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USDollar Is Making An Intraday Pullback Within DowntrendGood morning traders! Stocks keep pushing higher along with yields, so it looks like 10Y US Notes could still see lower support levels, and that’s why USdollar is in a bigger intraday correction. What we want to say is that while the 10Y US Notes are still searching for support, the DXY can stay in recovery mode or at least sideways. In the meantime, stocks can easily see even higher levels after NVIDIA surpassed earnings. Looking at the intraday USDollar Index – DXY chart, we see a leading diagonal formation, so we are tracking now an intraday abc correction before a bearish continuation, thus keep an eye on GAP from May 18 around 101 level that can be filled and may act as a resistance before a bearish continuation.
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
DAX INTRADAY sideways consolidation breakoutTrend Overview: The DAX Index remains in a bullish trend, supported by a series of higher highs and higher lows. The broader structure continues to favor the upside, although recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation, signaling a potential pause within the prevailing uptrend. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: 23680 (key pivot), followed by 23445 and 23200 Resistance: 24570 (initial), then 24770 and 25000 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward the 23680 support—which aligns with the prior consolidation zone—could offer a buying opportunity if price action confirms a bullish reversal from that level. A sustained break above 24570 would likely accelerate bullish momentum, targeting 24770 and 25000 over the medium term. Conversely, a daily close below 23680 would invalidate the bullish bias, exposing the index to a deeper retracement toward 23445 and potentially 23200. Conclusion: While the broader DAX trend remains bullish, traders should watch for price behavior around the 23680 level. A bounce could resume the uptrend toward 25000, but a confirmed breakdown would shift the short-term bias to bearish, signaling a deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
Bitcoin (BTC): Fight Over Current Zone | Buyers HoldingThe fight keeps going on where both buyers and sellers are showing strong dominance with momentum candles. We are being patient here; we see that buyers still manage to hold the current zone but also we see the attempts by sellers to dump it from here. Nevertheless, all those sell attempts have failed so far, so we might be seeing very volatile movement either to upper zones or lower zones, but we are voting for upward movement as long as buyers maintain dominance in current regions. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout? Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week. 📊 1. Market Overview GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe. Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone? 🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows): 🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone) Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300 Targets liquidity resting below prior structure 🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation OB holds, price flips bullish Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction. 🧱 3. Key Zones 🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526 🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283 🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600 🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280 ⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have: ✅ Clean entries ✅ Clear invalidation zones ✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+) 📌 5. Watchlist Note 💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG 💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs 💬 Call to Action: 📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week 💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce 📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
by ChartNinjas88
4
USDCAD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward sell entry level at 1.3908, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.3767, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.4016, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
S&P500: Top Within ReachThe S&P has recently continued its upward movement, climbing higher into the magenta-colored Short Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166 points. Primarily, we expect the top of the current wave (X) in magenta within this price range, after which a downtrend should follow with wave (Y). This final phase of the magenta three-part movement should lead the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4,988 and 4,763 points, completing the overarching green wave there. A rise above the upper boundary of the Target Zone and a breach of resistance at 6,675 points would trigger our alternative scenario. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below. Strategy: Bounce & Sell Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal signals include: 3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High. 3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone. We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas. Downside Targets Our primary downside targets are: 3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low. 3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure. From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis. Crucial Considerations Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup. Trade carefully and profitably. C.Goii Super Trader
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310 📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision: The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy. This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure: Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone. 🧠 Two key levels to watch: 3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence 3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement 🎯 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245 Stop-Loss: 3241 Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261 Stop-Loss: 3257 Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296 Stop-Loss: 3300 Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310 Stop-Loss: 3314 Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next. Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Gold Price, 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and DXY Correlation 1. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond Yields Inverse Relationship: Gold prices and bond yields (nominal) typically move inversely. Higher yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, while lower yields boost demand for gold. Real Interest Rates: The real yield (nominal yield minus inflation) is the key driver. When real yields fall (e.g., due to high inflation), gold prices rise, even if nominal yields increase. For example, gold surged during the 1970s despite rising nominal yields because inflation outpaced rates. Current Example: A 10-year Treasury yield of 4.54% (nominal) with high inflation could still support gold if real yields remain negative or low. 2. Gold vs. Interest Rates Inverse Correlation: Rising interest rates (e.g., Fed hikes) strengthen the dollar and increase bond yields, pressuring gold prices. Falling rates weaken the dollar and reduce yields, boosting gold. Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn’t pay interest, so higher rates make yield-bearing assets (bonds, savings) more attractive Recent Context: Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts in 2025 have supported gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. 3. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index) Inverse Relationship: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. A weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts gold’s affordability and appeal. Exceptions: During crises, both gold and the dollar may rise as safe havens (e.g., 2008 financial crisis). 4. 10-Year Yields vs. DXY Positive Correlation: Higher yields often strengthen the dollar (DXY↑) by attracting foreign capital into USD-denominated bonds. Divergence Risk: If yields rise due to fiscal concerns (e.g., US debt) rather than growth, the dollar may weaken despite higher yields. Summary Table Relationship Typical Correlation Key Driver(s) Gold ⇄ 10-Year Yields Inverse Real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) Gold ⇄ Interest Rates Inverse Opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold Gold ⇄ DXY Inverse USD strength impacting gold’s global demand DXY ⇄ 10-Year Yields Positive Yield-seeking capital flows into USD assets Key Scenarios Rising Yields + Strong Dollar: Gold faces dual headwinds (e.g., Fed tightening cycles). Falling Yields + Weak Dollar: Gold rallies (e.g., post-2008 QE, 2020 pandemic). Stagflation (High Inflation + Low Growth): Gold rises despite higher nominal yields (real yields turn negative). Conclusion The interplay between gold, bond yields, interest rates, and the dollar is dynamic: Gold’s primary driver is real interest rates, not nominal yields. A weaker dollar (DXY↓) and falling real yields create ideal conditions for gold rallies. While correlations are strong historically, exceptions occur during crises or stagflation. Trade Implications: Monitor real yields (10-year TIPS) and DXY trends for gold price direction. Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and geopolitical risks can override typical correlations. For detailed analysis, track real-time data on bond yields, inflation expectations, and central bank rhetoric. #GOLD #DOLLAR
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
PYTH - Super Bullish Wedge PatternBINANCE:PYTHUSDT 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐋𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥𝐬 & 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐲: 𝐄𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐙𝐨𝐧𝐞: 87 – 91 USDT (marked in green) This is a demand zone where price previously found support and bounced. 𝐃𝐂𝐀 (Dollar Cost Average): 83.6 USDT Ideal level for accumulating further if price dips below the entry zone. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐩 𝐋𝐨𝐬𝐬 (𝐒𝐋): 78.6 USDT Placed below major structure support to limit downside risk.
