Chart Patterns
DXY: Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 103.869
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DOGE Thesis AI Today - Moderate Risk 75%Investment Thesis
As a trader specializing in intraday scalping strategies for Dogecoin (DOGE), the current market conditions present a mixed outlook. The price is currently at $0.1712, with a significant trading volume of 719,516,150, indicating strong interest from traders. The long-short ratios suggest a bullish sentiment among top traders, which supports the decision to hold long positions. However, caution is warranted due to the overbought conditions indicated by the RSI above 70 on the daily chart, alongside strong resistance levels at $0.1741 and $0.1771.
News
Recent Developments
Elon Musk's Endorsement
Date: October 25, 2024
Details: Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, reiterated his support for Dogecoin during a live Twitter session, emphasizing its potential for mainstream adoption and integration into various payment systems.
Impact: Positive sentiment from a high-profile figure like Musk can boost investor confidence and drive demand for DOGE.
Partnership with Payment Platforms
Technological Upgrades
Elon Musk's Endorsement: Likely to drive short-term price increases due to heightened investor interest.
Partnerships with Payment Platforms: Can lead to sustained demand and increased usage of DOGE in real-world transactions.
Regulatory Clarity: May attract more institutional investors by reducing compliance risks.
Technological Upgrades: Enhances DOGE's competitiveness, potentially increasing its market share.
Negative Impact:
Market Volatility: Despite positive news, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and any negative news or unexpected developments could lead to rapid price corrections.
Data Analysis
Open Interest: Increasing, indicating that traders are adding positions and anticipating further price movements.
Weighted Funding Rate: Positive, suggesting that long positions are favored.
Liquidation Levels: Being monitored closely, as significant liquidations could trigger volatility.
Analysis: The rising open interest and positive funding rate support the bullish sentiment in the market. However, vigilant monitoring of liquidation levels is essential to mitigate risks associated with sudden price swings.
Binance Data
Trading Volume: 719,516,150 over the last 24 hours, indicating strong market activity.
Market Sentiment: Leaning towards bullish, with experts predicting short-term upward movements.
Expert Consultations:
Predict potential price targets around $0.1741 and $0.1771.
CoinMarketCap Analysts: Emphasize the importance of monitoring key support and resistance levels.
Analysis: The consensus among Binance and TradingView experts is cautiously optimistic. Monitoring support at $0.1710 and resistance at $0.1741 and $0.1771 is crucial for timely trade decisions.
CoinMarketCap Data
Market Capitalization: Approximately $23 billion.
Circulating Supply: 132 billion DOGE.
24-Hour Trading Volume: $719,516,150, indicating active trading.
Analysis: The substantial trading volume and stable circulating supply support the bullish outlook for DOGE. High liquidity facilitates easier entry and exit for scalping strategies.
Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment Score: 65%, indicating moderately positive sentiment towards Dogecoin.
Top Crypto Sentiments: "FOMO" and "Bullish".
Implications: While the sentiment is generally positive, it is moderate, suggesting room for growth but also highlighting the need for caution due to potential shifts in trader sentiment.
Technical Analysis
Daily (1d) Analysis
RSI: 57.9800, indicating a neutral stance but approaching overbought conditions.
MACD: Positive, showing bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Price is above both EMA20 and SMA20, reinforcing the bullish trend.
4-hour (4h) Analysis
RSI: 65.0000, approaching overbought levels.
MACD: Positive crossover, supporting upward momentum.
1-hour (1h) Analysis
RSI: 60.0000, suggesting potential for upward movement.
MACD: Bullish crossover observed.
15-minute (15m) Analysis
RSI: 55.0000, indicating neutral conditions.
MACD: Positive, supporting bullish momentum.
Moving Averages
MA20: $71,500
MA50: $70,000
Price Position: Currently above both MA20 and MA50, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend.
Support/Resistance Levels
Support: $71,000
Resistance: $72,931.8400
Trend Indicators
ADX: Indicates a strong trend on shorter timeframes, supporting the bullish outlook.
Bollinger Bands: Price is approaching the upper band at $72,931.8400, suggesting potential resistance and the possibility of a pullback if not breached.
Summary of Technical Indicators
RSI: Shows overbought conditions on the daily chart but remains neutral on shorter timeframes.
MACD: Bullish on all analyzed timeframes, though the 1-hour chart shows signs of potential bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Price above MA20 and MA50 supports the bullish trend.
Bollinger Bands: Approaching the upper band indicates potential resistance and the need for cautious trading.
Top BTC Pairs Performance
Strong Performance: BTC/ETH, BTC/USDT, BTC/BNB
Weak Performance: BTC/DOGE, BTC/SHIB, BTC/ADA
Analysis: Strong performance in major pairs like BTC/ETH, BTC/USDT, and BTC/BNB indicates robust liquidity and market interest. Conversely, weaker performance in smaller pairs such as BTC/DOGE, BTC/SHIB, and BTC/ADA suggests limited momentum in those areas.
Summary
The current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) indicate a bullish trend supported by increasing open interest, positive funding rates, and optimistic market sentiment. Technical indicators across multiple timeframes suggest potential upward momentum, with key resistance levels at $72,931.8400 and $73,000. The significant trading volume and positive sentiment from both analysts and retail investors reinforce the potential for short-term gains through intraday scalping strategies. However, caution is advised as the RSI approaches overbought levels, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation.
Trade Recommendation
Outcome: HOLD_BUY
Confidence Level: 78%
Current Price: $72,273.7300
Stop Loss: $71,500
Take Profit: $73,500
Exit Point: $73,000
Entry Criteria
RSI: Below 70 indicates potential upward movement.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the signal line.
Price Position: Above MA20 suggests continuation of the trend.
Current Indicators:
RSI: 49.7300
MACD: Slightly below the signal line
MA20: $71,500
Action Plan
Monitor the Price Closely:
Breakout Strategy:
If Price Holds Above $71,500:
Action: Consider maintaining or adding to the long position.
Adjust Stop Loss: Tighten the STOP_LOSS to $70,700 as the price approaches resistance levels to minimize potential losses.
Take Profit Strategy:
As Price Approaches $73,500:
Action: Consider taking profits.
Adjust Exit Point: Move the EXIT_POINT to $73,000 to secure profits.
Risk Management:
Set Stop Loss at $71,500 to limit potential losses.
Take Profit at $73,500 to capitalize on expected price movement.
Exit Point at $73,000 as an intermediate target.
Be Prepared to Act:
If RSI Falls Below 50:
Action: Indicate a potential reversal; consider taking profits or adjusting positions accordingly.
Monitor Market Sentiment:
Stay informed about any changes in market sentiment or technical signals that could impact the trade outcome.
Assumptions/Limitations
This analysis is based on current market conditions and available data. Rapid market changes may affect the accuracy of predictions. Always consider personal risk tolerance and market volatility when trading.
By @Titan_Karma
GBPUSD LONG 150PIPS1. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Identify recent support levels to confirm the stop-loss placement around 340 pips below your entry. If the price sits close to a strong support level, this might provide a buffer against further declines.
Ensure your 150-pip target is near a resistance level, especially if GBP/USD has been trending upward. Resistance nearby could indicate the trade is likely to reach the take-profit level.
2. Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD is highly sensitive to economic news from both the UK and US, including interest rate decisions by the Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve, as well as data like employment figures, inflation reports, and GDP releases.
Check for upcoming economic data releases that could cause volatility in GBP/USD, as this would impact the probability of reaching your take-profit level without hitting the larger stop loss.
How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100
In 2024, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has risen by approximately 20%, with optimism around the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) acting as one of the bullish drivers.
However, yesterday's reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) indicated that AI, as a factor influencing stock prices, may be shifting from a bullish to a bearish driver. The issue lies in the rising expenses that these tech giants are incurring in the race for leadership in this area.
Earlier today, we noted that due to increasing expenditures, MSFT shares fell by roughly 4%, despite a strong earnings report.
A similar trend is seen in Meta Platforms' stock: actual earnings per share and gross revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, due to high capital investments, META shares in pre-market trading today are around 3% lower than yesterday's opening.
Meanwhile, technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart indicates several bearish signals:
→ Since mid-September, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel, constructed using linear regression (shown in blue). However, following the reports from Microsoft and Meta Platforms, the index value has sharply dropped from the upper half of the channel to its lower boundary.
