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GBP Rebounds on Retail Sales – But USD Still in Control📌 GBP Bounces on Strong Retail Sales, But USD Strength Keeps Pressure On 💷📉 The British Pound (GBP) rebounded on Friday after UK Retail Sales data surprised to the upside. According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), retail sales rose by 0.4% in March, beating expectations of a -0.4% decline. On a yearly basis, growth accelerated to 2.6%, outpacing the forecast of 1.8%. However, despite the positive data, traders remain confident the Bank of England (BoE) may still cut interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% in the May meeting, due to persistent global uncertainties and softer inflation expectations. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gained ground across the board as trade tensions between the US and China appeared to ease. Durable Goods Orders in the US jumped by 9.2% in March — a clear sign of business confidence and policy impact. 📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD GBP/USD briefly recovered from an intraday low of 1.3280 but remains under pressure near key resistance. On the upside, the psychological barrier at 1.3500 remains a major hurdle. To the downside, the April 3rd high around 1.3200 now acts as strong support. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 1.32500 SL: 1.32000 TP: 1.33300 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.34180 SL: 1.34700 TP: 1.33500 📌 Stay alert ahead of key BoE guidance and further US-China headlines — volatility may increase as we head into May.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish📊#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish⚠️ 🧠From a structural point of view, after we broke through the resistance zone at the daily level, the resistance zone turned into a support zone, so after the price fell back to this support zone, I participated in some long trades. The interim target is around 90,000, so I chose to close all positions after reaching here. ➡️In general, my mind is still in the shock trading, so I don’t look forward to the goal too far. Because we haven’t built a long structure at the daily level, we still need to be vigilant. ➡️Currently we have reached the resistance zone at the weekly level, don’t chase the rise here. We can look for some short signals in this area to participate. ⚠️Note that the large level belongs to the long trend, the correction at the daily level is over, and it is possible to start the upward trend at the daily level. Try to focus on long trades. Let’s take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity Within Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, On NAS100USD, the current market structure is clearly bullish. To capitalize on this momentum, we aim to align our intraday opportunities with the prevailing trend. At present, price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG), presenting a potential high-probability zone for a bullish reaction. Upon receiving confirmation, this setup offers a favorable opportunity to enter long positions, with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool situated above. Key Focus: Structure: Bullish Entry Zone: Fair Value Gap (retracement) Target: Overhead liquidity pool As always, ensure confirmation before executing any trades, and remain disciplined in managing your risk. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
2
Head and Shoulder pattern XAUUSD GOLD Update | H4 Timeframe 🙌 We have been observed that in H4 Timeframe market is creating a proper Head and Shoulder pattern ❗️ We have been set our trendline which is indicated that previous h4 rejected that area and try to push himself from that point We also set our observation area at point If market break our trendline area then expected 3280 further 3260.00 would be last trigger point On the otherhand if market can not break the trendline we are expecting near our Resistance area at 3348.00 ❗️ #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by professionaltradersfx
Gold fluctuates at high levels and is ready to goIn the 4-hour chart, the mid-term bottom continuous positive pattern reflects the bullish strength, but the current price has not effectively stood above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, so it is not in a very strong state. Based on this, there are still trading opportunities for falling back and going long today, and the support points below the small cycle level are at two key points of 3320 and 3310. If the gold price falls back to the above key support levels during the Asian and European trading sessions, you can follow the trend to arrange long orders, and the key to the market rhythm is still in the US trading session. If there is a unilateral surge in the US trading session on Friday, you can look at the extreme rising target; if there is a shock sweeping market during the US trading session, you don’t have to be obsessed with the gold price will definitely go out of the big rise space, and you need to flexibly adjust the trading target according to the actual market changes. Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to use the rebound high-altitude as an auxiliary strategy and the retracement low-long as the main strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3327-3454 line resistance area, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3286-3360 line support area. Operation strategy: Gold is recommended to rebound to high altitudes as the main, and to fall back to low altitudes as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3327-3454 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3286-3360 line support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady. Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
AUDJPY Potential Swing Setup – Can You See What It's Building?AUDJPY has been forming a super clean structure on the daily chart lately Price is now pulling back into a key breakout zone, and reacting strongly— right at the golden observation zone where reversals tend to happen.✨ 👊 Here’s what we do every day: We’re not aiming to win every trade, but we make sure every setup is backed by logic. We focus solely on perfect timing for entries—and let our custom trade tools handle the exits automatically. 🛠️ We enter with a short-term mindset to catch medium-term swing plays—only taking trades with strong risk-reward. 📈 This isn’t just a strategy—it’s the mindset of a professional trader.
Short
by Day_Trading_Attack_Penguins
SOLUSDT Weekly Technical Analysis – April 25, 2025Trend Structure & Key Technical Zones Solana (SOL) has been respecting a long-term uptrend line (green dotted) since its 2022 lows. This trendline served as a dynamic support throughout the bullish expansion in late 2023. However, price action since Q1 2024 shifted into a broad sideways consolidation range, where SOL formed a well-defined horizontal range between $76.78 (support) and $294 (resistance). Recently, SOL retested the lower bound of this range around $100, which aligns with a strong historical support zone, and bounced decisively, validating it once again. The bounce is marked with a green arrow in the image — signaling buyer dominance at this key structural area. Range-Bound Market & Price Behavior This chart clearly presents a multi-month horizontal consolidation where SOL has: Rejected the $76.78 level multiple times (strong demand) Struggled to break through the upper barrier at $294 Remained confined within this accumulation/distribution range, offering both trading and positional opportunities The dotted black trendline within the range (slightly upward sloping) suggests a mild internal bullish bias, pointing to gradual accumulation from smart money. MACD Indicator Analysis Below the price chart, the MACD (Weekly) shows Bullish crossover forming with the MACD line crossing above the signal line Bearish momentum fading, as visible from the shrinking red histogram bars A potential shift in medium-term trend direction, supporting the bullish bounce This momentum shift aligns perfectly with the recent support zone rebound, increasing the probability of a move toward the top of the range. Trade Idea (Position-Based) The image outlines a position trade idea with a clear setup based on range-play strategy. Entry Point: $154.51 Stop Loss: $121.48 (below key structure, protecting against breakdown) Take Profit: $259.78 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~3.19 Potential Gain: +68.13% Potential Risk: -21.38% The trade aims to capture the move from mid-range to range-high, capitalizing on momentum reversal and strong technical confirmation from MACD and price structure. Summary & Outlook Long-term trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the major trendline and price structure. Strong support at $76.78 continues to hold firm. MACD confirms bullish reversal signs, supporting a possible rally toward the top of the range. Risk is well-defined and positioned below structure. Next resistance levels to watch: $259.78 and extended zone at $294.53 (top green line) SOL shows a high-probability bounce from a strategic support zone, supported by momentum reversal and trend structure. Traders can look for range-to-range swing plays while longer-term investors may also monitor for breakout above $260+ for trend continuation.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
S&P 500: The Indicator to Watch Right NowWith US stocks bouncing on Trump’s backtracking over tariffs — just weeks after a 20% correction — it’s fair to say caution is the name of the game. Even though the headline risk has eased slightly, markets are still navigating through a fog of geopolitical noise and economic uncertainty. In moments like these, where the fundamental picture feels muddy at best, objective technical analysis can offer clarity — not crystal-ball predictions, but structure and focus. The Traditional Technical Backdrop Traditional technical analysis isn’t about magic lines on a chart — it’s about mapping out price behaviour with tools that help us stay grounded. Structural levels, trendlines, and a couple of moving averages might seem basic, but they’ve stood the test of time because they do something incredibly useful: they make sense of chaos. In the case of the S&P 500, several key structural levels should anchor any serious analysis. We’ve got the pre-sell-off highs from February, the April lows, and two interim levels — broken support levels that flipped to resistance during retracement rallies between February and April. These levels now act like milestones in the market’s memory. Drawing a downward-sloping trendline through the swing highs during the correction gives us a good sense of the broader downtrend. More recently, we’ve also started to see a modest uptrend emerge from the April lows. That creates something of a wedge formation — a narrowing range that’s coiling tighter as buyers and sellers battle it out. Simple moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day are useful additions here. While they’re lagging by nature, they give us immediate context for where price sits in relation to recent momentum and long-term sentiment. US500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Indicator to Watch There’s a good argument to be made that the most important indicator to watch right now, with the S&P 500 trying to claw back ground, isn’t a moving average or RSI — it’s Anchored VWAP. Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is one of the most effective ways to cut through the noise and see who’s really in control — buyers or sellers. It tells you the average price that traders have paid for the index, weighted by volume, since a specific event or turning point. And unlike regular VWAP that resets daily, Anchored VWAP lets us choose a significant date and track how price interacts with that “anchor.” If we anchor the VWAP to the February highs, we’re essentially tracking how the market has performed relative to that peak. This anchored VWAP line becomes a kind of gravity — it reflects the average cost basis of those who bought just before the sell-off. If price remains below it, it tells us those buyers are still underwater, and therefore less likely to add risk. Sellers, in that case, still hold the advantage. On the flip side, if we anchor VWAP to the April lows, we get the average cost basis of the recent bounce. This line reflects where more optimistic, bottom-fishing buyers stepped in. If price holds above this level, it suggests those participants remain in profit — and potentially willing to buy dips. Right now, the S&P 500 is stuck in a battle between these two anchored VWAP levels. One tracks the pain, the other tracks the hope. It’s a VWAP funnel, and it won’t last forever. Eventually, price will break above one and leave the other behind — and when it does, we’ll have an objective answer as to which side is winning. Will it be the late bears holding on from February’s highs, or the early bulls from the April lows? The answer is coming. Keep your eyes on the anchored VWAPs — they’re telling the real story. US500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom