BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection
In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior.
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Historical Context: Previous Cycles
3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months:
- 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000.
- This was followed by a significant correction.
- 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections.
Cycle Completion – Price Reversion
By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase.
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Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024
We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle :
- Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event.
- If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect:
- A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K.
- A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase.
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Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving)
Using the same temporal framework:
- By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K.
- This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion .
- It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion.
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The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic
- Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent :
- Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving .
- Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving.
- These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles .
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Final Thoughts
This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026.
Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain .
What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
Chart Patterns
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3341 and a gap below at 3307. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410
BEARISH TARGETS
3307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3278 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3255
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3027 - 3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3330 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold vs Bitcoin — Is a Historic Shift Coming ?Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to take a closer look at the GOLD price — because lately, many people have been asking:
"Where is the top?"
"Are we still bullish on gold?"
And more importantly:
"What’s your take on this as both a crypto trader and macro analyst?"
So let’s dive in and break it down from both the fundamental and technical perspectives.
🟡 Gold and Its Correlation with Other Assets
As you probably know, gold is a safe haven for long-term investors, central banks, and governments.
So when inflation rises or when we see money-printing policies to avoid a recession, gold tends to shine — because it’s a classic anti-inflation asset.
But here’s the catch:
Gold isn’t the only game in town.
Other inflation-hedging assets like Bitcoin, stocks, silver, and real estate also compete for capital — so it’s natural to see money rotate between them.
🇺🇸 Trump’s Policy Twist — Gold vs Bitcoin?
A few weeks ago, Donald J. Trump hinted that the U.S. might sell part of its gold reserves to buy BTC.
Crazy, right? But here’s where the story gets really interesting...
If this happens, we could start seeing an inverse relationship between gold and BTC — kind of like the early days of oil vs. gold correlations.
Let me break it down.
🤖 BTC vs. Gold — Simple Math, Big Picture
Gold’s current market cap is about $22 Trillion — which is almost 20 times larger than BTC’s.
Let’s ask a simple question: Do we need another GETTEX:22T to pump gold 100%? 👉 No.
Why?
Because most gold is held by:
Central banks
Governments
Jewelry industry
Only a small percentage is available for trading. So even a tiny reduction in selling pressure = huge impact on price.
But here’s the flip side: BTC’s market cap is just $1.7T, and a huge portion is held by:
Institutions like BlackRock
Whales like Michael Saylor
Lost wallets from early adoption
So it’s simple:
👉 BTC has way more room to grow, and is easier to store, transfer, and scale.
If we enter a new QE cycle, the upside potential for BTC will be far greater than gold — and smart money knows this.
🧠 Technical Analysis (TA) Time
On the chart, gold has broken above a rising wedge — which is typically a bearish pattern.
So... is this a trap?
In my opinion: No.
Why?
Because if the wedge breakdown were to play out fully, the target would be around $280, which is just laughable 😂 — a 90% crash? Highly unlikely.
Instead, here’s the bullish scenario:
If gold can hold above the monthly support, we may see a slow, steady rally — not parabolic like crypto, but meaningful.
🎯 Bullish target: $7,760
📉 DXY, Fed Policies & Gold’s Future
As I said in my last idea about the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), the dollar is showing weakness, and the Fed might cut rates to avoid a recession.
Check the chart I posted here: 👉 DXY Chart Idea :
What do we see?
A clear double top pattern
Breakdown from key support
Probable shift to QE mode
All of this could ignite a new bull cycle — and yes, gold may benefit...
…but don’t forget what I said about Trump.
If the U.S. starts selling gold to buy BTC, we might see a short-term correction in gold back to the green support box before the real breakout.
So make sure to stay sharp — and as always:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up and finally complete - BOOOOM!!!
After completed all our [previous targets on this chart, we were left with a body close above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281. This target was hit last week completed this chart idea.
We will now update a new weekly chart idea next week with more long term/range projections. Please keep an eye out for this for next Sunday or if we get a chance, we will try and get this out earlier.
However, please note if we see a rejection here on the channel top, then the lower levels within the channel, are still valid to track the movement down and up.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Trend-Following Pattern
Gold closed on Thursday, forming a bullish flag pattern
on an hourly time frame.
