Altcoins The Moon AwaitsLike always, everything is clearly outlined on the charts :
- As a trader, it's crucial to follow logic and technical analysis. If you get caught up in the news and listen to everyone on Twitter, you won't last long.
- The first major altcoin rally was in 2018, pushing the market to $300 billion. This level later acted as a key support throughout the 2022–2023 bear market.
- The last all-time high for the crypto market (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) reached $1.15 trillion in 2021. ( blue doted vertical line )
- This all-time high was retested in December 2024, with this ATH acting as strong resistance. ( second blue doted vertical line )
- The next move could be a breakout above this resistance. According to Fibonacci projections, the altcoin market has the potential to reach $4 trillion.
While the spotlight remains on Bitcoin and ETFs, altcoins could catch up with a sudden and powerful surge, so make sure you’re not left behind.
Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Chart Patterns
$DOGE At Key Support Reversal Ahead?The DOGEUSDT 1D chart shows price testing a strong support zone around $0.18–$0.19.
If this level holds, a bullish reversal could push DOGE toward the $0.32 resistance area.
The setup suggests a potential uptrend with higher highs, but a breakdown below support may invalidate this move.
DYRO, NFA
TRUMPUSD Bearish BreakdownWatching $7.30 for Rebuy Zone After Support Fails
TRUMPUSD just broke key EMAs and is testing long-term support. Watching for buy zones near $9–7.30. Targeting a bounce toward 13.50–17.20 on recovery.
Volume is increasing on red days, RSI shows bearish momentum at 38, and a bearish divergence has triggered. The 23.6% Fib level at $17.22 has now become a strong resistance barrier.
Support is breaking. Don’t try to be a hero mid-fall. Let price come to you. The real value lies near $7.30–9.00, and the best profits will come on the reversal. Trim into strength, not into weakness.
*REMEMBER, everything is probability, nothing is investment advice. Educational only!
Make Up Your Mind Already, PSEi!Since 2020, the PSEi has been trading within a range between 5,700 and 7,600. I have been tracking the 5-year consolidation via various 3-wave corrective waves. If the count is correct, we should be close to a capitulation of sorts before the next big move.
After what I count as the completion of both Wave b circle and Wave (i) of the larger Wave c circle, I think we are a couple of months away from the completion of Wave (ii) (refer to shaded square area). If this is indeed a Wave (ii), then what follows after its completion is a convincing decline that will likely pierce through the 5-year support level of 5,700. Such price action will signal the start of a mediium-term bear market for the Philippine market.
Furthermore, chart pattern-wise, you can see in the Weekly Chart a possible Double Top forming by considering the 2022 and 2024 highs (7,500+) as the corresponding tops.
Although it is less probable, the alternative move would be for the PSEi to break above the current consolidation (shaded square area). More price action is needed to determine whether this alternative move will signal the start of a more sustainable bullish move. Too early to say; hence, I believe this move to be the less probable scenario.
Therefore, I continue to watch the PSEi; especially as it moves closer to the 5,700 area. The bearish scenario continues to be my personal bias since the current market consolidation (shaded square area) remains to be nearer to the low-end of the 5-year range.
CRV (HTF trigger zone) — Eyes on Sweep and MSBLSE:CRV has swept into a major bullish OB cluster, entering a high time frame sweep zone where potential reversals often occur. This area aligns with previous equal lows (EQL) and liquidity pockets, creating the conditions for a HTF long setup — but only with confirmation.
Setup:
🟩 Sweep Zone: $0.64–0.68
This is the trigger area. Watch for a clean sweep and a bullish MSB on M15 or H1. If the sweep includes the EQL below, even better — deeper liquidity grab improves the setup quality.
❗ Entry only on confirmation:
• Strong candle close above
• MSB on intraday chart
• Clear reversal pattern
📌 No knife-catching — let the pattern form and confirm.
🎯 Targeting eventual reclaim of mid-range and possible revisit of $0.75–0.80 if bounce holds.
Altseason Isn’t Over – It’s Just Getting Started !!It’s not the end of #Altcoins this is just a small dip before the big move. 🚀
Right now, all EMAs (50, 100, 200) are sitting at the same level. This is acting as very strong support around the $1.12T zone.
Price has bounced from this area before, and if it holds again, we could see a big breakout toward $1.28T+.
Altseason isn’t over. It’s loading.
Be ready. 👀
#TOTAL2 #Altseason2025
Bitcoin Challenges Support —Never Ever Below $80,000 (80K)I updated this chart to show the full support range. This is Bitcoin's main support. Between $100,000 and $103,000. If this level breaks, prepare to see Bitcoin producing another week red then consolidation, on and on, before the next high.
If this support holds, then we can expect a soon and fast recovery.
The most likely scenario is that it will take around 2-3 weeks before the retrace-correction is over followed by new growth.
Remember, always a higher low. Just look back to August 2024. After the major low was in, there was indeed retraces and corrections as part of the bullish phase. It is the same.
Retraces and corrections are just an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload.
If you missed below $80,000 in the last drop, you can get below $90,000 in this drop. But not much lower.
Bitcoin will never ever trade below 80K.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
SPX/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.9650 - 0.9950
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
Bullish Turbine to 10x Digital Turbine has completed a multi-year downtrend and recently broken out of its descending channel with conviction, supported by historically high volume (🔶 orange arrow). The breakout above the $3.45–$4.65 range confirms the start of a new bullish cycle.
🔑 Key Technical Highlights:
🔻 Red arrows mark major rejection zones
🟦 Breakout above prior downtrend line and heavy resistance
🟧 Massive volume surge on breakout → institutional accumulation likely.
🟢 Green volume bars show sustained demand post-breakout.
🔵 Blue arrow highlights the key retest of broken resistance, now acting as support
🎯 Bullish Path Forward:
If earnings support the technical structure, price is poised to:
Reclaim $6.12 → target $9.05 (mid-resistance)
Break $9.05 → open the path toward $21 and $32
StopLoss is set at $3.40 . Anything under this level invalidates scenario
PLTR – Breakout Setup in Motion🔹 Buy Entry: $131 - 132
🔹 Stop Loss: $120.80
🔹 Current Price: $131.78
🔹 Target (1:3 R-multiple): ~$162.80
🔹 Risk/Reward: Strong – clear breakout from tight range with increasing volume.
🟢 Why This Trade?
• Clean breakout above prior highs with strong momentum (+7.73%)
• High volume confirmation
• Supportive moving averages stack (20EMA > 50MA > 200MA)
• One of the strongest setups in the sector
• Strong institutional backing & tech tailwind
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC.
DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge.
2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields
Evolving Relationship:
Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes).
Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds.
Key Drivers:
Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025).
Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations.
3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates
Fed Policy Impact:
Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC
Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal
Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments.
Summary Table
Correlation Relationship Key Drivers
BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven
BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification
BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics
Critical Trends in 2025
BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence.
Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation.
Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case.
Conclusion
BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes.
Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles.
Trade Implications:
A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum.
Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Tesla Sell Signals- 05/30/25Tesla Inc. has several bearish signals.
On 05/29/25 it peaked close to 02/19/25 top.
RSI on 05/29/25 had a bearish divergence vs. its 05/14/25 reading. Also, the reading on 05/30/25 was below the reading made at 05/21/25, predicting price could go down to the where it was on 05/21/25.
Stochastic has a bearish line cross in the overbought zone above 80.00.
On 05/30/25 the price went below the low of the big up bar made on 05/27/25.
First support is in the 285 to 270 area.
Price could ultimately go much lower.
AAPL breakout coming soonWhich way will it squeeze? I share my thoughts if AAPL can hold above 200.
*technically showing caution signs (bearish, but can flip)
*news is affecting the market greatly (esp AAPL re: tarriffs)
*RSI & MACD need a positive signal
*204, 205, 208 immediate targets to be focused on imo
Have a great weekend!
BOND MARKET ZN1! 4 HR. VALIDATES BULLISH RISK ASSETS NEXT!1). Wave one North in progress on a 5-wave sequence! 2). US Government is buying bonds! 3). Volume has petered out on the drop! 4). Banks are also Buying.5). Bond Yields drop, which is good for Risk-Assets! 6). US$ continues to weaken on Tariffs!
June Gameplan Rough Estimation Dow Jones Island ReversalThis is just my rough draft estimation on what I am thinking Dow Jones will do in June.
I am going to sit out the first week to gather data and let the market show its hand to me first.
I have two key levels marked using the weekly candle of April 7th.
The 80% retracement and the candle open.
I am thinking the first week of June to be a sideways candle of sorts to have four choppy weeks up high. Then two consecutive weeks of dump down into 37,500 followed by another monster bull candle to engulf forming the W pattern