BTC - HOOOLLDDD!!!!Looks like we got our downside first.
Short update, but important level to watch is that 112k high from May this year. I longed on a ltf low hold, looking for a bounce into the highs of this sell-off cluster, then see what's what.
Flow is still very heavy; I expect to get stopped on this but it's one of those setups I just have to take, or I kick myself tomorrow.
Chart Patterns
HBARUSDT 12H#HBAR has formed a Double Top pattern on the 12H timeframe and has now broken below the neckline.
If this candle and the next one close below the neckline, the pattern will be confirmed and we could see further downside toward the following support levels:
🎯 $0.21906
🎯 $0.19877
🎯 $0.18721
🎯 $0.16989
🎯 $0.15514
⚠️ As always, use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
AUD/USD Bearish Breakout – Retest & Sell Continuation SetupAUD/USD (Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar)
Likely a 4H (4-hour) timeframe based on candlestick density and scale.
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2. Structure & Patterns:
Rising wedge/ascending channel: Already broken to the downside.
Breakout zone: Around 0.6480–0.6500, clearly marked and now acting as resistance.
Retest confirmed: Price returned to the broken zone, touched resistance, and dropped.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud → strong bearish signal.
Downward projection: You’ve drawn a possible bearish path with lower highs and lower lows.
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3. Key Support & Target Levels:
✅ Current Price (as per chart):
Around 0.6468
🎯 Target Points (as per your drawing):
1. First Target Point → 0.6400
This aligns with previous minor support.
2. Second Target Point → 0.6370
Likely based on a Fibonacci or historical support level.
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✅ Clear Trade Setup Summary:
Component Value
Direction Sell (Short)
Entry 0.6475–0.6485
Stop-Loss 0.6520
TP1 0.6400
TP2 0.6370
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📌 Conclusion:
You are currently in a bearish setup after a breakdown from a rising structure. The market structure favors lower prices with clearly marked TP1 at 0.6400 and TP2 at 0.6370. Your entry zone (0.6475–0.6485) is technically sound, especially if there's a minor retracement.
Let me know if you want:
A Fibonacci analysis
RSI/MACD confirmation
THORChain Prepares New Bullish Wave · Trades at Bottom PricesLook at the period between June 2022 and October 2023. This is literally what we call "bottom prices," and this is exactly what we have now.
In this case, RUNEUSDT, the period starts January 2025 until this present day. THORChain is trading at bottom prices. The best time to buy before a major bullish wave.
Look back to October 2023, after a very strong and prolonged sideways period, the market turned extremely bullish, this is the exact same pattern we will have again. After months and months of sideways, the market will recover and turn, producing a new trend, an uptrend.
In late 2020, also around October, there was another consolidation period at bottom prices before a major rise. So this happens all the time. THORChain goes up and then hits bottom. Once at the bottom it lingers there for a while finally to recover and become super bullish. Each bullish period lasts anywhere between 6-12 months. Can be more or less depending on when you start to come but the project has been proven to move wild and big when the bulls are in. Which is what comes next.
Do not be deceived by the low prices or the short-term, everything can change in an instant and you already saw the preview, you already saw what is possible and to this market phase we are getting close. We are getting close to the next bullish wave and this wave will produce marketwide growth. Many more pairs will move compared to previous cycles and the advance will last that much longer.
It is already happening. The low was hit in January, almost 8 months ago. We are about to move higher, the highest prices since 2021.
Namaste.
BTC/USDT Bearish Continuation SetupChart Identification:
Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H
Pair: BTC/USDT
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud
Pattern: Price broke down from cloud resistance and is retesting previous support
Setup: Bearish continuation with consolidation before next leg down
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✅ Trade Setup (Sell):
🔹 Entry Point:
Sell Entry: Below 113,500.84
This level marks the neckline of a small consolidation zone.
Wait for clean candle close below this level.
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🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit):
1. TP1: 110,955.16
Previous minor support
2. TP2: 108,091.84
Key support/demand area
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🧠 Optional Confirmation:
You can wait for:
Bearish candlestick pattern at 112.1K zone
Rejection of retest near 113.7K–114.3K (top of cloud)
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📌 Summary:
> BTC/USDT Short Setup
🟢 Entry: Below 113,500.84
🎯 Target 1: 110,955.16
🎯 Target 2: 108,091.84
Bearish bias as price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and shows signs of continuation.
GOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it SeemsGOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it Seems
After the NFP data came in at 73k vs. the expected 110k, the market reacted aggressively to the US dollar. Today, the US dollar was affected on two fronts.
One was the NFP data and the other was the mess that President Trump is creating with his tariffs against many countries. Uncertainty regarding the future impact of the tariffs remains high and unknown.
After the NFP data GOLD reacted aggressively against the US dollar by breaking easily two small structural areas towards 3315 and 3334. A possible correction is expected before gold moves further to 3370; 3400 and 3400, as shown in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Gaussian and the LMACD deep dive!As you can see LMACD is showing signs of exhaustion. Histogram has been compressing or decreasing in momentum while the price has been climbing up. This divergence wont last for too long and a change in the trend seem very likely. BTC might be entering in the bear market pretty soon and you might start seeing the histogram turning red and increasing in bearish momentum before changing the trend once we approach to the core of the Gaussian or even bellow this time. Breaking bellow the core would mean range bellow 40k as bear market bottom.
Ethereum Market Flush, Retrace & Support ZoneEthereum is now on its third consecutive red day and bearish action is fully confirmed. The market is preparing for a strong drop.
As I've been mentioning, this move looked up from a broader perspective is part of a small correction for the last major advance. Ethereum moved up from $2,500 to almost $4,000. Now we get a retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth.
The retrace is now confirmed as Ether needs to test EMA55 and EMA89 as support. If these levels hold, you can count on a reversal right away. If these levels are compromised strongly, then prices can linger lower before a recovery shows up. It should be fast and strong. It should all happen within a few days, the crash and bottom, and the reversal a long-term process; sustained long-term growth, the market will be removing some of the weak hands.
We are going to be experiencing a bull run, are you sure you want to stay?
Protect your positions at all cost. We've seen nothing yet. $8,000 or more by the end of the bull run phase.
Namaste.
Weekly Market Wrap – Nifty Slides, Global Sentiment WeakensNifty ended the week on a bearish note, closing at 24,565, down 270 points or nearly 1.1% from last week's close. It touched a high of 24,956 and a low of 24,535, perfectly respecting the range I shared last week: 25,300–24,400.
As I highlighted earlier, the inverted hammer formation gave the bears an upper hand—and the index corrected 1.74% from the recent highs. My view continues to favor caution, with the expected trading range for the upcoming week at 25,000–24,100.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 24,400 (key bounce area), followed by 24,100 / 23,900 in case of further breakdown.
Resistance Zone: Upside capped near 25,000.
If the market holds 24,400 around 6th–7th August, expect a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, expect dips to 24,100 or 23,900, which could offer short-covering opportunities.
Global Cues:
The S&P 500 also had a rough week, closing at 6,238, down 2.5% week-on-week. This decline sparked a wave of selling across global markets. The 6,200 level is crucial—if it holds, we might see a rebound globally, including in Indian equities. Below that, 6,100 remains the breakout retest zone, which I believe should provide some cushion.
💡 Strategy Going Forward:
Focus on stocks showing relative strength in this falling market—they’ll likely lead the rally once sentiment turns.
Avoid chasing rallies, and watch for signs of bottoming out near key support zones.
Keep an eye on global indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, as their stability will dictate near-term direction for Indian markets.
Stay sharp, stay prepared. Let the bears have their moment, but be ready to pounce when the tide turns.
