Chart Patterns
Using Fibonacci/Measured Moves To Understand Price TargetThis video is really an answer to a question from a subscriber.
Can the SPY/QQQ move downward to touch COVID levels (pre-COVID High or COVID Low).
The answer is YES, it could move down far enough to touch the pre-COVID highs or COVID lows, but that would represent a very big BREAKDOWN of Fibonacci/ElliotWave price structure.
In other words, a breakdown of that magnitude would mean the markets have moved into a decidedly BEARISH trend and have broken the opportunity to potentially move substantially higher in 2025-2026 and beyond (at least for a while).
Price structure if very important to understand.
Measured moves happen all the time. They are part of Fibonacci Price Theory, Elliot Wave, and many of my proprietary price patterns.
Think of Measured Moves like waves on a beach. There are bigger waves, middle waves, smaller waves, and minute waves. They are all waves. But their size, magnitude, strength vary.
That is kind of what we are trying to measure using Fibonacci and Measured Move structures.
Watch this video. Tell me if you can see how these Measured Moves work and how to apply Fibonacci structure to them.
This is really the BASICS of price structure.
Get Some.
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SILVER INTRADAY pullback to support at 3090Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3090
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945.
Conclusion:
Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ATOMUSD: Channel Down bottomed. Strong buy signal.Cosmos turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.498, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 27.015), which raised 1W to a neutral state. This is perfectly aligned with the market structure at the moment, which is a technical rebound at the bottom of the 3 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI is on a HL trendline, which is a bullish divergence as far as the Channel's LL are concerned. This means that there is potential to break this Channel to the upside, but until this happens, we will be targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 9.500), like the previous bullish wave did.
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MANA - Observation: Will History Repeat Itself?MANA - Observation: Will History Repeat Itself?
Analyzing the weekly chart of MANA, we can see that the price has reacted sharply around key levels.
Since December 2022, MANA has been moving within a broad trading range, fluctuating between 0.2200 and 0.8200.
Looking at past price movements, MANA rose from 0.2800 in December 2022. When tested again in October 2023, it dipped slightly below this zone before rebounding strongly. A similar pattern emerged in August 2024, where the price dropped just below the October 2023 level, then surged back up to test the upper boundary near 0.8200.
Given this repeating behavior, the chart suggests that the price may follow a similar pattern this time.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Rally ContinuesGold is currently experiencing a bullish trend and has reached a new all-time high on a 4-hour time frame.
After quite an extended bullish wave, the pair was consolidating within
a horizontal range for some time.
The resistance of this range was recently broken, indicating strong buyer strength.
I believe that the growth will likely continue, with the market potentially reaching the 3180 level in the near future.
I think bitcoin will bounce here on the .618 On the macro we are inside an impulse wave and just touching the .618 fib level. Also, if the measure the cycles top to bottom, you will find the end of the cycle this time actually falls around October 2025. I still think 2025 will be an amazing year for bitcoin, but the sentiment right now is very low. I think now is the best time to buy. Even if stocks continue to fall, I think bitcoin will absorb the liquidity from the stock market, as has been seen before.
BTC Reacted to US Tariffs — What’s Next?Hello Traders 🐺
Yesterday was an absolute disaster in the market!
We saw a huge pump straight into $88,500, then a sharp crash back down to the current level around $83,000, which led to a fakeout from our falling wedge pattern — the one with a target around the All-Time High.
But now the question is: what's next?
As you might know, fakeouts are never a good sign for any pattern.
And when we see one, there’s always a possibility of trapping both sides.
For example, in our current situation — when we saw the bullish breakout from the falling wedge, many might have thought:
“Alright, we’re about to explode and reach new highs!”
So they jump into a long position without waiting for a proper close above resistance, thinking the market was already oversold and fear was over — which honestly, wasn’t a bad thought...
BUT...
Suddenly, Mr. President ruins the market again! 💥
And boom — we get a classic bull trap.
Still, in my opinion, BTC.D is printing new highs, and sooner rather than later, it will crash.
We’re not supposed to be stuck in this correction forever, because we’re still in a bull market.
And don’t forget — the falling wedge pattern is still valid, and it’s a bullish pattern.
Also, price is still holding above the purple line, which is our weekly support — so nothing’s broken just yet. ⚠️
So, what now?
I believe the Fed is getting ready to cut rates and slowly start shifting their stance from QT to QE.
Why?
Because with yesterday’s new tariffs, US-imported goods are about to see inflation, and domestic producers could enter recession if the Fed doesn’t adjust its policy.
So yeah... I personally think it's a good time to buy.
Also, I’m planning to publish a dedicated educational idea about this — breaking down these macroeconomic factors and how they impact the market.
Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss it!
And as always, don’t forget our simple rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
3100 callback to go long3100 is a key support level, which always maintains strong support. From the hourly level, gold has risen strongly, with a big positive line rising from the ground, and a clear lower shadow at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are strong below and the moving average has begun to turn upward. There is a big non-agricultural data. The recent economic data has performed poorly, and this big non-agricultural data is likely to be bullish for gold. The sharp drop in gold is to better impact the high level. I hope everyone can understand this truth. The 3100 level is still valid at present. Today, the bullish thinking continues, and the decline is more!
Gold: more above 3100.
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5761
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5713
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5831
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session.
In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react.
Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend.
XAU/USD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
SL:3085
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NKE: Long-term BEAR MARKET (+32 MONTHS) - A counter tradeNIKE has been in a bear market for the past 32 Months. Currently trading below EMA200 - A juicy entry without thinking. I believe this stock will reverse as the business will continue and it will face challenges with diverse competition. An easy stock to enter will have some $$$$ and then hold for 2-4 years. Sell when it gains more than 100% from your entry.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0853
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1146
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
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Oil in a multi-week declining triangle patternPYTH:USOILSPOT
Oil has been in a multi-week declining triangle pattern, lasting over 2 years so far, which will eventually break to the downside. When it does, the price target should be around $35 USD. Which is calculated subtracting the width of the triangle from the base of the triangle.
When? Probably when we have a stock market crash, which could be soon. Fundamentally speaking, a global recession should reduce global demand for crude oil. Also, a resolution of the Ukraine-Rusia conflict should increase global supply of crude oil.
Good luck to you
EUR/USD – Bullish Flag Pattern & Trade SetupTechnical Analysis & Trade Plan for TradingView Idea
This chart illustrates a Bullish Flag Pattern on the EUR/USD 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Below is a detailed breakdown of the market structure, key levels, and a professional trading strategy.
📌 Chart Pattern: Bullish Flag Formation
The Bullish Flag is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement, followed by a short period of consolidation within a downward-sloping channel. It signals a brief pause before the trend resumes.
Flagpole: The sharp price increase before the consolidation.
Flag: The corrective downward movement forming a small parallel channel.
Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above resistance could lead to a further bullish rally.
🔍 Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔵 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The upper boundary of the flag pattern acts as resistance.
A breakout above this level could trigger a strong buying opportunity.
🟢 Support Level (Demand Zone)
The lower boundary of the flag provides support.
Price is currently testing this zone, which is a critical decision point.
🎯 Target Price: 1.14544 (Projected Move)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
This aligns with a previous significant resistance area.
📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Entry Criteria:
A confirmed breakout above the flag's resistance level with a strong bullish candlestick.
Increased trading volume supporting the breakout.
🚨 Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone of the flag to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
Take Profit Target: At 1.14544, aligning with the measured move of the flag pattern.
📊 Trade Confirmation Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A reading above 50 confirms bullish momentum.
Moving Averages (50 EMA/200 EMA): A bullish crossover would strengthen the buying signal.
Volume Analysis: A breakout should be accompanied by high trading volume for confirmation.
⚠️ Potential Risks & Alternative Scenarios
Fake Breakout: If the price breaks out but lacks volume, it could be a false signal.
Bearish Reversal: If price breaks below the support zone, the bullish flag setup becomes invalid.
Market Sentiment Shift: Unexpected news events can impact price movement.
📝 Summary
The EUR/USD pair has formed a Bullish Flag Pattern, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend.
A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern and provide a strong buying opportunity.
Risk management is essential, with a stop loss placed below the support level.
Final Target: 1.14544, based on the flagpole’s measured move.
💡 Conclusion: A well-structured breakout above resistance could lead to a bullish rally toward 1.14544. However, patience and confirmation are key before entering the trade.
BTC sign of weakness & more drop coming BTC Struggles to Break Trendline Resistance: Signs of Weakness on 1D Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance on the daily (1D) timeframe, struggling to break above the trendline. This indicates potential weakness, with BTC showing signs of a downside move towards the $70K–$75K range. While we cannot pinpoint an exact support level, this zone serves as a potential drop area. Additionally, a sharp wick could extend lower, possibly touching $69K or even FWB:67K , as liquidity is swept from below before a potential recovery.
On the bullish side, a bullish RSI divergence is forming, which suggests that sooner or later, BTC could experience a strong upward move. This could lead to a significant rally in the market.
Given the current market structure, it’s a good time to position yourself in high-quality utility projects rather than meme coins. Focusing on fundamentally strong assets can lead to massive gains in the next bullish phase. Stay strategic, manage your risk, and be prepared for future opportunities.
AUDUSD Bears "Flag Down" Potential OpportunitiesOn the Technical Analysis stand-point, FX:AUDUSD has been Consolidating in an Ascending Channel since the beginning of this year after having a sharp decline which started in October last year. Now the past 6 Months, Price Action seems to be forming a strong Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag!
Based on the Retracement from the Swing High @ .6942 to the Swing Low @ .60872, Price has made a 38.2% Retracement to .64081, resulting in a False Break, pushing Price back into Pattern!
Price has been trading Under the 200 EMA since the start of the "Flagpole" and with the separation between it and the 34 EMA Band, feeds the Bearish Bias after we see Price heavily rejected after touching the 34 EMA Band!
*Once Price makes a Breakout of the Rising Support of the Channel -> Bear Flag Confirmed
*Increase in Volume after Break -> Breakout Validated
If we get a True Breakout that is Validated by the checklist of factors, we could be looking at great opportunities to take FX:AUDUSD down to the current 5 Year Low of .55063 set back in March 16th 2020 (Initial Outbreak of Covid) based on the Flagpole and Potential Extension of a Valid Break and Retest of the Bear Flag!
Now, Fundamentally what is driving the Weaker Aussie Dollar is the fear of the impact of what the US Tariffs will do to Australia's "Key Trading Partners" being China, Japan and South Korea all being high on the Reciprocal Tariff List. Because of this, the RBA has now priced in 100 Basis Points worth of Rate Cuts to come with the expectations of a "dampened broader outlook for global trade and economic growth."
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Stay Tuned!