USD/JPY Reversal or Breakdown at Key Support ZoneCANDLE MASTER Update!
Here's a breakdown of the analysis idea shown:
Key Elements:
Support Zone (142.40–142.70 area): Price is currently testing this area. It acted as support in the past and may again lead to a bullish bounce.
Resistance Zone (145.00–146.00 area): Marked as a strong resistance area, near the 200 EMA. This would be a potential target if the support holds.
Next Support Zone (around 140.00–140.50): If the current support fails, price could move toward this lower support level.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red): Currently above the price, acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (blue): Also above the price, adding confluence to the resistance zone.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Reversal:
Price holds at current support.
A bounce occurs, and price targets the resistance zone near 145.90.
Entry could be confirmed with bullish candlestick patterns or a break above a local high.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
Price breaks below the current support zone.
Next support target would be around 140.52.
Entry could be considered after a retest of the broken support as resistance.
This is a classical support/resistance setup with confluence from EMAs and price action zones.
Chartanalysis
Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger DollarThe Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
Gold Climbs on Safe-Haven DemandGold climbed to nearly $3,360 per ounce on Tuesday, marking its highest level in over a week, as renewed tariff threats from President Trump increased safe-haven demand. Trump announced a 100% tariff on foreign films and signaled upcoming measures targeting pharmaceuticals. Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged despite Trump’s push for cuts.
Resistance is expected at $3,385, then $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,300, followed by $3,265 and $3,200.
Nasdaq: The Rally Continues!The Nasdaq ended last week with strong upward momentum, moving swiftly toward the resistance at 20,694 points. Now it's getting interesting: once the index breaks above this mark, it should quickly enter our upper turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), where we expect the peak of wave X in turquoise. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback during wave Y, which should aim for our lower turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 17,074 – 15,867 points). The corrective magenta wave (4) should be completed there. However, if the Nasdaq directly surpasses the significant resistance at 23,229 points, our alternative scenario will take effect. In this 35% likely case, we would consider wave alt.(4) as already complete and locate the index in the impulsive wave alt.(5) .
BTC Rebounds from Support, Eyes Resistance ZoneBitcoin Price Analysis – Potential Upside from Support Zone
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading in a range between strong support ($98,500–$99,000). After bouncing from support, price is currently testing the 50 EMA (~$94,821). A bullish scenario is expected with a possible move toward the resistance zone if price holds above support.
Bullish Gold (XAU/USD) Setup with Key Support and Target Level
CANDLE MASTER UPDATE!
with a structured roadmap for a potential move upward based on price zones, fair value gap (FVG), and market structure. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
🔍 Key Elements of the Analysis:
Support Zone (Demand)
Price bounced twice off the marked support zone (~3,200 - 3,260 USD).
These reactions are supported by the 200 EMA (blue), indicating strong underlying demand.
The green arrows highlight bullish rejections from this area, showing buyers stepping in.
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Price broke through a previous consolidation zone, now labeled as FVG (Fair Value Gap).
The recent bullish momentum filled this imbalance, suggesting strength from bulls.
Resistance Zone
Above the current level lies a resistance zone (~3,480 - 3,520 USD).
This is the next likely obstacle, and the projection shows a temporary pullback here before a continuation.
Bullish Projection
The chart outlines a potential move toward 3,634 USD, marked as the ultimate bullish target.
Two projected upward legs of 4.83% and 4.50% show how the price might move in phases:
Leg 1: From current to resistance
Leg 2: From resistance to final target
Moving Averages
50 EMA (red) is turning upward, crossing over recent candles, supporting near-term bullish bias.
200 EMA (blue) is rising, showing long-term bullish support.
🧠 Trading Insight:
A pullback to the FVG zone could provide a secondary entry (buy-the-dip).
Bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or breakout from resistance) can strengthen conviction toward 3,634.
Microsoft: Progress!Microsoft successfully completed the magenta wave (2) and made further progress during the subsequent wave (3). Imminently, this wave (3) has some more room to rise, and after a temporary pullback in the following wave (4), the price should eventually overcome the resistance at $456.16. On the other hand, our 31% likely alternative scenario envisions a new low for the green wave alt. and would include a detour below the support at $348.18. Primarily, we consider the regular wave as already completed (in our previous Target Zone).
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal from Support – Targeting Range High🧠 Analysis Idea Summary:
1. Support Zone:
The highlighted yellow box at the bottom is marked as "SUPPORT".
Price has bounced from this zone multiple times (see green arrows), showing demand and buyer interest here.
2. Target Zone:
The top yellow box is marked as "TARGET", indicating a potential resistance or profit-taking area.
The price has previously reacted here, reinforcing it as a logical upside objective.
3. Trend Context:
The 50 EMA (red) is just above the current price level (~1.13376), indicating a short-term resistance that could be tested or broken.
The 200 EMA (blue) is far below, reinforcing that the larger trend may still be bullish unless the support breaks.
4. Pattern Suggestion:
The black arrow suggests a bullish scenario: a short pullback followed by a continuation to the target zone.
This resembles a range breakout trade or support-to-resistance bounce setup.
5. Risk-to-Reward:
Long entry near support offers a favorable risk/reward ratio targeting the top of the range.
✅ Possible Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: On pullback after recent bounce confirmation near 1.13100–1.13300.
Stop Loss: Below support zone (e.g., under 1.12800).
Take Profit: At the top of the range (~1.14300–1.14500).
XAG/USD Stable Ahead of Fed DecisionSilver (XAG/USD) held steady on Tuesday, underpinned by safe-haven demand as U.S. tariff tensions and global growth concerns persisted. Although the U.S. dollar saw a slight recovery, silver maintained its ground with markets focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision. Expectations for unchanged rates and possible future easing could continue to lend support to silver in the near term.
The first resistance is seen at $33.80, with higher levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if momentum builds. Support begins at $32.00, followed by $31.40 and $30.20.
Euro Pressured Ahead of Fed DecisionThe euro is trading around $1.1315 on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, where rates are expected to remain unchanged. However, the dollar still faces headwinds from doubts over its safe-haven appeal and President Trump’s unpredictable tariff stance. A dovish Fed or continued skepticism toward the dollar may limit euro losses.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
A Bitcoin Prediction (2025)In this chart, we continue the journey of testing whether Bitcoin can live up to the expectations as published in my previous Bitcoin prediction chart (2024). Since we had technically hit my ATH cycle top for 2024–25, we are now gambling with the possibility that we might not have hit the highest cycle top targets and may just extend that little bit more. I think 2025 has most people asking, "Are we done yet?" or are we on the verge of something else? We'll just have to wait and see....
Upside:
As you can see in ATHs, there are several targets, and I've mentioned this in my previous chart. Ultimately, the high side of what this chart can expect from a cycle high is a 2-week close of $131k. Wicks can extend beyond this price, but I expect a close below (according to this chart). A close above will invalidate this chart. All prices within the lows and highs are acceptable.
Downside:
In my previous chart, I hadn't posted any projected targets during a bear market; I only highlighted the lows, as generally that is what most may consider important enough to know—when can we resume the bull market again? Well, in this chart, I have labeled two additional downside targets. Although these do not follow the same pattern as other targets, they do have a significant similarity to previous cycle lows. Expect bounces from these levels, but if the pattern holds true, they will fail and continue to lower prices. In the short term, resistance sits at $98,511, and again this is on a 2-week close. So this next week, we can wick above, which might be the path we are on.
Summary: I'll be posting updates close to each 2 week close, if I see something I'll be sure to post and update.
2024 Chart linked below.
GOLD (XAU/USD, 4H) updateOn the 4-hour chart, GOLD has broken below the lower boundary of a pennant pattern on increasing volume, signaling potential for continued downside. Despite this, the asset remains within the confines of a bullish megaphone structure, whose boundaries are still intact. The EMA indicators (20/50/100/200) are aligned in a bearish sequence, exerting downward pressure. The price is consolidating below the $3295 level and is approaching key demand zones.
Near-Term Downside Targets:
- $3177 — Intermediate demand zone
- $3063 — Major support level
Technical Highlights:
- Breakdown from bearish pennant confirmed by volume
- Price action continues within the bullish megaphone pattern
- EMA 20/50/100/200 positioned above price, indicating overhead resistance
- Volume increases observed during downward moves
- Key buyer interest zone: $3060–$3080
- Resistance zone: $3295–$3305
Following the breakdown from the consolidation pattern, gold is exhibiting a downward trajectory targeting support zones at $3177 and $3063. The bearish scenario is technically confirmed as long as the price remains below $3295. However, the movement within the bullish megaphone structure warrants close monitoring for potential shifts in momentum.
"Bitcoin Breakout Within Ascending Channel Targets $103,942"CANDLE MASTER Update!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a bullish market structure with a clear ascending channel and breakout pattern. Here's a detailed analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Ascending Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel (black lines), showing a bullish trend.
Bitcoin has recently broken out above a consolidation range, continuing the bullish momentum.
2. Support Zones (Yellow Boxes):
Multiple horizontal support zones have been marked where price previously consolidated before breaking out.
These zones could act as support if there's a retracement.
3. Breakout Projection:
The breakout move is highlighted with a vertical measurement of 8,407 points, or approximately 8.80%.
This same measurement has been projected upward from the recent breakout, targeting around $103,942, which is the next price objective.
4. Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue) are both trending upwards, which supports the bullish trend.
Price is trading well above both EMAs, indicating strong bullish momentum.
