Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN) Drops 8% as Trump Tariffs Shake Markets. Amazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) is facing huge downward pressure following President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs. The stock dropped 9.26% in early trading, reaching $176.92 as of 11:01 AM EDT.
These tariffs impact over 100 countries, including China, a key supplier for third-party merchants on Amazon’s platform. Rising import costs could push prices higher, affecting consumer spending and Amazon’s profit margins.
Looking at the broader market, it is also struggling from the tariffs. The Magnificent Seven stocks, including Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, have all seen huge drops.
Amazon’s 8% drop is among the largest, further highlighting its vulnerability to trade disruptions. If these tariffs persist, they could reignite inflation, weigh on economic growth and further impact stock prices. Amazon has faced major market shifts in the past. In 2022, its stock lost over 50% of its value within a few quarters.
The question now is, can the current decline lead to similar losses?
With Amazon trading at $242 in February, some fear it could drop below $120 if the economic outlook worsens.
Adding to concerns, geopolitical risks remain high. The ongoing war in Ukraine, coupled with uncertainty over future U.S policies, creates a volatile environment for stocks. Amazon’s reliance on global supply chains and consumer spending makes it highly sensitive to market shocks.
Technical Analysis
Looking at Amazon technically, there has been a downtrend since early February when it reached an all-time high and a 52-week high of $242. This peak came shortly after the presidential inauguration, but since then, the market conditions have not been favorable. The introduction of new tariffs has fueled bearish momentum, pushing Amazon lower toward key support levels.
Currently, the stock is testing a double support level, an ascending trendline and a horizontal support around $180. If buyers step in at this level, a rebound could occur, targeting the previous $252 all-time high. However, given the economic uncertainty, there is a strong chance the stock may break below this current support.
If the weekly candle closes strongly below the $180 level, the next critical point where the stock might find support is around $144. This area has historically provided strong buying interest and it may serve as a potential bottom if the decline continues.
Looking at momentum indicators, the weekly RSI currently sits at 33, indicating strong bearish momentum. Despite the reading approaching the oversold reading, macroeconomic data shows the downtrend remains dominant and further losses could be ahead.
What's the Outlook? Can Amazon Recover Soon?
The coming weeks will be crucial for Amazon’s stock. With earnings expected between April 28th and May 2nd, market sentiment may shift based on revenue growth and profit margins. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and rising costs remain key risks.
For now, monitor price action around the current market price of $180. A strong bullish move could confirm a short-term recovery. On the other side, a break below this double support level may signal a further drop towards $144 support level.
Chart Patterns
Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived.
I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc.
Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional.
Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.
BTC.D When ALT season?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Updated Technical Outlook
The BTC Dominance chart reflects Bitcoin's performance relative to the altcoin market. Here’s an analysis:
Key Levels and Observations:
1. Resistance at 58.47% and 61.31%:
- BTC.D attempted to breach the 58.47% resistance but faced rejection, leading to a pullback.
- The 61.31% level, marked as a key Fibonacci retracement, remains a significant hurdle for further upside momentum.
2. Support at 55.76% and 54.57%:
- The first notable support lies around 55.76%, aligning with a historical horizontal support zone and the yellow trendline.
- If this level is breached, the next support at 54.57% may come into play, potentially leading to increased altcoin strength.
3. Trendlines and Channels:
- BTC.D continues to respect the rising yellow trendline, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact.
- The dotted red channel lines act as a dynamic resistance zone for future attempts to reclaim dominance above 60%.
4. Volume Trends:
- Volume levels show declining momentum during the recent pullback, which could indicate temporary weakness rather than a full reversal.
- A volume breakout above 58.47% would confirm renewed dominance for Bitcoin.
5. Long-Term Perspective:
- BTC.D has maintained a higher-high, higher-low structure, suggesting bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin dominance over the medium term.
- However, consolidation between the 55.76% and 58.47% range could signal indecision before the next significant move.
Potential Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the 58.47% resistance would open the door for BTC.D to challenge the 61.31% level.
- Sustained dominance above 61.31% would likely indicate Bitcoin outperforming altcoins across the board.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If BTC.D loses the 55.76% support and breaks below the rising trendline, it could shift momentum in favor of altcoins.
- Key downside targets would then include 54.57% and the stronger support zone at 52.97%.
EURUSD Volatility Alert: Can It Sustain A Break of 2025 Highs?President Trump’s confirmation of the size and scope of his reciprocal tariffs last night at a much-anticipated ‘Liberation Day’ event in the rose garden at the White House has resulted in a broad wave of negative risk off sentiment which has seen global stock markets fall, and US indices especially come under severe pressure.
This trade war escalation has also led to dollar selling overnight, with the US Dollar Index dipping over 1% to fresh 7 month lows, EURUSD and GBPUSD both trading to multi-month highs, while USDJPY and USDCHF have fallen.
A reason for this move could be that traders and investors may now be increasingly concerned about the negative impact pursuing this tariff policy may have on the US economy, as global trading partners retaliate with tariff measures of their own on US imports.
If that were to be the case, then the outcome of the US ISM Services PMI survey later today at 1500 BST and then tomorrow’s Non-farm Payrolls announcement, which is released at 1330 BST, could have a bearing on whether EURUSD continues this recent break above 2025 range highs at 1.0937/55, or falls back lower again.
Both of these data releases could provide traders with an important health check on the current state of the US economy.
EURUSD Technical Outlook
Reaction to the latest news on US tariffs has seen USD selling pressure emerge, and this has resulted in an upside acceleration in EURUSD overnight and so far this morning. A move that is attempting to break and close above what traders may well be focusing as an important resistance area at 1.0937/55.
This resistance area is equal to both the November 5th, 2024, and March 18th, 2025, recovery highs. Previously, these levels capped upside momentum which ultimately resulted in price weakness developing again. Meaning this area might be important if the current upside move in EURUSD is now able to break and close above this range, as it may be an indication buyers are beginning to gain the upper hand once more and might be able to push EURUSD to higher levels.
However, it must be said, a confirmed closing break of this type of resistance is no guarantee of a more sustained phase of price strength, especially given the important economic data and retaliatory tariff updates that are due to be released.
What are the Next Possible Resistance Levels if a Confirmed Upside Break Does Materialise?
A successful confirmed break of the 1.0937/55 resistance area might be an indication that traders are starting to look at the possibility of higher levels.
So let’s have a look at what these levels might be.
As the chart above shows, a bounce failure high was established at 1.0997 on October 8th, 2024, which having previously held attempts at strength may do so again. That said, if this in turn was to give way, it could then be the September 25th high at 1.1214 that traders may look to as a potential important resistance level.
What If the Current Price Strength Fails?
As we have said, even if closes above the 1.0937/55 resistance area are seen, it is no guarantee of further upside moves. It is possible the current price strength may not be sustained, and fresh downside moves in price are seen again.
As such, let's look at some potential downside support levels to monitor.
The first support if a period of EURUSD price weakness now develops may be 1.0889, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest upside strength. This may be an area that might limit future price declines.
However, if a break below this potential support were to occur, risks may then turn towards a deeper decline to 1.0828, which is the 61.8% retracement, or if this level was broken, even back towards the March 27th, 2025, low at 1.0733.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
"GERMANY30" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "GERMANY30" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone ATR. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑: (22500) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 4H timeframe scalping / day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 21400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"GERMANY30" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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"US30/DJ30" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US30/DJ30" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑: (42200) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 3H timeframe scalping / day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 40200
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"US30/DJ30" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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EURUSD Tests 17-Year Long-Term Trend!!!After Trump announced an additional 20% in tariffs, EURUSD made a relatively surprising move and surged sharply. This marks the second leg of the upward trend that began in early March. However, the sharp rise has now brought EURUSD to the doorstep of a very long-term resistance level.
Since testing 1.60 in 2008, EURUSD has been moving lower within a wide descending trend channel that has held for 17 years. Since 2015, the pattern has evolved into a wedge formation within this broader channel. The most recent test of this resistance came last year, but at the time, a weak Eurozone economy, crowded Euro long positions, and a hawkish Fed prevented a breakout.
This time, the landscape is different. The Eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the ECB’s rate cuts appear to be nearing their end, and European countries have started to band together following a decline in confidence in their biggest ally and decide to increase technology, defence spending.
Despite these developments, the medium-term effects of the new tariffs and the strength of the long-term resistance level are likely to prevent a clear breakout for now. Still, the long-term outlook is beginning to shift in favor of the euro, and a breakout later this year carries a significant probability.