Risk Capacity: The Real Reason Traders Blow Accounts | Ep. 4In this pre-recorded video, I unpack one of the most overlooked reasons why traders blow their accounts over and over again, and it’s not about your system, strategy, or signal.
It’s about risk capacity, the internal threshold your nervous system can handle before fear, greed, or shutdown kicks in.
This is part of my ongoing series on YouTube “Rebuilding the Trader Within”, where I reflect on the emotional and psychological dimensions of trading that no indicator can fix.
If you've ever found yourself repeating the same mistakes, feeling stuck at the same equity level, or losing composure in high-stakes trades... this might be the pattern underneath it all.
I'm still learning too, and I’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment — let’s grow together.
#RiskCapacity #TradingPsychology #TraderMindset #RebuildingTheTraderWithin #ForexMentorship #TraderGrowth #InnerWork #ForexPsychology
#XRP/USDT – Breakout from Downward Channel | Bullish OutlookXRP has finally broken out of the long-standing downward parallel channel on the 4H chart — a strong bullish signal supported by volume and structure shift.
Falling Channel Structure:
XRP had been consolidating within a well-defined descending channel since late 2024. This structure capped price advances and formed a strong resistance ceiling.
Breakout Confirmation:
Recent price action cleanly broke above the upper trendline with volume expansion, followed by a classic retest of the breakout zone near 2.53, confirming the breakout is valid and not a fakeout.
Volume Analysis:
Breakout was supported by a noticeable increase in buying volume. The retest phase is happening on reduced volume, which is typical for a healthy bullish structure.
Support Zones:
2.53 – Key breakout level and current support
1.87 – Mid-channel level, strong previous base
0.638 – Long-term demand zone (unlikely to revisit unless severe macro breakdown)
Resistance Levels / Targets:
3.64 – Local resistance, recent swing high
4.29 – Major horizontal resistance
Further upside open if macro trend remains bullish
Setup Summary:
Structure: Falling Channel → Breakout → Retest
Entry Zone: Between 2.53 and CMP (~2.83) using DCA
Stop Loss: Below 2.38 to protect against fakeouts
Targets:
TP1: 3.64
TP2: 4.29
Long-Term Open
Why This Matters:
XRP breaking out of a 9-month downtrend indicates a major sentiment shift.
Similar breakouts in the past have led to 600%+ moves, and current structure resembles that setup.
Macro trend shows buyers stepping in with conviction.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
GBPNZD Breakout from Consolidation Bullish Momentum BuildingGBPNZD has broken out of its recent consolidation pattern and is showing signs of bullish continuation. Strong GBP fundamentals combined with NZD weakness from global risk-off sentiment and tariffs support this technical move.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Breakout from a descending channel with bullish follow-through.
Current Level: 2.2418, trading above the breakout level, confirming momentum shift.
Key Support Levels:
2.2294 – recent breakout support and invalidation point for bulls.
2.2222 – secondary support if a deeper pullback occurs.
Resistance Levels:
2.2500 – near-term resistance and potential target for the breakout.
2.2690 – extended bullish target if momentum continues.
Projection: Likely to continue higher toward 2.2500, with room for 2.2690 if GBP strength persists.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish.
Key Fundamentals:
GBP: Supported by BOE’s cautious stance on inflation and the relative resilience of the UK economy.
NZD: Pressured by global tariffs, weaker risk sentiment, and limited domestic growth catalysts.
USD Factor: Fed rate cut expectations indirectly support GBP crosses against risk currencies like NZD.
Risks:
Hawkish surprise from RBNZ could strengthen NZD.
BOE dovish signals could stall GBP upside.
Key Events:
BOE meeting and UK CPI.
RBNZ policy decision.
Risk sentiment trends globally.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/NZD is a leader among GBP crosses, with GBP strength and NZD weakness driving momentum. It also aligns with EUR/NZD upside moves, reinforcing the bearish NZD outlook.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/NZD is bullish, having broken consolidation with upside targets at 2.2500 and 2.2690. The main drivers are GBP’s policy support, NZD’s risk-off weakness, and global tariff concerns. Watch for BOE and RBNZ updates as potential volatility triggers.
"TCS Takes a COVID-Style Dive Again – Is It Time to Buy?"Price Action History:
During the COVID crash, TCS fell nearly 35% from its top, eventually taking support at the 100 EMA on the monthly chart and staging a strong bounce.
In 2022 (June,july,Sep,Oct), around 3000 zone was tested multiple times, followed by a significant rally.
📊 Current Scenario:
Once again, TCS is trading near the ₹2950–₹3000 zone, which coincides with the 100-month EMA – a historically proven support level.
Price action suggests we are at a critical inflection point similar to past major bottoms.
✅ Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: ₹2950–₹3000 (100 EMA Monthly+ 2022 support level)
Immediate Resistance: ₹3300–₹3400
Upside Potential: A bounce similar to COVID & 2022 patterns could trigger a strong upside move.
Trading Strategy:
if you are short term trader Keep a strict stop-loss below ₹2900 (monthly close basis) or 100 monthly EMA
Position sizing is key – don’t over-leverage.
🔎 Conclusion:
For long term trader This zone has historically acted as a strong accumulation area for long-term investors. If history repeats, this could be a high probability buying opportunity for swing and positional traders.
Fundamental Factor
Net Profit (Q1 FY26) ₹12,760 cr (+6% YoY)
Revenue Growth +1.3% YoY (−3.1% in CC)
Operating Margin 24.5% (↑30 bps QoQ)
Trailing P/E 22× (vs 5‑yr average ~24‑26×)
Dividend Yield 2.0%
ROE /ROCE 52%/64%
Gold trend analysis!From the price level of 3368 and above, gold is expected to pull back at least until the Stochastic on the M30–H1 timeframes reaches oversold levels.
After that, a bullish continuation is likely, pushing the price up to around 3400.
This area will be a critical decision point — determining whether the market will continue its uptrend or reverse into a downtrend.
If the H4 chart prints a reversal candlestick pattern, it would indicate the beginning of a bearish trend, which could potentially lead to a downward movement of up to 20,000 points.
XAUUSDGold (XAUUSD) has been undeniably one of the most rewarding instruments to trade this year. Whether that be longs or shorts.
Well, after the latest drop let’s be clear on one thing…. There is another big one to come.
There is a 4 year cycle of behaviour to not be ignored. Question, what happened this time in the Gold charts 4 years ago?
If you know the answer then you need to be setting up for sells.
Of course there have been many highs made this year and some are anticipating a new ATH before the drop. It is possible based on price action in 2025.
If history is to repeat itself, the open of Asian Session tonight (030825) could see a continuation up of the explosion up of Friday (010825). This should result in the sweeping out of stop losses of any sells that have been held over the weekend.
The closure of the sells will create buying pressure sending price further up to retest at least the most significant swing high. At and from this level and a few more above, we can look out for sustained selling to break below 3300 and beyond.
It is just theory at this point but should be taken into account.
Potential sell areas:
3368-3370
3378-3380
3400-3405
3412-3416
3428-3430
3433-3438
3444-3450
Of course risk management is key. But from the highest point that price reaches early next week could be the start of a very good sell.
All entry zone me should have an initial 1:2RR while holding partial sells with extended TPs as far as 3233,3217,3198,3159,3099.
Good luck 🤞
This is not financial advice and should be taken with a pinch of salt.
RALLIS INDIA - CUP and HANDLE BreakoutRALLIS INDIA has given CUP and Handle Pattern Breakout.
With SL :330/315, Buy Above 385 for Targets 425 / 450 /500 /525
Disclaimer: This is an analysis based on the provided chart and is not financial advice. All trades should be executed with proper risk management and after personal due diligence.