EUR/USD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so EUR-USD is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 1.110.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Chart Patterns
AAVE: THE PERFECT STORM SETUP FOR 340% RETURNS🔄🚀 for more details FOLLOW ME AND READ BELOW 🚀
📈 The Bullish Convergence Pattern
This AAVE/USDT weekly chart reveals a textbook pattern that's impossible to ignore. After forming a massive rounded bottom structure from 2022-2024, AAVE is now completing its correction phase with a clear descending triangle - typically a continuation pattern in an overall uptrend.
🎯 668 USD Target: Why It's Realistic
Notice the horizontal resistance at $668 (marked as "High") - this level has historical significance as it was tested twice in a perfect 13-bar, 91-day cycle. The current price of $151.63 represents a stunning opportunity, as reaching this target would deliver a 340% return.
⌛ Time-Based Symmetry
The chart shows two identical "13 bars, 91d" measurements. This remarkable symmetry suggests we're approaching the end of the correction, with a powerful move expected to begin in the coming weeks that could mirror the momentum seen in early 2021.
📊 Technical Confluence
Multiple factors align for this massive move:
- Price is testing the long-term support trendline (white curve)
- The current triangle formation is reaching its apex
- We're at a historical support zone ($144-$151)
- Volume has been decreasing during this correction (classic pre-breakout behavior)
💡 Why This Time Is Different
Unlike previous cycles, AAVE has established itself as a cornerstone of DeFi with sustainable revenue models, institutional adoption, and a proven track record through multiple market cycles. The fundamental backdrop supporting this technical pattern is stronger than ever.
⏰ Entry & Exit Strategy
- Entry Zone : $144-$152 (current level offers excellent risk-reward)
- Initial Targets : $250 (previous resistance), $400 (2024 high)
- Ultimate Target : $668 (multi-year resistance)
- Stop Loss : Below $125 (violation of the long-term trendline)
🔮 The Bigger Picture
This isn't just another trade - it's positioning for the next major DeFi wave. The identical 13-bar cycles suggest we're on the cusp of a significant market phase shift that could propel AAVE to new heights.
XAUUSD BUYThe bigger trend of the market is bullish and also smaller trend of the market is bullish. The price of the market is very cheap as it is in between FVG and demand zone, but just wait for the retest from the pivot zone then buy as soon as it hit it as the price will be more cheaper. The market also given us an double bottom pattern and also market shift which is an change of the character. Be ready in Asian session as soon as it open before the price get expensive to buy the GOLD.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 4/5/2025Finally we see another red candle on goldy. A lot of people said this could be the end for the bull. However, I don't think yet as currently it is only in the middle of the 4th wave. The next two weeks would be crucial. If we see another green weekly candle, we will be on the way to the final wave, which i think will be the end for the bull for this year.
For next week's setup, I will engage selling orders for the first few days while be cautious towards the end of the week. My bearish targets are 3000 and 2960. If either of the two numbers blocks the bear's path, we could a see a rebound.
Let's see how the market plays out next week.
Gold is undergoing a drastic shakeout. Can the bears take the inAfter the breakout in the previous upward trend of gold continued. The price and the 2830 low began to form a new upward trend. After three highs in 4 hours, the price also reached the 3168 line. Subsequently, this week and the high were violently washed, and the rise and fall of both long and short positions were expanded to 100 US dollars. The current price is supported by the 3000 line, which is also the long-short dividing line formed by the rising trend line. If this position is broken, gold may fall to 2956.
The resistance of 3085 above is suppressed. If this position is broken, gold will continue the bullish trend.
Overall, although gold has been violently washed at high levels, the overall bullish trend pattern has not been broken. The operation is still based on low-multiple ideas.
Gold operation suggestions: when the price falls back to the 3000-3020 area, long orders are arranged in batches, and the stop loss is broken below 2982 as the stop loss basis. The upward targets are 3050, 3065, and the break above 3085 continues the bullish trend.
For short positions, it is recommended to participate in short-term short positions when the price rebounds to the 3060-3070 area under pressure, and use the stop loss as the basis for breaking through 3085. The downside targets are 3034, 3020, and breaking below 3000.
