GOLD-XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold Analysis: The market is in the center zone, indicating potential for upward movement. Look for buying opportunities as the price approaches support levels. Once the market reaches a strong resistance, it could signal a sell setup. Stay cautious, plan your entry and exit carefully, and manage your risk effectively!
Chart Patterns
EURGBP TECHENICAL FORECAST 1H TIME FRAME CONFIRM ZONES EUR/GBP Market Analysis
📉 Consolidation Zone Detected
If the market breaks resistance, the target level is 0.85890.
If the market breaks support, the target level is 0.82900.
📊 Indicator: EMA 50 is being used to track momentum and confirm trends.
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NZD Possible Daily Future Formation?Now this may just be a big rationalization but i am curious to know what your guys thoughts are on this possible pattern.
With the dollars strong NFP data earlier today extending the price lower, the dollar also hit a large untested resistance on the daily timeframe. i am wondering if this could be a very sideways H&S in the event that the dollar rejects that daily level. The large buyside liquidity draws in the middle of structure also make me believe there could be a retracement to the upside on NZD.
This isnt a TP or SL idea, i am looking for the opinion of other fellow traders and what they may think the price action could be in the coming week.
Feedback is greatly appreciated. Kind feedback of course, Tradingview minds and ideas have turned into a battle ground over who is a moron for their idea and who is not lol.
If i am incorrect ill be waiting for that red bearish candle to blow through my computer screen and desk to then hit my toes. Lmk.
JBLU Prediction: Q4 '24 Earnings Slide from Q1 '25 Guidance?It's my estimation that the market sentiment felt from AAL Q1 '25 guidance will ripple into JBLU's earnings report come JAN-28-25.
While AAL beat earnings estimates (revenue up 4.6% / $0.86/share vs. $0.66/share expected), Q1 guidance was set at a loss of $-0.40/share vs. $-0.04/share. Investors I believe are expecting a much stronger output in 2025 from domestic carriers, and this was a horrible start to the year.
AAL and JBLU's failed Northeast Alliance, a break up due to antitrust laws, has now caused both airlines to pay $2M in legal fees across several states.
Looking at LuxAlgo's Support Resistance Signals MTF among additional indicators, I believe the underlying will touch below $7.50 after earnings are released.
AUD/JPY Reversal: Targeting 102.000 from 96.900
AUD/JPY has recently shown signs of exhaustion at lower levels, signaling a potential reversal from the 96.900 level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of why this setup presents an attractive trading opportunity:
Technical Analysis:
Key Support Zone:
The 96.900 level has proven to be a significant support area historically, as seen from previous price reactions. The pair has bounced strongly from this region multiple times, indicating the presence of strong buying interest.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band on the daily timeframe, which often serves as a dynamic support level. This suggests a high likelihood of mean reversion toward the midline or upper band.
Fibonacci Levels:
Applying Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to the swing high reveals that 96.900 aligns closely with the 38.2% retracement level. This confluence strengthens the case for a reversal.
Trendline Analysis:
A rising trendline drawn from the March 2023 low intersects near 96.900. The trendline has been respected multiple times, indicating its significance.
Divergence on RSI:
On the 4-hour and daily charts, the RSI is showing bullish divergence, with the oscillator forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows. This often precedes a reversal in price.
Volume Profile:
A noticeable increase in volume near the 96.900 region suggests accumulation by institutional players, further reinforcing the support level's validity.
Fundamental Drivers:
Risk Sentiment:
The Australian Dollar, being a commodity-linked currency, is often influenced by global risk appetite. Any improvements in risk sentiment could boost AUD demand.
Japan's Monetary Policy:
The Bank of Japan’s commitment to its ultra-loose monetary policy may continue to pressure the Yen. This divergence in monetary policies between the RBA and BoJ supports a bullish bias for AUD/JPY.
Economic Indicators:
Strong economic data from Australia, particularly in the employment and commodity sectors, could act as a catalyst for further upside.
Target and Risk Management:
Entry Point:
Look for long positions near 96.900, ideally after a bullish confirmation (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing candle on the daily timeframe).
Take-Profit Levels:
First target: 98.500 (psychological level and minor resistance).
Final target: 102.000 (major resistance zone from previous highs).
