Chart Patterns
BTC's Potential Up to 77K & Down to 130K? Here’s WhyBINANCE:BTCUSDT has both bullish and bearish scenarios in play now.
These days, the crypto market has been stagnant—no real pump, no real dump.
🔻 If it drops, how low will it go?
There’s a potential multiple-top pattern.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks below the neckline at $92,000 with volume—or fails to reclaim it—then the target drop sits at $77,000.
🚀 If it pumps, how high can it go?
A potential multiple-bottom pattern is forming.
If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN breaks above the neckline at $107,000 with volume—or successfully retests it—then the target is $130,000.
🔥 Short-term strategy
The Feb 3rd candle had significant volume and has been a key resistance level multiple times.
This makes it a strong reference point for entries.
(See orange & light blue arrows.)
1️⃣ Long Setup
Entry trigger: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
Stop loss: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
2️⃣ Short Setup
Entry trigger: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
Stop loss: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
💡 Prices vary across exchanges. Use the prices from your trading platform.
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XAUUSD ANALYSIS UPDATE #SEMS #2834 Strong Demand Area XAUUSD Analysis Update : XAUUSD Bounces Back to $2,877 on Weaker Dollar
📌 Gold rebounded sharply on Monday, reaching $2,877 after touching a weekly low of $2,833 on Friday, as a weaker U.S. dollar, ongoing Ukraine peace deal uncertainty, and tariff concerns boosted safe-haven demand.
🔹 Key Market Drivers:
Weaker USD: Traders continue to price in two Fed rate cuts by year-end despite in-line inflation data on Friday.
Ukraine Peace Deal Uncertainty: Delays in reaching an agreement have fueled further market caution.
Projected Support Held Strong: As alerted in advance, the $2,834 demand zone proved to be a key buy area, triggering a successful rebound.
📊 Trade Execution & Results:
✅ All Buy Trades Closed in Profit at $2,876.14
✅ Critical Support Levels Held on: 04-02-25 | 14-02-25 | 21-02-25
🔗 Verify Analysis & Trade Records:
📍 Analysis 1: 14-2-25
📍 Analysis 2:21-2-25
Contatc for Details
💰 Precision trading pays off—another profitable move! 🚀📈
💰 Check Profits and Analysis Advance Alerts
Solana Reverses Downtrend: Trump's View on Crypto and What Next.Solana Breaks Downtrend Line: Trump’s Crypto Stance and Key Resistance at $180
Solana has recently broken the downtrend line on its daily timeframe, which has garnered significant attention in the crypto market. This shift in momentum comes amidst former President Donald Trump’s comments on cryptocurrencies, where he named XRP, Solana, and Cardano as potential candidates for a U.S. crypto reserve. His statements have sparked renewed interest in these assets, pushing their value upward.
Currently, Solana is facing resistance at the $180.00 level. For traders looking to enter a long position, it’s crucial to wait for a breakout above this key resistance. Confirming the breakout would require the price to close above the $180 level in a 4-hour timeframe. Until then, caution is advised, as the market continues to test this critical threshold.
Traders should monitor the situation closely for any signs of a breakout or rejection at the $180 level. If Solana manages to close above this level, it could signal the next phase of its upward momentum, with potential for further gains. However, patience is essential to ensure the breakout is confirmed before entering any long positions.
Closely grasp the rebound of gold, and then sell!From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is near 2883-2887. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to short first and look for a decline. The lower low point support focuses on 2825-2830. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 2883-2887, target 2830-2835, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Bollinger Squeeze and resistance break to go longA squeeze on the Bollinger Bands could be happening in the coming days. This usually indicates consolidation, and an exit from such a pattern is generally explosive. You can see that it has already happened once on Pi.
So, a good squeeze on the BB followed by a breakout of the 'bounce zone' would be a strong long position, with a stop-loss (SL) around 1.6.
The previous analysis suggested a long position, but the price did not respond accordingly to the support, so I hope you didn’t enter a long position.
That's it for today. Have a good week, guys!
