[b]No Panic Here – Quality Credit Says Relax[/b]No Panic Here – Quality Credit Says Relax
After watching leveraged loans ( AMEX:BKLN ) and junk bonds ( AMEX:HYG ) take heavy hits, we shift to the quiet giant in the credit space: AMEX:LQD .
What is AMEX:LQD ?
It’s the ETF for investment-grade corporate bonds — meaning bonds issued by highly rated, stable companies.
We’re talking about names like Apple, Johnson & Johnson, Microsoft, JPMorgan, ExxonMobil — the blue-chip elite.
These aren’t the bonds you dump in a panic — they’re the ones you rotate into when credit stress builds.
What’s happening now?
📌 Price just bounced off 103.81 , a key support zone that also held:
• During the 2020 Covid crash
• In the 2022 banking mini-crisis
• Now in 2025 – mid macro uncertainty
From 2003 to 2021, this chart trended upward with pressure on resistance. Since 2022, the pressure flipped — testing support. But structure is still being respected perfectly .
🟢 The ascending channel remains intact
🧱 Support at 103.81 is holding
🔄 No breakdown, no fear — just rotation
Zoomed-in 30m chart shows a clean technical bounce .
If we revisit 100.33, that could be a final test of the base — but unless that breaks, this still looks bullish on a macro timeline.
What it means:
This is not a market panic .
It’s a rotation into quality.
• Junk bonds = sold but found support
• Leveraged loans = stress but not panic, on support
• Investment grade = stable
• ** CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🟧 = crypto wildcard in this macro unwind**
Bottom Line:
LQD is holding up, following the rules, and quietly saying:
"Relax, we've been here before."
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Chart Patterns
DAX H4 | Swing-high resistance overheadThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,467.75 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 22,100.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 20,318.67 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3212 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3245
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3212
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3212 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3168 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3135 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 3 Apr 2025 – Bullish Retest 3054
💯 27 march 2025 – Bullish Retest / Spike 3054
💯 26 March 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3016 : 3010
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
SILVER Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,219.5.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,090.7.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 188.674.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 187.917 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPAUD: Double Top Pattern - Bearish Momentum Is IncreasingGBPAUD Forms Double Top – Bearish Momentum Is Increasing
GBPAUD has confirmed a double top pattern on the 4-hour chart. After breaking through the support zone, the price retraced and tested the level again.
As expected, GBPAUD reacted at this zone, increasing the likelihood of a valid bearish setup.
However, market uncertainty remains due to a lack of clear direction following recent comments from Trump.
As a result, the price might continue to fluctuate within this range before a strong bearish wave resumes.
Key support zones to watch: 2.0630 and 2.0360.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
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SILVER SHORT FROM STRONG RESISTANCE|
✅SILVER is going up now
Following the market-wide
Bullish rebound on most assets
But a strong wide resistance
Level is ahead around 33.00$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards
The local target of 31.75$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#BTC in the resistance zone, beware of pullbacks📊#BTC in the resistance zone, beware of pullbacks📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in the blue resistance zone at the daily level, so we need to pay attention to the risk of a pullback if we cannot break through this area.
➡️The upward trend support line was broken, so it turned into a resistance line. The price reacted well when it touched this resistance line, so we need to pay attention to the suppression of this resistance line.
➡️The downward trend line at the daily level was broken, which means that the adjustment at the daily level may be over, so if there is a good pullback, then we need to look for opportunities for long trades. The support area worth our attention is 80000-81188.
⚠️Note that if the closing price at the 4h level is below 80000, then the market may go bad and we may enter a deeper adjustment.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Gold Bulls in Charge – Key Levels Before $3300!📢 HELLO TRADERS! 📢
🔥 GOLD is currently in a strong bullish trend, but a slight pullback is likely before continuing upward momentum.
📉 SHORT-TERM RETEST ZONE:
🔸 3170–3180
👉 Expect a dip here due to a candle gap + M30 Order Block (3170)
This level acts as a key reversal zone before the next leg up.
🚀 TARGETS AFTER REVERSAL:
🎯 First Target: 3260
🎯 Final Bullish Target: 3300
📌 KEY ZONES TO WATCH:
🟡 3170 OB (M30)
🟡 3180 Gap Between Candles
📅 GOLD PAIR THIS MONTH:
After Trump’s 90-day tariff delay, Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum with buyers stepping back in! 📈✨
⚠️ Reminder: Always follow Risk Management! 💼🛡️
Let the trend be your friend – but never without your stop loss! 😉
XAUUSD Rejection from Support Reversal Expected Gold AnalysisI’ve shared a fresh buy setup on TradingView indicating a strong bullish move toward the 3250 zone This analysis is based on key market structure and momentum shift with confirmation from previous price action
Price is currently holding above a strong support area and all technical signs point to a potential rally Keep an eye on this move the market looks ready for a bullish breakout
SILVER My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 32.295
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 30.783
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Quantum's TSLA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA.
Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today.
Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth.
Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects.
Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9).
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~50 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~45 (neutral).
MFI: ~40 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness.
Daily:
RSI: ~48 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~50 (neutral).
MFI: ~45 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback.
Hourly:
RSI: ~45 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~55 (neutral).
MFI: ~50 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing.
Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets.
Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245.
Open Interest:
Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest.
Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0.
IV Skew:
Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope.
Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor.
Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% <$240.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $250.
Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $250.
GEX: +50,000. Stabilizes range.
DEX: +7M shares, neutral.
Karsan view: GEX holds $240-$270; tariff news key.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Neutral, $240 support, $270 resistance. No $TSLA/ NYSE:NIO divergence.
Daily: Bullish at $250 FVG, targets $260. Bearish < $245.
1-Hour: Bullish >$250, $260 target. MSS at $245.
10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid.
Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range.
Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
Gold Maintains Weekly Bullish Structure Amid PullbackGold Weekly Technical Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear bullish trend on the weekly chart, currently trading around $3,230. After marking a new high, price action suggests a potential pullback—a healthy retracement that could set the stage for further gains.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: $3,230
Retracement Zone:
First support at $3,100, a recent consolidation level
Deeper support between $2,950 – $2,900, aligned with prior breakout structure and strong demand from earlier in the trend
These levels are key for a potential bounce, as they mark high-probability zones for buyers to re-enter the market.
Upside Targets:
Short-term resistance: $3,280
Primary target (by mid-May): $3,400
This level aligns with the projected extension of the ascending structure and continuation of bullish momentum
Technical Outlook:
As long as gold holds above $2,900, the weekly bullish trend remains intact. A rebound from the retracement zone would likely lead to a renewed rally targeting the $3,400 region.
Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
XAUUSD Ready to Drop? Triple Confirmation for a Potential ReversGold has been on a strong bullish run, but we might be gearing up for a major correction! Here's what I'm watching closely on the 1H chart:
Key Analysis:
1. Rejection at Major Supply Zone
Price is stalling around $3,224 - $3,230, a visible supply zone where we’re already seeing bearish signs. Multiple wicks and consolidation at resistance hint at weakening bullish momentum.
2. Bearish Divergence + Sideways Price Action
Momentum is slowing. We’re seeing a bearish divergence form on lower timeframes, which is often a precursor to a pullback. Price action is going sideways right under resistance – classic sign of distribution.
3. Clean Imbalance & Demand Zone Below
The gap between $3,128 and $2,990 is ripe for a liquidity sweep. A break below $3,218 could accelerate the selloff.
Target 1: $3,128 – former breakout zone
Target 2: $2,990 – strong demand with visible buyer interest
Final TP: $2,950s zone for max risk-reward
Trade Plan (Short Bias):
Entry: Break and retest below $3,218
SL: Above $3,230 supply zone
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $2,990
TP3 (Optional): $2,950 for extended move
Risk/Reward: Great R:R setup with confirmation from structure, supply/demand, and price action.
What to Watch:
Watch for high volume on breakdown
London or NY session entry confirmation
Avoid FOMO if price consolidates longer at the top
Let me know your bias in the comments. Are we due for a pullback or will the bulls break out again?
Follow for more clean setups like this!
USD/JPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential USD/JPY long (buy) trade setup based on a double bottom pattern or range support bounce. Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s happening:
Key Observations:
Timeframe: 30-minute chart.
Support Zone: Around 142.200–142.500, which has held multiple times (highlighted by orange circles).
Resistance Zone: Around 144.800–145.000, previously acting as a ceiling (red arrows showing rejection).
Current Price: ~143.436, approaching mid-range.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around current price (~143.4) after support bounce.
Take Profit (TP): Just under 145.000 (the resistance zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone (~142.200).
Risk/Reward:
Decent risk/reward ratio,
$4.6T Peak by Dec 2025 or $1.3T Bottom Is the crypto market cap poised for a final euphoric rally to $4.6T by December 2025, or are we backtesting resistance before a brutal drop to $1.3T by January 2026? My analysis, based on major trend lines, Elliott Wave patterns, and historical price action, suggests both scenarios are in play. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Scenario: $4.6T by Dec 2025
The total market cap is riding an ascending channel from the 2022 lows (~$800B). My trend lines show resistance at $3T-$3.5T, where we’re currently testing. Historical cycles (2017, 2021) often end with an extended 5th wave, driven by altcoin mania and institutional FOMO. If we break $3.5T, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) targets ~$4.6T, aligning with Q4 seasonality (crypto’s strongest quarter). Key support at $2.5T must hold for this to play out. A Bitcoin breakout above $100K or Ethereum hitting $5K could fuel this rally, with DeFi and Layer-2 tokens adding juice. Risk: Overbought conditions could cap the move early—watch for RSI divergence at resistance.
Bearish Scenario: $1.3T by Jan 2026
Alternatively, my wave count suggests we’re in a corrective wave 2, backtesting $3T resistance after wave 1 peaked. If rejected here, wave 3 could drive a steep correction to $1.3T, a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and prior support from mid-2023. Historical bear markets (2018: -88%, 2022: -73%) show crypto’s vulnerability post-peak. My trend lines mark $1.5T-$2T as interim support, but a macro shock—rising yields, regulation, or recession—could push us lower. Timing Risk: Jan 2026 is aggressive; a bottom might extend to Q2 2026 absent a clear catalyst.
Why These Levels?
Trend Lines: The ascending channel and $3T resistance are clear on the weekly chart. A break above confirms bullish momentum; rejection signals bearish reversal.
Historical Action: Past cycles show parabolic tops followed by 50-80% corrections. $4.6T fits euphoria; $1.3T fits pain.
Patterns: Elliott Waves align with my markings—wave 5 for bulls, wave 3 for bears. The $1.3T level matches the 200-week MA, a cycle bottom indicator.
What to Watch:
Bullish Confirmation: Break above $3.5T with volume; Bitcoin holding $80K+.
Bearish Confirmation: Rejection at $3T, break below $2.5T support.
Invalidation: Bullish case fails below $2T; bearish case fails above $4T.
This isn’t a prediction but a map of possibilities. My drawings highlight the levels and patterns guiding my view—check them on the chart. What do you think—bullish blow-off or bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss!
Gold signal, 200% profit in one weekGold hit the highest point of 3245 at the opening today and then began to fall back. This is what we have been saying that gold is going to start to fluctuate and adjust. Now it depends on whether gold starts to adjust by exchanging space for time or time for space. However, no matter which method is used, gold must patiently wait for the opportunity to fall back. The hourly moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average. If gold uses time to exchange space for adjustment, then gold will continue to resist falling at a high level. Then gold may start to exert strong strength in the European and American markets. At that time, just continue to follow the trend and buy more.
Judging from the current gold trend, today we still focus on the short-term suppression of 3245-3250, and the short-term support of 3200-3206, with a focus on the support of 3188-90. Don't chase the current high position. The daily level reversal and negative closing may occur at any time.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3200-06 and does not break, you can buy more. If it falls back to 3188-90, you can add more positions, stop loss at 3178, target 3248-3250, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Can it be a 100% idea from current levels?Down by ~70% from it's ATH. Revenue and Net Profit improving with possibility of improving margins (with new acquisitions and premiumization).
Strong brand value.
Adani group out from promoters list which constantly generated bad PR in recent past.
There inventory cycle is of less than 2 months. And they are holding highest amount of inventory. Meaning all of it will sell in the quarter. We can create a correlation with expected sales.
CWIP also 25% of current assets - production capacity increasing.
The whole FMCG sector is ready for boost as it's been trading within a range from past few years.
Current prices are also lower than it's intrinsic value.
Technically seems like a cup with handle pattern in formation.