AFCONS INFRASTRUCTURE Upside potential 20 - 40% Afcons Infrastructure Limited is an India-based infrastructure construction company. It is engaged in construction of marine works, highways, bridges, railways, metro works, hydro and underground, water, tunnels, oil & gas, LNG (liquefied natural gas) tanks. Its business includes Marine and Industrial, Surface Transport, Urban Infrastructure, Oil and Gas, and Hydro and Underground. Marine and industrial segment covers project related to ports and harbors jetties, dry docks, wet basins, breakwaters, outfall and intake structure, LNG tanks and material handling systems. Surface and transport segment which covers project like highways and roads, interchanges, mining-related, infrastructure, railways. Urban infrastructure business focusses on metro works, bridges and flyovers. Oil and gas business focusses on offshore oil and gas and onshore oil and gas segments. Hydro and underground business focusses on the dams and barrages, tunnels and underground works and water and irrigation.
Reasons to buy:
Trading at the support level
PE < 40
FII's increased holding from 8.20% to 18.00% in Dec 2024 qtr.
Institutional Investors increased holding from 21.45% to 29.12% in Dec 2024 qtr.
Profit is increasing
EPS increased from ₹12.06 (2023) to ₹13.20 (2024) despite equity dilution.
Bitcoin's Explosive Move Ahead? History Repeating?Looking closely at Bitcoin’s weekly chart, a fascinating pattern emerges that could hint at the cryptocurrency’s next major move.
📌 Historical Pattern Similarity: Bitcoin’s recent price behavior closely mirrors the significant cycle observed in 2021-2022. Both patterns involve a sharp and rapid upward rally, hitting a new all-time high, followed by a dramatic and sharp correction.
📌 Cycle Consistency: These movements align remarkably well with Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, typically driven by halving events every 3-4 years, resulting in explosive price actions followed by deep corrections.
📌 Market Psychology Match: This scenario perfectly illustrates classic market psychology—from euphoria at the peak to panic in the subsequent crash. Given current market sentiment, such a scenario remains plausible.
🔸 However, Exercise Caution:
Historical Repetition Not Guaranteed:
Although history often rhymes, it rarely repeats exactly. Today’s global economic landscape, increased institutional involvement, and regulatory changes could influence outcomes differently this time around.
Liquidity and Market Size:
Bitcoin's larger market cap and deeper liquidity might limit the severity of corrections compared to previous cycles, potentially leading to less dramatic percentage declines.
Beyond Technical Analysis:
While technical patterns are compelling, integrating fundamental analysis and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical stability) is crucial for a robust forecast.
🎯 Conclusion & Outlook:
Technically speaking, the scenario of an imminent, sharp rally followed by a significant correction is highly plausible. Traders should remain vigilant, combining technical setups with fundamental insights.
👉 Stay Alert, Trade Smart! 📈📉
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop your comments below! 🔥
NAS100 Testing Demand Zone – Major Reversal or More Drops? 📊 Market Overview:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tested a strong demand zone (18,900 - 18,950) and is showing signs of a potential reversal. Can buyers push the price higher, or will bears take control?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 19,568 | 20,160
🔹 Current Price: 18,977
🔹 Key Support Levels: 18,896 (demand zone)
📉 Price Action Breakdown:
1️⃣ Sharp Drop into Demand Zone
Price recently fell from 19,568 after failing to break higher.
Buyers are now defending the 18,900 support zone, which has historically held strong.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Setup?
If the price holds above 18,900, we could see a bullish rally toward 19,568.
A breakout above 19,568 may open the way for 20,160+.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Risk
If the price drops below 18,896, expect further downside towards 18,600 - 18,500.
Sellers would regain control, confirming a bearish continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bullish Case:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 18,900 - 18,950 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could target 19,568, then 20,160.
📍 Bearish Case:
🔹 If price fails to hold 18,896, a short setup targeting 18,600 - 18,500 is possible.
🔹 Wait for a clean break & retest before shorting.
🔥 Will NAS100 bounce back from this demand zone, or will sellers dominate? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
📊 Like & Follow for more trade insights! 🚀
#NASDAQ100 #TechStocks #Trading #StockMarket #SupplyAndDemand #Forex #PriceAction
GBP/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.851 level area with our short trade on GBP/CAD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
DOGE/USDT is a critical decision zone🧠 Technical Overview:
✅ 1. Price Action:
The price is forming a descending triangle pattern, which typically signals bearish continuation if broken to the downside.
It’s currently testing a key horizontal support zone around $0.164 – $0.18 USDT (marked in pink), a historical accumulation area.
Lower highs suggest sellers are still in control.
☁️ 2. Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is below the cloud, and both Tenkan and Kijun lines are pointing down → clear bearish trend.
No sign of bullish reversal from Ichimoku yet.
📉 3. RSI (14):
RSI is at 32.98, nearing the oversold region.
The RSI and its moving average are running close together, no strong divergence yet.
🔄 4. WTO (Wave Trend Oscillator):
WTO is deep in the oversold zone (around -50), and the blue and orange lines are slightly curling up → possible short-term bounce signal.
🔄 5. MACD:
The MACD histogram is shrinking on the negative side, showing bearish momentum is weakening.
However, MACD has not crossed above the signal line yet → wait for confirmation.
🧪 6. Cluster Algo:
No strong bullish signals yet from the cluster indicators.
Lines are compressing, which may indicate a potential breakout soon.
🔍 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $0.20 – $0.21 USDT (Fib 0.236), further targets at $0.28 and $0.455 (Fib 0.786).
Critical Support: $0.164 USDT. If this breaks, price could head to $0.11 – $0.12 (previous lows).
🎯 Summary:
This is a critical decision zone – price is at the bottom of a descending triangle and testing strong support.
RSI + WTO are near oversold → a bounce is possible, but MACD confirmation is needed.
If support at $0.164 fails, price might drop sharply.
If it holds and volume picks up, a move toward $0.20 – $0.21 is likely.
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (1.41400) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the MA level Breakout Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.42800) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.40000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💸💵USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rectangle Pattern Breakdown – Bearish Move1. Overview of the Chart & Market Context
The chart provided represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. This analysis highlights the rectangle pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, and a potential short trade setup with defined risk management.
The market structure suggests a bearish outlook, as Bitcoin attempted to break above a resistance level but failed, leading to a sharp decline. The price action now indicates further downside movement, aligning with a rectangle pattern breakdown.
2. Rectangle Pattern Formation
What is a Rectangle Pattern?
A rectangle pattern is a consolidation phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, forming multiple touches at resistance and support before a breakout occurs. It can serve as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction.
In this case, the pattern has resulted in a bearish breakout, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
Key Characteristics of This Rectangle Pattern:
The upper boundary (resistance) is at 88,333 USD, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
The lower boundary (support) is at 78,044 USD, which acted as a strong floor but is now under pressure.
The price moved within this range for an extended period, showing a balanced battle between buyers and sellers.
A failed breakout at resistance, followed by a sharp rejection, signals a bearish reversal.
3. Breakdown of Key Levels & Market Structure
A. Resistance Level – 88,333 USD
This level has been tested multiple times, but price failed to hold above it.
The recent failed breakout led to a strong bearish rejection, confirming resistance.
The price action formed a bearish engulfing candlestick, adding to the bearish bias.
B. Support Level – 78,044 USD
This zone has previously provided multiple bounces, showing strong buying interest.
However, with the recent break below this level, it may now act as resistance.
If the price retests this area and fails to break above, it confirms a bearish continuation.
C. Price Rejection and Market Structure Shift
The formation of lower highs and lower lows signals a transition from consolidation to a downtrend.
The price broke out of the rectangle pattern to the downside, confirming a bearish breakout.
If the support at 78,044 USD fails, the price may continue dropping toward 73,678 USD.
4. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy
A short position is initiated after the bearish rejection at resistance (88,333 USD).
The breakdown of the rectangle pattern strengthens the short setup.
The price may briefly retest the broken support (78,044 USD) before continuing downward.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
The stop-loss (SL) is placed above 88,333 USD, ensuring that if price moves against the trade, risk is minimized.
This protects against any unexpected bullish reversal.
🔹 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP)
TP1: 78,044 USD (previous support level) – A conservative target.
TP2: 73,678 USD (deeper support) – If bearish momentum continues, this is the extended target.
Trade Component Details
Entry Short after rejection at 88,333 USD
Stop-Loss (SL) Above 88,333 USD
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 78,044 USD
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 73,678 USD
Confirmation Breakout & retest of support
Risk-Reward Ratio Favorable (defined SL & TP)
5. Expected Price Action and Market Behavior
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely Outcome)
The price will continue to fall towards TP1 (78,044 USD) due to selling pressure.
