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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.21.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🛢️ Trump Considers 25% Tariff on Imported Cars: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, aiming to protect domestic manufacturers. This move could impact global trade relations and the automotive industry. 🇷🇺🇺🇸 U.S.-Russia Diplomatic Talks: High-level discussions between U.S. and Russian officials are set to continue, focusing on resolving the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Outcomes from these talks may influence global markets and geopolitical stability. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 21: 🏭 Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 51.3; Previous: 51.2. 💼 Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0; Previous: 52.9. 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 4.13M; Previous: 4.24M. 📉 Michigan Consumer Sentiment (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 71.1; Previous: 67.8. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.20.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇰🇷📉 Samsung Share Cancellation: Samsung Electronics plans to cancel over 57 million shares, including 50.1 million common shares and 6.9 million preferred shares, on February 20. This move aims to reduce the total number of issued shares without decreasing the company's capital. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Thursday, Feb 20: 🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 19.4; Previous: 44.3. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 214K; Previous: 213K. 📈 Leading Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1%; Previous: -0.1%. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.19.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🗣️ President Trump's Address: At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech that may provide insights into upcoming policy directions. 📱🍏 Apple Product Launch: Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced a new product launch set for February 19, 2025. Speculations suggest it could be the iPhone SE 4, featuring a 6.1-inch OLED display and an A18 chip with Apple Intelligence. 📊 Key Data Releases: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.390M; Previous: 1.499M. 📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025. 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions. 🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: Tuesday, Feb 18: 🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State. 🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook. Wednesday, Feb 19: 🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects. 🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting. Thursday, Feb 20: 🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims. 🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region. Friday, Feb 21: 🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance. 🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.14.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Trump Signs Reciprocal Tariffs Executive Order: President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries with trade barriers against the U.S. The tariffs will not take effect immediately, which has been well-received by the markets. Potential Ukraine Peace Talks: The U.S. is initiating discussions with Russia and Ukraine to potentially end the ongoing conflict. This development has led to a decrease in crude oil prices and could influence global markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes (8:30 AM ET): Import Prices: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. Export Prices: Forecast: Data not available; Previous: +0.3% MoM 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #daytrading #charting #trendtao
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today. Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases: Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM. Thursday, Feb 13: 🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K. Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.7.2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🤝🇨🇦🇲🇽 Tariff Developments: The U.S. has announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, set to take effect on March 4, 2025, following a 30-day delay after negotiations. 🇺🇸📈🇨🇳 Tariffs on China: A 10% tariff on Chinese imports was implemented on February 4, 2025. In response, China has announced retaliatory tariffs ranging from 10% to 15% on select U.S. goods, effective February 10, 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases: 🏢 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +165K | Previous: +150K 📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1% | Previous: 4.1% 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% | Previous: +0.2% 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up may lead to a rejection back down into the 6041 area. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Expect slight morning choppiness, followed by a significant sell-off either in the early morning or afternoon, dropping into 6025 before bouncing to close above 6041. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and then pump back higher than 6025; that's the flip level. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.5.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November. 📈 Key Data Releases: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊 Forecast: 54.2 | Previous: 54.1 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up will get a rejection below 6032. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher as a continuation and drop down 1% off the HCZ. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and pump back higher. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M) 🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization. #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮 📅 Mon, Feb 3 ⏰ 10:00 AM ET 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI Previous: 49.3 Forecast: 49.2 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌎Global Events: 🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut. 🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP figures, providing insights into the health of Europe's largest economy. 💹 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Markets might overreact, but this meeting was void of new information. All things markets knew beforehand. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely bounce hard from these lower levels and hold higher. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.29.2025🔮 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 💡 Global Events: 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates. 🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment. 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down to EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Semis haven't recovered yet, so there's a leg higher in the markets. Looking for a chop after. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a massive recovery in 1-2 days and go back to 6050. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 💡 Global Events: 🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth. 🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions. 📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results. 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Nightly SPX/SPX/SPY Predictions for 1.27.2024🔮 📅 Mon Jan 27 No major U.S. data 🌍 Global Watch: ECB signals 2025 rate cuts (25–50 bps expected). 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am ET 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone inflation rises to 2.4% (stagflation risks). 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm ET 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm ET 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 🌍 Global Watch: ECB downgrades 2025 GDP to 1.1% (Germany recession). 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am ET 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌍 Global Watch: ECB rate decision (25–50 bps cut expected). 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am ET 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone Q4 GDP forecast: 0.3–0.4% (spillover risk). 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Hard to move up higher, so will slowly chop down to the Cushion levels. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.24.2024🔮 📅 Fri Jan 24 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.1% 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.8% ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Chicago PMI: 36.9 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Trump mentioned he will try to lower the rates. Let’s see how the markets adjust to it, but definitely expecting a little more bullishness to the upside. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: A large recovery will allow the markets to tag the red lines before closing slightly lower below the weekly HPZ. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.23.2024🔮 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🎙️ President Trump Speaks 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -0.1M (prev: -2.0M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: If we gap up once more, we will break all-time highs. This will be met by a big decline to juice liquidity. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Only resistance left, looking for a small pop up into the weekly zone to get a drop back down into the HCZ and HEL. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce, hold, and chop down. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
HODLing versus Day Trading. aka Hoping versus ControlFrom my experience I've learned that I prefer control of my profit rather than holding and hoping. With there being over 14,000 crypto projects to choose from, there is no guarantee that each market will go back up. The marker caps are already rather expensive, so to double your money on Bitcoin for example it has to go to $200k, whereas with prop firm day trading I can double my position's size in within an hour. I have created a trading strategy to support my desire of control. If you too like control over your profit, then stay close to my work.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Blayno_MTOPS
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.21.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 21 🗓️ Day 2 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Wed Jan 22 🗓️ Day 3 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 220K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -2.0M 📅 Fri Jan 24 🗓️ Day 5 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Flash Manufacturing PMI: 49.4 📊 Flash Services PMI: 56.8 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Existing Home Sales: 4.19M (prev: 4.15M) 📊 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: 73.2 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down at HPZ back into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A lot of resistance overhead. Markets should cool down after the gaps from last week. Small rally into fade downwards. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce and hold. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.17.2024🔮 📅 Fri Jan 17 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down by the weekly zone before dropping lower. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: People finally decided to be bullish after seeing yesterday's price action. Let’s bet against them first, then close it around 5925. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce and hold. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.16.2024🔮 📅 Thu Jan 16 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K) 📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -5.2 (prev: -16.4) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Craziest thing was the amount of people trying to call the top today. For tomorrow, any dip would be bought back up unless people start being unanimously bullish. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Instead of a decisive move, it will be volatile, so daytrade. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPX
by TrendTao