Gold Rallies Past $2,980 as Trade and Inflation Risks MountGold surged above $2,980 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high and poised for a 2% weekly gain amid risk aversion and rising Fed rate cut expectations. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU imposed a 50% tax on U.S. whiskey. February's PPI and CPI data signaled easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts and boosting gold’s appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at $2,985, with further levels at $3000 and $3,050. Support is at $2,930, followed by $2,900 and $2,860.
Chartanalysis
Sterling Struggles Amid Risk Aversion and US Tariff ThreatsGBP/USD extends its decline for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.2940 during Friday's Asian trading hours. The currency pair faces difficulties as the Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens due to a negative risk sentiment, which has been further worsened by worries over global trade following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 200% tariff on European wines and champagne, creating market instability.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2980, the next resistance levels are 1.3050 and 1.3100. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
NEWS MOVE ALERT PPI AND UNEMPLOYEEMENT CLAIM.🚨 Gold Trading Update 🚨
Hey Traders! 👋
Here's the current scenario: Gold is heading towards the 2950-2955 level. Expect a possible fake-out, followed by a sharp drop. 📉
🔍 Key Insight: There’s an FVG on the H1 chart, signaling a potential sell-off before we see another GOLD rally. 🚀
Today’s News: PPI report 📊 drops, so expect a significant market move! Gold might respect the FVG and target these levels for a potential buy:
👉 2970
👉 2980
👉 3000
⚠️ Tip: Follow my strategy and always use proper risk management with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. 💡
Happy Trading! 💰📈
Coca-Cola: As PlannedAs primarily anticipated, Coca-Cola has recently established the peak of wave in magenta just below the resistance at $73.53. The stock then dropped by approximately 5%. We now expect the low of wave in magenta to occur soon, and afterward, wave should bring significant gains, thus completing the large wave III in beige. Our Target Zone for this wave III top lies between $75.42 and $78.88. It provides opportunities to either close existing long positions or to open new short trades.
XAU/USD Chart"Do you think gold can give us a profit before it closes its weekly candle, reaching from the current price of 2958?"
"Do you think gold can give us a profit before it closes its weekly candle, reaching from the current price of 2958? And if you were in this trade, where would you set your take profit and stop loss?"
Lower US Inflation Drives Gold's SurgeGold surged to around $2,940 per ounce on Thursday, nearing record highs as escalating trade tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Trump threatened more tariffs on EU goods after retaliatory measures from the EU and Canada, while Commerce Secretary Lutnick confirmed planned trade protections on copper.
Meanwhile, US inflation data came in lower than expected, easing concerns and giving the Fed more room for a less restrictive policy. However, the long-term impact of tariffs remains uncertain, with inflation risks still looming.
Key resistance stands at $2,955, with further levels at $2,980 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
GBP/USD Climbs to 1.2960, Dollar Under PressureGBP/USD trades around 1.2960 in Thursday’s Asian session, extending gains for a third day as the US Dollar weakens with recession fears linked to Trump’s policies.
The dollar faces further pressure after February inflation slowed more than expected, raising speculation of an earlier Fed rate cut. Headline inflation fell from 0.5% to 0.2% monthly and from 3.0% to 2.8% yearly, while core inflation dropped to 0.2% monthly and 3.1% yearly. Markets now await US PPI and jobless claims data for further economic signals.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2980, the next resistance levels are 1.3050 and 1.3100. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
Yen Supported by BOJ TighteningThe Japanese yen stabilized around 148 per dollar on Wednesday, recovering after two days of declines as a weaker US dollar offset trade conflict concerns. Trump vowed more tariffs after the EU and Canada retaliated against his steel and aluminum duties, escalating tensions.
The yen remained supported by expectations of further BOJ rate hikes, driven by strong wage growth and inflation. Japanese companies approved significant wage increases for the third year, boosting consumer spending and giving the BOJ more flexibility for future hikes.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
VeChain: Struggling…VeChain is struggling to stay above the key support at $0.018, but the anticipated low of the orange corrective wave ii should form above this red line – or may have already done so. Once the bottom is indeed settled, we expect the orange wave iii to break out impulsively, pushing well beyond the $0.08 resistance, where the entire orange five-wave move should ultimately complete the blue wave (iii). However, if VET falls below $0.018, the broader green wave alt. will reach a new bear market low (probability: 38%). Primarily, we consider wave as already finished.
$BTC Price Showing Head and Shoulder Pattern On Chart, CPI DATACRYPTOCAP:BTC Price Showing Head and Shoulder Pattern On Chart, CPI DATA, $95K Soon as Possible?
Bitcoin high-entry buyers are driving sell pressure, price may ‘floor’ at $70K
Bitcoin's “top buyers” are selling heavily, with onchain analytics firm Glassnode calling it a “moderate capitulation event.”
Bitcoin buyers who purchased around when it hit a $109,000 all-time peak in January are now panic-selling as the cryptocurrency declines, says onchain analytics firm Glassnode, which isn’t ruling out that Bitcoin could slide to $70,000.
Glassnode said in a March 11 markets report that a recent sell-off by top buyers has driven “intense loss realization and a moderate capitulation event.”
Short-term holders fled as Bitcoin dropped from peak
The surge in buyers paying higher prices for Bitcoin
BTC $82,482 in recent months is reflected in the short-term holder realized price — the average purchase price for those holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days.
In October, the short-term realized price was $62,000. At the time of publication, it’s $91,362 — up about 47% in five months, according to Bitbo data.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading at $81,930 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap. This leaves the average short-term holder with an unrealized loss of roughly 10.6%.
Related: Bitcoin slides another 3% — Is BTC price headed for $69K next?
On the same day, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said that Bitcoin may retest the $78,000 price level and, if that fails, may head to $75,000 next.
Glassnode explained that a similar sell-off Bitcoin pattern was seen in August when Bitcoin fell from $68,000 to around $49,000 amid fears of a recession, poor employment data in the United States, and sluggish growth among leading tech stocks.
#BTC☀ #BinanceAlphaAlert #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Fed Expectations Increase Silver PricesSilver surged to nearly $33 as the US Dollar fell sharply, with the DXY dropping to 103.35, its lowest in four months. Concerns over Trump’s tariff policies and their impact on the US economy fueled the dollar’s decline, supporting demand for silver.
Investors now await US CPI data for February, which could influence Fed rate expectations. A slower inflation rate may increase the likelihood of a May rate cut, with odds rising to 51% from 37% in a day, further supporting Silver’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Recession Fears Support Gold's StabilityGold held steady above $2,910 per ounce, maintaining a 1% gain. Investor sentiment shifted after Trump reversed his plan to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, just hours after the announcement. Ontario Premier Doug Ford also paused a 25% surcharge on US electricity exports.
Trade uncertainties and US recession fears continued to support gold, though geopolitical tensions eased as the US restored military aid to Ukraine following a 30-day ceasefire agreement with Russia. Markets now focus on upcoming US CPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate outlook.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
Dollar Weakness Supports GBP Near HighsThe British pound held around $1.29, near a four-month high, as dollar weakness persisted on US economic concerns and tariff risks. Sterling was supported by expectations that UK rates will stay higher for longer, with traders pricing in only 52bps of BoE cuts in 2025.
UK’s monthly GDP data for January and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s economic and borrowing forecasts on March 26 are now awaited, which could impact market sentiment.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2950, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
Eurozone Spending Plans Boost EuroThe euro surged past $1.09, its highest in four months, gaining 5% since early March. This rally was driven by Eurozone plans to expand deficit spending, stimulating growth prospects. Germany pushed for a €500 billion infrastructure fund, while France and Italy supported joint EU funding for economic and military initiatives.
The ECB signaled a shift toward a less restrictive policy after last week’s rate cut, suggesting the easing cycle may be nearing its end. Meanwhile, US economic concerns pressured the dollar, further lifting the euro.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
Yen's Rise and the Risk of Currency VolatilityThe Japanese yen strengthened to 147 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in five months, as US recession fears drove investors to long-term trusted assets. Trump's reluctance to dismiss recession risks, along with trade policy uncertainty, added to yen demand.
Japan's economic outlook weakened as Q4 GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8%, reflecting weak private consumption. Despite this, the BOJ is expected to keep rates steady in March, with potential hikes later. Finance Minister Shunichi Kato cautioned against excessive currency volatility amid the yen’s rapid gains.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
BTC/USDT updateBefore the correction, we had already shared the most probable scenario for #BTC in Spot Club and, with a slight delay, in this channel. As expected, the price dropped around 11% in spot within wave C, leading to significant liquidity being absorbed in the market.
However, we had already warned tarde-ai.bot members about this potential move in advance.
We still consider our previous outlook as the most probable scenario for Bitcoin's next move. If our perspective changes, we will update the analysis accordingly.
Avalanche: Pending LowWith the recent sharp pullback, AVAX has entered the lower third of our magenta long Target Zone between $24.42 and $13.30. The low of the turquoise wave 2 is approaching and should form well above the $8.64 support. From the bottom of wave 2, we expect a rally in the turquoise impulse wave 3, which should aim for the current all-time highs of the last bull run.
Brent Crude Struggles at $69 as Global Demand Risks MountBrent crude hovered around $69 per barrel on Tuesday as concerns grew that U.S. tariffs could slow economic growth and weaken oil demand. Tariffs imposed by President Trump on major suppliers like Canada and Mexico, along with China’s retaliatory measures, heightened fears of a global slowdown.
China’s deepening deflationary pressures further weighed on crude prices despite stimulus efforts. On the supply side, Russia’s Deputy PM Alexander Novak confirmed OPEC+ plans to boost production in April but noted the decision could be reassessed if market conditions shift.
Technically, the first support is at $68.1, with subsequent levels at $65 and $63.6. On the upside, the initial resistance is at $70.2, followed by $73.3 and $75.80.
Bitcoin Drops 27% from Record High Amid Market SelloffBitcoin fell to $78,000 on Monday, down 27% from its all-time high, as crypto and stock markets lost a combined $6 trillion. Crypto market capitalization dropped 4% to $2.67 trillion, its lowest since November 9, shedding $1.2 trillion since December 17. Bitcoin hit a multi-month low, falling from its January peak of $107,000. Stocks mirrored the decline, with the S&P 500 losing $1.4 trillion—its worst single-day drop since 2022. The sharp selloff reflects a shift from risk assets, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 14, a two-year low, signaling extreme risk aversion. This contrasts with last year’s post-Trump election rally, where the index peaked at 92.
Technically, the first support for BTC is at $78k, with subsequent levels at FWB:73K and $65k. On the upside, the initial resistance is at GETTEX:89K , followed by $95k and $100k.
Trade Uncertainty and Fed Stance Keep Silver Prices ElevatedSilver held at $32.50 per ounce after a 4.4% weekly gain, as trade tensions and U.S. inflation data kept investors cautious. Uncertainty grew after Trump warned of new tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber, following a U.S. delay on 25% tariffs for Canadian and Mexican goods. Canada upheld retaliatory measures, while China’s tariffs on U.S. agriculture took effect. Concerns deepened after Trump avoided recession and inflation questions in a Fox News interview. Fed Chair Powell signaled no rush for rate cuts despite rising economic risks.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.