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Gold's Price Movements: Impact of Tariffs and Technical UpswingUnder the influence of tariffs, gold currently has significant fluctuations. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the price is above 3,100, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. In addition, the CPI data will be released during the US trading session today, and this data is also likely to cause abnormal fluctuations in the price of gold. Today, the price of international gold still has significant fluctuations under the influence of tariffs. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the highest price is 3,130, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. From a technical perspective, a powerful bullish candlestick on the daily chart has directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the early stage. Now, the bullish candlestick has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pulled up the moving averages, and there is a significant trading volume. Thus, gold has entered a very strong bullish trend. In this state, it is expected to continue rising to the previous high of 3,150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is a normal trend that the small cycle has made adjustments under the suppression of 3,100. Now, the Bollinger Bands of the H4 cycle have just opened, and the one-sided upward movement has just shown the first wave of strength. There is no problem for the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. So, as long as the price of the H4 cycle falls back to the support of the one-sided moving average, it is an opportunity to go long. XAUUSD buy@3100-3110 tp:3130-3150
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SterlingOracle
1
SPY Analysis & Tariff TurmoilLast Friday, the market pressure was intense, and my bullish call option, targeting $537.64 on SPY, seemed overly ambitious as tariffs and political uncertainties peaked. I stated, " AMEX:SPY Trump went all in thinking he had the cards. We were getting sent back to the McKinley era," wondering when or if Trump would fold under international pressure and market realities. Fast-forward to Wednesday, April 8—Trump didn't just blink; he folded utterly, reversing the harsh tariff policies he initially defended aggressively. Prompted by China's aggressively dumping of U.S. Treasuries and stark recession warnings from Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, and JPMorgan, Trump pivoted significantly: • Base tariffs: 10% • Tariffs on China: Increased to 125% • Tariffs on U.S. goods entering China: Increased to 84% starting April 10 While temporarily bullish, these sudden, dramatic policy swings underline ongoing instability and volatility. However, with big bank earnings on deck this Friday, short-term momentum looks positive. Technical Levels & Trade Ideas Hourly Chart The hourly chart reveals a critical zone—dubbed "Liberation Day Trapped Longs"—between $544.37 (H. Vol Sell Target 1b) and $560.54 (L. Vol ST 2b). Bulls trapped here from recent highs may now look to exit on a relief rally. • Bullish Scenario: • Entry: SPY reclaiming and holding above $544.37. • Target 1: $560.54 (top of trapped longs) • Target 2: $566.54 (next resistance area) • Stop Loss: Below recent lows near $535 to limit downside. • Bearish Scenario (if tariffs intensify again or earnings disappoint): • Entry: Breakdown confirmation below $535. • Target 1: $522.20 (Weeks Low Long) • Target 2: $510.00, potential further support • Stop Loss: Above $544.50 to manage risk effectively. Daily Chart Perspective The broader daily chart shows SPY stabilizing around key lower supports after significant volatility. Recent price action suggests cautious optimism for an upward bounce, but considerable headwinds remain if tariff escalations resume. Final Thoughts The rapid tariff reversals and heightened volatility are unsettling. The short-term bullish move offers potential quick upside trades into earnings, but caution remains paramount. You can continue managing risks prudently and watch closely for political or economic headlines that could quickly shift market sentiment again.
AMEX:SPY
by HispanicHedge
4
Explosive Rebound on USD/JPY? This Zone Has It ALL...Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential rebound within a descending channel: 🔹 Entry: 144.35 🔹 TP1: 145.59 🔹 TP2: 147.29 🔹 SL: 142.993 Price is currently testing the lower boundary of a well-structured descending channel — a zone that has held as dynamic support multiple times. The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a bullish correction. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a strong bounce toward the midline and possibly the upper boundary of the channel. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., strong candle or volume spike) before entering. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Long
by FXOnTop
EURUSD Tests 17-Year Long-Term Trend!!!After Trump announced an additional 20% in tariffs, EURUSD made a relatively surprising move and surged sharply. This marks the second leg of the upward trend that began in early March. However, the sharp rise has now brought EURUSD to the doorstep of a very long-term resistance level. Since testing 1.60 in 2008, EURUSD has been moving lower within a wide descending trend channel that has held for 17 years. Since 2015, the pattern has evolved into a wedge formation within this broader channel. The most recent test of this resistance came last year, but at the time, a weak Eurozone economy, crowded Euro long positions, and a hawkish Fed prevented a breakout. This time, the landscape is different. The Eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the ECB’s rate cuts appear to be nearing their end, and European countries have started to band together following a decline in confidence in their biggest ally and decide to increase technology, defence spending. Despite these developments, the medium-term effects of the new tariffs and the strength of the long-term resistance level are likely to prevent a clear breakout for now. Still, the long-term outlook is beginning to shift in favor of the euro, and a breakout later this year carries a significant probability.
by ftdsystem
EURJPY Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 27th I shared this idea "EURJPY - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher Further" Expected bullish continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above. Price is moving as per the plan!!! Price respecting the second Fibonacci support zone and bounces higher. My bullish view still remains. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Gold: From Supercycle to Near-Term Target. What's Next?🧩 Gold is trading at all-time highs, and the key question is: where's the top? In this post, I present a complete picture: from the long-term supercycle to the current structure on the hourly chart, plus a full set of macro and fundamental arguments in favor of continued growth. 1. Grand Supercycle & Supercycle I'm using the Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! chart since 1975, which gives the best long-term volume profile. According to my Elliott Wave interpretation: Waves ① and ② of the Grand Supercycle ended before the 2000s. The Supercycle wave III began in 2000. Key milestones: Wave I of the Supercycle peaked in August 2011 Wave II bottomed in December 2015 This entire period featured accumulation and reaccumulation. Since 2016, the gold market entered an expansion phase, forming Supercycle wave III. We are currently within its first cycle wave, which suggests there's still a long way to go. 📌 The ultimate upside is hard to predict, but the projected path on the chart points to targets in the $8,000–12,000 zone. 2. The Cycle Wave Since 2016: Extended Fifth Starting from 2016, we see a classic 1–2–3–4–5 impulse structure, with the fifth wave showing clear extension — a trait commonly seen in commodity markets. 🔎 Robert Prechter pointed out that in traditional stock markets, it’s usually Wave 3 that gets extended — driven by greed and early confidence in the trend. But in commodity markets like gold, it’s often Wave 5 that gets extended. This is because traders hesitate for a long time and only enter the market in panic, typically during crises, inflationary spikes, or physical shortages. 📌 The primary motivation here is fear, capital preservation, and flight from risk — not profit-seeking. That’s why gold often produces vertical rallies at the end of a trend, within the fifth wave. 📌 In this case, OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD AMEX:GLD becomes a safe-haven of last resort in a world of rising fiat uncertainty. 3. Cup and Handle: A Textbook Bullish Pattern The weekly chart shows a 10-year Cup and Handle pattern (2011–2023). The breakout above the neckline has occurred, projecting a classic target in the $3500–3600 range. 4. 2022–2025 Impulse: More to Come Gold has been in a strong impulsive uptrend since 2022. This move already looks extended, but there is room for more, especially given the structure of subwaves. In the near term (1–2 months), a flat correction in wave (iv) is likely before gold rallies to a new all-time high, potentially forming wave ③ around $3400–3600. After that, expect a period of distribution and range-bound price action. 5. Hourly Chart: Fifth Wave Not Done Yet On the H1 chart, gold has bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and key support. We are likely still inside wave (iv), with a potential final push in wave (v) ahead. Key levels: Support: $2920–2950 Resistance: $3250–3300 📌 A breakout above resistance could trigger a rapid rally. Macro and Fundamental Drivers 🔹 Falling Real Rates in the US 10Y yields are near 4.3%, while CPI inflation remains above 3.2%. This creates a negative real interest rate, historically a strong tailwind for gold. 🔹 Record Central Bank Buying 2023 marked the second consecutive record year for central bank gold purchases. China, India, Turkey, and Singapore are leading the charge. This shift reflects a move away from the USD amid geopolitical tensions. 🔹 Fiat System Stress Concerns over US commercial debt, banking instability, and growing systemic risk have made gold a preferred store of value for both retail and institutional investors. 🔹 Physical Delivery Demand There is growing pressure on the LBMA to deliver physical gold, not just paper claims. Some sovereign and institutional players are demanding real metal delivery. This stresses London vaults and could drive prices higher in a short squeeze scenario. 🔹 US Debt Burden Interest on US debt is expected to surpass $1 trillion in 2024 — a historic high. This challenges the USD’s reserve status and may increase long-term demand for gold. Where Can Gold Go? 🧩 We are witnessing a rare alignment of: ✅ Technical structure ✅ Elliott Wave cycles ✅ Macro tailwinds ✅ Supply stress in physical gold 📌 $3400–3600 is just the beginning. Consolidation may follow, but over the next few years, gold could target $5000 and beyond as this Supercycle wave unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakatrade1_618
XAUUSD buy setup trendline breakout H1 chart analysisXAUUSD GOLD Quick Trade Recap Entry: 3004 (buy) Targets: TP1: 3040 TP2: 3115 TP3: 3163 This gives you a nice R-multiple especially if your stop is tight and placed wisely. Suggestions & Checks 1. Trendline Break Confirmation Did the candle close above the trendline? Was it a strong body candle or a weak breakout (e.g., wick-heavy)? Is it above a previous swing high or resistance? 2. Stop-Loss Placement Under the breakout candle? Below the trendline? Below last higher low (safer but wider)? 3. Volume Spike Did you check if volume increased during the breakout? Weak volume = fakeout risk. 4. Confluence Factors Any moving averages aligning? Fibonacci levels lining up with your targets? RSI divergence or MACD crossover? 5. Macro Watch Upcoming US CPI/PPI or NFP? Fed speakers, interest rate hints? Geopolitical tensions? Risk-to-Reward Example Let’s say stop is at 2980: TP1 (3040): R:R = ~1.38 TP2 (3115): R:R = ~4.63 TP3 (3163): R:R = ~6.63 Those are very favorable, especially if you scale out at each level. Want help plotting this in a chart or backtesting similar setups? Or want help setting this up in MQL5?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
Russell 2000 - time to Buy pullbacks...Shorts were good while it lasted... looks like a good time to buy pullbacks. It would be wise to wait for a clear 3 wave correction though. Elliot Wave Analysis shows a larger degree wave IV was completed in March 2020. Since then, the Russell 2000 has been nesting within a bullish rectangle chart pattern, possibly working its way up to the larger degree wave V. Seasonality Chart shows a bullish April with a possible correction in May. Nevertheless, I will not commit to long trades till the chart clearly shows that we are out of the woods. A clear 3 waves move down closer to 1800 in the hourly/4 hourly time frame would be a good setup.
FOREXCOM:US2000
by RayGunaraj
ES UpdateTrump is obviously gaming the market, so there's really no point in even looking at charts or indicators, lol. It's hard to take him seriously now. The gap will fill, maybe as soon as tomorrow morning. Then we get another huge pump sometime within the next week when he repeals the China tariffs and sets then to 10% or something. Just hold your favorite stock and wait it out. I bet he exempts AAPL, auto parts, and whatever else from the China tariffs. GM and even PDD went up today in anticipation. I had a few GM puts, saw the jump, tried to climb on as fast as possible. I prioritized my retirement account ahead of my options play, but I made a little money, hopefully more the next few days, lol. Expecting a melt up, then a jump when he caves in to China, no shorting anything for the next week until everything stabilizes. NVDA and TSLA still have other issues aside from tariffs, so those will be targets. Gotta let the short squeeze complete first, I have a 3 day rule. Wait 3 days, lol.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
21
POL PROBABLY IN WAVE 'A' OR '1'This is an update on our POL wave count shared earlier, we have modified the wave count looking at the formations and excluded the possibility of the current wave being a wave C. If the wave count is correct then we are in 5 or Y of wave 1 or A. With reference to my last idea of POL in which we got greedy and took a loss on 50% of our positions and are still holding 50% of the long positions for long term. Since are preferred wave count is still showing some downside which can reach 500-475 range and even further, It is not wise to just let our investment sit there and wait for the upward movement which can take months from now. Therefore we have decided to hedge our current position with a small portion of short sell in POL futures. Will share the short sell trade setup tomorrow morning Let see how this plays, Good Luck! Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
PSX:POLShort
by KayJay
3
USDJPY What Next? BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.10 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 144.25 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 146.89 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY shows a bearish setupUSD/JPY shows a bearish setup, both in terms of technical patterns and fundamentals.​ Technical: Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.​ Key levels 140-142 break below, then 135-137. Fundamental: Strengthening the yen - BOJ might raise rates twice, and possibly inflation will remain around 3% as recent wage hikes fuel inflation Weakening the Dollar - falling U.S. Treasury Yields possibly to 3.5% range and below, Trump's intentions to weaken the dollar to make exports competitive and imports expensive. Note: Last time, Trump handed over to Biden with DXY at around 90, and the current direction is towards the same.
Short
by DonsTrading1M
2
NZD/USD 1H Chart Setup – Demand Zone Bounce & Bullish Target1. Chart Overview Pair: NZD/USD Timeframe: 1H Current Price: 0.56961 Indicator Used: 9 EMA (📈) 2. Key Zones & Levels 🔵 Demand Zone Area: Approx. 0.55933 – 0.56600 Role: Strong support area where buyers have shown interest Bounce already observed from this zone 🟥 Re-Entry Zone Slight pullback expected into this minor resistance-turned-support Potential entry for bulls (🐂) 🎯 Target Point Price: 0.58434 Gain: +3.59% Strong resistance above 🛑 Stop Loss Price: 0.55933 Just below the demand zone for protection Keeps risk tight (🔒) 3. Trade Idea (Buy Setup) 📍 Entry Plan: Wait for a pullback into the red zone Confirm support holds Look for long position setup 📈 Target: Aim for 0.58434 High reward potential 📉 Stop Loss: Below 0.55933 to minimize loss if setup fails ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Attractive (approx. 2:1 or better) Summary Demand zone is strong (🛡️) Market structure supports bullish move (🚀) Setup favors a pullback buy strategy
Long
by Jameshead007
2
BTCUSDChart Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 10, 2025 Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Trend: - Bitcoin has been moving within a downward channel indicated by the blue trendlines. The price formed a series of lower highs and lower lows in this channel, showing a typical bearish trend. - The price is currently testing the resistance zone around 84,329, a key level that Bitcoin needs to break in order to confirm an upward continuation. - The support level is near 75,009, with the price recently bouncing off this level, indicating strong support at this point. 2. Key Price Levels: - Resistance: The key resistance level is set at 84,329, which Bitcoin is currently approaching. If the price breaks this level, it could signal further upward momentum. - Support Level: The support zone is clearly defined at 75,009. A bounce from this support could potentially lead the price back to higher levels. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is an FVG around 80,741, indicating an area where there was an imbalance in market orders. If price returns to fill this gap, it could either continue higher or reverse. 3. Targets Future Projections:- The target price for Bitcoin in this analysis is 84,329. If the price breaks the resistance level, the upward momentum will likely continue toward this target. - After breaking the FVG, the price is expected to test the resistance at 84,329, where we could potentially see a bullish breakout. 4. Volume Analysis: - There is a noticeable increase in volume as Bitcoin approaches the support zone. This indicates a potential reversal or accumulation phase at this level. - If the price starts climbing towards 84,329, traders should pay attention to volume confirmation, which could signal the strength of the price movement. 5. Market Sentiment: - The bearish channel suggests that price may continue lower until it finds more support around the 75,009 level. However, there is a bullish reversal setup as price has bounced from support and is now testing resistance. - A breakout above84,329 would be the key confirmation for a bullish trend reversal and a higher high to continue the uptrend. Scenario Predictions: 1. Bullish Scenario: - If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance at 84,329, the price will likely continue toward higher targets, such as 85,500 and $86,000. This will be a bullish continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader