Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Chart Patterns
2025 - Year of ETHEREUM = 10kWe are nearing Ethereum's historical reversal. I have been waiting for this zone for a long time, and we are already here.
Check this chart
Now, let's turn on the logic. Many financial institutions and banks did not buy that amount of Bitcoin at a low price, and now, looking at the reality, they realize that they will not miss such a chance with the number two cryptocurrency in the world. Calling Ethereum the number one cryptocurrency in the future and making irrefutable arguments about the more excellent technology of a larger ecosystem and others.
Therefore, based on this logic, we can see an unprecedented influx of money into Ethereum and the entire ecosystem will fly upwards, all L2 solutions and all those projects that came out in the last 2 years in the ecosystem of ethereum that have not shown any result and disappointed the cryptocurrency community. When the majority went into super-tech projects, memcoins performed. To a greater extent this ecosystem will be inflated by retail and small funds based on the logic above, large market participants will recruit and already accumulate the primary cryptocurrency of the ecosystem - ETH.
This is why we can see the coveted 10k$ per coin in 2025.
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone ($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) , also Bitcoin managed to break the Descending Channel . Although the main Ascending Channel has been broken in the above time frame , I still expect the pullback to the main ascending channel to continue.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave Y of the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the 🎯Targets🎯 I have specified on the chart .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD BUY ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders! what do you think about gold today.
current gold price: 2603
bulls are back and now gold is about to hit 2645 which is our demand zone. after rejecting 2582 twice market has established a strong bullish trend. from this position market's first target will be to break 2626 resistance and if market successfully breakout this zone then its next target will be 2645.
key points:
resistance: 2626, 2638
supporting area: 2595, 2618
Note:
First Target: 2625
Second Target: 2645
Stop Loss: 2582
kindly like, comment and follow for latest updates on gold. thanks for your precious time and support.
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis.
A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at.
Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing.
Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other.
After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different.
Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information.
As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement?
The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it...
Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
BTC - This Christmas is NOT different!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas.
I hope you enjoy this Christmas-themed idea.🎄
💡Can you spot a pattern here?
As shown in my last two Christmas posts (attached to the chart), BTC broke out of consolidation and surged by around 70%.📈
I believe this Christmas will be no different.
For the next bullish wave to begin, a break above the orange zone is needed, which aligns perfectly with the $100,000 round number.
What do you think? Will this Christmas follow the structure of the past two years, or will it be different and lead to a deeper correction⁉️
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
Merry Christmas Everyone 🎄
~Richard Nasr
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 2629 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection.
We are now seeing price head towards the bearish gap below. We are looking for price to stay supported above this level to continue to use our smaller timeframes for entries to buy dips, unless we see a cross and lock below 2600, in which case the lower range will open up.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SOLUSDT - Will this nightmare come true?On October 22, I published this chart, and many were skeptical about what I was talking about.
"I share it and u can check the link i left in attachment."
Now, this scenario is highly likely, and everything is unfolding as shown in the chart below.
You can clearly see the Wyckoff Distribution pattern already formed, and so far, price movements align significantly with the illustration provided.
Currently, the price has returned to the distribution zone, hitting the "failed rally point"
. All of this appears to have been a trap.
And why not?... SOL is one of the largest coins in the market by market cap. Everyone is expecting SOL to achieve x3 or even x10. This makes it entirely logical for the price not to move higher amidst this level of optimism.
I’m not entirely pessimistic, but I view things from a purely logical perspective.
This pattern is not yet confirmed—we need a massive red candle closing below the distribution zone to confirm it. However, the price movement so far is perfectly aligned with the Wyckoff Distribution logic.
If a close below this red zone happens, consider it a signal to exit the market entirely."
Gold is Ready to Break Resistance lines!!!Gold attacked a Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) yesterday, as I expected .
Gold is starting to rise from the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) and breaking the First Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold managed to complete wave 5 so that wave 5 was Truncated .
I expect Gold to attack the Downtrend line and the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) after breaking the First resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes below $2,600, we should expect more Dumps⚠️.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price reached resistance line and then at once declined to support line, after which started to grow.
A short time later, Gold rose to $2685 level, broke it, and then rose to resistance line one more time.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline inside falling channel, where it broke support line with $2685 level.
Gold continued to fall, but later it reached resistance line, after which made downward impulse.
Price broke $2615 level and fell to support line of channel, after which bounced up, exiting from channel.
Now it trades close $2615 level and possible that Gold can little grow and then fall to $2570, breaking support level again.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown:
Descending Broadening Wedge:
Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control.
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Current Structure:
BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal.
The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup.
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Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle.
Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000.
Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook.
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Momentum Indicators:
Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure.
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Trade Setup:
Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000.
Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
RIVIAN LOOKS PRIMED! 120% UpsideNASDAQ:RIVN
Is it finally time for Rivian to break out of the multi-year downtrend?
-Falling wedge
-Symmetrical triangle
-Inverse H&S
-Williams CB formed
-H5 is GREEN
TRADE once we get B/O
Breakout: $16
SL: $9.52
Targets: $28/ $36
Risk/Reward ratio: 3
Not financial advice
Price target $35 remaining underweight for FY 2025- Ugly draw downs for NASDAQ:PLTR next year.
- Fundamentals don't support the rosy valuation. Stock is priced more than perfection.
- Investors expectations are way to high and will met with disappointment in upcoming quarters in FY 2025
- FY 2025 will likely trap bulls and lead to severe corrections at much lower levels than Twitter bulls claiming PLTR to the moon 100+
Bullish Cypher - SPY spotted a bullish Cypher pattern on SPY’s daily chart, and it looks promising.
Entry: Current Market Price
Stop Loss: 575.50, just under the D-point, to give the trade some breathing room.
Targets: All time high
Ideas and Inputs are welcome.
Thank you for dropping by.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#USOIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello traders, what do you think about my analysis.
current price: 69.80
market has created a parallel sell channel which can take market down to 68.00. there is high probability of sell as market is following a sell pattern.
key points:
resistance: 69.80, 70.30
supporting area: 79.10, 68.08
like, comment and support my idea. thanks for your precious time.
EURUSD: A big move in making, make sure you are in right trackDear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have an excellent selling opportunities from two zones, the first entry has potential of swing sell but we are doubtful and that is why we have a second entry area zone where if the price is liquidated then we can target the second entry.
good luck.
#ALTSEASON IS COMING!#TOTALALTCOINS CUP & HANDLE BREAKING BULLISH! 🔥👇
The Total Altcoin Market Cap has formed a massive **Cup & Handle pattern** on the weekly chart, and it's breaking out bullish! 🚀
With the breakout confirmed, the market is targeting a massive move toward **$1.72T**, representing a 531% increase! Altcoins are showing incredible strength—keep an eye on the market as it sets up for a potential mega rally!
#Crypto #Altcoins #BullRun2025
MOASS: WC: 29.82 Target: 1800-2400 MOASS: 47k-100KTLDR:
Santa Baby!
Price is going to rally starting next week
Wave 5 of a larger degree wave 1 will complete by year end/1st week in Jan
Retracement will be last chance to get price at these levels
Price is fractal and is rhyming in structure
Happy Holidays!