BTC In Risk Off Mode (Higher Or Lower)Equities/Gold/Risk Currencies are falling as Markets turn into Risk Off mode.
This comes Pre-election which may feed some impetus in.
No buys until falls. Also be careful with shorts as price could explode north. Highs have shown key price action/rejection previously but are not invincible especially on HVA's like this.
Chart Patterns
NASDAQ 100 - 31/10/2024 Daily IdeaSetup for today. Oversold conditions.
Once news drops we should expect a sweep of the lows at 20,115 grabbing sell-side liquidity then expecting the price to shoot up to fill the daily gap that was made at the start of the new trading day. This is in line with the continuation of the upward hourly trend which will grab buy-side liquidity. Beware of potential new ATH today after major earnings are reported.
Price hit Daytrading target successfully on NQHello traders,
After building a beautiful set up and waiting from yesterdat for price action to give us a high probability winning trade, price hit target successfully and and moved to our favor as i described. I am really very happy with the trade of today.
Good luck everyone and Happy trading.
Gold on interesting Technical fractalTechnical and Fundamental analysis: My mid-week Target been met earlier than I expected as the DX, (Stocks remained High) and Bond Yields dipped. The Volatility is still High however but Gold is giving me decent accuracy patterns but with mixed Technical signals and may look to set a new Support zone first (my estimate #2,772.80) before hitting #2,800.80 benchmark. The Long-term trend remains Bullish with Daily turned green on all of its MA periods, still on the middle stages of the new Bull run as it is just below the 0.618 Fibonacci level (hence the current pull-back). My Long-term Target remains #2,852.80 and #2,900.80 benchmark in continuation. I will treat every Bearish spike as an Buying opportunity. Notice how, as explained on previous posts, the DX broke its Daily chart's Support which was much needed for Gold in order to break first Lower then Higher. The decline on Bond Yields also helped. I believe that Gold's set to push Higher, potentially testing Higher High's Upper zone as interest Rates head Lower, central banks extend purchases, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and Bond Yields pullback. As these interest Rates came down, Gold has rallied in #2019, rising to the Highest level in six years, as Investors contemplate slowing economic growth, prospects for easier monetary policy in the U.S. and China and festering trade frictions (similar to current upswing). The upswing has been given added momentum as central banks, including authorities in Russia and China step up purchases. A revival in Stocks lead to spillover demand from Investors for the older haven, Gold. Interest rates are going so low, particularly now in Europe.
My position: I have closed my yesterday's session Buying order #2,772.80 and closed on #2,786.80 and re-Sold on #2,785.80 towards #2,774.80 which brought excellent #25-point Profit within the session. I will continue Buying #2,772.80 Low's for now and as my Profit is excellent, I will not assume more Selling orders / only if #2,770.80 break-out is delivered which is major re-Sell signal.
Bearish on SilverLooking at the 4-hour chart, if we get a close below the recent HL (Wednesday, 30 Oct), I'll be going short with a SL at the Previous LH. This was attempted last Friday and failed. However, since then, it's put in an LH, so it looks more likely this time.
Keep in mind we are still in an Bullish Trend channel which I am expecting to break down in the near term as silver is well overbought atm.
If this does close below the 4hr its likley tomorrow the Daily MACD will also be crossed to the downside.
Ill have a risk to reward of around 1:2
Trade safe all!
GBP/USD Long (Rising Traingle)Going long on current rising triangle on GBP/USD
- Lately GBP/USD been trading at good levels of support and have been looking for a long entry for over a week.
- The Triangle set up here is very promising as we just recently broke out and we are making are way over some crucial EMA/SMAs
How To Get An Extremely High Price Action Success RateIn this video you can watch me close out 30/30 trades in gains.
This is purely a lesson on price action and how you can use it to your advantage.
Reading price really should be at the forefront of your strategy as it allows you to gain an edge through seeing what other traders are doing.
Enjoy!
HANG SENG Patience until December for a long term buy.Hang Seng (HSI1!) made a massive bullish break-out in September as it broke above the February 2021 Lower Highs trend-line, effectively ending its Bear Cycle. This month (October) saw it getting rejected not just on the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
This is a key rejection as in almost 30 years, every time the price got rejected on the 0.618 Fib, it recovered on the 3rd (1M) candle after. As a result, December will give a buy signal based on this historic price action, so have patience and take a multi-month buy then.
In most of those cases, the index rebounded to the previous High, so our Target will be 30975. Notice also that the 1M MACD is rising off a Bullish Cross. When formed below the 0.0 mark, this has also been a massive buy signal.
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DC. Growth potential x10 in 8 days.If we extrapolate the historical chart to the present time, we can assume that asset is capable of experiencing a similar upward movement. Given the bull market factor and ratio of assets in liquidity pools on decentralized exchanges, x10 may only be the beginning of global growth.
Gold looks shaky for a short
Gold will tumble on a breach of the triangle its currently situated. Here is the trend line in red.
The Gold Price for the past 2 hours has been stationary much of the time at the bottom of a 1 hour triangle. Waiting to be shorted and trapped down lower. Will you join me? There was very recently a 1 to 3m chart head n shoulders pattern so price was on the move upwards and around 2733 now.
For educational purposes as trading can be risky.
The chart has details of a stop loss and 2 profit targets for the Short. Idea is to short Gold with a waiting Limit order at 2735.
Now, if you find that price gets close to 2735 but does not trigger your order, then that will mean that price is heading lower and they don't want you getting liquidity to sell your order and possibly profit from the short. That is when you sell on Market near 2735 or just below.
Stop Loss is 2739.39 (tight) or for a wider but less Reward, place stop at 2744.78, a fair bit of room. I did that because the gold price does retrace and move around a bit pre New York.
2713.76 is TP1 and TP2 is 2682.62 or take profits when and where you feel comfortable.
This is Wyckoff Volume Spread Analysis in a Downtrend In this short video, Author of "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money", Gavin Holmes, shows one of the major Volume Spread Analysis set ups to go short, No Demand in a downtrend.
In this example Gavin went short in the NQ Nasdaq futures because of bullish news in stock NVIDA which caused both the index and the stock to collapse at the time of filming.
All markets move on three key universal laws.
Supply and Demand
Cause and Effect
Effort Vs Result
You can get a copy of the latest Wyckoff VSA trading plan by going to www.tradeguider.com and clicking on the TradeToWin page or contact us on livechat on the front page.
Wishing You all good trading and constant profits,
Gavin Holmes
Author "Trading in the Shadow of the Smart Money"
www.amazon.com
227063SELL XAUUSD for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 2,831
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long BTC Correction Almost OverBTC has been correcting from its ATH since march, but it appears to be ripe for another surge as we near the holiday season and the RSI is settling back towards the middle. As long as we don't break below the bottom of the channel that has formed over the past couple years, it should be uphill from here.
I went short Gold at 2735.83. It just happended....!
I really was not on the front foot to Short gold or silver so early in the week, it just happened because a report came in on tradingview news that the middle east situation is contained more so than open war-fare and the Gold chart was begging to be shorted because there was no buying and the gold-ghost was taking a break resting under a moving average. Sorry buddy, your shorted!
Will see how it goes. Not sure what economic news is on today in the USA but I will soon find out.
Other Long trades I am on include GBPUSD, GBPCAD is looking to really break out in the Monday sessions and I am also Short on AUDUSD which I think is starting to become in-the-money. Have a good trading day and remember 'greed normally means losing money not making it'. Chris