Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/14/2025Although I am bearish in weekly TF, the trend is not yet reversed in smaller TFs. In 4hrly TF, gold is very bullish. There is no sign of slowing down.
I will watch price closed in current level. If 3365 is broken, I will stay out for today. If 3365 holds, I will sell towards 3345.
There could be some buying opportunities as well if 3345 support holds.
Let's see the market will provide us today.
Chart Patterns
KuCoin Token (KCS) Full Analysis · Past Cycle & PresentKCS is preparing for something really nice, very similar to 2021. In 2021 KuCoin Token grew 5,655%. From 0.500 to 28.77. The entire move from bottom to top lasted 511 days, the bottom being around July 2020, then the market went sideways before the bullish phase. The meat of the move happened in a total of 329 days.
If we take the current cycle bottom to be around August 2024, 511 days gives us a date of 29-December 2025. In 2017 Bitcoin peaked around December. So this is a good date.
I cannot calculate the analog using the 329 days for the "meat of the move" because the bullish breakout is not yet in place. But, late 2025 is what we are aiming for mainly for the next all-time high across the market. We remain open to see this go beyond and reach 2026 but this is something that we will have to wait and see. For now our focus is on what the data provides.
Actually, many pairs, as we saw some weeks ago, are giving out strong signals pointing to Q1-Q2 2026 for their top. Others late 2025. So we have mixed signals and that's normal because the market is really big right now. Not everything can peak at the same time on the same date and not everything hit bottom at the same time.
KuCoin Token is a great example, here the market bottom happened August 2023 and we then see a clear change of dynamics. Ethereum bottomed June 2022 and many altcoins hit bottom just recently, on and on. I keep harping on this just so you know that we cannot generalize anymore. Each project needs to be considered individually if we want accurate results.
KuCoin Token (KCSUSDT) has been bullish growing from its base. A top happened March 2024 and a lower high late January this year, 2025. This does not invalidate the long-term bullish bias and potential.
One major resistance zone remains between $13 and $16, matching the last two peaks just mentioned. We will never wait for "confirmation" here as it would mean a lost opportunity. The market will grow and will break this resistance zone easily and continue higher likely to reach new all-time highs.
So this resistance range, rather than a level that needs to be conquered to confirm a bullish bias, can be taken as weak targets. By weak I mean that we do not sell here. We wait and sell only higher since the market is moving much higher it would be a waste to sell too early. One of the mistakes that can be made in this phase of the market cycle.
Hold strong. Everything looks good. There is huge potential for growth.
$44 is a great target but there is also $69. Which one to choose depends on how the overall market is doing and the date these targets are hit (or missed). For example, if KCS is trading near $40 in just two months, we can aim higher. On the other hand, if KCS is trading around $40 in December, then we can start to consider taking profits.
Of course, this is just a brush-off, you need to do your own research and thorough planning.
Namaste.
SUI | Triangle BreakoutSUI/USDT has successfully broken out of a major triangle consolidation pattern. The breakout pattern suggests SUI could experience significant upside momentum, especially if it maintains above the triangle's upper boundary. This technical setup aligns well with a medium-term bullish outlook.
Key Technical Points:
Triangle pattern breakout confirmed with strong momentum
Price cleared the upper resistance trendline decisively
RSI showing recovery from oversold conditions
Multiple VWAP levels providing support structure
Price Targets:
First resistance: $4.20 (red shaded zone)
Extended target: $6.50+ following the projected path
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current levels (agressive) or on a pullback to the triangle (conservative)
Stop loss: Below $3.30 VWAP-90 Support
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Breakout & Fill of 2 Bullish CMEsARB coin looks good, as the price is slowly approaching the major resistance area where we are going to look for a breakout. As soon as we get the breakout, we are going to aim for the fill of both bullish CMEs, which will give us a good long opportunity there.
Meanwhile, catching smaller scalps towards the resistance can also be done.
Swallow Academy
Copper: Event-driven Trade Idea on Recent TariffsCOMEX: Micro Copper Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MHG1! ), #microfutures
The Event
On July 9th, President Trump announced that he would impose a 50% tariff on imports of copper, effective August 1st.
The decision was based on national security assessment. Copper is the second most used material by the U.S. Department of Defense. The President intents to use tariffs to reduce reliance on imports and shore up support for domestic production.
Immediate Market Reaction
U.S. copper prices ended Tuesday’s session over 13% higher — the sharpest single-day gain since 1989. The September COMEX copper futures contract was settled at $5.584 a pound on Friday, up 35.7% year-to-date.
Due to tariffs, Copper in the U.S. is priced at a large premium over international markets.
• UK: LME copper contract was quoted at $9,660.5 per ton on Friday.
• China: SHFE coper futures was settled at RMB 78,420 per ton. It can be converted to $10,959.4 via the Dollar/RMB exchange rate of 7.1555.
• US: COMEX copper quote of $5.584 can be converted to $12,312.7 per ton.
• As of Friday, COMEX copper is priced at a 27.5% premium over LME copper, and a 12.3% premium over SHFE copper.
The U.S. Copper Market
The U.S. Geological Survey reports that the 2024 total refined copper consumption was 1.8 million metric tons. Of which, 850,000 tons were from mining, 150,000 tons were refined from scrap, and 810,000 tons from imports.
Chile is the biggest source of U.S. copper imports, accounting for 581,000 tons, or 71.7% of total imports. Canada is the second largest, for 169,000 tons, or 20.9%.
Copper is a widely used base metal, found in products ranging from machinery, electronics, household goods, housing, infrastructure projects, to aircraft and missiles.
Since President Trump announced a probe into copper in February, traders have been poised for a hike on copper duties, leading to major shifts in inventories away from Europe and Asia and into the U.S.
The Next Event: Will the Copper Tariffs get postponed or reduced?
The goal to increase domestic production of copper is very challenging. It will take years to ramp up and decades to fully meet demand — at a massive upfront investment cost.
Hiking the import duties would not help national security. It could not change the fact that the biggest copper mines are in Chile, Peru and Canada. A sharp increase in the cost of copper will quickly translate into wide-ranging inflation in the U.S.
In my opinion, once the Trump administration realizes the full impacts, we could possibly see a crawl-back from the intended copper tariffs. The effective date would be postponed, the tariff rate could be reduced, and many companies may get exemption/waiver. We have seen similar maneuvers happening multiple times in the past few months.
Overall, the actual impact of copper tariffs will be much smaller than the original announcement.
Shorting COMEX Copper Futures
Historically, the price difference between COMEX and LME coppers has been near-zero and was around the $150 level in 2024.
Since February, COMEX copper has been trading at $500-$1,500 premium over LME. As of Friday, COMEX copper futures have gone up 35% this year and are now priced at $2,652 per ton above LME copper.
In my opinion, these price differences reflect no economic fundamentals. It is purely due to the ever-changing global tariff conflict. If President Trump rescinds his tariff narratives, we could likely see a large drop in COMEX copper prices.
A trader sharing this view could explore shorting the COMEX Micro copper ( GETTEX:MHG ).
Last Friday, the September micro copper futures contract (MHGU5) was settled at 5.5910. Each contract has a notional value of 2,500 pounds of high-grade copper, or a market value of $13,977.5. To buy or sell 1 contract, a trader is required to post an initial margin of $1,100. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 12.7-to-1.
Let’s use a hypothetical trade to illustrate how to use a short futures position to take advantage a potential reduction on copper tariffs.
Hypothetical Trade:
• Short 1 MHGU5 contract at 5.5910, and set a stop loss at 6.00
• Trader pays $1,100 for initial margin
Scenario 1: Tariffs go into effect, copper rises to $6.57
• Futures reflect a 50% premium over current LME copper price, which is at $4.38 per pound
• Short order stop loss at 6.00, and the maximum loss is $1,022.5 (= (6-5.591) x 2500)
• The trader loses most of the margining fund, but owes no more
Scenario 2: Trump Rescinds Tariffs, Copper falls to $4.38
• COMEX copper will be priced at No premium over LME
• Short position gains: $3,027.5 (= (5.591-4.38) x 2500)
• The hypothetical return will be 275.2% (= 3027.5 / 1100)
The above scenarios show that
• When copper falls, short position will have higher returns due to its leverage nature.
• When copper rises, the stoploss will kick in to set maximum losses.
The above trade idea could be deployed using the standard-size Copper Futures contract. Its notional value is 25,000 tons, which is 10 times bigger than that of the micro contract. The initial margin is $11,000. The standard-size contract is more liquid. On Friday, it had a total volume of 60,313 contracts, and an open interest of 221,682.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 14✅Gold opened with a gap up today, indicating a strong bullish trend, with the current price around 3370. After reaching a high of 3374 in the early session, gold is still consolidating at these high levels, awaiting buying pressure. Due to the gap up and subsequent rise, the short-term trend is likely to experience a gap fill. Additionally, considering the rapid rise, if a drop occurs during the European session, a pullback may follow. The upward curve is smooth, and the bullish momentum is strong, with the market still dominated by bulls. Therefore, today we should focus on strong support levels for buying opportunities, with the key entry point being around 3345-3350.
✅On the 1-hour chart, the moving averages continue to show a golden cross, indicating a bullish arrangement. In a strong market, a series of consecutive bearish candles can damage the upward pattern, while too many bullish candles can disrupt a downtrend. Therefore, attention must be paid to the strength of the candlestick patterns today. The current support level is near 3350, with further support at 3345. For the price to maintain this bullish trend, it should not fall below 3345 today. If gold retraces to 3350, it remains a buying opportunity.
🔴 Key Resistance Levels : The short-term resistance is in the range of 3392-3400. If this area is broken, gold could continue to rise.
🟢 Key Support Levels: Key support is at 3350, with further support at 3345.
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰When gold rebounds to around 3392-3395, consider selling in parts, with a stop loss of 8-10$ and a target of 3370-3360. If this level is broken, the next target would be 3350.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰When gold pulls back to around 3345-3350, consider buying in parts, with a stop loss of 10 points and a target of 3365-3385. If the price breaks through, the next target would be 3395.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 14th:Current View:
Structurally, there has been strong selling pressure. So, if the market consolidates or breaks the support with a solid candle, we can expect the correction to continue.
Alternate View:
On the other hand, if the market finds support near the immediate support level or if the initial move takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum 38% to 50% pullback in the minor swing.
Even if that happens, the trend may still remain bearish in the lower time frame. So, if the market starts to reject around the 38% Fibonacci level on the upside, we can expect the downtrend to resume.
In simple terms, if a pullback occurs, we may see a range-bound market.
New Week on Gold! Will the Bullishness continue?I was bullish on gold and price ended up doing as expected last week and looking for it to continue this week. But i have to sit on hands for now to see how they want to play Monday. Will they move to create a Low for the week first? or will they break out to start early on new highs? I have to see some type of confirmation first. Then we can get active.
GBP_USD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is going down now
But a strong rising support level is ahead
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.3600
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why election risk means yen volatility could rise this weekThe Japanese yen remains vulnerable ahead of Japan’s Upper House election on July 20.
Polls suggest the ruling LDP-Komeito coalition may lose its Upper House majority. Such an outcome would further weaken Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s position, with his government already operating as a minority in the Lower House.
Adding to the pressure, the U.S. is set to impose 25% tariffs on Japanese goods from August 1—part of a broader protectionist push.
USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025USDJPY 7/13/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
4Hour - Bullish
Finally UJ is looking more clear. We’re now able to drop to the 4Hour instead of the Daily TF due to price action reaching a major zone of anticipated reactions.
As always we’re looking at two trade scenarios going into the week ahead:
Bullish Continuation - UJ is currently sitting at 147.500 resistance and closed there last week. Going into this week we could see the bullish trend continue but we would need to see a clear break of 147.500 resistance to gain confidence. Look for a higher low confirmed above 147.500 followed by strong bullish setups to enter long on. Look to target higher toward major resistance levels like 149.250 area.
Bearish Reversal: Despite the strong bullish momentum we saw from last week, a reversal is still possible as price action is near our 147.250 zone. In order to consider bearish setups we would need to see strong rejection from the current level of resistance. Look to target lower toward 145.000 support.
JP225 Long Trap or Bull Escape? Heist in Motion.🦹♂️🎯 JP225 Ninja Heist: Breakout Loot Plan 💥💰 (Long Game Playbook)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Assallamu Allaikum!🌟
Dear Money Makers, Market Raiders & Silent Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
It’s time to gear up for the ultimate breakout heist on the JP225 / NIKKEI Index CFD Market. Based on my 🔥Thief Trading style🔥—a mix of slick technical strategy and deep fundamental recon—this operation is primed for a bullish break-in.
🧠 Plan of Attack:
Our team is targeting a long-side entry only, aiming to loot the market before it hits the Electric Trap Resistance Zone ⚡—a known danger zone where big bears lie in wait. Let’s outsmart them!
🚪 Entry Plan – The Door to Gold
📈 "The heist is on once we crack that resistance vault!"
📍Trigger: Wait for candle close above 40,100 – that's your breakout cue.
🧲Pullback Setup: Place Buy Limit near recent swing low on the 15/30 min timeframe, or stack multiple DCA-style orders to scale in silently.
🔔 Don’t forget to set alerts—you snooze, you lose.
🛡️ Stop Loss – Don’t Get Caught
🛑 "Keep your escape plan ready, always!"
📍Preferred SL: Recent swing low on 4H timeframe @ 39,500
🎯 Adjust based on your risk level and lot sizing.
🧠 Smart robbers move stop loss only after breakout confirmation—don’t let hesitation cost you your cut.
🎯 Profit Target – Secure the Bag
🏴☠️ Escape Plan: Aim for 41,200 or bail early if the scene gets messy.
Use trailing SLs to protect your stash.
Scalpers, only play long side. Let the swing traders set the traps while you slice the pie.
📊 Why This Trade Works:
JP225 is currently fueled by:
🔼 Strong bullish momentum
🔍 Technical breakout setup
💹 Fundamental backdrop: macro trends, institutional flow, COT report, and global sentiment lining up like guards on break
🗞️ Want more intel? Check out the broaderr macroeconomic, sentiment, and positioning insights 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Risk Management Alert:
📰 During news hours, don’t act greedy.
❌ Avoid entries near big news drops.
✅ Use trailing SLs to protect profits from volatility whiplash.
❤️ Robbery Crew Boost Request
💥Hit that Boost if this plan helps you grab the market loot!
Let’s grow our Thief Trading Army together—every trader deserves a smooth escape and a fat wallet 🏆💪💸
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a masterplan from a fellow market raider. Adapt your risk and strategy based on your own style. Markets can flip faster than you can say “bank run”—stay updated, stay sharp, and stay stealthy. 🕶️
🎭 See you at the next heist.
It was good that you waited. Now here's a way to get involved. Over the weekend we took a look at Silver and predicted that we'd probably see an emotional reaction on the open where a lot of (casual traders) look to get involved (due to the headlines) and unfortunately, pay the price for being late.
Now that, that initial group has been shaken out of the market, I want to revisit the metal and show my preferred area for entry along with a conservative approach that you can use if you want to get in earlier.
Please leave any questions, comments, or your trading ideas below.
Give me a follow that way you don't miss my next trading idea.
Akil
KDA/USDT – Bullish Reversal Confirmed: Clean Break from Falling Price broke out of a descending channel – clear bullish signal. We're seeing a strong impulse move, up +63% from the bottom, with room for continuation if momentum holds.
Breakout confirmed by a high-range candle. Watching for a possible retest of the breakout zone before the next leg up.
Watch levels:
Breakout trigger: 0.39
Target: 0.62
Invalidation: below 0.35
Wedge breakout in play, don’t miss the next ones. Follow for more high-precision setups.
eurnzd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
XRPUSD – Higher Staircase, Not Done YetXRP surged into $2.96 after our last breakout call and now grinds higher in a steady up-channel. No parabolic thrust yet — just strong bullish structure. Key continuation zone: $2.95–$3.00. Pullbacks into $2.88 are being bought. Still trend-up unless $2.84 breaks.