NZDCHF is making bearish flag patternAs soon as the price broke the bullish parallel channel, the price dropped sharply and indicated a shifting of trend from bullish to bearish. Right now, the price is making a bearish flag pattern, so it is a good opportunity to avail healthy RR. I have also opened a short position on the chart and am aiming at 1:2 RR, which is also equal to the projection of the bearish flag projection
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/09]: IO In Strong DowntrendSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) declined last week, closing USD 6.20/ton lower by 28/Feb (Fri).
SGX IO Futures opened at USD 108.20/ton on 24/Feb (Mon) and closed at USD 102.00/ton on 28/Feb (Fri).
Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 108.60/ton on 24/Feb (Mon) and a low of USD 101.45/ton on 03/Mar (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 7.15/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week.
Prices fell below S2 pivot point at USD 102.15/ton and settled below this level.
Volume peaked on 28/Feb (Fri) as prices declined by more than 3% with concerns over Chinese exports.
Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary
Tariff concerns over Chinese steel have dampened sentiment in iron ore markets. Trump confirmed plans to proceed with his new tariff policy, raising fears of a broader trade war.
Vietnam imposed a temporary anti-dumping levy on Chinese steel products, and South Korea introduced a provisional tariff on Chinese steel imports.
China's PMI data, released on Saturday (1/March), indicated expanding manufacturing activity, with the index rising to 50.2 from 49.1—the first monthly increase since November.
This week, release of trade data from China is likely to provide context around how China’s imports and exports are faring.
China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 1.02 million tons (-0.68%) WoW to 148.16 million tons for the week ending 28/Feb as per MMI data .
Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Mar contract trades 19.5% below its last 5-year average (USD 127.29/ton).
Short-Term MA Signal Imminent Decline Following Tariff Concerns
The 9-day and 21-day DMAs are nearing a bearish crossover after a sharp decline, indicating potential further downside based on short-term moving averages.
Prices Face Resistance at Long-term Moving Average Convergence
Iron ore prices have dropped below their 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which now act as support levels. A stronger catalyst may be needed for a decisive break lower. Meanwhile, resistance is forming as these long-term averages converge.
MACD Signals Strong Bearish Momentum. RSI Falls Sharply, Nearing Oversold
The MACD indicates that prices are in a sharp downtrend, with the 12-day and 26-day moving averages continuing to diverge, suggesting further downside potential. The RSI, currently at 36.88, also reflects the downtrend but remains above the oversold threshold.
Volatility Rises From Lows, IO Prices Above 61.8% Fibonacci As Rally Loses Steam
Volatility rose over the past week continuing its broader increase since bottom on 31/Jan but levels still remain near multi-year lows. With the 2025 rally losing steam, prices have retraced by 6.9% from their peak. They trade just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level which could provide support.
Buying Pressure Softens & IO Prices Below Lower Bollinger Band
Buying pressure weakened during the week, as reflected in the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. Bollinger Bands widened sharply after narrowing in the latter half of February, with prices now trading below the lower band.
China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings?
China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including iron ore. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations.
Source: TradingView Data and Mint Finance Analysis
IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 74.8k lots and 130.8k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 158.1k and 47.5k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,224,213 lots as of 21/Feb (+11.2%) while it was 1,101,024 lots as of 14/Feb.
Source: SGX
IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 78.9k lots and 146.4k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 171.1k and 54.2k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,525,430 lots as of 21/Feb (+11.3%) while it was 1,370,376 lots as of 14/Feb.
Source: SGX
Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants
Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the past month. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long in the last two weeks. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year.
Source: SGX Data and Mint Finance Analysis
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Iron ore prices have fallen amid concerns over Chinese steel exports. U.S. trade tariffs are expected to affect a USD 7 billion Chinese steel market, while other countries are also imposing levies and charges, adding pressure on demand. Weaker steel demand could dampen iron ore consumption, potentially slowing China's iron ore imports.
Prices are down 6%, with multiple indicators pointing to strong bearish sentiment. However, the upcoming Two Sessions meeting could trigger a recovery if a stimulus plan is announced to support the struggling steel sector. Additionally, prices are hovering around a long-term moving average, which may act as support. Given these factors, further downside could be limited. A closer target for a short position may be more prudent, while a potential higher open could offer a better entry level.
This paper posits a short position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 30th April 2025 (FEFJ2025) with an entry level of USD 102.95/ton combined with a take profit level of USD 99.75/ton and a stop-loss at USD 106.15/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1x.
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BTC/USDT: Analysis - Key Levels and Trade SetupMost Relevant Timeframe for Taking a Position
• Based on the analysis, the 12H timeframe appears to be the most relevant for taking a position because:
• It shows a clear bullish trend (MTFTI AVG Dark Green) with potential buy signals (ISPD, Mason’s Line).
• Short-term bearish divergences (MTFTI on 4H-12H) and overbought signals (HPI) are less extreme than on 8H or 4H, providing a window to enter before a possible correction.
• Supports (84,000.42) and resistances (99,218.16) are well-defined and consistent with key levels.
Key Support and Resistance Levels for Taking a Position
• Supports :
• 79,647.42-85,963.23 (Auto AVWAP-Low across various timeframes, aligned with identified zones).
• Oversold zones identified by Mason’s Line (0.3438-0.4065), suggesting buying opportunities around these levels.
• Resistances :
• 98,857.36-99,247.67 (Auto AVWAP-High on 1D, 12H, 8H, 4H, 2H), consistent with key resistance levels.
• Overbought conditions signaled by HPI (94-100) and Mason’s Line (0.7408), indicating potential selling or profit-taking if these levels are reached.
Actionable Recommendations
1. Long Position (Buy):
• Enter on the 12H timeframe if the price tests supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23, with buy signals confirmed by ISPD (Investor Satisfaction near 0), Mason’s Line (satisfaction < SMA), and Koncorde (Azul > Verde).
• Target: Resistances at 98,857.36-99,218.16, but monitor overbought signals (HPI > 90, Mason’s Satisfaction > 0.97).
• Stop-loss: Below supports at 79,647.42 to limit risks in case of a correction.
2. Short Position (Sell):
• Enter if HPI reaches 94-100 (on 8H, 4H) and Mason’s Satisfaction approaches 1 (on 2H, 0.7408), indicating extreme overbought conditions. Confirm with MTFTI showing short-term bearish trends (Down on 1H-12H).
• Target: Supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23.
• Stop-loss: Above resistances at 99,218.16 to limit risks of a bullish breakout.
3. General Caution:
• Await clarity from the crypto summit at the White House on March 7, 2025, to assess its impact on Bitcoin.
• Monitor key levels (77,930$, 84,000$, 93,570$) and volatility, as a correction is likely after initial euphoria, supported by overbought indicators.
This analysis combines a rigorous chart reading with current insights to provide a coherent and actionable perspective, while accounting for ongoing uncertainties and volatility on BTC/USDT.
Bullish Breakout Trade Setup for EUR/USDThis is a technical analysis chart for a currency pair (likely EUR/USD) from TradingView, showing a bullish trade setup.
Analysis:
Key Levels:
Support: Around 1.04150 (marked as "sl" for stop loss).
Resistance: Near 1.05267 (previous highs marked with red circles).
Entry Zone: Just above 1.04150, suggesting a breakout.
Trade Plan:
Entry Point: Breakout above the previous resistance.
Take Profit Targets:
TP 1: First target around 1.04800.
TP 2: Second target around 1.05000.
Final TP: 1.05267 (previous high).
Stop Loss (SL): Placed below 1.04150.
Market Structure:
The price is breaking above a consolidation/resistance area.
Volume seems to increase, supporting the breakout.
Previous highs at 1.05267 indicate strong resistance.
Trading Bias:
Bullish outlook, expecting a continuation upwards.
Entry is aligned with a breakout strategy.
Risk management is in place with a stop loss below support.