Spy Monthly Close $595-$602📈 May is on track to close bullish with projected levels of $595–$602.
This move is backed by the AlphaPulse™ Trading System:
– Momentum signals confirm multi-timeframe strength
– Anchored VWAP reclaimed from April highs
– MACD bull cross + RSI holding strong (60–70 zone)
– Price above SMA50/200 with elevated volume
– Fibonacci 1.618 aligns with $602 target
When anchored VWAP, MACD, RSI, volume, fibs, and AlphaPulse all align bullishly — and price structure supports clean higher lows — the probability of a May close between $595 and $602 becomes statistically favorable.
📈 Thesis Probability and Conditional Breakdown
🔷 Bullish Probability Estimate (May Close $595–$602):
📊 68% Probability of bullish continuation into $595–$602
Based on:
Multi-timeframe confluence (MACD, RSI, AVWAP)
No bearish divergences
Volume + smart money alignment (AlphaPulse Bot)
✅ Bull Case (If $580 Holds):
If price continues holding above $580, expect:
Continuation wave toward $595 (local fib target)
Acceleration into $602 (1.618 extension) if breakout holds above $596
Supported by:
AVWAP control staying bullish
MACD histogram expanding
RSI maintaining >60 zone
AlphaPulse breakout signal staying green
🎯 Target: $595–$602
📆 Timeframe: By May 30 close
🎯 Optional overshoot: $608 wick zone if volume spikes
⚠️ Bear Case Trigger (If $580 Breaks)
If $580 fails on high volume or with RSI divergence, the setup shifts:
Condition Bearish Implication
Break below $580 Invalidates current higher low base
MACD flips negative Signals momentum exhaustion
RSI < 50 Enters bearish zone
AlphaPulse Signal flips red Confirms structural breakdown
🔻 Downside Risk:
If $580 fails, probability of bearish retrace to $567 = 75%
$567 is the last demand support zone
Also aligns with prior consolidation + rising SMA50
Below this, momentum cracks completely, and macro selling may accelerate
🧠 Final Note:
“Above $580 = control remains with bulls.
Below $580 = structure breaks, and $567 becomes the likely magnet.”
AS always SafeTrades And JoeWtrades
Chart Patterns
RIOT: Should go down a bit more...RIOT has pulled back with quite a picture perfect 3 waves. But this may be only the first leg of the correction. BTC is also looking primed to take a dip towards 100k-95k area. If that happens, I would look RIO to come back towards the golden zone are and close the gap along the way. There is also a head and shoulders pattern that might play out. If price gets towards $7.2 area, that would be the true test of the bull market. Price needs to hold the $7.3 - $7.2 area and get a sharp reversal to provide any confidence for the wave 3 move up. All eyes will be on BTC and how the correction plays out there. If BTC is making a long-term top here, then RIOT will be in a lot of trouble. I will, however, start accumulating this dip in accordance to the wave count. I am going to wait a bit longer to see if price comes down a bit more. On the other hand, if this is the end of correction right here and both RIOT and BTC starts to take off, then just need to hold the nose and dive in. Money management will be key to success.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚫 U.S. Trade Court Blocks Tariffs
A federal trade court struck down key sections of President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, sending U.S. stock futures sharply higher as investors anticipate reduced input costs for industrials and manufacturers
🌐 Markets Drift on Lack of Fresh Catalysts
Global equity markets showed muted moves today—stocks dipped and bond yields rose—as traders awaited new drivers of direction, with Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) mixed earnings doing little to spark a decisive trend
📈 Bond Yields Climb, Pressuring Equities
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 4.6%, its highest in a month, on concerns over federal borrowing and fading rate-cut expectations, dragging the S&P 500 down more than 1% by midday
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 29:
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP
Provides the first estimate of U.S. economic growth in Q1, a critical gauge of recession risk and Fed policy direction.
8:30 AM ET: Personal Income & Spending (April)
Tracks household earnings and outlays, offering insight into consumer resilience amid rising living costs.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Algorand 5X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 1500%)This is an unusual pair for us to approach with leverage, the last time we opened a LONG on ALGOUSDT was in August 2023. Market conditions are different today.