5. Volume/Timing:
No volume is shown, but the structure suggests accumulation phases followed by sharp upward moves — classic signs of breakout trading behavior.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin appears to be in a strong bullish trend with momentum likely continuing toward the $103,942 level as per the breakout projection. Support is well defined below, and unless price breaks below the lower trendline or major EMAs, the bullish outlook remains intact.
Adobe: Keep It Up!Adobe has steadily advanced upward within our beige Target Zone between $331.93 and $449.61, moving away from the low of the beige wave x, which thus gained further confirmation. The stock should soon fight its way out of this zone and head for the resistance at $640. The ongoing wave y should eventually extend significantly above this mark to complete the corrective upward movement of the blue wave (b) there.
Silver Slips on Trade Optimism and Weak Economic Data Silver prices dropped over 1% on Thursday, slipping to around $32 per ounce, dragged by reduced safe-haven demand following Trump's optimistic remarks on potential trade deals with China, India, Japan, and South Korea.
Weak economic data further pressured prices, with the U.S. economy contracting by 0.3% and China’s manufacturing PMI falling to a 16-month low, raising concerns about industrial demand.
Today, silver is showing signs of recovery amid improved risk appetite, with the market focus on the $34.90–$35.00 resistance zone as a key technical level.
Narrow Range: $31.30 – $33.70
Wide Range: $28.50 – $34.90/35.00
Gold Slips as Trade Optimism Eases Safe-Haven Demand Gold is hovering near $3,250/oz, on track for its worst week in over two months. Signs of easing tensions, China’s openness to trade talks and Trump’s remarks on deals with India, Japan, and South Korea, have weakened gold's demand.
Adding pressure, the U.S. economy contracted in Q1, and March PCE inflation was flat. Markets now turn their attention to the upcoming non-farm payrolls report.
Technically, the $3,200-$3,210 support zone is critical.
Narrow Range: $3,180 - $3,276
Wide Range: $3,075 - $3,303
#Gold #XAUUSD #SafeHaven #TradeTalks #USChina #Inflation #PCE #NonFarmPayrolls #Commodities #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrice #Forex #Investing
GBP Gains as Tariff Risk Stays LowThe British pound rose to $1.332, near its highest level since February 2022, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Sterling gained 3.2% in April, its best month since November 2023. The UK is seen as less exposed to U.S. tariffs, which President Trump has delayed until July. In 2024, the U.S. ran a $12 billion goods surplus with the UK, unlike its deficits with China and the EU, reducing trade risk. The pound also benefits from expectations that the Bank of England will be more cautious than others in cutting rates. Markets expect about 85 basis points of easing this year, which is in line with the Fed. Investors now await key U.S. jobs and inflation data for dollar direction.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Yen Near 146 as Trade Hopes WeighThe yen hovered near 146 per dollar Friday after a 1.6% drop, pressured by weaker safe-haven demand amid improving US-China trade prospects. China is open to talks after repeated U.S. outreach, while Japan and the U.S. wrapped up a second round of bilateral talks, aiming for a June deal. Domestically, Japan’s jobless rate rose to 2.5% in March, but the labor market stayed tight. The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.5% and cut its growth and inflation outlooks, signaling limited chances of near-term hikes.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
El Sewedy Electric Stock Trend AnalysisEl Sewedy Electric stock trend rose last period from the support line 78.287 to the resistance line 88.149, then rebounded to reach the support line 78.65, so the general trend was down by 0.24%. The stock rose, and broke the first support line 78.65 to reach the second support line 78.7574, then the third support line 78.858. On the other hand, when the stock rebounded, it broke the first resistance line 88.045 to reach the second resistance line 86.073, then the third resistance line 85.554
SPX Play-by-Play: From Trap to Trend and Back AgainJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Early Short Trap / Failed Breakdown — Sellers tried to press lower early, but price held key levels and reversed. That shift became the foundation for the entire move that followed.
✅ Breakout Long Trigger — After reclaiming structure, price drove into new highs with strong follow-through. Volume confirmed the breakout.
⛔ Top Rejection — Price pushed into resistance but couldn’t hold. Momentum faded, candles hesitated, and sellers stepped in.
✅ Fib-Based Bounce — After the pullback, price responded cleanly off fib-based support. The bounce was sharp, and volume backed it.
✅ Steady Uptrend Structure — Price moved in an orderly fashion. Small pullbacks held structure, and volume stayed supportive — a textbook controlled climb.
⛔ Range Resistance — Price returned to a previously rejected zone. Wicks and hesitation reappeared.
👀 Current Breakout Watch — Price is testing that resistance again. A reclaim with strength signals continuation. Another fade? Let it go.
Always happy to be helpful.
Cardano: Low Ahead!According to our primary scenario, Cardano's ADA coin should imminently pull back toward the support at $0.31 to finally complete the blue wave (ii). With this low in place, we see the altcoin breaking out above the resistance at $1.32. If the price manages to rise above this mark without forming a new low first (33% likely), we will have to assume that wave alt.(ii) in blue is already complete.