Long
by UnculturedTrade007
CPHL LONG TRADECPHL has been in bear channel which is actually a Bull flag – it performed a selling climax and then displayed a Bullish Reversal. It has also posted a HL, supported by VG. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –CPHL 🚨 🎯BUY1: Rs. 84-87 📈 TP1 : Rs. 94 📈 TP2 : Rs. 99.9 🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 79 (Daily Close) 📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:3.4 Caution: Please buy on levels. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:CPHLLong
by Mushtaque77
Gold is under pressure in the short term, sell!This wave of large-range sweeps that started on April 17 formed a large channel, and the price once again touched the lower track of the channel, forming a bottoming-out recovery. This is also the reason why I insist on selling at a high price recently. The space budget is about 200-300 US dollars, which is the weekly level sweep space Go to the lower track of the channel to consider recovering the space of 200-300 US dollars Go to the upper track of the channel to consider recovering the space of 200-300 US dollars The most recent one is the rise formed by touching the 3120-3121 area. As of the current sprint to the 3366 area, the rise is about 245 US dollars And it continues to hover at the upper track of the channel. Is it a new beginning? It also needs to break through the key support defense line The corresponding is the hourly chart double line, the four-hour lifeline and the daily lifeline Specifically: 1. The hourly chart double line position is now in the 3306-3270 area. After the price broke through the double line, it used the double line lower track (purple trend line) as suppression and continued to fall and break low Then after breaking through the double line, it turned into support, especially after breaking through the repeatedly suppressed purple trend line position 3250, forming an accelerated sprint, and the space range exceeded 100 US dollars Then the purple trend line position, as the space switching line position, the subsequent space breakthrough will achieve at least 100 US dollars of space switching Now this position is 3270, the distance is a little far, mark it first! 2. The four-hour lifeline is now at 3323. After the price surged, there was no increase in volume and acceleration. Instead, it continued to surge and fall. The four-hour pattern also began to close. The lifeline position is the dividing line. The double-line lower track and the pattern lower track are superimposed in the 3283 area. Special attention should be paid to it. Together with the 3270 position of the hourly chart, it will become the space switching point for the subsequent market. 3. Interestingly, the daily lifeline is in the 3286 range, which is also the low point in the second half of last week and the final support point determined by the retracement. Multiple supports are superimposed here, which means that the subsequent price can fall below this point, and the space will be switched. 4. Sweep in the short-term blue channel range. After standing above 3330-3332 again last Friday, the upward increase was expanded to find the upper rail of the channel, which is also the upper rail of the large range, at 3366. After confirming the resistance, it fell back again. The current channel range is 3366-3306, with the middle acceleration point at 3340 area. This is used as the boundary. The suppression is successful and falls back below 3330. The area to look for is 3306-3300, followed by 32 96 (the excess range is 3288) Then we need to pay attention to the area below 3288 mentioned in the above three points. This area will either not be given, or when it is really given, it is likely to be directly broken through, and then find the purple trend line position 3270 range In summary, for the next gold, first consider the small blue channel range of 3366-3306, and use 3340 as the dividing line to switch space Secondly, if it rises again and breaks 3366, the next resistance is 3386 to continue to sweep the high range Finally, it is possible to suppress the area below 3306, and gradually break through the low point area of ​​3286-3288. If it successfully breaks through, the bears will start to recover the lost ground. Referring to this idea, choose to continue to maintain the idea of ​​high altitude. The current short position of 3349-3347 is under pressure to fall to the 3332 area. It can be harvested in the short term. The small band continues to hold the principal loss and look down to the 3320-3310 area. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the short position of 3340-3342, stop loss 3349, target 3320-3310!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FredericaCrichton
#XRP MARKET STRUCTURE | DAILY OUTLOOK | MAY 2025📊 *XRP - Strong Support & Breakout Watch | Daily Timeframe* XRP is currently holding above a major support zone around the 102B market cap level. Price has shown multiple rejections from this zone, indicating strong buying interest. 🔹 *Key Levels:* - *Support Zone:* 102B (Strong Demand Area) - *Resistance Zone:* 147B (Breakout Level) 📈 *Market Structure:* Price is forming a potential accumulation pattern. If this structure holds, we might see a bullish reversal towards the resistance, followed by a possible breakout. 📌 *Bullish Scenario:* - Bounce from support - Retest of previous high - Breakout above resistance 📌 *Invalidation:* - If price closes below 102B support zone, setup may fail and a deeper drop could follow. 🧠 *Note:* This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before trading. #XRP #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #SupportResistance
CRYPTOCAP:XRP
by Smart_Trading_Strategy