The flag reflects a correction that the market started after a completion
of a strong bullish wave.
A breakout of its resistance line and a candle close above will signify
a highly probable resumption of the trend.
With a high probability, the price will move up at least to a current ATH.
(Remember that the price may respect a trend line one or several times more
and a correction can be more extended, that is why we rely on a breakout of a reliable trigger).
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our last daily chart idea please see update on our new daily chart idea. We have also updated a new Goldturn ascending channel.
We are seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout vs a fakeout. If this happens then the channel top is likely to to form support for a continuation, just like we are seeing the current candles bounce from the channel top, as support.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead....
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin.
Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend.
Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280
Support levels: 83170, 78170
The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800.
But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction....
Regards, R. Linda!
Trend Exhaustion SignalsTrend Exhaustion Signals: How to Know When a Trend is Losing Steam
Every trend eventually runs out of fuel. Knowing when momentum is fading can give you the edge to exit early, avoid late entries, or even prepare for a reversal. This article dives into key signs of trend exhaustion and how to trade around them.
🔵Understanding Trend Exhaustion
Trends can persist far longer than expected, but they don’t last forever. Trend exhaustion occurs when the driving force behind a trend—be it buying or selling pressure—starts to weaken. Recognizing this shift is crucial for:
Protecting profits
Avoiding bad entries
Spotting early reversal opportunities
🔵1. RSI and MACD Divergence
A classic signal of trend exhaustion is divergence between price and momentum indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but the indicator makes a lower high.
Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but the indicator makes a higher low.
This suggests that although price continues in the trend's direction, momentum is lagging—a red flag for potential exhaustion.
🔵2. Volume Dry-Up
Volume is the fuel of trends. When volume starts to shrink during a strong move, it often signals that the crowd is losing interest or that institutions are offloading positions.
In an uptrend, a series of green candles with decreasing volume = caution.
In a downtrend, falling volume can signal seller fatigue.
🔵3. Long-Wick Candles at Extremes
Candlestick patterns offer visual clues of exhaustion. When you start seeing long upper wicks at the top of an uptrend (or long lower wicks at the bottom of a downtrend), it means price is being rejected from continuing further.
Common exhaustion patterns:
Shooting Star (bearish)
Inverted Hammer (bullish)
Doji at highs/lows
These patterns are more reliable when they form near resistance or support zones.
🔵4. Structure Break: CHoCH and BOS
Market structure tells a deeper story than indicators. Two key terms here:
CHoCH (Change of Character): The first sign of reversal—a higher low broken in an uptrend, or a lower high broken in a downtrend.
BOS (Break of Structure): The confirmation—a key swing point is broken, confirming a new trend.
Traders can watch for these breaks to anticipate when the current trend is ending and a reversal is forming.
🔵5. Parabolic Price Action & Overextension
When a trend becomes parabolic—with steep, accelerating price movement—it often signals the final stage of the trend. This is when retail traders usually enter, and smart money begins to exit.
Warning signs:
Sudden vertical moves
Price far above/below moving averages
Lack of consolidation or pullbacks
Parabolic moves are unsustainable. Look for reversion to the mean or a sharp correction.
🔵How to Trade Around Trend Exhaustion
Tighten Stops: If in a winning trend trade, consider locking in profits or trailing your stop.
Avoid Chasing Entries: Late entries into exhausted trends are high-risk, low-reward.
Prepare for Reversal Setups: Watch for confirmation (CHoCH, divergence, candle patterns) before entering counter-trend positions.
Use Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Exhaustion on the 1H chart may just be a pullback on the 4H. Always zoom out for context.
Trend exhaustion is a natural part of market behavior. Recognizing the signs—such as divergence, fading volume, long wicks, structure breaks, and parabolic moves—can help you time exits better and avoid late trades. Instead of reacting after the fact, you’ll be prepared in advance. Add these tools to your trading routine and stay one step ahead of the crowd.
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
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1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
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3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
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4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
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5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
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Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3—2025)When Bitcoin grows, the Altcoins grow. It is easy to know when the Altcoins will be growing if Bitcoin is moving up with momentum, but what happens when Bitcoin isn't doing anything, just sideways?
When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. It is easy to know what will happen to Bitcoin by tracking the Altcoins market. Right now, many Altcoins are breaking bullish three digits green on the day. This is the first time since August and November 2024, before a major bullish impulse. This type of action reveals that the Altcoins market is set to grow.
» When the Altcoins grow, Bitcoin grows. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, which means that Bitcoin will do the same. This is now confirmed.
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 3)
The market is turning bullish and this is no longer my speculative opinion, this is now a confirmed fact. You can always go to any Cryptocurrency exchange and look at the list of trading pairs, sort the listing to show the top earners first and you have your proof. Whenever there are many pairs, true projects not scam coins, growing 2-3 digits green, that means that the market is bullish.
See for yourself and tell me what you see. Knowing this, let me do an analysis for you, which one is your favorite Altcoin pair? What is your TOP Choice? Which Altcoin will you pick?
Leave a comment with the trading pair you want me to look at. Make sure to add some questions; What would you like to know about the project in question and the chart? What is your trading strategy? Are you trading short-term or long-term? Are you a reporter, a writer, a reader or a trader?
Are you serious about Crypto or just passing by?
How long have you been in this market?
Have you been successful before?
Do you use mindfulness for trading?
Do you process stress through exercise, eating, fasting, drugs or meditation?
What method do you use to handle the stress that comes from engaging the market?
What are your goals?
Share some information together with your pair so that I can do a personalized analysis based on what you want.
I will respond your comment with a published analysis or an analysis on the comment reply. One condition though, the trading pair must be available on this TradingView platform with at least 6 months of data for the analysis to be viable.
Let's find some great Altcoins. The BTC pairs are in a great situation right now and great prices are still possible but not for long.
The time is now, which one will be Your Top Altcoin Choice?
See you in the comments section below.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
XAUUSD Gold Bearish Setup for upcoming week.XAUUSD Sell Setup – Short from Resistance at 3350
Gold (XAUUSD) has approached a key resistance level around 3350, where previous price action suggests potential for bearish reversal. With the current momentum showing signs of exhaustion, we’re looking for a short opportunity from this zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell Entry: 3350 (resistance level)
Target 1: 3310 – Minor support / first reaction zone
Target 2: 3290 – Key support area
Target 3: 3250 – Major support & potential full TP zone
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high (suggested: 3360–3370)
Analysis:
Price has formed a potential double top / rejection wicks near 3350, signaling possible downside. A break below 3310 will likely accelerate bearish momentum.
Risk Management:
Use proper lot sizing and move SL to breakeven after TP1 for a safe ride to lower targets.
Be careful with POPCAT !!!Currently, POPCAT is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
CHFJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNADEMENTALS DETAILS ANALYSISCHFJPY has just broken out of a long-term descending channel on the daily chart, currently trading near 174.09. This breakout is technically significant, as it marks the end of a prolonged downtrend and suggests the beginning of a potential bullish reversal. The price action shows a clean breakout above the upper channel resistance, followed by a healthy retest—textbook price behavior when momentum shifts to the upside. With this structure flip, we are now positioning for a continuation towards the 182.40 zone, which aligns with a previous key resistance and measured move projection.
This breakout is supported by strong fundamentals. The Swiss Franc remains firm, driven by Switzerland’s resilient economic data and the Swiss National Bank’s cautious monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy, despite recent signs of inflation picking up. The yield differential and risk-on sentiment are weighing heavily on JPY, making it an ideal quote currency for this bullish CHF move. Traders are increasingly favoring CHFJPY in the current macro landscape due to this divergence.
What makes this setup even more attractive is the clean technical structure paired with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The stop below the retest area around 171.63 offers tight risk management, while the upside potential toward 182.40 presents a strong 1:3+ R/R swing opportunity. These types of breakouts—especially after extended consolidation—often lead to trend-following momentum plays that institutions favor.
CHFJPY is now on many watchlists across TradingView due to this breakout from a descending channel, which is a highly searched pattern by technical traders. This pair is poised to deliver a profitable swing trade backed by both technical strength and macro alignment. If momentum continues, we could see a strong bullish leg throughout Q2.
It's disappointing !!!Do you think this will happen, or do you see DOT below $3.5 in the future?
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!