→ The pattern of peaks A-B-C-D shows that bulls find it difficult to maintain momentum: each successive peak only slightly exceeds the previous one, followed by a decline.
Considering this information, it is reasonable to assume that the current ascending channel may be unable to drive the price to the July 11 peak and could be breached by bears. Additionally, the formation of a bearish channel is not out of the question (its preliminary outline is shown in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Yes, it works on all timeframes... (ICT Concepts)In this video I just demonstrate a scalp based off of my process of of DOL>CS>Entry, and I do this on EURUSD, which is one of the pairs I have most experience in.
It is relatively simple and everything is explained in the video. If there are any questions, feel free to drop a comment.
- R2F
SasanSeifi|Will the Price Break Above $0.18 or Face a CorrectionThe previous analysis.👇
In the daily timeframe BINANCE:DOGEUSDT , Dogecoin has held support around the $0.090 level, entering a consolidation phase. The forecast suggested a short-term target of $0.125, followed by a possible move to the $0.14–$0.15 range. Observing Dogecoin’s reaction to both the $0.125 level and the liquidity area around $0.14 is crucial to understanding its future direction.
As predicted, Dogecoin maintained its support at $0.10 and resumed an upward trajectory, achieving a significant 46% increase up to the $0.15 target. Following this, Dogecoin encountered resistance, triggering a slight retracement, and a potential pullback down to the $0.125–$0.12 range is expected. Further monitoring of price reactions at these support levels will clarify its next movements. After a period of consolidation and confirmation, there’s a chance for another round of upward fluctuations and bullish momentum. However, should the price fail to hold, further corrections might follow.
New analysis👇
As shown on the chart, after a slight retracement down to the $0.125 area and completing a pullback, Dogecoin has rebounded with a 37% increase, currently testing a significant supply zone. If the price can push above the crucial $0.18 resistance level, Dogecoin could extend its growth to targets like $0.188–$0.20, approaching the next bearish order block. On the other hand, if momentum weakens, a corrective target at $0.158–$0.155–$0.15 could come into play. Observing price reactions to these support levels will provide clearer insight into Dogecoin's future trend.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
MKR/USDT: Looking Promising for a Breakout!MKR/USDT: Looking Promising for a Breakout!
MKR/USDT is showing signs that it could be on the verge of a strong upward move. This setup is creating excitement as traders watch for a potential rally in the coming days. Here’s a detailed look at what to keep in mind to maximize your breakout trading strategy:
Breakout trading tips 💡
1. Confirm the breakout: A true breakout happens when the price pushes above the resistance level with solid momentum. Look for a strong candle close above this level, backed by increasing volume. This indicates that buyers are committed and less likely to reverse. Avoid jumping in on weak moves, as “fake-outs” can trap traders who enter too early 📊
2. Watch for retests: Breakouts often come with a “retest” where the price dips back to test the old resistance level as support. This is a crucial area to watch, as successful retests can confirm the strength of the breakout. This can also offer a better entry point with reduced risk, allowing you to take advantage of the trend without chasing the price 🔄
3. Set smart stop-losses: Protecting your capital is key. For breakout trades, placing a stop-loss slightly below the breakout level or retest point is a smart way to limit losses in case the breakout fails. A well-placed stop helps you stay in control even if the move doesn’t hold up 🛡️
4. Track market sentiment: Breakouts are often influenced by the overall market environment. Keep an eye on Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, as sentiment shifts in these can impact smaller assets like MKR. Strong bullish or bearish trends in the market can either boost or stall breakout momentum, so always stay aware of the bigger picture 🌐
5. Set realistic targets: Map out potential resistance levels above the breakout point. These can act as targets for your trade. Taking partial profits at these levels allows you to lock in gains while leaving some position open if the trend continues 📈
Trade with caution and keep these tips in mind to make the most of MKR/USDT’s promising move. This isn’t financial advice—always DYOR! 🔥
DeGRAM | EURJPY pullback from resistanceEURJPY is moving in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price has reached the resistance level, which coincides with the important psychological value of 166.
The chart has formed but not closed the gap.
We expect a pullback.
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Share your opinion in the comments, and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
SPX500USD Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5,779.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 5,887.5 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURAD 100PIP TKAE PROFIT Support and Resistance Zones
Check for recent support or resistance levels. If EUR/CAD is close to a significant resistance and your take-profit target lies just below it, this could indicate a high-probability area for price reversal.
A large stop loss (320 pips) may indicate potential volatility. Ensure that this stop is placed below a strong support zone to avoid unnecessary loss on sudden market moves.
2. Market Sentiment and Fundamental Drivers
EUR/CAD is heavily influenced by factors such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policies, as well as commodity prices, particularly oil.
Recent EUR or CAD economic data (e.g., inflation reports, interest rate decisions) could give insight into the market’s bias and help determine if a 100-pip target is achievable.
78.6K is the next one to upsideMorning folks,
So, our " signal level" of ~68.6-69K has been broken and bullish setup has been set. Those who have used Stop "buy" entry orders should have good results.
Now the trading process is relatively simple. All that you need to do is to control 68.6-69K area. Because you do not want to see bearish reversal swing on BTC and drop back under long-term former resistance area again.
Other words, 68.6-69K is an invalidation point for current bullish action. So, if you intend to buy, you could consider 70.5K and 68.6K levels
Revision 1 (Phase D- Sign Of Strength (SOS))
Graphical abstract:
consider this analogy
Technical Section:
USTC is completing the 3rd wave of the third leg of a 5-wave rally
Trade Plan:
Bias: Bullish (Wyckoff Method)
Trade entry = $ 0.023 - $ 0.025
Target-1 = $ 0.038
Target-2 = $ 0.07
Target-3 = $ 0.138 (New ATH)
Stop level: $ 0.015
That is what we are all striving for
Appendix:
XAUUSD - Profit Taking as per usual by NY
The recent drop in gold appears to be a classic profit-taking move by algorithms using the latest economic data as a justification to temporarily drive prices lower.
Despite some stronger U.S. data, nothing has fundamentally shifted in terms of gold’s long-term outlook.
Fundamental Justification:
Inflation Stability: Core inflation indicators remain steady, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rate Expectations: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady, with markets leaning toward potential rate cuts next year, which is typically bullish for gold.
Global Uncertainty: Persistent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties still make gold attractive as a safe haven.
In essence, the recent pullback is more about short-term positioning rather than a change in the fundamental landscape for gold, keeping the overall bullish view intact with $2,790 as a reasonable upside target.
Target: Given the previous high of $2,790, we should expect a return to this level as per usuual.
Breakdown:
Fundamentals: 85/100 – Supportive due to inflation concerns, steady rates, and safe-haven appeal amidst global uncertainties.
Technical Outlook: 75/100 – Some short-term selling pressure, but the trend remains positive with a high likelihood of retesting previous highs.
The score reflects strong underlying bullish support with a high probability of a return to previous levels, though some short-term volatility from profit-taking will obviously persist.
Polkadot Critical Momentum - Since 2015, Bitcoin showed me a glimpse of what decentralization could achieve – true empowerment of people through a trustless, resilient network.
- By 2020, Polkadot amplified that vision for me, giving projects the freedom to build their own blockchains and putting governance back in the hands of the people. It may seem utopian, but Bitcoin has already proven it's possible with POW (proof of work).
- In this 2024 pre-bull market, I’ve heavily watched BNB, Solana, and Toncoin bring in impressive profits.
- I’ve followed these projects since their inception. BNB, tied closely to Binance, shares its fate—if Binance falters, so will BNB. Solana’s development team holds substantial control, often restarting the blockchain when it encounters issues, which raises questions about its decentralization. Similarly, Toncoin’s future is tied to Telegram’s success, meaning that if Telegram fades, Toncoin would likely follow.
- All three projects – BNB, Solana, and Toncoin – have been heavily influenced by hype, memes, and venture capital backing.
- Back to the trend :
- Polkadot is at a critical juncture: if it doesn't break the downtrend, it could easily slide back to $3.60 or less, if it breaks up $5.50 is the next critical point.
- Cryptos remain highly volatile and unpredictable. Invest wisely, do your own research (DYOR), and approach each projects with caution.
Happy Tr4Ding!