S&P500: Persistent SupportThe S&P 500 continued its recovery following its reaction to the support at 5509 points. However, in our primary scenario, we expect the index to fall below this mark to ultimately complete wave in green within our color-matched Target Zone (coordinates: 4988 points – 4763 points). Within this range, there are entry opportunities for long positions, which could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary. Once the corrective movement has reached its low, the final upward movement of the green wave structure should commence. In the process, the index should gain significantly and reach the high of wave above the resistance at 6166 points. If this mark is surpassed prematurely, our alternative scenario with a 30% probability will come into play.
Chart Patterns
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations.
Key technical nodes
Bull-bear watershed:
Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday)
Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone)
Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension)
Downward target:
First look at the breakthrough of 3100
Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area)
Deep correction may touch 3030-3000
Trading strategy recommendations
Main strategy: short on rebound
Ideal shorting area:
Preferred 3124-3128 range
Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound
Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases
Stop loss setting :
10-8 dollars above each resistance zone
Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high
Target position:
Phase 1: 3100 mark
Phase 2: 3077-3057
Phase 3: 3030-3000
Key points for auxiliary observation
The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session
If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations
Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations
Risk warning
If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately
If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline
Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand
The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
CAC40 capped by resistance at 7,900The CAC40 index is exhibiting bearish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. The recent price action suggests an oversold bounce, which may be temporary before the downtrend resumes.
Key Level: 7,900
This level represents the previous intraday consolidation zone and serves as a crucial resistance point.
Bearish Scenario: If the index faces rejection at 7,900, it could resume its decline, targeting 7,728, followed by 7,680 and 7,552 as long-term support levels.
Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 7,900 with a daily close beyond this level would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to rallies toward 7,980 and 8,060.
Conclusion:
The CAC40 remains in a bearish trend unless a strong breakout above 7,900 confirms a shift in momentum. Traders should watch for rejection or confirmation at this key level to determine the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USTEC Buy Setup – Reversal Signal & Smart Money AccumulationTechnical: After a sharp decline, TRADENATION:USTEC has found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A reversal candle on March 31, followed by a bullish confirmation on April 1, suggests a potential bottom. Today’s small pullback ahead of Liberation Day may offer a buying opportunity.
Fundamental: While concerns over tariff implementation persist, the market may have already priced in the worst-case scenario. Any outcome perceived as "less bad than expected" could trigger a short-term rebound. Additionally, increased commercial interest in TRADENATION:USTEC signals that smart money is positioning for a move higher.
Risk & Reward: This is a speculative setup due to ongoing tariff uncertainties, but it presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: 19308
Stop Loss: 18766
Target: 20726
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/NZD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 2.264 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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JPMorgan at a Crossroads Bullish Surge or Bearish Retreat ? Hello, fellow traders!
Today, I’m diving into a detailed technical analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) on the 2-hour chart, as shown in the screenshot. My goal is to break down the key elements of this chart in a professional yet accessible way, so whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, you can follow along and understand the potential opportunities and risks in this setup. Let’s get started!
Price Action Overview
At the time of this analysis, JPM is trading at 243.62, down -1.64 (-0.67%) on the 2-hour timeframe. The chart spans from late March to early May, giving us a good look at the recent price behavior. The price has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows, but we’re now seeing signs of a potential pullback or consolidation.
The chart shows a breakout above a key resistance zone around the 234.50 level (highlighted in red on the Volume Profile), followed by a retest of this level as support. This is a classic bullish pattern: a breakout, a retest, and then a continuation higher. However, the recent price action suggests some hesitation, with a small bearish candle forming at the current price of 243.62. Let’s dig deeper into the tools and indicators to understand what’s happening.
Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right side of the chart is a powerful tool for identifying key price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. Here’s what it’s telling us:
Value Area High (VAH): 266.25
Point of Control (POC): 243.01
Value Area Low (VAL): 236.57
Profile Low: 224.25
The Point of Control (POC) at 243.01 is the price level with the highest traded volume in this range, acting as a magnet for price. Since the current price (243.62) is just above the POC, this level is likely providing some support. However, the fact that we’re so close to the POC suggests that the market is at a decision point—either we’ll see a bounce from this high-volume node, or a break below could lead to a deeper pullback toward the Value Area Low (VAL) at 236.57.
The Total Volume in VP Range is 62.798M shares, with an Average Volume per Bar of 174.44K. This indicates decent liquidity, but the Volume MA (21) at 165.709K is slightly below the average, suggesting that the recent price action hasn’t been accompanied by a significant spike in volume. This could mean that the current move lacks strong conviction, and we might see a consolidation phase before the next big move.
Trendlines and Key Levels
I’ve drawn two trendlines on the chart to highlight the structure of the price action:
Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle formation, with a flat resistance line around the 234.50 level (which was later broken) and an upward-sloping support trendline connecting the higher lows. Ascending triangles are typically bullish patterns, and the breakout above 234.50 confirmed this bias. After the breakout, the price retested the 234.50 level as support and continued higher, reaching a high of around 248.02.
Current Support Trendline: The upward-sloping trendline (drawn in white) is still intact, with the most recent low around 241.50 finding support on this line. This trendline is critical—if the price breaks below it, we could see a deeper correction toward the VAL at 236.57 or even the 234.50 support zone.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Based on the Volume Profile and price action, here are the key levels I’m watching:
Immediate Support: 243.01 (POC) and 241.50 (recent low on the trendline). A break below 241.50 could signal a short-term bearish move.
Next Support: 236.57 (VAL) and 234.50 (previous resistance turned support).
Resistance: 248.02 (recent high). A break above this level could target the Value Area High at 266.25, though that’s a longer-term target.
Deeper Support: If the price breaks below 234.50, the next significant level is 224.25 (Profile Low), which would indicate a major trend reversal.
Market Context and Timeframe
The chart covers 360 bars of data, starting from late March. This gives us a good sample size to analyze the trend. The 2-hour timeframe is ideal for swing traders or those looking to capture moves over a few days to a week. The broader trend remains bullish, but the recent price action suggests we might be entering a consolidation or pullback phase before the next leg higher.
Trading Strategy and Scenarios
Based on this analysis, here are the potential scenarios and how I’d approach trading JPM:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the POC at 243.01 and the trendline support at 241.50, I’d look for a bounce toward the recent high of 248.02. A break above 248.02 could signal a continuation toward 266.25 (VAH). Entry could be on a strong bullish candle closing above 243.62, with a stop-loss below 241.50 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 241.50 and the POC at 243.01, I’d expect a pullback toward the VAL at 236.57 or the 234.50 support zone. A short position could be considered on a confirmed break below 241.50, with a stop-loss above 243.62 and a target at 236.57.
Consolidation Scenario: Given the lack of strong volume and the proximity to the POC, we might see the price consolidate between 241.50 and 248.02 for a while. In this case, I’d wait for a breakout or breakdown with strong volume to confirm the next move.
Risk Management
As always, risk management is key. The 2-hour timeframe can be volatile, so I recommend using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, if you’re going long at 243.62 with a stop-loss at 241.50 (a risk of 2.12 points), your target should be at least 248.02 (a reward of 4.40 points), giving you a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your account on this trade.
Final Thoughts
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 2-hour chart, with a confirmed breakout above the 234.50 resistance and a retest of this level as support. However, the recent price action near the POC at 243.01 and the lack of strong volume suggest that we might see a pullback or consolidation before the next move higher. The key levels to watch are 241.50 (trendline support), 243.01 (POC), and 248.02 (recent high).
For now, I’m leaning slightly bullish as long as the price holds above 241.50, but I’ll be ready to adjust my bias if we see a break below this level. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let the market show its hand before taking a position.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments below, and happy trading!
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025
All the ingredients for a high probability short position. Weekly & daily 50 Exponential moving averages coming to join the short party. Higher time frame, namely the weekly time frame currently range with EMA beautifully in the middle of price action. That leaves from a deeper look into the lower time frames to see where the higher time frame EMA's line up.
I'll keep it snappy, what I require is price NOT to touch the Tokyo lows. This is added into the bag of FRGNT confluences. Price needs to trickle into the 15' just above the current Tokyo session. I need lower time frame breaks of structure to form post London open. A lower time frame order block to be created to short from. 5' Break of structure is what is I'd like to see.
Short and snappy short synopsis. I hope the photo paints the narrative better than I can explain it.
FRGNT X
Bitcoin Bullish Breakout – Uptrend to Continue! BTC is showing strong bullish momentum, currently pushing $84.6K and maintaining an upward trajectory. Here’s the key outlook:
🔹 Uptrend Confirmation: BTC holding above key support, signaling continuation.
🔹 Target: $86K– FWB:88K in the short term.
🔹 Resistance: $86.7K – Breaking above this level could accelerate the move to FWB:88K +.
🔹 Pivot Point: $82.9K – A key level to watch for potential pullbacks.
🔹 1H Timeframe Outlook: Buyers remain in control, reinforcing the bullish setup.
If BTC maintains its momentum and breaks resistance, we could see new highs soon! Keep an eye on volume and market sentiment.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BullishTrend #CryptoTrading #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis
Review and plan for 2nd April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Few stocks too.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
EOSUSDT Breakout with Strong Volume: Bullish Momentum BuildingEOSUSDT has recently completed a breakout, demonstrating strong bullish momentum with significant volume backing the move. The breakout from the previous resistance level indicates a potential trend reversal, and with the volume surge, it confirms that investors are actively participating in this rally. Market sentiment appears positive, and the pair is well-positioned to capitalize on this momentum.
With the current bullish outlook, EOSUSDT shows promising potential for gains ranging from 90% to 100% or more. The increasing interest from investors further supports the likelihood of continued upward movement. If the buying pressure sustains, we may witness a robust rally that could attract more attention from the trading community.
Technical analysis highlights that the successful breakout combined with consistent volume influx may serve as a solid foundation for future growth. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels to make the most of potential price surges. As the momentum builds, managing risk effectively and staying updated with market conditions will be crucial.
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#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a support area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.844.
Entry price: 0.838
First target: 0.828
Second target: 0.809
Third target: 0.789