Back then, prices were trading at the bottom before the recovery, so we were predicting the trend reversal and bullish breakout. Today, the bottom pattern is already in, a rounded bottom coupled with a long-term higher low (April 2025 vs August 2024). So we are only predicting a continuation.
Needless to say, I believe the bulls have the upper-hand. The action right now is happening above the 3-Feb. low, and after more than a month of rising prices there is still no rising volume, which means that there is plenty of room available for growth.
We are doing an easy wave, easy targets. The final wave can go much higher than what is shown on this chart. Since we are not greedy, we are happy with 465% and 1,500%.
The 1,500% is a mild target and high probability.
The rest is up to you.
Thank you for reading.
Full trade-numbers below:
_____
LONG ALGOUSDT
Lev: 5X
Entry levels:
1) $0.2355
2) $0.2200
3) $0.2000
Targets:
1) $0.2564
2) $0.3247
3) $0.3800
4) $0.4352
5) $0.5138
6) $0.6139
7) $0.7243
8) $0.7926
9) $0.9031
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $0.1900
Potential profits: 1502%
Capital allocation: 3%
_____
Namaste.
May 29, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Late yesterday, price broke below 3279, showing signs of bearish momentum.
👉 Today’s main plan: SELL on pullbacks to resistance if they hold.
Watch the 3295–3305 zone closely.
If price breaks above 3305, bulls may regain control — switch to buying pullbacks.
If 3295 holds, stay with the original plan — short on pullbacks to resistance.
It’s okay to leave a small runner and wait for NY session data releases.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3323 / 3315 / 3305 / 3295
Support: 3285 / 3276 / 3265 / 3250
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3276 → watch 3273, then 3265, 3260, 3250
BUY if price holds above 3305 → target 3310, 3315, 3325, 3332
⚠️ I won’t be able to post real-time updates today due to other commitments. This is the pre-market plan — I’ll post further strategy updates later if possible.
Stay tuned & trade safe!
👍 Like if this helps — your support keeps me going!
Dogs 4X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 1608%)Dogs bottom is now confirmed and this is a chart setup with low risk vs a high potential for reward.
The bottom signal comes from a pattern, the breakdown of the downtrend, high volume after the first main low and current price action as well as marketwide action and Bitcoin being strong. These are just a few of the signals that support additional growth.
I get a sense that this pair will be bought heavily during the bullish phase. The same goes for Notcoin and Toncoin, these projects have very strong support and should be considered seriously by smart, profitable and successful Cryptocurrency traders.
I am sharing a set of numbers here for reference only, what you do is up to you.
This is not financial advice.
–––––
LONG DOGSUSDT
Leverage: 4X
Entry levels:
1) 0.0001600
2) 0.0001450
3) 0.0001300
Targets:
1) 0.0001786
2) 0.0001999
3) 0.0002300
4) 0.0002600
5) 0.0003000
6) 0.0003600
7) 0.0004241
8) 0.0005241
9) 0.0006240
10) 0.0007663
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below 0.0001240
Potential profits: 1608%
Capital allocation: 4%
–––––
If you enjoy the content, you can consider a follow to show your support and get more. It is 100% FREE forever. It is truly my pleasure to write for you.
Thanks a lot for reading.
You can ask any questions in the comments section below.
Namaste.
EURUSD PullbackEURUSD continued its pullback this morning, reaching 1,1207.
The uptrend remains intact, and this correction is a healthy move for its continuation.
The next key support level is at 1,1198.
Watch for a potential bounce and buying opportunity.
The target is a breakout above the previous high!
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
USDCHF: A SHORT BUY OPPORTUNITY IS POSSIBLEThis satisfy all the elements of my trade system, I'm buying because I'll like see price push higher. A break of structure to the upside and an engineered liquidity before price broke structure. Price has returned to grab liquidity, we should see it push to our target.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEYour chart clearly outlines a successful breakout from an ascending channel, confirming a sell entry after a fakeout or rejection near the upper boundary (~3308–3310). Here’s the breakdown:
---
🔻 Trade Recap (Sell Position):
Pattern: Rising channel (bearish breakout)
Entry: Around 3305 (after candle closes below lower trendline)
Register Level: ~3310 (resistance or SL zone)
Target Successful: ~3260–3255
Chart Timeframe: 15-minute
---
✅ Trade Setup Confirmation:
Current Price: 3300.710
Price has broken channel support = bearish momentum
Volume and candles suggest strong downside pressure
Your target zone of 3255–3260 is realistic and technically sound
---
📌 Trading Recommendation (Now):
If in sell position: Hold
SL: 3310+
TP: 3265 (safe), 3255 (aggressive)
If flat (no trade): Avoid buying now. Only re-enter short on a retest & rejection from 3305–3308 zone.
