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EUR/USD – Smart Money Trap at 1.18? Massive Rejection Ahead 1. Technical Context The pair has been moving inside a well-defined bullish channel since May, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently hovering around 1.1718, approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a key weekly supply zone (1.1750–1.1850). ➡️ Potential scenario: A short bullish extension toward 1.1780–1.1820 to trigger stop hunts, followed by a bearish rejection toward 1.1500, and potentially 1.1380. The daily RSI is overbought (>70), suggesting a likely short-term correction. 2. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short, with an average entry around 1.1318. This signals a liquidity cluster above current highs, increasing the likelihood of a fake bullish breakout followed by a sell-off. ➡️ Contrarian insight: Retail heavily short → market may push higher first to wipe them out before reversing lower. 3. COT Report – USD Index (DXY) Non-commercials (speculators) increased their short exposure on USD (+3,134). Commercials cut their short positions (-1,994), indicating a potential bottoming on the dollar. ➡️ Conclusion: USD strength could return soon → bearish pressure for EUR/USD. 4. COT Report – EUR FX Non-commercials increased longs on EUR (+2,980) and sharply reduced shorts (-6,602) → market is now heavily net long. Commercials remain net short (581,664 vs 417,363 longs). ➡️ Over-leveraged spec longs → vulnerable to downside squeeze if macro sentiment shifts. 5. Seasonality June tends to be mildly bullish for EUR/USD. July historically shows even stronger upward performance over the last 5–10 years. ➡️ Shorts are high risk in the very short term, but a bearish setup is likely in the second half of July, especially if price action confirms. 6. Trading Outlook 📍 Short-Term Bias: Neutral to bullish toward 1.1780–1.1820 📍 Mid-Term Bias: Bearish on rejection from supply area and break of channel 🎯 Key Levels: 1.1780–1.1850: critical decision zone (liquidity + weekly supply) 1.1500: first key support 1.1380: next downside target (demand zone + previous POC) 📌 Final Conclusion The most likely play is a short setup from 1.1780–1.1850 on strong rejection, supported by: Extreme retail positioning (80% short), COT pointing to USD recovery, Extended technical structure, Overbought RSI on the daily chart.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
DeGRAM | GOLD under the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the long-standing rising-channel floor, then formed a clean bear flag inside a fresh down-sloping channel; the flag’s ceiling coincides with the 3 300-3 310 supply band. ● Lower-high sequence and confluence of flag top with former support turned resistance favour continuation toward the mid-channel / fib pivot at 3 246, next 3 180. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Friday’s hotter US core-PCE and Fed governor Bowman’s “no cuts in 2025” comment lifted 2-yr yields above 4.80 %, firming the DXY and draining flows from non-yielding gold. ✨ Summary Sell 3 290-3 305; hold below 3 310 targets 3 246 → 3 180. Short bias void on an H4 close above 3 310. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
3
OFFICIAL TRUMP 1,244% Target Revealed & Map UpdateI have several questions for you: 1) Did the market break your patience? Are you still holding? 2) How much are you going to take? Will you go for 278% or maybe 1,244%? TRUMPUSDT has been really uneventful lately and this is good, it means that consolidation is still happening and consolidation is a form of exercise for a trading pair; TRUMPUSDT is building strength. From a technical analysis perspective, the chart is great, still bullish continues bullish; looks good. Because the action continues to happen as a higher low compared to 7-April. 7-April is the market bottom, as long as this level is not challenged or broken we are now in the bullish zone. The move that peaked in late April is the initial bullish breakout. The higher low 22-June marks the point where the retrace from the initial bullish breakout ends. 22-June can also signal the start of the next upthrust. From here on we will see growth. Higher lows lead to higher highs. We have a very clear, strong and ecologically sustainable higher low. This means that a higher high comes next. Here is the tricky, not so tricky part: TRUMPUSDT will grow to $50, $62, beyond $100 and so on, but, not all growth happens in a single wave. Just as TRUMPUSDT moved from $7 to $16 and then stopped, it can move from $9 to $34 and then make another stop, this one short. Then another rise toward $50 and so on. The market never moves straight down but neither straight up. And this gets us to my point. Will you sell when resistance is hit to later buy back lower, or, will you continue waiting until the market top, higher targets? That's the question you need to answer to maximize profits when the action goes green. If you decide you want to sell the wave, then make sure to prepare to sell when the market is green. What happens is that if you don't sell when green but wanted to take some profits then you will do so when the market is red. In this case you will not be taking out the maximum possible... Anyway, we have to leave something for another day. TRUMPUSDT will grow, for certain, but it takes time. Patience is key. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
XAUUSD I Trade Update Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BKTradingAcademy
3
Bitcoin Weekly & $120,000This weekly Bitcoin chart says it all... Please, allow me to reveal to you what the future holds! Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day. Only one week ever produced a higher close than the current price. Only once, 19-May, Bitcoin managed to close above $107,000... What happens if Bitcoin closes above $107,000? New all-time high confirmed. Two days remain for the week to close and we—the bulls—only need to maintain a price of $107,000 or higher to send such a strong bullish signal that everybody will come out and start buying. The next target on this timeframe is $120,000. Bitcoin is using EMA13 as support. This level was tested and holds, the same for EMA8. When Bitcoin moved above these levels in April, it produced an advance from $83,000 to $112,000, more than 33%. The price now is $107,000 but instead of recovering from below EMA8/13, BTCUSDT is trading above; this means that the bullish bias is fully confirmed. The weekly timeframe looks great. We can expect higher prices soon, with growth happening for an extended period of time. Bitcoin is very strong now and this is only the start. I will continue to share proof that shows the entire Cryptocurrency market going up. Thank you for reading. Leave a comment with your questions. Thanks a lot for your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
9
Bitcoin Breakdown? Support Zone & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as anticipated in my previous analysis , attacked the Resistance lines and then resumed its decline. In previous analysis, both Long and Short positions could have been profitable . Bitcoin is approaching a Support zone($106,800-$105,820) and the CME gap($106,645-$106,295) . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Bitcoin has finally completed a five-wave impulsive move with the help of an Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after breaking the lower line of the Expanding Ending Diagonal . Note: To break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), Bitcoin may potentially use either a Head and Shoulders pattern or a Bearish Quasimodo formation. Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can expect more pumps. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,249-$105,094 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $109,483-$108,790 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17250 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
by ramon_markiewitz
4
BTC Slumps Below 100000, Rebounds to Test 109500 Short Zone💎 BTC Rebounds After 100000 Drop, Eyes Short at 109500 Resistance 📊 BTC dipped below the 100000 threshold 🔻 before rebounding near 98000 🔺—a move tied to DXY weakness and easing geopolitical tensions. Now challenging the 110000 mark 🔼, it faces stiff resistance at 109500. First-time 110000 tests often spark pullbacks, making shorts the favored play here 📉. 🚀 Sell@108500 - 107500 🚀 TP 106500 - 105500 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
8
Dogs Can Yield 8,288% with 8X Leverage (Great Timing!)You are going to love me for giving you this... Why? Because you can make easily 1,000% profits. Perfect entry, perfect price, perfect timing. Easy win. The market moves based on cycles and within these cycles we have waves... Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today? Feeling that feeling you get when you know you are getting close to something great. Technical analysis Let's focus on the chart. DOGSUSDT is now starting to recover from a higher low. Let's keep it very simple. Look at the chart and go back to 17-April. See? From this date prices start to grow until resistance is hit. It is the same. Starting 22-June the market starts growing slowly, building up speed; bullish momentum grows. Then resistance will be found at a strong higher high. The main target for this chart setup and trade is 0.0007663. With 8X leverage this target, from current price, has a profits potential beyond 3,000%. There are even higher targets on the chart. That's why I mention 1,000% at the start. It is very easy to collect 1,000% on this pair if you are smart. Not that smart just patient and wise... Well, you can do it if you truly want. I'll see you at the top. Opportunities are endless. This is just one and many more will be coming your way. Put some time and effort into your trading, your buying and selling, and watch your capital grow. Together we can win. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Euro will make correction to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from the support line and rose to the 1.1100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Soon, price broke this level, after a small correction, and continued to move up to the 1.1575 current support level, which coincided with the support area. This area also coincided with the resistance line of the triangle, and the Euro rebounded from this line and started to decline. In a short time, it declined to the buyer zone, where it turned around and started to move up. Soon, Euro exited from triangle and continued to rise inside an upward channel, where it made a correction first and then continued to grow. Later, EUR rose to 1.1575 current support level, one more time and even almost broke it, but failed and corrected. But soon, it finally broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, where at the moment it continues to trade near. In my mind, Euro will rebound from this line and go to the correction until to support line of the channel, breaking the support level. For this case, my TP is located near this line - at the 1.1490 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
1
URUSD Sell Signal Active Entry Point: 1.17300EURUSD Sell Signal Active Entry Point: 1.17300 🎯 Target 1: 1.16000 🎯 Target 2: 1.15500 🎯 Final Target: 1.15000 🔒 Risk Management is Crucial 🛑 Suggested Stop-Loss: Above 1.17750 📉 Protect your capital at all costs 📊 Risk/Reward ratio looks solid 🧠 Trade smart, not emotional 📉 Market pressure favors downside 💶 Euro facing bearish momentum 📈 USD strength adding weight ⏱️ Short to mid-term opportunity 🔍 Break of support at 1.1650 key 💼 Use proper lot sizing 🚫 No overexposure – stay safe 📲 Always follow your strategy 📊 Technicals and fundamentals align 📅 Updates coming as trade develops 💬 Share when you're in the trade! #EURUSD #ForexSignals #SellSetup #RiskManagement #TradeSafe
Short
by X_TRADING_GOLD
7
SHORT ON EURUSD 📋 **TRADE PLAN FOR MT4/MT5** **Trade Type:** Sell **Entry Zone:** `1.1730 – 1.1740` (wait for rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation) **Stop Loss:** `1.1755` (above recent highs and resistance box) **Take Profit Levels:** * **TP1:** `1.1537` (previous support) * **TP2:** `1.1450` (strong demand zone) **Position Size:** Adjust based on risk management (e.g., 1–2% of account) **Risk-Reward Ratio:** * To TP1: \~1:3 * To TP2: \~1:5 ✅ **TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES** * ✅ Enter only after bearish candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) confirmation * 🔄 If SL hits, reassess higher timeframe structure * 🔒 Lock profits at TP1 (e.g., trail SL or partial close) * 🗓 Watch for high-impact news (e.g., NFP, CPI) that may affect USD volatility
Short
by Charlesik
1
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Double Top Pattern The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above. After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern. 📉 Bearish Channel The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270. 🎯 Target Projection Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below. 🟠 Historical Support Areas The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past. 📊 Outlook: If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs. 🔧 Bias: Bearish 📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480 📍 Support: 3,207–3,220 📍 Target: 3,207.5
BIST:XAUUSD1!
by MrStellanSight
6
Bitcoin Approaches PRZ – Will the Falling Wedge Break ?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after attacking it five times , and started to rise again. Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($109,220-$108,280) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($108,800-$108,085) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines . From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , Bitcoin's movements over the past two days seem to have formed a Falling Wedge Pattern . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 4 within the Falling Wedge Pattern. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance lines after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . If Bitcoin fails to break the Resistance lines before the global markets close , we can expect Bitcoin to fall again. Because entering Saturday and Sunday , the trading volume is generally low , and I think Bitcoin needs a lot of volume to break the resistances . Do you agree with me? CME Gap: $106,645-$106,295 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,055-$105,430 Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
31
Is #BCH About to Fall or Will it Continue to Rise? Key LevelsYello Paradisers! Have you seen what’s cooking on #BCHUSDT lately? Let’s dive into the latest structure on #BitcoinCash and what may unfold next: 💎#BCH has been trading within a well-respected ascending channel since early April, consistently bouncing between dynamic ascending support and resistance levels. However, the current move into the $500–$505 resistance zone is showing clear signs of momentum exhaustion, as price stalls and volume fades. 💎The strong resistance area between $500 and $505 has rejected price multiple times, and this recent rejection aligns with both the channel resistance and a bearish momentum divergence in volume. Unless #BCHUSD can break and hold above this zone, bulls are fighting a losing battle. 💎The invalidation of the bearish setup lies above $555. Only a confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level would negate the current bearish structure and open room for a larger bullish expansion. Until then, the risk of a deeper retracement is very real. 💎Currently trading around $490, #BCH looks vulnerable to a drop toward the moderate support zone near $393, with the strong demand zone between $335 and $340 being the high-probability area for a smart-money reaccumulation—if the market flushes weak hands first. This zone also lines up with previous high-volume nodes on the VRVP. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
3