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S&P 500 ETF (SPY) About To Go Down - TIMBER!📉 Overview: The S&P 500 (SPY) is signaling a bearish reversal with technical and momentum indicators aligning for a potential decline. A completed 5th wave top, coupled with a breakdown from the bearish wedge, hints at deeper corrections in the coming sessions. 📊 Technical Analysis: Elliott Wave Count: SPY has likely completed its 5th wave top, marking the end of the bullish cycle. Bearish Wedge Breakout: Price has decisively broken below the rising wedge's trendline, a historically reliable bearish signal. Momentum Indicators: - RSI Divergence: Clear bearish divergence as price created higher highs while RSI formed lower highs. - MACD: Loss of upward momentum, with the MACD histogram turning negative. Fibonacci Targets: - Retracement Zone (B): $598–$606 (61.8%–88% retracement of recent decline). - Target 1 (C): $570.35 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). - Target 2 (C): $559.67–$553.07 (1.382–1.618 Fibonacci extension). 🌐 Macro Sentiment: Interest Rate Concerns: Continued hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could weigh on equities, particularly as valuations remain elevated. Economic Slowdown: Weakening macroeconomic data and potential earnings downgrades in early 2025 could amplify selling pressure. Seasonality and Risk-Off Trends: End-of-year profit-taking and increased geopolitical risks may favor defensive positions. ⚡ Trade Plan: - Short Zone: $598–$606 (retracement of recent sell-off). - Stop-Loss: $606.82 – Above the 88% Fibonacci retracement and resistance. Targets: - Target 1: $570.35 (solid risk-reward). - Target 2: $553.07 (extended move aligning with wedge breakdown projection). 🔍 Considerations: Monitor economic data, including inflation, GDP growth, and job numbers, for additional confirmation. Watch for further MACD weakness and RSI failing to reclaim bullish momentum levels. Do you think SPY will see a sharper correction, or are bulls likely to regain control? Share your insights! 🚨📊
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
1
EUR/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabEUR/USD has cleared liquidity above a key resistance zone, presenting a strategic sell limit setup. This move indicates the market has likely trapped buyers and may reverse downward. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers. Market Structure: Bearish rejection candles and fading upward momentum suggest a potential reversal. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and anticipated downside move. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , targeting a reversal from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the recent liquidity sweep to account for volatility. Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages the liquidity grab for a high-probability trade, but strict risk management and proper position sizing are essential. Monitor price action for confirmation of bearish momentum.
Short
by Vusizwe_Capital
SYM - PSX - Technical AnalysisSYM is in bull run. At present KVO is suggesting a strong bull run; however, a bearish divergence has formed on RSI, which may cause the prices to retrace a bit which is good as then a Higher Low of the Bull cycle will be defined and then price will again go up. Therefore, buy on dip is quite possible but in case price continues to go up then Buy-3 should be executed, otherwise Buy-1 and Buy-2 would suffice. Trade Value: Buy-1: 17.17 (at fib 0.38 retracement) Buy-2: 16.33 (at fib 0.50 retracement) Buy-3: 20.11 (if Buy 1 and Buy 2 are not triggered) TP-1: 21.67 TP-2: 23.63 SL: 12.30
PSX:SYMLong
by Golden_Spur
BTC BUY NOW BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Analysis: On the 2-hour chart, Bitcoin is approaching a key demand zone near the $94,000-$95,000 area. A potential bounce is anticipated from this support level, with bullish divergence forming. The outlined structure suggests a recovery towards the $98,000-$102,000 resistance levels if buyers regain control. Projection: Monitor for bullish momentum confirmation. If the price holds above the key support zone, the next leg up could target higher levels, with intermediate consolidation expected around $100,000. Keep an eye on lower timeframes for precise entry and exit points.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FOREXQUEEN_1
Market SnapshotMUST READ!!!! All credits to Avi Gilburt and his team www.elliottwavetrader.net “Observers’ job, as they see it, is simply to identify which external events caused whatever price changes occur. When news seems to coincide sensibly with market movement, they presume a causal relationship. When news doesn’t fit, they attempt to devise a cause-and-effect structure to make it fit. When they cannot even devise a plausible way to twist the news into justifying market action, they chalk up the market moves to “psychology,” which means that, despite a plethora of news and numerous inventive ways to interpret it, their imaginations aren’t prodigious enough to concoct a credible causal story. Most of the time it is easy for observers to believe in news causality. Financial markets fluctuate constantly, and news comes out constantly, and sometimes the two elements coincide well enough to reinforce commentators’ mental bias towards mechanical cause and effect. When news and the market fail to coincide, they shrug and disregard the inconsistency. Those operating under the mechanics paradigm in finance never seem to see or care that these glaring anomalies exist.”- Robert Prechter
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
1
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Dec-24 to 27-Dec-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Dec-24 to 27-Dec-24 Nifty closed at 23587 (last week) , for last 30-40 days nifty was in rangebound movement last week on the last day market went below 24000 and went near to 23500. RSI at 34 ,Macd signal is negtaive 45 and stochastics levels is 3.5%, all three indicates oversold. Buy call on dips was given two week before. Market fell near to 600 points in the last day and broke the support. market may fall to 23000. Hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time. Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to sustain above 25000, move above 26000 to next targets of 27000. I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term. Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election . Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE (Currently in22.8) was in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. PE ratio 21.7. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period , further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyse and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile. as/ Nifty 2357 short term Nifty short term resistance at 24800 0.5 Fib Resistance, once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target. Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000 Medium Term next target is , if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance) Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21240
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
"In markets, gravity always wins."📉 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC/USD) 📉 Bitcoin's meteoric 100% rise since September screams overextension. The euphoria may be fading, and a correction looks imminent. 🔻 Key Levels to Watch: $73,800: The first major support—breaking this could accelerate the drop. $65,600: A likely target if bears take full control. The chart suggests BTC is overdue for a pullback. Corrections after such rallies aren’t just likely—they’re inevitable. Bulls, buckle up. Bears, this might be your moment. "In markets, gravity always wins."
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Charts_M7M
XAUUSD For incoming weekXAUUSD is currently taking a breather after the sharp downward push caused by the FOMC. Personally, I believe it will end up closing the candle that initiated the move after the FOMC, around 2636.80, where I’ve marked the respective order block, to absorb all the liquidity generated during its decline, before resuming its bearish trend. Remember that nothing is certain in the financial markets, and this is just my personal analysis. Keep in mind that the price could still rise further to take more liquidity (Everything is up in the air depending on what happens next). Let me know your thoughts in the comments!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ScoccaMarco_