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TRU/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.06830 - 0.06880 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
DOGEBTC showing great strength, first SOL now DOGE? Expect Dogecoin to go parabolic, all things are lined up to tell u that we are going to the moon. As usual, dogecoin will dominate the market. Analysis: DOGEBTC chart shows a massive rally that has broken this resistance i colored in blue that was holding it for a very long time. Now its retesting it. As I have experienced in the past, usually at this point it is preferred to swap btc into doge for higher gains. DYOR ! Visit @HalalPortfolio on Youtube for complete explanation.
Long
by Waisventures
BTCUSD - Short the trend why don't youWe're in the pivot, if you know what pivots are ykyk. Im not gonna explain it here. Rejection is weaker than initial rejection. I think you get the idea what happens next. Trend is still (DOWN) if bears can't read it then they are pretty bad at being bears. Beyond my understanding of the previous design of yesterdays price action. Harmonic confluence digital assets microstrategy, buzzword, fluff up text so this can be published. Inverse law beyond delta 0.618 ratio fibbonaci confirms next weakpoint gap fillation gann squares? Square gann hypo asset appreciation buzzword buzzword logarithmic venn diagram of the universe. Cast fireball.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HorseyTim
Spy - Path to 666Hello Traders, At 2008 bottom the market hit 666 on the SPX. So now I am thinking 6666 on the SPX and 666 on SPY is like a magnet. Well I used the Fractal from end of last year and using fibs to make sure the levels were a match and guess what..It ends close to 666 in April this year. I have other things pointing me to April as a "top". So anyways lets see how this plays out.. According to the fractal we will go up till Wednesday (MAG Earnings and Fed Decision) then have a small drop before continuing higher. Is 666 the final top? Well one one hand it would make sense as we are getting long in the tooth and for some reason they love that number. On the other hand I have cycles that are pointing to one more cycle later this year into summer. But I would say if we do head up to that number I would be cautious around there and put more into cash incase we get a decent pullback so you can buy things when they get cheaper. I was one of the few calling for more up when everyone was seeing a Head and Shoulder and saying we topped in December. I knew we had a least one more bull cycle if not two. Here we are at ATH again .. lets see how this plays out.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TheUniverse618
2
XAUUSD New Highs incoming ?! Below is a top‐down synthesis of your Weekly, Daily, 4‐Hour, and 2‐Hour analyses on Gold (XAUUSD), culminating in a comprehensive trading framework. The goal is to integrate the multi‐timeframe insights (trend, structure, order blocks, indicators) into an actionable plan—including key price levels, confluences, and triggers on lower timeframes for entries and exits. 1. Weekly Overview • Trend: The weekly chart remains bullish; higher highs and higher lows are intact. • SMAs are stacked positively (10 > 50 > 100 > 200). • The price has respected an ascending channel since mid‐year, with a recent bounce from the channel’s lower boundary. • Key Levels: • Major horizontal support ~2,112, aligning with a weekly order block (far below current price). • Potential break of structure (BOS) above the previous all‐time high ~2,792 could open the door toward 2,986 (weekly extension target). • Bollinger Bands: Price held the middle (20SMA) band; now approaching or slightly outside the upper band, indicating strong momentum but possible short‐term overheating. • Fibonacci Extensions: • Approaching 0.5 weekly extension (~2,780–2,790). • 0.786 extension aligns with the upper channel line near 2,950. • Momentum & Volatility: • RSI ~66–67, bullish but not overbought. • MACD histogram still slightly negative; signal lines well above zero. Bearish momentum is waning. • ADX ~40—a strong trend reading; slight sign of bullish exhaustion during recent consolidation, but potential for re‐acceleration if price breaks higher. • ATR ~80 indicates high weekly volatility. • OBV is making overall higher highs, confirming bullish accumulation, though it did flatten during consolidation. Weekly Bias: Bullish. The ascending channel and SMA structure support higher prices, with the next major hurdle at the prior all‐time high (~2,792). 2. Daily Analysis • Trend: Overall bullish but was in a sideways/consolidative phase after the 31st October high. SMAs remained up/sloping, and the 100SMA provided support multiple times. • Key Levels & Structure: • Potential overhead near 2,786–2,790, the 1.618 extension and prior all‐time high zone. • Strong daily demand/OB around 2,718–2,740. • A weekly channel line near 2,704, should 2,740 fail. • Bollinger Bands: Briefly poked above the upper band, then closed back inside—often a sign of a short‐term fade or minor pullback. • Volume Profile: POC ~2,650, smaller HVN at ~2,743. A break below ~2,724 could accelerate selling, but the daily OB and weekly channel line could catch price. • Momentum: • RSI near 69, bullish territory but close to overbought. • MACD is above zero and green, confirming an uptrend with decent momentum. • ADX ~23, rising modestly, indicating an emerging trend strength. • ATR is declining, suggesting the market is moving up but with less day‐to‐day volatility. • OBV is climbing, consistent with renewed buying pressure. Daily Bias: Bullish. Watching for either a continuation above ~2,786 or a pullback toward 2,740–2,720 if short‐term signals weaken. 3. 4‐Hour (4H) Details • Trend: Strong uptrend (10 > 50 > 100 > 200 SMA). Price recently tapped channel resistance near 2,786 and is now drifting lower to short‐term support. • Key Levels: • 4H OBs near 2,720–2,740, with local support around 2,763–2,770. • Horizontal levels: ~2,722, ~2,704 as next layers of support if the pullback deepens. • Bollinger Bands: A candle closed outside the upper band and then re‐entered, hinting at a near‐term fade or consolidation. • Momentum: • RSI divergence formed (lower RSI high while price made a higher high). • MACD above zero but histogram is “waning green,” indicating diminishing bullish momentum. • ADX still elevated (~40), but a gap between +DI and ADX suggests potential short‐term exhaustion. 4H Bias: Bullish but cooling. A modest pullback seems likely unless bulls quickly reclaim the local high. 4. 2‐Hour (2H) Insights • Trend: Uptrend is intact, with multiple bullish breaks of structure. SMAs remain positively sloped. • Key Levels: • Immediate 2H OB ~2,770 (current area) • Next potential support ~2,757–2,760 (BOS pivot) • Deeper support ~2,730–2,740 if the short‐term retracement extends. • Momentum: • RSI (~58) rolled over from 72 → short‐term weakness. • MACD has turned negative (bearish cross on histogram), reflecting a short‐term slowdown. • ADX dropped from ~28 to 26, showing slight exhaustion. • ATR ~7.6, modest intraday volatility. • OBV still generally rising, but short‐term flattening. 2H Bias: Still bullish in structure, but momentum is fading. A dip toward 2,757–2,760 or even 2,730–2,740 is possible before another attempt at 2,786+. 5. Synthesis & Confluences 1. Weekly & Daily remain decisively bullish. 2. Intraday Charts (4H & 2H) signal a near‐term pullback or consolidation around 2,770–2,757 after testing ~2,786. 3. Order Blocks & Channels: Multiple OBs and channel supports converge around 2,720–2,760. Breaking below 2,720 would be more concerning for the bullish structure. 4. Momentum: Higher timeframes are strong; lower timeframes show a mild loss of upside momentum. Hence, the primary outlook is uptrend continuation with a possible short‐term retracement to reset momentum. 6. Trade Plan & Positioning Primary Bias: Long (Buy the Dip) 1. Rationale • The long‐term (Weekly/Daily) and medium‐term (4H) structures are bullish. • A controlled pullback would likely be bought as higher‐timeframe participants re‐enter on dips. 2. Key Levels to Watch for a Long Entry • 2,757–2,760: If price forms a bullish reversal pattern (pin bar, engulfing) or a lower‐timeframe BOS back upward (e.g., on the 15‐min or 10‐min charts), that suggests dip‐buyers have stepped in. • 2,730–2,740: Deeper support if the pullback intensifies. Again, look for bullish price action signals or positive RSI divergence on lower timeframes. 3. Indicator Triggers • Look for RSI (on 1H or 15‐min) to cross back above ~50 from below, confirming renewed bullish momentum. • MACD on the 1H or 2H crossing from negative to positive histogram can reinforce a buy signal. • Market Structure: A small BOS (e.g., on the 10‐minute or 15‐minute) above the local pivot high in the 2,757–2,760 zone is often a clean entry cue. 4. Stop‐Loss & Targets • Stops: Set 1–2× ATR below the OB or channel support. For instance, if the 2H ATR ~7–8, place stops ~15 points below the entry level to reduce false triggers. • First Target (T1): Revisit the 2,786–2,790 swing high for a quick partial profit. • Second Target (T2): ~2,820–2,840 or the weekly channel near 2,950 if momentum reignites. Ensure at least 1:1.5 or 1:2 R:R. Alternate Scenario: Short (Counter‐Trend Pullback) 1. Rationale • If the market breaks below 2,757 decisively (on a 2H close) and momentum indicators remain bearish, a short‐term retracement trade could unfold. • This is against the primary Weekly/Daily trend, so caution and tighter stops are advised. 2. Entry Trigger • Confirm a lower‐timeframe BOS below 2,757 on, say, the 15‐min or 10‐min chart, plus a continuation pattern. • RSI/MACD staying negative could support the short. 3. Stops & Targets • Stop above ~2,770 or above the newly formed swing high, about 1–2× ATR. • Target (T1): ~2,740, aligning with 4H OB / channel. • Target (T2): ~2,720 if momentum is strong. • Must ensure a 1:1.5+ R:R to justify a counter‐trend trade. 7. Execution on Lower Timeframes (10‐min, 15‐min) • For long entries, watch the 10‐min or 15‐min chart as price dips into 2,757–2,760 (or 2,730–2,740). Look for: 1. Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar. 2. BOS on a micro‐level (15‐min breaks above a minor swing high). 3. RSI crossing back above 50–55. • For the short scenario, the same approach applies but reversed: a break below 2,757 with no quick reclaim, plus negative momentum signals on the 15‐min. 8. Conclusion & Final Notes • The dominant trend from Weekly down to Daily is up. Thus, the highest‐probability setup is buying a dip into well‐defined support (OB + channel confluence). • Shorting is purely a short‐term strategy if critical support breaks and momentum flips negative on lower timeframes. • Always monitor the 2H/4H indicators for early momentum shifts, then refine entries on the 10‐15 minute chart. • Maintain sound risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade, place stops logically beyond structural levels or ATR multiples, and target at least 1:1.5 or 1:2 R:R. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliteMarketAnalysis
XAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis ReportXAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis Report Period: January 27 – February 2, 2025 📊 Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Thick Kumo ($2,744-$2,752) providing strong long-term support. • Future Kumo: Steep bullish slope with (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B), reinforcing the bullish trend. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Type of Cross: Bullish cross above the Kumo. • Support Levels: • Tenkan ($2,774): Dynamic short-term support. • Kijun ($2,761): Key support during pullbacks. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, confirming strong bullish control. • Stable slope, suggesting minor consolidation. 📈 Regression Channel Analysis: • Price is moving within an upward channel, with resistance near $2,785-$2,790, signaling potential overbought conditions. 🔗 Support and Resistance Levels (VRP): • POC: $2,771 (Pivot point for accumulation). • VAH: $2,785 (Supply zone). • VAL: $2,756 (Demand zone). 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 26-Period Cycle: Confirms bullish continuation toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810 (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%). • Downside: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740 (VWAP). ⏳ 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Moderate thickness supporting price at $2,744-$2,752. • Steep bullish slope confirming momentum. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Bullish cross above the Kumo, reinforcing the trend. • Key Supports: • Tenkan ($2,774): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,761): Major support. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, signaling strong bullish pressure. • Upward slope, enhancing bullish momentum. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 9-Period Cycle: Minor pullback toward $2,771. • 26-Period Cycle: Signal for a move toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810. • Downside: $2,756-$2,744. ⏳ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Weak clouds with support near $2,774-$2,771. • Moderately bullish slope. • TK/KS Crosses: • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Key support level. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,773-$2,765. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. ⏳ 30-Minute Chart (Scalping) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Thin clouds supporting upward momentum. • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Major support for scalping. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. 🔑 Summary: • Bullish Bias: Above $2,785 targeting $2,800-$2,810. • Bearish Bias: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740. • Pivot Point: $2,771 (POC). 📌 Session Insights: • Tokyo: Scalping at $2,773. • London: Rejection at $2,785 or breakout opportunities. • New York: Breakout above $2,785 or correction toward $2,771. 🔗 A blend of analytical tools for a precise and balanced trading strategy.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Diversified Energy Company PLC | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Diversified Energy Company PLC - Double Formation * A+ Set Up)) Completed Survey * (Reversal Argument)) | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 9.2000 GBP | Uptrend Bias & Entry Area | Subdivision 2 * (Open Trade)) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:DECLong
by TradePolitics
Analyzing Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart: Key Observations and TrendsFrom the weekly chart shared, Tesla (TSLA) has recently shown intriguing price action, with some potential bearish signals emerging. Here’s a breakdown of what the chart suggests and what it could mean for the stock’s direction moving forward. Key Observations: 1. Strong Uptrend with a Pullback Tesla has experienced a significant rally, moving well above its key moving averages. However, the recent price action suggests a pullback from the high near $488, which could signal consolidation or the beginning of a deeper correction. 2. Short-Term Bearish Indicators ▷ The latest weekly candle reflects selling pressure, hinting at potential downside in the short term. ▷ There’s visible resistance near $488, which could act as a potential short-term top unless the price breaks above this level. 3. Support Levels to Watch Several key support zones are apparent on the chart: ▷ $375-$380: Aligns with the short-term moving average and could act as the first line of defense. ▷ $330-$350: A strong zone of support near the medium-term moving average. ▷ $300-$310: A major psychological level and close to the longer-term moving average, which is critical for the broader bullish trend. Potential Descending Triangle Formation On closer inspection, the chart hints at a potential descending triangle, which is a bearish pattern. This is characterized by: ▷ Flat Support at $400: The price seems to be testing this level repeatedly. ▷ Lower Highs: After reaching the $488 high, the stock is forming a series of lower highs, signaling weakening momentum. If the pattern plays out, a breakdown below $400 could trigger further downside. Using the triangle’s height (approximately $88), the target could be around $312-$325, aligning with a strong support zone. Risks if $300 Support Breaks While $300 is a key support level, a breach below this level could lead to a spiral of selling pressure . This would put Tesla’s stock in a vulnerable position, potentially targeting much lower levels. The $300 mark represents a major psychological and technical zone, so a breakdown here could significantly damage market sentiment. If this occurs, Tesla could spiral into a more pronounced downtrend, with no clear bottom in sight until it stabilizes at significantly lower levels, potentially revisiting areas around $250 or lower. What to Watch For: 1. Confirmation of the Bearish Triangle ▷ A break below the $400 level with high volume would confirm the descending triangle and suggest further downside. 2.Invalidation ▷ A breakout above the descending trendline (lower highs) would invalidate the bearish scenario, signaling renewed bullish momentum. Final Thoughts: While Tesla remains in an overall uptrend, the short-term bearish signals and the potential descending triangle formation suggest caution. If the $400 support level holds, it could lead to consolidation or a bounce. However, a breakdown below this level could accelerate the decline toward key support zones around $312-$325. If $300 fails to hold, the stock could spiral out of control, triggering panic selling and pushing prices toward much lower levels. Traders and investors should monitor these critical levels closely and plan their strategies accordingly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup