Chart Patterns
BTC/USD 1H CHART PATTERN BTC/USD is currently facing strong resistance around the $84,000 level. If the price fails to break and hold above this zone, it may signal weakening bullish momentum. A stabilization below $84,000 increases the likelihood of a downward move, with the next target around $77,000. This level could act as key support, and a drop toward it may indicate a short-term bearish trend. However, if BTC manages to break above $84,000 with strong volume, it could resume its upward momentum. Until then, price action below resistance suggests caution, as bearish pressure may start building in the coming sessions.
EUR/USD..1h chart pattren..I'm planning a buy trade for EUR/USD at an entry point of 1.10530 with the following target points:
First Target: 1.10940
Second Target: 1.11470
Considerations for Your Trade:
1. Entry Point: 1.10530 — Make sure that the market conditions are favorable for the move. It's important to confirm that there is enough momentum to push the price up.
2. Target Points:
1.10940: First target is a reasonable price level for an initial profit-taking point.
1.11470: This level seems to be a continuation of the bullish move, assuming the market stays strong.
Important Factors:
Risk Management: Ensure that you have a stop-loss in place in case the trade doesn't go as expected. Ideally, your stop should be placed below a recent support level to minimize losses.
Trend Analysis: Look at the broader trend for EUR/USD (is it trending upward, or are there signs of a reversal?). This can help confirm whether your targets are realistic.
Economic Events: Watch for any Eurozone or U.S. economic data releases (e.g., ECB or Federal Reserve announcements) that could impact EUR/USD.
If you’d like more analysis or further assistance with the trade setup, feel free to ask!
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string.
One minute, tariff fears.
The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.”
Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened.
SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one.
We’ve mapped it.
We’ve rejected it.
Now we’re staring it down… again.
---
The 5400 Line Returns
Let’s back up.
5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks.
When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings.
Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries.
This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400.
That’s no coincidence.
It’s now more than just a price level –
It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope.
So… do we flip bullish?
Not so fast.
Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second
Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back.
We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday.
That’s why my plan is simple this week:
✔️ 5400 is still the decision line
✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms
✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment
This week isn’t about swinging for the fences.
It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity.
Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining
While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to:
Optimise my new charting layout
Tweak + update my indicator codebases
Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency
Because if the market wants to act like a circus,
I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives.
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Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip
Common mistake:
Flipping long just because futures are green.
Fix:
Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms.
GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter.
Tweets do not.
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Fun Fact
Did you know?
In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines.
Translation?
Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has broken out of the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.4701
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 4.3024
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.7893
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Breaks Short-Term Trend – Retrace or Reversal Ahead?With all-time highs in play, Gold remains unpredictable. Instead of chasing, we’re looking for a retrace back to the recent consolidation zone before eyeing new highs. A head and shoulders reversal is still on the table, and the H4 uptrend is broken—so short-term bias shifts until a bounce confirms re-entry.
BTC Next MovementThis is my vision for BTC.
Let's have a look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five heading up and three trending downward) labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, and C.
Waves one, two, three, four, and five form an impulse, and waves A, B, and C form a correction. The five-wave impulse, in turn, forms wave one at the next-largest degree, and the three-wave correction forms wave two at the next-largest degree.
The corrective wave normally has three distinct price movements—two in the direction of the main correction (A and C) and one against it (B). In the figure above, waves two and four are corrections.
AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.622 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis Update
🔹 Timeframes Observed: H1, M30, and M15
Gold (XAUUSD) has officially broken the trendline on all three lower timeframes — 1 Hour, 30 Minutes, and 15 Minutes — indicating a clear shift in market structure towards the downside.
🔹 Key Support Level:
The next critical confirmation of bearish continuation will occur if price breaks below the $3116 support zone. A clean break and retest of this level can serve as strong validation for further downside movement.
🔹 Target Zones:
If the bearish momentum sustains, price may head towards the following levels:
🎯 Target 1: $3195
🎯 Target 2: $3172
🎯 Target 3: $3132
🔹 Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a recommended stop loss is placed at $3250. This helps protect against unexpected price spikes or false breakouts.
🔹 EMA Confluence:
The 21 EMA on the M30 timeframe has been broken, adding another layer of confirmation to the bearish bias. This EMA break often signals a shift in short- to mid-term trend direction.
⚠️ Important Note on Fundamentals:
While technicals currently show a bearish setup, it's essential to monitor fundamental drivers closely — including economic news releases, central bank statements, tariffs, and geopolitical events — as any significant development can invalidate technical patterns and shift market sentiment instantly.
GBP CAD #0008 Long Swing Trade - The Trade is heavily reliant on Liquidity Pools (LP) that exist along the structures.
- The main consideration for this trade limit order placement was due to exhaustion patterns portrayed by the last Weekly price action (large wick formation).
- Moving to the 3-hour chart, there are number of reliable liquidity pools exist that could be the place of entry.
- However, we have decided that the one with OrderBlock (OB) is the most reliable and promising, hence presenting us with an entry position for our limit order.
- Within our 3-hour chart, we noticed interesting liquidity pools built up marked in "PURPLE" colour.
- This Liquidity Pools presents Large liquidity to the Smart Money, ie, the Stop Orders of the General Markets participants.
- We anticipate a liquidity hunt to occur in these areas, i.e. "Purple LP"
- Placement of Buy order Limits has been made, and the LAST MONTH HIGH is made as the TP Target Price.
- Entry is for Swing Trading, the duration of holding may pass 1 week.
4/14 Gold Trading StrategiesLast Friday, gold showed a strong unidirectional rally followed by tight-range consolidation at high levels. Our bearish-biased strategy yielded limited profits, and some traders may still be holding trapped positions due to delayed exits. However, structurally, gold’s current posture signals early signs of exhaustion, and a pullback remains likely.
🔥【Key Headlines to Watch】
🇺🇸 The U.S. has suspended tariffs on popular consumer electronics, causing gold to gap down by $30 at today’s open.
🛠️ Trump is expected to unveil details on semiconductor tariffs — a reduction or pause will likely pressure gold lower.
💬 Two Fed officials speak today:
Barkin: Speech on “Navigating Through Economic Fog”
Cook: Remarks on the Fed’s evolving role in the economy.
📊 The NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations report will be released — market expectations are bearish for gold.
🔍【Technical Outlook】
Gold remains near historic highs, trading at an extended premium;
The recent rally has been largely driven by speculative inflows, not solid demand;
If sentiment flips or profit-taking begins, a sharp sell-off could follow;
Structurally, gold appears to be forming a top — favor short setups at elevated levels.
🎯【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3230 – 3250
Look to short near resistance on failed breakouts
🔺Buy Zone: 3128 – 3104
Consider long entries only on healthy pullbacks to strong support
🔄Range Zones:
3220 – 3195
3158 – 3206
Tactical range trading — adapt to intraday momentum shifts
Gold falls under pressureGold rebounded from the bottom last week, and the entire increase from 2957 to 3245 was as high as 288 US dollars. It took only three trading days. The strong V reversal went up as it went down. At present, gold has successfully stood on the 3200 mark. Can it continue to rise this week? Is there any hope for 3500?
At present, whether it is from the daily or weekly lines, they are all big Yang closings, which all show the strong rise of gold. From the big trend, there is no doubt that the bullish direction. Especially for the current political and economic situation, but it is necessary to pay attention to the process of rising, which is also accompanied by a correction or deep retracement, just like the last wave of plunge.
At present, gold is mainly affected by tariff policies, which pushes gold prices to continue to rise. Now that the tariffs have been increased to 125%, adding more is just a number game with no practical significance. There is no more to add. The next step is to return to the negotiation table, which is just a matter of time. Once such a vent is revealed in the future, gold will dive from the high platform. This is a news risk point that needs to be paid attention to. There are risks in chasing high prices, and trading needs to be cautious.
The daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold at the beginning of this week is not high, and we should be careful of the market that rises and falls.
Today, gold rose and fell as expected over the weekend. It just didn't break the high. Gold opened low at 3220 and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; European session 3234 light position short, 3237 increase short position, 3218 reduce position, stop profit at 3209; long and short turnover all won. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.