CRBP) is currently trading at about $2 a share. Cassava Sciences ($SAVA) is trading at about $54 a share.
NASDAQ:CRBP
by FVCapitalManagement
1
AIONUSDT - JUST LONG IT 250% GAINS 🚀AIONUSDT Daily : BEST level to BUY 250% gains (SL/TP)(NEW) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: AIONUSDT Daily chart review / outlook ::: Reversal is happening soon ::: likely setting up for a bigger move up - Get ready BULLS ::: however short-term I recommend to focus ::: on HOLDING your Position or buying SUPPORT ::: key support level: 0.14 USD ::: recommended strategy: LONG IT 0.14 - 0.15 USD ::: SL 0.115 ::: good luck traders
ALong
by plukits
BIll Williams Chaos trades on EUR/USDThese trades can be entered in advance as Stop entry trades, where you cancel whichever trade does not trigger. 1. Go LONG above 1.1241 + Spread - ONLY if entry triggers above the red moving average (between the blue and green moving averages). Otherwise do not take this Long trade. Stop Loss 30 PIPs. Reasons as follows: a. Price bouncing up off lower diagonal trend line , drawn based on fractal Lows. b. Price bouncing up off 78.6% Fibo level. c. Price bouncing up off 1.12000 BRN . d. 14:00 candle is Bullish Divergent, a bullish sign. e. Entry level is 1 PIP above the highest fractal of the current trading range. Exit on trailing stop loss, based on a Close - not just a touch - below the red moving average line. Conservative Take Profit Level = 1.1305 (around 23.6% Fibo level), which would yield 63 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 2.1. Ideal Take Profit Level = 1.1396 (around -27.2% Fibo level), which would yield 154 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 5.1. 2. Go SHORT below 1.1189, ONLY if entry triggers below the red moving average (between the blue and green moving averages). Otherwise do not take this Short trade. Stop Loss 30 PIPs. Reasons as follows: a. Price hitting well below lower diagonal trend line , drawn based on fractal Lows. b. Price below 78.6% Fibo level, almost at 88.6% Fibo level. c. Price below 1.12000 BRN . d. Price is below the current Chaos Alligator , signifying a downtrend. d. Entry is 1 PIP below the lowest fractal of the current trading range. Exit on trailing stop loss, based on a Close - not just a touch - above the red moving average line. Conservative Take Profit Level = 1.1120 (around 127.2% Fibo extension level), which would yield 70 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 2.3. Ideal Take Profit Level = 1.1058 (around 161.8% Fibo extension level), which would yield 131 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 4.4. ___________ Why a possible entry either Long or Short? Chaos trading is a trend trading approach that always aims to go with the flow of the market. Right now it is not clear which way the market will decide to go when it re-opens on Sunday evening. Hence I am highlighting where and at what level I would choose to go either Long or Short, for the reasons stated above. Potential exit points shown are based on a trailing stop loss, and assumes this single trade. In practice, if the trend develops in either direction, there will be clear opportunities to add additional trades to capitalise on the trend, and increase profits, in line with the Williams’ Trading Chaos theory. For more details, read the book, Trading Chaos - Second Edition (ISBN 9780471463085), by Bill Williams and Justine Gregory-Williams.
by UnknownUnicorn5625341
Evaluation of supposed bullrun of bitcoinThere are 2 channels shown here inside which we would expect the price to fluctuate. I use The black fib channel to adapt it to the recent sharp rise. After all, we are unlikely to see 3k again in the nearest future. Therefore, this tool is suitable to synchronize retracement under the new realities of the market to work out its general direction. The black fib channel has a regression function, i.e. at first its angle was support and now it has become resistance, therefore all the elements - the remaining divisions of the fibs will be relevant in the event in which the price does not break the red downward trend, playing the role of resistance. To remain in sharp condition of bullish market OR the further growth can be possible if: The price breaks above red line of resistance. Doesn't cross below yellow dashed line. Fluctuation occur inside blue channel. 1 Distortion I'd accept is breaking top side. Otherwise, it will just retrace inside black fib channel. By the way, fib (1) of retracement channel, will act as a bottom, if the scenario above fails. If fib (1) fails, then look for dotted green 1.618 as next support, etc. Crossing yellow dashed line is the first sign of reversal, but I'd rather use my fave combination of indicators instead. ___________ ___________ ___________ ___________ In my opinion, the bullrun will take place only when the price crosses above downward resistance line into green area. See chart above
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by fract
4
DANGER: Global financial chaos looms, next week (educational). This is a brief educational post, that is meant as a heads up for sensible traders. They would wish to be aware of systemic risks approaching if Deutsche Bank collapses finally. This is likened to the Lehman Brothers fiasco of a few years ago, but it could be much bigger. I'm sharing this information based on reliable hard data available freely on the internet. DYOR. It's better to be prepared - and nothing happens, than not prepared and your world turns into chaos. The financial world is far more hooked up globally than around 2008 with the advent since, of superfast internet connections. The speed at which shockwaves may travel, would likely be hundreds of times faster than in 2008. So a 'flap of a butterfly's wings' in one financial corner of the planet could cause 'hurricanes' thousands of miles away in other corners of the world - like you never imagined before (concepts applied from Chaos Theory). Nothing here is predictive. I never do predictions. I deal only in probabilities. Appropriate seeding non-promotional references: 1. Lehman Brothers story 2. Deutsche Bank - recent events Disclaimer : This is not financial advice, even if so construed. Should you come to be influenced by this brief screencast, know that your losses are your own. In simple terms no liabilities accepted by me. You'd just have to sue yourself.
NYSE:DBEducation
by Captain_Walker
3
EURUSD-H4 Bullish White Swan Pattern and Long SetupDescription: FXAndalanBangsa found a Bullish White Swan Pattern on H4 Chart Time frame. Trade Period:  Intraday Trading Pair / Instrument:  EURUSD Time Frame: H4 The trend in the Timeframe: Ranging The trend in the Daily Chart:  Bearish Trade Based On: The Bullish White Swan Pattern Recommended Lot Size: 0.05@ 10 K Account with 1:100 Leverage Trade:  Long STRATEGY ENTRY USE 1'st DIMENSION CHAOS THEORY BY BILL WILLIAMS the fractal is present at the bar 09:00 pm 11-15-2018 Order Pending Buy Stop: 1.1370 Stop Loss:  1.131 TP1 = 1.146 TP2 = 1.162 TP3 = 1.173 What to pay attention: If the setup does not work and get stop out, we look for a short opportunity at Fibonacci 2.24 extension of BC 1.120- 1.117 targeting 1.131 and 1.135
Long
by erbe
Cardano into Buying mode, my TF1H and future target 3000 satoshihello avery one, how are you today? hope good al the day... wow do you have see what i count before maybe look alike but no at all same, but here have to make a new counting for this pair ADA/USD. for make a new buying for cardano . yes cheap 0.21cent USD and keep for long. why need to buy this coin.. because it so cheap and potential to grow and make a big wave... My plan is easy . buying mode is on. can by at anytime . price will be going to Blue line. and at this point soon. possible got some legging lot of fight buying and sell back. after a break the line it possible and easy to go 3000 satoshis. that is my opinion at the picture. I have drawing anyone can watch it and make an analysis properly at this point I consider good buying. let say it price 0.20cent / price go down 50% and = 0.10cent. omg... I lose it. but need to remember. Cardano today is Speculation coin. to break $1 usd in future so easily. anyone can plan for this coin long_term =hold min = 1-3 years midterm = 6 month 8 month intraday. use tf1H below and must be a seat at your computer and need some coffee.. Ok i done here for analysis.. are you agree with me just say thank and can make some comment.. thank guys. have a nice day....
Long
by asgabanz
Fractals inside fractals. Chaos theory with Bitcoin!Anybody ever read the Jurassic Park by Michael Chrichton? I was fascinated when I first came across this theory from the book, where I immediately began to see that nothing in the world operates on a linear level when you dig deeper for the truth. Chaos theory is a mathematical concept that describes the behaviour of a dynamic system where the precursor events significantly affect its subsequent events. A random subset of cluster may not mean much but continue the observations and you can see groups of disorder as a construct of order. How is this relevant to us? I drew fractal waves of smaller elliott waves forming inside larger sets of elliott waves. Looking at the start of the recent BTC reversal into the red region, I estimate a correctional wave represented by the Green A-B-C, with the obvious caveat that I cannot predict the future values of A, B, and C (wave is just for representational purposes). But what is really going on inside these correctional waves? To assist with your eyes, the elliott wave forming rising up in 1-2-3-4-5 is represented by the teal lines, followed by yellow a-b-c correction waves. Leaping just one dimension above, we see that the teal and yellow waves contribute to a larger correction A-B-C wave represented by the orange dotted line, which how the market will likely take us to the larger correctional wave low point at Green A. Why does this work? The underlying concept of the Elliott Wave Principle claims that a collection of the dynamic flow of a crow behaviour can predict the future patterns. If you remember what I said about chaos theory's underlying concept earlier in this post and apply that to the fragile mentality of cryptocurrency investors, it's no surprise why elliott wave principle's effectiveness seems to be much more amplifed here. At last, I leave you with the deary Jeff Goldblum www.youtube.com .
Short
by showmethat
Fractals inside fractals. Chaos theory with Bitcoin!Anyone ever read Michael Christon's Jurassic Park? Jeff Goldbloom playing as Ian Malcolm is an advocate of the chaos theory . It's an interesting mathematical concept that is focused on dynamical system behaviours that are highly sensitive to its precursor movements. At first sight all you see is apparent randomness, but dig deeper and you can find the underlying pattern. I've drawn out my predictions of the elliott waves inside larger elliot waves, obviously with the caveat that I cannot predict the prices at Orange B nor the Green A. I've merely drawn these out of fun, to elucidate my observations of repeating patterns. But why does this work you might ask? Elliott waves are essentially what predicts the human emotion on a chart. Given the relative influx of weak hands in the crypto scene, this indicator's predictive capabilities are just that much more amplified. I leave you with the deary old Goldman www.youtube.com .
Education
by showmethat
1