GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD
Trend & Direction:
Directional Strength:
ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend.
HT_TRENDMODE:
At 1.0, indicating an active trend.
Moving Averages & Price Forecast:
Core Levels:
EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating.
Resistance:
KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias.
Momentum & Oscillators:
RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance.
MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum.
Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions.
CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory.
Price Range & Statistical Measures:
Central Price Range:
Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315.
Support & Resistance:
Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance.
Volatility:
ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility.
Additional Forecast Tools & Volume:
Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone.
OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation.
Price Action Overview:
GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data.
Current Setup & Trading Consideration:
The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce.
Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events.
As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
Chart Patterns
Doge 4hr from noobso here is just a cont. from a prvious chart, horizon orange has been exttended, and the green risers have been added, the white and blue are my fiddle area zones of push favor, but again mostly just fiddling around with ideas, possible's. been watching for 2 years this is just a noob still. green horn, whatever, i dont care, its information for others as well as me seeing if i am catching the wave.
EURJPYCurrently, EUR/JPY is in a bearish trend on the 1-hour timeframe, forming lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently taking support at a major support level.
If EUR/JPY reverses from this point without breaking the previous low of 158.977, and then gives a breakout above 161.143, we will consider entering a long position.
The stop-loss will be placed at 158.123, with targets set at 162.172 and 163.287.
My take on GBPUSD as of 11:23am 4/9/2025Market Insights from Indicators
Trend and Movement
Directional Indicators:
PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum.
Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength.
Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement.
Moving Averages:
EMA (1.3126), KAMA (1.31498), and TEMA (1.31703) remain above the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bearish bias.
However, shorter-term indicators like PLUS_DI and ROC suggest consolidation or temporary bullish moves.
Momentum and Oscillators:
RSI (68.12) reflects a mildly overbought condition, signaling possible resistance to bullish moves.
MACD (0.0052) and CMO (36.24) support short-term bullish momentum.
Williams %R (-29.19) and CCI (87.28) indicate price nearing resistance levels.
Volatility and Price Action
ATR (0.00356) suggests low volatility, allowing tighter stop-loss and target levels.
Price action is currently testing the support zone at 1.2780–1.2790 and resistance near 1.2830–1.2850.
Trend Analysis
Short-term momentum shows rising highs and closes, with support from bullish indicators like DX (~64).
Long-term bearish bias persists due to EMA, DEMA, and TEMA above the current price.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.2780–1.2790 (previous hourly lows).
Resistance: 1.2830–1.2850 (aligned with recent highs and trend indicators).
Directional Indicators and Oscillators:
Bullish dominance with PLUS_DI (29.18) outweighing MINUS_DI (12.42).
Momentum (MOM ~0.00877) supports short-term bullish opportunities.
Stochastic (45.48) and Stochastic RSI (26.07) indicate moderate upward momentum, but not extreme levels yet.
Volatility and Risk Indicators
True Range (TRANGE ~0.00354) indicates limited hourly price variability.
Moving averages like TEMA (1.31703), T3 (1.31303), and WMA (1.31403) reinforce long-term bearish resistance above 1.3140.
TSF (1.31757) points to strong resistance near 1.3170.
Key Events to Watch
April 9, 2025 (Today):
USD FOMC Minutes (High Impact): A hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pushing GBP/USD lower, while a dovish approach may support GBP/USD gains.
April 10, 2025 (Tomorrow):
USD Inflation Data: Lower CPI or core inflation figures may weaken the USD and favor GBP/USD bullish moves.
Jobless Claims: Rising claims could signal labor market weakness, further pressuring the USD.
April 11, 2025 (Friday):
GBP GDP & Trade Balance: Positive data could strengthen the GBP, aligning with bullish chart patterns.
USD PPI & Consumer Sentiment: Higher producer prices or sentiment could support USD recovery.
Trading Considerations
FOMC Impact: Hawkish minutes may trigger bearish GBP/USD moves, while a dovish tone supports a bullish outlook.
Key Levels: Watch 1.2780–1.2790 (support) and 1.2830–1.2850 (resistance) for trading decisions.
Volatility Management: ATR (~0.00356) suggests tight stop-losses during high-impact news.
My Take
Given the bullish technical setup but acknowledging the risk from upcoming high-impact news, I lean toward caution. At this point of my trading career i'm not comfortable with aggressive trading. A well-defined long trade near 1.279–1.280 could be rewarding—but i'm prepared for rapid moves on news releases.
Aggressive Option: Enter long around support now with tight stops and target 1.283–1.285, but be very nimble in managing your position amid the news.
Conservative Option: Wait for the market to digest the FOMC minutes and inflation data, then look for a confirmed breakout or reversal that aligns with the bullish technical signals.
I think ill wait for the news... it's in about 2 hours. see ya then!
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S&P 500 Index vs PresidentIn this layout you can see how the S&P has been performed on each presidency.
Presidency terms,
Obama 1st term: after the financial recession, the index was trying to recover and we saw falls from 16 to 21%, market went up 83%.
Obama 2nd term: the index saw falls from 10 to 15%, Market went up 50%.
Trump 1st Term: the index saw falls 3 big times 11, 21 and 34% Market went up 68%.
Biden 1st Term: the index saw falls 27% and 10%, Market went up 55%.
Trump 2nd Term: we are in the 1st fall 21% not sure if it will continue going down.
The price wants to get closer to the 200MA every time
Fibonacci levels, we are on 0.5, we still have 2 more levels down so these 3 levels could be a good entry point 😊
Gold bulls return strongly, can they continue?The gold market is currently in the mid-term adjustment stage of the bullish trend, and the technical side shows three typical characteristics: first, the price has built a standard shock box in the range of US$2955-3055; second, the daily Bollinger Bands continue to narrow to a bandwidth of US$23, a new low in nearly a month, indicating a significant contraction in volatility; most importantly, the 4-hour level has begun to show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, with the left shoulder at US$2970, the head at US$2955, and the neckline at US$3055. This technical structure suggests that the market is brewing a breakthrough, but a major catalyst is needed to confirm the direction.
Analysis of key time and space nodes
From the perspective of time, the Asian session on Wednesday (02:00-14:00 GMT) needs to closely observe the breakthrough of the short-term resistance of US$3025, especially in conjunction with the volume analysis to confirm the effectiveness of the breakthrough. Entering the US session (14:00-22:00 GMT), the market focus will shift to the competition for the double top resistance of US$3055, which is often accompanied by increased volatility caused by data shocks. It is particularly noteworthy that the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will be released early Thursday morning (02:00 GMT), which is likely to become a key catalyst to break the current deadlock.
Key positions for long and short games
Through multi-time frame analysis, we have identified the following key positions:
Short-term level: $3025 is a bullish attack signal, and $2980 is a bearish defense line
Mid-term dimension: $3055 is a trend confirmation level, and $2955 is a bullish and bearish watershed
Long-term perspective: A breakthrough of $3150 will open up new upside space, while a loss of $2900 may trigger a trend reversal
Based on the current technical structure, the following trading strategies are recommended:
Main strategy (long layout):
Position building range: $2990-2995 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level)
Stop loss setting: $2982 (double protection below the previous low + integer level)
Target system:
The first target is $3025 Yuan (short-term profit-taking point)
The second target is $3055 (confirmation point of pattern breakthrough)
The ultimate target is $3100-3150 (trend extension zone)
Auxiliary strategy (breakthrough follow-up):
After breaking through $3025 in the Asian session, wait for a retracement to $3015 to add 2%
When the US session breaks through $3055, you can chase 3% more positions
Use a 30-point moving stop loss to protect existing profits
Risk warning and management should focus on the following risks:
Policy risk: If the Fed minutes release hawkish signals, it may suppress gold prices
Data risk: US economic data exceeding expectations may trigger a technical correction
Liquidity risk: Asian session false breakthrough and US session volatility increase
Technical risk: A breakout of the $2955 low may trigger a programmed sell
GBPUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold
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GBP/USD 4H CHART PATTERNGet ready, traders—the bulls are losing control, and the bears are waking up!
We just witnessed a major break from a long-standing ascending channel, and the momentum is screaming downside potential.
What’s happening?
Price broke below the rising channel with strong bearish momentum and high volume—a textbook move signaling a trend shift!
Next key levels to watch:
Support Zone 1: 1.25756 – Previous demand area and a magnet for price action
Support Zone 2: 1.22672 – Stronger, historical support; if we get here, it’s game on for the bears!
What to expect next?
Watch out for a potential pullback/retest around the 1.2850–1.2900 zone before a deeper dive. If the retest holds, we could be looking at a clean ride down to the support levels.
Volume spike = confirmation. This isn’t just a dip; this is a possible trend shift.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: On pullback or continued breakdown
TP1: 1.25000
TP2: 1.22000
GBP/CAD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CAD is making a bearish pullback on the 1D TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 1.841 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCAD: Bullish Move From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD may continue growing after a strong bullish
reaction to a key daily support.
The market was accumulating for some time on that
within the intraday horizontal range.
Its resistance was broken with both 4H/1H candles.
Next goal - 1.5592
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLDChart Analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) – April 10, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Price Action and Trend:
- Gold has been moving within a downtrend pattern, indicated by the blue trendlines. The price has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a bearish trend.
- Currently, the price is approaching resistance near 3,132.06. It recently made an upward movement towards this level, but it seems to be facing rejection at the resistance zone.
- The support level is positioned near 3,026.30, marking an important point for potential price reversal or further decline.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is a strong order block around 3,082.15, which seems to have held as support during previous price action. This order block is also positioned above the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it an important zone for traders to watch.
- The FVG gap around 3,082.15 indicates an area where there is an imbalance in the market, potentially suggesting that price will return to fill this gap before continuing in the direction of the trend.
3. Target and Potential Movements:- Target for this setup is 3,082.15, where the price is expected to retrace after reaching the resistance level. This target indicates a potential bounce upwards from the support and a possible test of the order block.
- If the price breaks above the resistance, the next major level of interest is 3,132.06 (the top of the range).
- If the price fails to hold at the support zone or breaks the order block, further downward movement towards 3,026.30 could occur, signaling a continuation of the bearish trend.
4. Volume Analysis:
- Volume has been declining, which suggests that the price action may lack sufficient momentum to continue trending in either direction. This could imply that a breakout or significant reversal is expected soon, but traders should wait for confirmation of the breakout or breakdown.
- A volume surge near the resistance zone would provide confirmation of a potential move towards the target at 3,082.15.
Price Action Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If gold manages to break above the resistance at 3,132.06, we may see a further push towards 3,150 or even higher targets. This would confirm a bullish reversal and might signal a new trend upward.
2. Bearish Scenario:
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNGot it — you're sharing a gold (XAUUSD) buy signal with the following trade setup:
Entry: Market Buy (Current Price)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3160
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3180
Stop Loss (SL): 3078
Would you like me to format this into a clean signal for sharing (like on Telegram or Instagram), or are you looking for analysis on whether this is a good se
Ethereum is Under PressureFenzoFx—Ethereum has lost 4.5% of its value today, erasing gains from the previous trading day. The immediate resistance level is $1,755, in conjunction with the 50-period SMA. The downtrend will likely resume if this level holds, targeting the previous lower lows at $1,370.
Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if ETH/USD exceeds $1,755. If this scenario unfolds, the price may target $1,950.
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"EUR/JPY Trendline Break & RBR Zone Setup"🔹 Trendline Breakout
* ✍️ A descending trendline was clearly broken
* 📉 This signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment
* 🚀 Potential for a strong move upward
🔵 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
* 📦 Marked as a demand zone
* 🧲 Price dipped into this zone and bounced — bullish sign!
* ✅ Ideal entry area for long trades
🎯 Target Point: 164.208
* 📈 This aligns with a previous swing high
* 🎯 Potential move: +309.8 pips / +1.92%
* 🥅 Clear bullish target if the momentum holds
🛑 Stop Loss: 160.455
* 🧱 Placed just below the demand zone
* 💡 Gives the trade breathing room
* 🔐 Risk-managed setup
📊 Indicators & Price Action
* 📍 Current Price: 161.443
* 📈 Above the DEMA (9) = Short-term bullish
* 🟢 Price action supports long entry
Summary
* 📌 Bias: Bullish
* 🎯 Target: 164.208
* 🛑 Stop: 160.455
* ⚖️ Risk-Reward: Excellent (R:R ≈ 1:3+)
XAU/USD Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025XAU/USD Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025 🟡
🔹 Current Price: $3,121.94
🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
📌 Key Demand Zones:
🟩 3089–3098 – Nearest bullish continuation zone
🟩 3048–3052 – Deeper demand, potential reversal if retested
📌 Key Supply Zones:
🟥 3143–3149 – Minor resistance
🟥 3162–3168 – Major supply zone, strong rejection expected
📈 Bias: Bullish until a break below 3089
🛠️ Strategy:
Monitor for bullish confirmations at 3089–3098 zone for long entries
Watch for bearish price action at 3143+ for potential short scalps
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #FXFOREVER #IntradayTrading
USDCHFUSDCHF is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the support zone 0.84712-0.84064. If the price cannot break through the 0.84064 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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