---
Would you like a signal for a new entry if price retraces or breaks further?
BITCOIN LOCAL LONG|
✅BITCOIN is trading along the rising support line
And as the coin is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 110k$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BEST XAUUSD M3 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📊✨ Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – 30-Min Chart ✨📉
Price is currently trading within a rising channel after a bounce from the marked reversal zone 💜, suggesting a short-term bullish trend 📈. However, the chart outlines two key scenarios: if price breaks out upward, we may see a move towards the 3,366 resistance zone 🔼. Conversely, if the channel fails and price breaks downward, a retest of the reversal zone could trigger a deeper bearish move 📉, potentially targeting the 3,300 area or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation at key levels and react accordingly — not predict impulsively. 🧠⚖️📍
USDJPY - MR.GRINGO ThinkingsHello everybody.
Today, we have some discussion about this pair but only with using Technical ways.
The pair right now is very long, maybe 80 days' time period in trouble situation. I mean, the bears have the market of it...
As we see, this 80 day was so strong bearish range, but it's great try for bulls now!
We may have a hope, the price will go up with this next side of the acceding triangular figures.
We may open long position on the price 143.603 or Just make entry for long now.
If you will follow this trading idea, there we will have "the main" resistance levels.
They are...
1. 145.735
2. 146.892
3. 148.048 yes. so I recommend this price levels, because the market will check it maybe later... For sure if you think buy.
Have a profit maker day! :) ^)
LONG SETUP | 15M ChartLONG SETUP | 15M Chart`
Asia session gave a fakeout dump followed by strong buying pressure.
Price reclaimed key support and broke structure with OBV confirmation.
Now consolidating above equilibrium.
Entered long with invalidation below 0.0142988.
Targets:
1️⃣ VAH zone — 0.0146740
2️⃣ Final target — 0.0146757 (FVG top)
Holding unless structure breaks down. Let’s see if the bulls have fuel. 🚀📈
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 3285$ which also
Seems to have been a neckline
Of the small H&S pattern so
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
eurusd 15mThis chart shows a technical analysis setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it suggests:
Key Areas and Annotations:
Register Zoon (Red Zone, ~1.12000 - 1.12250):
Likely a demand zone or support area where buyers are expected to step in.
The market has bounced from this area.
1st Point (Yellow Zone, ~1.12782):
First resistance level or potential target for a rebound.
Price could face rejection here or pause before moving higher.
Next Point (Green Zone, ~1.13250 - 1.13450):
Second resistance zone or final target.
If the price breaks above the yellow zone, this is the next potential target.
Price Action Summary:
The price sharply fell and rebounded from the red zone.
It is now climbing toward the yellow zone (1st point).
Arrows and annotations suggest a bullish expectation: a rise toward the yellow zone first, and possibly to the green zone next if bullish momentum continues.
Strategy Implication:
Buyers might be watching for a breakout above the yellow zone to target the green zone.
Sellers might wait for confirmation of rejection at the yellow or green zone to consider short positions.
Let me know if you'd like help forming a trade plan or want a different timeframe analyzed.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
K3 is a weak break down,
It failed to close below K2.
It seems that K4 will test the uptrend line to verify K3 was a fake down or not.
If K4 close upon K3,
Another bull run will start here to test 112K area.
If K4 or K5 are doji candles around the support,
It is likely that a sharp price correction will start here to test 102K area.
Ethereum Cup and Handle target $3187On the 4 hour chart, ETH has traced out a beautiful cup and handle formation. It is attempting to breakout of this formation now over $2700.
The depth of the cup is shown. I cloned that depth line and placed it on the breakout point. The cup depth + the breakout point = the target price ETH is likely to go towards and meet as a minimum in coming days and weeks.
That target is $3187.