Stop-Loss Placement:
A tight stop-loss below 96.400 ensures limited downside risk while providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion:
AUD/JPY is presenting a high-probability reversal opportunity from the 96.900 support zone. Both technical and fundamental factors align, making this trade idea particularly compelling. Monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering.
GBPJPY am currently monitoring GBPJPY, as I believe the pair is poised for a bullish trend reversal. After observing recent price action, it seems that GBPJPY has reached a critical support level at 191.300, which has historically acted as a significant zone for potential price bounces. Given the strong market dynamics, I expect that this level will hold, setting the stage for a possible upward reversal.
Looking ahead, my target for this potential bullish move is around the 194.700 level. This price target aligns with key resistance zones and recent market structure, suggesting that if the bullish reversal materializes, GBPJPY could make its way towards this area.
Key factors I’m considering for this outlook include:
Support at 191.300: This level has provided a solid base for the pair, and any break above this zone could signal further strength.
Bullish Momentum: Indicators are beginning to show signs of upward momentum, which aligns with my expectation of a trend reversal.
Market Sentiment: I’m closely watching overall market sentiment, especially as it pertains to GBP and JPY fundamentals, which could play a role in fueling the upside potential.
I will be watching for confirmation of the reversal in price action, and I’ll look for higher highs and higher lows as the trend shifts. If the price begins to break key resistance points along the way, this will further validate the upward move toward 194.700.
As always, risk management is key, and I will be watching for any signs of invalidation below 191.300, which could suggest a reassessment of the trade.
Stay tuned for updates, and good luck to all traders!
Ethereum Analysis: Mid-Term Outperformance PotentialWith the market currently in a Risk-On environment and Bitcoin achieving a new All-Time High (ATH) , an analysis of Bitcoin Dominance and the ETH/BTC chart suggests that Ethereum may outperform Bitcoin in the mid-term.
Two potential target zones have been highlighted on the chart for reference. As always, proper risk management is crucial when planning trades.
Good luck dears
Masoud Eskandari
Solana- Two bullish targets (320 and 380)The launch of BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT gave a boost to BINANCE:SOLUSDT with the price breaking above 220 local resistance and soaring with more than 30% to 295.
As expected after such a rally, the price entered a correction phase, and at the time of writing, Solana is trading around $260.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation: A Bullish Sign?
During this consolidation period, a symmetrical triangle pattern has emerged on the charts. This formation is often a signal of a continuation of the prevailing trend. If Solana manages to break through the triangle's resistance, it could lead to an acceleration of the upward momentum.
Potential Targets for Solana
Based on classical technical analysis, the first target is calculated using the triangle's base. This suggests a potential rise to $320. However, if we consider the momentum from the previous leg up, the target could stretch as high as $380.
Outlook: Bullish Above $200
Regardless of which target is reached, Solana remains strongly bullish as long as it holds above the critical $200 support level.
Traders and investors will want to keep a close eye on price action, especially for a breakout of the current consolidation.
BTC is in a decision-making phase
Bitcoin is trending upward, with prices rising from about 90,000 USDT all the way to nearly 105,000 USDT. Since late January, Bitcoin prices are entering a converging triangle area. The area is limited by a descending trend line above and a support line below. The current performance of the market shows that price fluctuations are getting smaller and smaller, indicating that market participants are waiting for a clear breakout signal.
Support level: 91,361.70 USDT below, representing the recent low, this price has become a key support area. If Bitcoin prices fall below this support level, they may face greater downward pressure and even test lower support areas.
Resistance level: 107,813.12 USDT above the price is the main resistance level, forming the upper boundary of the current triangle consolidation. If Bitcoin prices break through this resistance level, it will be possible to launch a new upward wave again.
Currently, the price fluctuates above and below a gradually rising trend line, which is a typical triangle consolidation. In this form, the price usually enters a contraction range, and the fluctuation range gradually becomes smaller. At this point, we will closely watch whether the price breaks through the upper resistance line or falls below the lower support line. A breakout in either direction could bring a strong market reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks through the upper triangle resistance line of 107,813USDT, it may retest and break through the upper high, pushing the price to a higher area, with the target possibly close to 112,000 USDT or even higher.
If Bitcoin falls below the lower support line of 91,361.70 USDT, a strong downward trend may form, and the price may pull back to 90,000 USDT or even lower.
Overall, the current market pattern shows a typical triangle consolidation pattern, which means that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate in the short term until it breaks through the key price above or below.