SPY going down down downI just make simple technical charts, and have no idea about matters at play from leaders in plain sight as well as those behind the curtains.
Things can only crash when they have been inflated. So far SPY is still in long term uptrend. Only when it drops below the thick blue lower line and stay below, it will be a down trend to me.
RSI on the daily hangs around 23. Switch to the monthly chart and the RSI is only at 50 yet. Plenty of room to go down! Remember, the all time highs of 2021 and 2023 were around 450. Fridays close was at 505!
ES and the Trade War, We are still short here.Current Market Context:
Downtrend Continuation: The ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China have led to significant sell-offs, pushing the ES further down. The recent sharp decline in major indices, including the S&P 500, highlights the market's instability and investor anxiety.
Bearish Sentiment: The market's bearish sentiment is evident, with the Nasdaq entering a bear market and the S&P 500 experiencing its largest weekly decline since 2020.
Criteria for Reversal:
Trend Line Break: A break above the current downtrend line on a higher time frame, such as the 15-minute chart, would be a strong indicator of a potential reversal.
Mitigation of Bearish Fair Value Gap: Observing a mitigation of the bearish fair value gap would suggest that sellers are losing control, paving the way for buyers to step in.
Formation of Bullish Fair Value Gap: The emergence of a bullish fair value gap would indicate a shift in market sentiment, signaling the potential for an uptrend.
Projections for ES Price:
Short-Term Outlook: If the above criteria are met, we could see a reversal in the ES price, with potential targets at key resistance levels. Look for a break above the recent highs on the 15-minute chart to confirm the uptrend.
Medium-Term Outlook: Should the reversal gain momentum, the ES could aim for higher resistance levels, potentially retracing some of the recent losses. Key levels to watch include previous support turned resistance zones.
Long-Term Outlook: In the event of sustained bullish momentum, driven by positive economic indicators or easing trade tensions, the ES could recover further, targeting higher time frame resistance levels.
Strategic Considerations:
Cautious Approach: Given the current volatility, it's crucial to remain cautious and wait for clear confirmation of a trend reversal before entering long positions.
Sector Opportunities: Consider focusing on sectors like utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare, which may offer more stability during this downturn.
When is the party over?Inflation ticking back up. Unemployment increasing. Dollar increasing. Geopolitical turmoil. Contentious elections. And yet the market continues to grind up. But when will the music stop? When is the party over?
I'm not making a call to mark the top here but this is setting up for a giant fall. We could continue to grind up to 6000 point, there's no doubt that bulls remain in control. However, the strength of the move up is weak. History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes. Looking back at the historical data, bearish divergences on the Weekly always result in a large pullback.
I am expecting a pull back soon. I do believe a large correction is brewing and I don't want to be caught on the wrong side of the trade.
What am I doing about it? I still think the path of least resistance is to the upside, bulls remain control. So I am using trailing stop losses, taking profits on many of my positions. And looking to open shorts upon weakness. Waiting for confirmation of my bias, especially with a very important couple of weeks of earnings.
Stay tuned, manage your risk and don't let greed get the better of you!
Not financial advice.
THE GRAPH LOWER BEFORE HIGHER?Hello traders as we can see the graph is trying to break out but is struggling. I believe a ST of that yearly low 0.0796 is about to take place. Before pushing higher the graph needs liquidity from lower prices If broken cheaper prices are on the horizon such as
0.0765
0.0732
0.6
and even 0.0520 C
If this happens I will be loading my bags! NFA
Ethereum TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you are doing well. Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe got rejected after hitting a strong order block and started forming new lows. Given the current chart conditions, we have two order blocks in the high price area and we expect the price to return to these levels. If we see a short setup, we will enter a short position with a target of 1750. For now, I am not suggesting a long position and will wait until the pullback on the chart is complete.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
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G7USDT showing Uptrend with no divergenceThe G7USDT chart is showing an uptrend and the trendline is still intact. The traders can take a trade upward with possible entry points and having a tight stop loss at the previous Higher Lows; otherwise they can wait for a divergence and a breakdown of trendline for a short trade.
Understanding the ICT Venom ModelIn this video I break down the ICT Venom Model as recently described by the man himself on his YouTube channel. I am sure he has more details on the model he has not released, but I basically attempt to give my two cents on NQ and the model itself.
I hope you find the video useful in your endeavours regarding learning ICT concepts as well as trading in general.
- R2F Trading
BTC Bearish GarleySummary of Confluences
Trade Setup Long Trade (Buy at C)
Key Confluences
✅ Fibonacci 0.618 - 0.633 Retracement (XA Leg)
✅ Weekly FVG Support
✅ Market Structure Pivot & Liquidity Grab
Short Trade (Sell at D)
✅ Bearish Gartley Completion (1.27 - 1.3 Fib Extension of BC)
✅ Anchored VWAP from ATH (Resistance)
✅ Bearish Order Block & Supply Zone
1. Long Trade Setup (From C to D – Bullish Move within the Gartley)
🔹 Trade Type: Counter-trend long (buy from C to D).
📌 Entry Criteria:
Buy at Point C (~0.633 Fib retracement of XA leg).
Stop Loss: Below A (~1 ATR buffer).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: B (~0.642 Fib level of XA retracement).
TP2: D (~1.3 Fib extension of BC leg).
🔹 3 Confluences for the Long Trade:
✔ Fibonacci & Harmonic Confluence:
Point C aligns with the 0.618 - 0.633 Fibonacci retracement of XA.
This is a well-known harmonic reversal zone, increasing the probability of a bounce.
✔ Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support:
Price is filling a weekly FVG, a strong liquidity zone where buyers tend to step in.
Institutions may use this level for long entries.
✔ Market Structure Pivot & Previous Low Rejection:
The chart shows a first weekly lower low in a Market Structure Break (MSB).
Previous liquidity grab suggests a potential bullish reversal from this level.
2. Short Trade Setup (From D – Bearish Reversal at Gartley Completion)
🔹 Trade Type: Trend-following short (sell from D after pattern completion).
📌 Entry Criteria:
Sell at Point D (~1.27 - 1.3 Fib extension of BC leg).
Stop Loss: Above D (~1 ATR buffer).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: B (~0.642 Fib level of XA retracement).
TP2: C (full pattern retracement).
🔹 3 Confluences for the Short Trade:
✔ Bearish Gartley Completion & Fibonacci Reversal Zone:
The Bearish Gartley pattern completes at D, a major reversal point.
The 1.27 - 1.3 Fib extension of BC historically acts as strong resistance in harmonic patterns.
✔ Anchored VWAP from All-Time High (ATH) as Resistance:
VWAP from ATH is acting as dynamic resistance, confirming institutional selling.
If price rejects off VWAP, this increases the probability of a downtrend continuation.
✔ Bearish Order Block & Supply Zone:
Point D aligns with a key Bearish Order Block (OB) where previous heavy selling occurred.
Historical supply zone suggests potential aggressive selling pressure upon reaching D.
Crude Oil Broke Strucutre to the DOWN Side!here we have a pretty simple trade, price action on the daily has finally broke structure to the downside.. this week i'll be looking for sells, you can either enter on the open or look for imbalance GAPS for a slightly better entry on any PULL backs... i'll be adding additional entries as we break the next structure... the structures i have drawn up with the blue dotted lines are areas to target and also wait for the break down of that support area!!!!
conclusion - simple trade keep it simple and don't over risk and over trade!
GOLD TODAYIf the price is approaching R1 (3089.73):This could suggest bullish momentum. You might consider entering a long position if the price breaks above R1, targeting R2 (3109.63) with a stop-loss near the pivot point.
If the price reverses near R1 and heads back toward P:This might indicate resistance at R1. In this case, a short position could be considered, aiming for S1 (3025.29) as the next key support level.
Volume analysis: I'd recommend checking the volume at these levels. Strong volume near resistance or support zones could confirm the price's direction.
BTCUSD bullish above 76kOf course, it is still bullish as long as above 76k.
But with monthly TF showed sign of reversal, I expect BTC fake bounce before it drop.
No confirmation till it breaks 76k and candle close below in weekly. Time will tell, risk is high for both short and long if u are swing trading. I want to see btc bounce back 90k to 92k before it drop.