If 78,044 USD fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely to test the next major support level (73,678 USD).
The structure of lower highs and lower lows supports the downtrend.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of the Short Setup)
If Bitcoin breaks above 88,333 USD, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
This could signal a potential trend reversal or bullish breakout.
6. Technical Indicators Supporting the Analysis
Several technical indicators can be used to confirm the bearish outlook:
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
If RSI is below 50, it confirms bearish momentum.
If RSI is oversold (<30), a temporary bounce may occur.
📉 Moving Averages:
If the 50-period MA crosses below the 200-period MA, it confirms a bearish trend.
If price is below both MAs, it strengthens the bearish setup.
📉 Volume Analysis:
A high selling volume during the breakdown indicates strong bearish conviction.
If volume spikes near support levels, a potential bounce could happen.
7. Summary of Key Findings
Pattern Identified: Rectangle pattern with a bearish breakout.
Market Structure: Price formed lower highs and lower lows, signaling a downtrend.
Trade Setup:
Short trade after rejection at 88,333 USD.
Stop-loss above 88,333 USD to manage risk.
Profit targets at 78,044 USD (TP1) and 73,678 USD (TP2).
Risk Management:
Clear stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure a controlled risk-to-reward ratio.
If price moves against the trade, the stop-loss prevents excessive losses.
Technical Indicators:
RSI, Moving Averages, and Volume Analysis confirm the bearish outlook.
8. Final Thoughts & Trading Plan Implementation
This analysis presents a high-probability bearish trade setup using the rectangle pattern breakdown strategy. With proper risk management, traders can execute this short trade with a structured plan.
🔹 Actionable Trading Plan:
Wait for price confirmation – If BTC retests the broken support (78,044 USD) and rejects, this strengthens the trade idea.
Execute the short trade – Once confirmation occurs, enter a short position.
Manage risk appropriately – Stick to the stop-loss above 88,333 USD.
Monitor price action – Adjust take-profit levels based on momentum and support breaks.
If the price invalidates the setup by breaking above resistance, it is crucial to exit the trade and re-evaluate the market conditions.
Conclusion:
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rectangle pattern breakdown analysis provides a clear bearish trade setup, supported by market structure, technical indicators, and price action. The well-defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels ensure a structured risk-reward ratio, making this a viable short trade opportunity.
EURNZD SELL IDEA i love how the zones on eurnzd have been super clear and with the recent bos a pullback has occurred and on the lower time frame we can see that price is starting to close back under support and for me once price did that the probability of at least going back into half of that zone makes this trade idea worth one me taking.
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices
1. Impact of tariff policies
- Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold.
3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded
Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
4-hour cycle:
Confirmation of strong structure:
3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend.
Target forecast:
Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion).
Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points.
1-hour chart strategy:
Key watershed 3100:
This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change.
Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130:
Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion".
Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105.
Patiently wait for the callback
Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025 🚀
🔹 Current Price: 83,187.60
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones):
🟢 81,266.01 – Major Support Zone
📌 Key Resistance Levels (Fair Value Gaps - FVGs & Supply Zones):
🔴 83,929.01 – First Target
🔴 85,231.24 – Major Resistance (Potential Target)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
BTC is currently consolidating around 83,187 and forming a potential bullish structure.
A break above 83,929.01 could lead to a rally toward 85,231.24.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (85,310.24) is a key area to watch for potential resistance.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold above 83,000, we could see a drop towards the 81,266 support zone.
A break below 81,266 may indicate further downside movement.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for bullish confirmation before entering long positions.
✅ Look for potential rejection at the FVG zones for reversal trades.
✅ Use risk management and set stop losses appropriately.
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GBPJPY- Stay bullish!GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 193.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 197.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
US 100 IndexIt would seem within the coming week, the first potential support to monitor on a closing basis is still the 19065 retracement, with 20307 continuing to represent possible resistance.
While closing breaks of either of these levels won’t guarantee a significant price movement with much still dependent on the outcome of events across the week, a closing breakout may lead to a more extended price move in the direction of any break.
Support: Closing breaks under the 19065 support might suggest resumption of recent declines, with risks possibly then emerging to test 18111, which is the deeper 50% retracement, may be even further if this is in turn breached.
Resistance: If 20307 is broken to the upside on a closing basis, it may lead to a further retracement of the February to March weakness, with the 50% level standing at 20679, or even 21050, which is the higher 62% retracement.