$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
Chartanalysis
Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Options FlowA few words about the prospects of oil through the lens of options trading.
The sentiment is leaning more bearish than bullish. We're seeing a surge in vertical spreads and butterflies on puts, targeting the $65-60 range for February-March 2025.
If we look at the charts, the price action resembles a 'settling' at the support level of $65-66.
It’s looking like we might see a support break, potentially a swift one, which could send prices down to a lower range, just like we've seen in the past.
But for now, this is just a theory based on price action and the options flow.
AVAX: Gathering StrengthThe AVAX coin has taken a brief pause in recent days, which we attribute to the substructure of the orange wave (iii). In the short term, the price could revisit our turquoise Target Zone (between $29.30 and $17.48), so we are keeping this range active for now. However, the primary trend remains upward, as wave (iii) should extend significantly higher. Following this wave, we anticipate an interim correction, paving the way for another rally to complete the overarching blue wave (i).
Tuesday Gold Analysis 100% Break out Alert!If market break the Resistance level 2624.6 So We take Buy Till 2640. In sell scenario We will wait for market Make Bearish Candel and Next candel break their low so we take Sell
Now market is Bullish Trend so we take Buy mostly.
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 25618, 2613
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2634, 2640.
Qualcomm: Target Zone Ahead!While many tech-sector stocks are aiming for new highs, QCOM remains locked in a narrow range around the $170 level. Last week, the stock initially reacted to the 23.60% retracement and now hovers near the edge of our blue Target Zone (coordinates: $159.57 to $121.52). Our primary expectation is for the blue wave (IV) to extend further below the support at $151.39, where we anticipate its low point. Technically, a direct breakout to the upside is also possible, as our Target Zone – and thus the minimum correction threshold – has already been reached. If the price decisively breaks above the resistance levels at $193.84, an overarching alternative wave count will come into play (probability: 33%).
BEML @ Make or Break pointBEML CMP: 3791.20; RSI: 40.01;
BEML has near completion of ABC correction wave (Shown Elongated Flat with Irregular Failure pattern). Basis above chart reading, now BEML has entered time correction zone and may consolidate in band of 4280-3430 , which may last till Jan 2025.
If the consolidation band is broken upwards ( 3 day closing above 4280 level) , which may take the script in price expansion mode and new wave formation will take the script to 4604-5052 & finally to 6234 levels.
Breakdown below the lower band of consolidation zone and close below 3430, will invalidate the ABC pattern counting and script may slip to 3157 and if this level is broken eventually will find support at 2710 levels.
Scenario 1: Breakout above 4280
Buy above: 4280
Stop Loss: 3881
Target: 4604-5052-6234
Scenario 2: Breakout below 3430
Short: 3312
Stop Loss: 3430
Target: 3157 -2710
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Boeing: Long Opportunities!As expected, Boeing has recently moved down into our green Target Zone between $146.35 and $113.35. Within this price range, we anticipate the low of the green wave . Once this low is established, we expect the stock to resume its upward trajectory, as the subsequent green wave should have significant potential, targeting levels well above the resistance at $267.54. Our Target Zone can thus serve as an entry point for long positions. To manage risk, traders could place a stop-loss 1% below the lower boundary of the Zone.
Thursday Gold confirm Signal FOMC Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2570 and 2584. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2559, 2565.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2592, 2605.
Cardano: In Wave [v]From the low of the orange wave on November 4 to the peak of the subsequent orange wave last Sunday, ADA surged by more than 100%. The brief pullback in the orange wave was caught by our now grayed-out Target Zone. Currently, the orange wave should be underway, potentially pushing the price well beyond the $0.65 resistance level. However, there remains a 33% chance for a bearish short-term alternative scenario. In this case, an imminent sell-off into our green Target Zone between $0.44 and $0.35 would occur. This would imply that ADA completed its orange five-wave upward structure at the $0.65 resistance and has already entered the subsequent corrective green wave alt.2.
AUDCHF - INTRADAY IDEAExecute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
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Polygon: Shaken UpFollowing an impressive 60% rally from the low of the green wave on November 5, POL has seen a sharp pullback since Tuesday, shedding about 20% of its value. The price remains stuck within our blue Target Zone between $0.30 and $0.47. However, it should exit this range during the ongoing blue upward wave (i) to surpass the August 21 high at $0.60. However, if the price instead falls below the support at $0.28, the green wave alt. will mark a new low. This would delay the development of the blue five-wave upward structure – a scenario we rate with a 37% probability.
Supply zone breakout Alert!Now market is running near zone of strong supply 2611 to 2614 so I see strong water fall from here and also you see gold retest the lower low then continue to push up.
Liquidity is near at 2602 to 2600 so Gold first grab this liquidity after that we can see Gold on the Moon.
The $2680 Question: Will Gold Correct or Continue to Fall?The current chart setup for Gold is decidedly bearish: we’re seeing a breakdown through key support and a local low. This is clear and hard to miss. Retail traders are diving in, buying the dip, and they’re not in a rush to close their long positions, hoping to ride it out. This sentiment is actually quite good for the bearish trend.
That said, when we zoom out and look at the bigger picture, a potential correction to around $2680 is on the radar. It might not happen, of course; I’m not a fortune teller. But it’s definitely a possibility worth considering.
Here’s the reasoning behind this potential correction scenario:
We have a solid liquidity level where buyers could be lurking, and there were compelling visual cues to establish positions there (uptrend + buying after a pullback + following a strong bullish candle). Plus, the open data backs this up (see attached screen)
So, if we do see that correction materialize, I’ll be looking to open some shorts at that level.
Google: At the Resistance!Driven by bullish momentum in the tech sector, Google’s stock has recently gained as expected. The resistance at $181.61 has presented a key hurdle in recent weeks. However, our primary wave count indicates that this level will be surpassed next during the ongoing magenta wave . This bullish impulse should conclude significantly higher in the chart, thereby setting a new all-time high. Conversely, there’s a 38% chance for our alternative scenario, which suggests an extended wave alt. correction.
Tuesday Gold 100% Trade Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2698 and 2608. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2592, 2586.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2613
XAUUSD 100% Confirmed Signal Alert!XAUUSD Insight: If market go buy from here so gold make one bullish candel on 30TF and the next candel break previous candel high so Gold Buy. For sell side there is support at 2612.9 if this break and close below on it.
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2609, 2604.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2625, 2635.
Broadcom: Bullish Comeback!The downtrend that began in early October was recently broken as AVGO surged by 10% at the start of the month. We still see the stock in an overarching corrective movement, with the last cycle top marked in June 2024 by the peak of the blue wave I. Primarily, we anticipate a three-wave structure to unfold in the ongoing blue wave II. The beige wave B should have sufficient upward momentum to push up to the resistance level at $211.94. Afterward, the final sell-off of wave C should unfold. Our 30% likely alternative scenario, however, suggests a different wave count and a premature downward move below $126.04. In either case, we expect a new low of the blue wave II.
Here is a quick analysis based on the new BTC/USD chart.The chart shows a significant upward trend in Bitcoin's price. It seems that the price has broken out of the previous consolidation channel and is now heading towards a major ascending resistance area, the upper boundary of which represents nearly $100,000.
Bitcoin maintains an upward trajectory with strong support from the lower trend lines.
The $88,000 to $100,000 target area is a strong resistance area where we could see some price consolidation or rejection.
If BTC can break this resistance with strong momentum, it could signal a substantial long-term bullish phase.
Be wary of potential pullbacks as BTC approaches these key resistance areas. Let me know if you would like more information on specific indicators or trendlines!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
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Microsoft: Progress!The Microsoft stock has now successfully completed wave B in turquoise at $444.95. So, now we locate the price in the subsequent wave C, which is set to finalize the overarching three-part wave in dark green. This suggests further declines, with an ideal low just below $400. Following the low of the overarching wave , Microsoft should initiate a new upward impulse. While there’s a 25% chance that wave alt. in dark green has already hit its low, this alternative scenario will only be confirmed if the stock breaks above $469.55.
FTMUSDT - Inverse Head & Shoulders - A Prime Long Opportunity?1.) Quick Overview
On the FTM/USDT 4-hour chart, an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is shaping up, often hinting at a bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, this could offer an excellent long setup. The key level to watch is around the mOpen at $0.6555, where the price is expected to dip and complete the “right shoulder,” potentially setting the stage for a strong bounce.
2.) Deep Dive: Chart Analysis
Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern:
- Left Shoulder: Formed near $0.6342.
- Head: A deeper low at $0.4744, marking the low point of the pattern.
- Right Shoulder (In Progress): Expected to complete around mOpen at $0.6555. If the price touches down here and holds, it could serve as an ideal long entry point.
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level aligns near $0.6555, supporting the right shoulder as a potential bounce zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- mOpen at $0.6555: This is our primary entry level, where the right shoulder could find support.
- VAL (Volume Area Low) at $0.6324: Another important support zone where the anchored VWAP also aligns, reinforcing this area as a significant base. If the price dips below mOpen, the VAL may act as a secondary support level.
- VAH (Volume Area High) at $0.7262: Our initial target if the inverse Head & Shoulders completes, with potential for further gains.
Volume Profile:
- Increased volume near the head formation suggests accumulation, supporting a bullish scenario if the right shoulder completes as expected.
3.) Trade Setup
- Entry: Look for a long entry around $0.6555.
- Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $0.58 to manage risk if the pattern fails.
- Target: Initial target at $0.7262 with room for more upside if the breakout continues.
- Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with solid support and a high-probability bounce area.
4.) Final Thoughts
- With the combination of the inverse Head & Shoulders, support at mOpen, Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP at the VAL, this FTM/USDT setup looks promising for a long position. Watch for confirmation around $0.6555 to see if the right shoulder completes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully!