XAUUSD technical analysis.XAUUSD technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
Chart Patterns
DOW JONES You will regret not taking this buyDow Jones / US30 remains under heavy selling pressure as it has been yet again rejected under the 1week MA50, failing to hold the closings over it of the past 3 candles.
This is the strongest correction of the index since the September 26th 2022 bottom and the start of the Channel Up.
Despite the negatives, the 1week RSI is almost on the 37.50 level, which is where the last higher low of the Channel Up was formed on October 23rd 2023, again under the 1week MA50.
Obviously even though the downside may continue for a few more days, the extent is limited technically, especially since the worst of the tariffs have been priced and only new and more aggressive ones can inflict more non-technical fear on the market.
This is a unique long term buy opportunity, the likes of which saw 2 rallies before of +21.10%.
Even in the event of one more dip, a 48000 target towards the end of the year is very realistic.
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along
The rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels
Above at 2.2659
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
4-hr SMI20: 300 points Drop on The RadarThe Swiss stock market index is mirroring its global counterparts, such as Germany 40 and US100, experiencing a sharp decline following the announcement of new tariffs by the Trump administration yesterday.
In response, we placed a sell order at 12,350, aiming to profit from the prevailing risk-off sentiment. Investors are offloading stocks, shifting towards safe-haven assets due to increasing market uncertainty.
From a technical standpoint, a death cross has emerged—historically a strong bearish signal. Additionally, two consecutive Fibonacci retracement levels, which typically provide solid support, have failed to hold. Given this, we anticipate further downside toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which often serves as final support.
Therefore, our take-profit (TP) is set at 12,000, aligning with this level. For risk management, we have a stop-loss (SL) positioned 2% above our entry price, ensuring a controlled risk-reward ratio.
With fundamentals and technicals aligned, we expect continued downward momentum in the Swiss stock market index in the short to mid-term.
Russell2000 Futures ShortRTY1! Future is now net Short on the regression break.
I am not taking this trade.
bTC UpdateGiven the technical and market factors, Bitcoin is poised for an upward move in the next few days, potentially reaching between $85,000 and $90,000. However, keep an eye on the key levels mentioned, as any loss of momentum could shift the trend.
GBPAUD | SCALPING TIME | BUY NOW HEY THERE;
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY GBPAUD - 2,05048 / 2,04900
🟢TP1: 2,05221
🟢TP2: 2,05689
🟢TP3: 2,06374
🔴SL: 2,04570
RISK REWARD - 3,00
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$NVDA | A Double Bottom in the Making? We’re spotting the early structure of a double bottom pattern forming on NASDAQ:NVDA — a classic bullish reversal signal. After a steep decline, price action is showing signs of stabilization, testing support twice, and trying to recover from the lows.
But there’s a catch...
📌 No confirmation yet.
The neckline still needs to be broken with strong momentum to validate this formation and trigger potential upside.
⚠️ Today’s tariff-related news could be the catalyst. A strong reaction may either confirm the breakout or invalidate the pattern entirely.
What to watch:
Break above the neckline with volume = potential entry ✅
Failure + breakdown = more pain to come ❌
This is a key technical level. Stay sharp and let price action lead the way.
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows.
Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase.
Appearance on the Chart:
The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward.
The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation.
The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665).
This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31).
The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671).
This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout.
After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660).
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure.
Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data).
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 0.83668
High: 0.83670
Low: 0.83260
Close: 0.83635
Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid).
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation.
Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis.
2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce.
Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure.
The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case.
Pattern Dynamics:
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand.
The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700.
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345).
This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375).
This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447.
This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447).
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target.
The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Pattern Components:
The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize.
Arrows and Labels:
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 0.84447.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance.
Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair.
Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 0.84000:
The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level.
Market Volatility:
EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4420 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.4415 and recently declined below the 1.4350 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.4310. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310.
The bulls are now active near the 1.4300 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.4330 level.
The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.4350 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low.
If there is an upside break above 1.4350, the pair could rise toward the 1.4400 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.4415 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4450 resistance zone.
Immediate support is near the 1.4290 level. The first major support is near 1.4260. A close below the 1.4260 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.4240. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.4400 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD(Complex Structure)This Analysis gives Short term and Long term View of the GBPUSD..You are allow to comment below about any question relating to the 10 Elite Pairs that We Trade.Follow us for more chart Analysis.ENJOY!!
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout
Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility.
A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend.
Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334.
2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels
A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum.
If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected.
The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached.
3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones
The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones.
This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level.
Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation.
📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup
🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target).
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential.
🛑 Risk Factors to Consider
⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility.
Final Thought
The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
API 3 Trade SetupNASDAQ:API 3 is approaching a good liquidity level. I am interested in trading it in the region highlighted in green. I am closely monitoring this region for a potential entry. If I saw a positive reaction i will take a trade.
S&P500 will start to riseAsper Elliott wave forecasting the current 4th wave ended this week.
A new wave will begin as 'c5' during 1'st week of April and it may be the climax rally.
Validity of this wave count holds good as long as last weeks low respected.
Traders can initiate long with 5500 as strict stop.
The target will be reached swiftly
APPLEit makes symmetrical triangle pattern is penetreted 233$ target 270$ stop 212$
and is making deep crab pattern entry point 230$ first target 256$ second target 262$
stop loss 212$
us30 early morning predictioncan see Us30 hitting yesterday's high and then fall back for a retest. If follow this trade do before trump's big announcement on tariff's.
USDCAD Ready to Fly SoonUSDCAD should see a massive rise soon. This is due to a bullish flag pattern which has formed on the daily chart. This should be a nice trade heading towards nfp release.
Apple May Have PeakedApple has tried to bounce recently, but some traders may think the tech giant has peaked.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February low of $225.70. AAPL broke under the level on March 11 and has stayed there since. That may suggest old support is new resistance.
The stock has also remained below a 50 percent retracement of last month’s slide, which may confirm downward price action.
Third, the bounce in the last 2-3 weeks may be viewed as a potential bearish flag. Would a move under the line represent a breakdown?
Next, stochastics are nearing an overbought condition. A dip from here may suggest the recent strength is fading.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 897,000 contracts in the last month ranks third in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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