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1-week US30: Could the Dow Jones Drop another 2000 PointsWe’re analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight upward trajectory. However, multiple technical and fundamental factors now suggest a potential downward correction. From a fundamental standpoint, increasing tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration are fueling investor uncertainty, prompting a market sell-off. The prevailing risk-off sentiment is pushing investors away from stocks and into traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen and Gold. From a technical perspective, the US30 has formed a double top pattern, a classic bearish signal. Additionally, the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, which initially acted as support, has failed, with prices now breaking below. Given this setup, we are initiating a direct sell order at 41,000, with a stop-loss (SL) 2% above this level. Our take-profit (TP) target is set at 39,000, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which historically serves as strong support. This strategic positioning reflects the heightened volatility and the likelihood of a further market decline in the short to mid-term.
SKILLING:US30Short
by Trendsharks
Bearish breakout?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 103.58 1st Support: 102.28 1st Resistance: 104.70 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
BTC - LIBERATE USBTC bounced at our first pivot at VAL, followed the rounded bottom pattern although we didn't take any lows. Coming back up at VAH here, with a combination of a few factors driving price up today: - spx correlation - ... into liberation speech expectations - early shorts getting squeezed - some FDUSD fud that drove stables into BTC, depegging the stablecoin and driving BTCFDUSD up to 99k Draw a volume profile on the distribution/saylor range and we just tagged the poc of that range. I'd expect some highs to be taken here, although I'm already positioned in a partial short from the poc. 87.7k would give a second entry on an sfp of the bad highs. Similarly we can look for 88.7k to get swept, thereby cleaning all the bad highs we had left from this range. Keep it simple, if I see price grinding above 89k/VAH I'll just get out and wait for another ltf breakdown. Target 1 is the bad lows at VAL, then 78k, then re-evaluate.
Short
by Tealstreet
COPPER The 1D MA50 is the key.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) was on January 24 (see chart below) giving a buy signal that easily hit our 4.6550 Target: This time the market is in front of a critical moment. The 2025 pattern has been a Channel Up, which last Wednesday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. As long as the 2025 pattern holds, the recent pull-back is a buy opportunity targeting 5.3745. If the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks however, we expect a quick dive, rebound re-test and rejection, similar to July 05 2024. In that case, we will target the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up at 4.150. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COMEX:HG1!
by TradingShot
Could the Kiwi reverse from here?The price is risng towards the resistance level which is aa pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5760 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.5810 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.5689 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
MASTERCARD: One more dip possible but long term target is $620.Mastercard is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.317, MACD = -0.060, ADX = 29.709) having just recovered its 1D MA50 following the March 13th rebound. The pattern here is a Channel Up and March's bearish wave already hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level much like the previous one did on May 1st 2024. That however went on to extend the decline to close to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and hit the 1D MA200. Consequently there is a chance of one more month of slow decline to the 1D MA200 but overall, this is a good enough level to buy again for the long term and aim for the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 620.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:MALong
by InvestingScope
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6270 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6236 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.6329 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Gold tariff policy implemented and increased as expectedAffected by fundamentals, gold has once again risen sharply. The daily line finally closed with a medium-sized positive, maintaining a strong run at a high level. Pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, there will be continued high momentum. In the hourly cycle, it has strongly broken through the upper Bollinger track and moved higher around the moving average support. There is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle track has been lost and recovered. The middle track is still a key watershed. The lower support is at 3148 and around 3138. Go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look up to 3170 and 3200! Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170! If it is extremely strong, it relies on 3148 to directly short the position and be long!
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Buy EthereumThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase. However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support. Key structural levels to watch: Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021) Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023) If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines. Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by QuantumFusionWave
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern. Levels to watch: $110, $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
Gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and seesaws!The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. The 1-hour moving average of gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be important event news. Therefore, gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out in a new round of direction. Gold did not break through the intraday high, so our US market will continue to be high and empty. Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenedictLuc8
Gold may have big moves!The trend of gold's rising trend after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing the lower level, it may return to the integer mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near the low point. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of $3,148-50, which is a new high. Gold has been singing all the way to the 3085 line, and there is still room and demand for further rise. It opened directly to the 3097 line. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3150 line above gold. The callback is mainly long, and short orders must be cautious. Gold operation ideas; 1; The upper short order can be tried at the 3125 line, with a small stop loss, and the target is 15 points above 3075. If the loss is swept and the position is not covered, no more entry will be made. The previous high is near this point, and the short order will try a single order at this point. 2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3100 line, looking at 10-15 points, and the long order must be stopped.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily