Chart Patterns
Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: In the U.S. market on Friday (January 24), spot gold surged higher but encountered resistance and fell back. Spot gold bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, falling to $2,735.83/ounce earlier in the session, but the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States performed worse than market expectations, and the dollar weakened after U.S. President Trump called for lower interest rates. Gold prices recovered all losses and closed at $2,754.59/ounce. Market attention remains focused on the broad impact of Trump's policies. Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: "Part of the reason is the dollar. The dollar rose early on Thursday and then was sold off, so it pushed gold off its lows. Thursday's trend is just a recognition of the direction of the White House. I think some of the volatility is due to this expectation." In his speech at the World Economic Forum, Trump emphasized his commitment to reverse inflation and announced that he hopes to cut interest rates immediately. He also urged other countries to take similar measures to address global economic challenges. However, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders believe that there is a 99.5% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at the January 28-29 meeting. The uncertainty of Trump's future policies has prompted market participants to flock to safe-haven assets such as gold to hedge against volatility. Investors need to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and changes in market sentiment. This trading day also needs to pay attention to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the January PMI data of European and American countries.
Gold technical analysis: The trend of gold prices is in line with our expectations. It has fallen back and risen many times during the period, and it has been emphasized many times recently that the 2790 line is the ultimate goal, and it is getting closer and closer! Gold first stepped back and then rose, closing higher at the end of the day. It stepped back to the 2736 line on the middle track of the 4-hour chart and stabilized and then rose and closed at a high level. The long channel remains unchanged, and the trend of rising while consolidating and correcting. The daily line is still strong and the strong consolidation correction replaced the retracement correction, closing at a high level in late trading. There is a high probability of breaking the high momentum the next day. Gold prices also opened up without hesitation in the Asian morning session. If it continues to break through the high of 2763 today, today's high will go directly to 2790! During this period, we will continue to maintain the idea of falling back and going long!
Gold is running in the 4-hour rising channel, which is also a step-up rising channel. Yesterday, it stepped back close to the critical point of the middle track. It has been emphasized before that in a unilateral market, the middle track is a strong and weak dividing point. Keep the middle track and look long. Yesterday, it perfectly stepped back to the middle track, which is equivalent to a perfect opportunity to enter the long position. The strong market is afraid of not giving the opportunity to enter the market. As long as there is a gold step-back, it is an opportunity to go long. The defensive position can be moved up to 2736. Traders who do not have any trading orders also choose to step back to go long at a low position. Because the gold price has also adjusted in the process of yesterday's downward exploration, and this wave will also be a new wave of rising waves, gold will inevitably rise and break through the previous high of 2763 and move towards a higher point! On the whole, our professional gold analyst team recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2793-2798 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2765-2760 support line.
20 YEARS OF SPY: IS THE BOTTOM IN? (Pt. 2)The Sequel to one of my most famous TradingView Editors' Picks ideas: "20 YEARS OF SPY: IS THE BOTTOM IN?"
In this video, I revisit the same SPY chart & go thru comments from the original post, which is very telling of what sentiment was like back in early 2023.
Which looking back, that was the very beginning of this multi year bull market that we are currently in
ORIGINAL POST: 20 YEARS OF SPY: IS THE BOTTOM IN?
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current WEEKLY 0.7 & 0.61 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Play WiselyMonthly Candle as of Today (21-01-2025) is DOJI which is
actually indecisive. (Neutral)
Index is Bullish on Bigger TF. (Positive)
Hidden Bullish Divergence on Daily TF (Positive).
Broke the Trendline (Negative) but Possible Re-Testing around 118000 (Positive).
Weekly Bearish Divergence. (Negative)
Weekly & Monthly Closings are Very Important.
Laurus Lab CMP 583, 12.01.2025Laurus Labs at its resistance of 3 year back level, Good time to short for first target of 560 and second target of 520 which can be seen in next week.
If it breaks its resistance of 625 which is not easy, But if break good long position will initiate for target of 900 in 3-6 months
CADJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 109.09
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 108.48
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD attracts traders. ATH as a target GOLD is testing the liquidity zone and sellers are trying to put pressure at the moment. But, it is worth to realize that Trump's policy is a risk for the market. Gold is still a safe-haven asset, which is remembered when risks rise.
Scenario: We are waiting for a correction to 2710 - 2690. This is an integral part of the scenario development after the false breakout. But, based on the bulls' position, we can count on the price reversal from the mentioned zones with the purpose of resistance breakout and further growth to 2757 and ATH - 2790
Will gold remain bullish?
Hi Dear traders
I think gold will see new prices in the coming weeks.
What do you think?
The blue dashed lines are important support lines drawn in the figure. And the red line is a resistance line that determines the slope of the gold price increase.
Please support me with a like and comment if you liked my analysis and share this analysis with your other friends.
GBPCHF POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area. Based on Daily TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Ethereum on the RiseThe ETH/USD chart shows a price increase following a consolidation phase. A strong support zone has been identified, which helped halt the previous price decline.
📊 Conclusion:
The support level around $3,045 appears to be quite reliable. If this trend continues, ETH has a good chance to rise further toward the outlined targets.
🟢 Buy Zone:
$3,100 - $3,200
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ TP1: $3,643
2️⃣ TP2: $4,169
3️⃣ TP3: $4,977
🛑 Stop-Loss:
$3,045
🔝 Entry Idea:
Risk/Reward = 4.5:1
GOLD Short From All-Time-High! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and has reached
An all-time-high level of 2791.82$
Which is a strong horizontal resistance
So as Gold is locally overbought
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
QQQ Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 507.22
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 521.67
My Stop Loss - 499.62
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AudUsd could rise to 0.65AUD/USD is another USD major pair that I’m bullish on.
As shown in the posted chart, AUD, like many other currencies, faced a challenging time during the final quarter of 2024.
However, after hitting a new low at the beginning of 2025, the pair has reversed course and broken back above the falling trendline.
Additionally, a combination of bullish reversal candles and the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern further supports the bullish outlook.
In this context, my strategy is to buy on dips, aligning with the positive technical setup.
JUP/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.8340 - 0.8470
HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
AI Electricity demand powering up #NRG to $253NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) is a prominent energy and home services provider operating across the United States and Canada. The company is strategically positioning itself as a significant player in the AI sector, driven by its production and distribution of electricity, which is crucial for meeting the energy demands of both businesses and consumers in the AI realm. Remarkably, North America has experienced a spike in electricity demand for the first time in almost forty years. Larry Coben, the CEO of NRG, highlighted that the trends in electrification, along with the expected rise of generative AI data centers, indicate a substantial increase in power requirements. He noted that these trends are paving the way for the company to reach its goal of achieving 15% to 20% growth in free cash flow.
Meta’s Charts Show Caution Signs Ahead of Next Week’s EarningsFacebook parent and “Magnificent Seven” member Meta Platforms NASDAQ:META will release fourth-quarter earnings next Wednesday (Jan. 29) after the bell. Let’s check out social-media giant’s technical and fundamental picture heading into the report.
Meta’s Fundamental Analysis
Over the past four quarters, META has moved 9.9% on average the day after reporting earnings. So, expect the potential for significant volatility and be mentally prepared for it.
As I write this about a week ahead of earnings, a combination of one META call and one META put that are both 10% out of the money are trading for about $19 in combined premiums. That’s less than 3% of the stock’s $636.45 Thursday close.
Analysts’ consensus view at last check was for the company to report $6.75 in GAAP earnings per share on roughly $47 billion of revenues. That would compare very well to the $5.33 in GAAP earnings per share that META reported on $40.1 billion of revenues a year ago, reflecting about 17% in year-over-year sales growth.
Digging into META’s financials, the firm has been a cash-flow beast.
The company had $82.7 billion in operating cash flow as of Sept. 30. And after capital expenditures, the firm still created $52.1 billion in free cash flow.
Of that, META used $48.2 billion during the third quarter to repurchase common stock while dishing out $3.8 billion in cash dividends to shareholders.
In short, the company returns free cash flow to its investors, which is how things really should be.
Looking at META’s third-quarter balance sheet, the company ran with a $70.9 billion cash position and $91.1 billion of current assets as of Sept. 30.
Current liabilities added up to $33.3 billion, which included no short-term debt and no unearned revenue. That makes the firm’s so-called current ratio easy to calculate as 2.73, which most investors would consider very healthy.
Total assets amounted to $256.4 billion, of which just $21.6 billion covered so-called “intangible” assets.
Total liabilities less equity came to $91.9 billion, including $28.8 billion of long-term debt. However, that's something that META could take care of almost 2-1/2 times over out of pocket with its Sept. 30 cash position, so that doesn’t look like an issue.
All in, many investors would say that the firm looks extraordinarily fundamentally sound.
Meta’s Technical Analysis
However, META’s six-month chart as of Wednesday (Jan. 22) seems to show that the stock doesn’t look as good technically as it does fundamentally:
What we see here is a lengthy “rising wedge,” as denoted by the green box above.
That’s historically a pattern of bearish reversal. In fact, the most positive thing we could say about this pattern is that the wedge doesn’t yet appear ready to close (which could provoke a violent move downward if that happens).
META’s Relative Strength Index (or “RSI,” the gray line at the chart’s top) is also better than neutral.
Similarly, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is in decent but not great shape.
The histogram of Meta’s 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars) is ever so slightly above zero. And the 12-day EMA (the black line) is running above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), if just by a smidgen.
Add it all up and META’s downside pivot here would be the stock’s 50-day Simple Moving Average, denoted by the blue line above ($597.80 in the chart above vs. the stock’s $632.25 Thursday afternoon). The 50-day SMA appears to be running even with the rising wedge’s lower trendline.
However, check this other chart out:
This chart shows a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal that stretched from mid-November to today (marked with two red boxes at right above). That pattern’s neckline -- $580 vs. Meta’s $632.25 as of Thursday afternoon -- would serve as the downside pivot here.
So, technical analysis is currently flashing two bearish patterns of reversal working against further upside momentum for the stock.
The one saving grace for META bulls is that the stock developed another double-top pattern back in September/October (the two red boxes at left).
However, that one didn’t lead to a big sell-off. So, there’s precedent here for META to defy bearish-looking technicals.
The bottom line -- caution is the word going into META’s earnings next week. The charts above don't necessarily mean that a sell-off is imminent, but there are some historically bearish technical set-ups in play.
Those who are long the stock should stay on their toes and might consider hedging their positions through the options market or some other way.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle” had no position in META at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
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Gold can fly to higher highs @2800Hey traders and investors! 🚀 Hope you're shining bright today! Today, January 23, 2025, I'm sharing my thoughts on gold
Gold has broken through the resistance zone ($2,740-$2,720) and is forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The Commitment of Traders (CoT) report also shows a bullish sentiment. 📈
Gold is looking bullish! Key points to watch :
Entry Price: $2,744
Target Price: $2,767
Stop Loss: $2,735
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Trade safe and stay informed! 💡
Best wishes Tom 😎