BUY NASDAQBeen a while since I last posted about the American market, you can buy and target the same level as mine.
Follow for more!
Chart Patterns
GOLD BUY BIASWe have a buy bias on Gold, we expect to see rejections from current level to the upside with the hope of seeing the liq taken. This set up is not confirmed yet but here we have a nice setup to add to watchlist
Btcusdt technical analysis.Btcusdt technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
XAUUSD technical analysis.XAUUSD technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
Carry Trade Imbalance NZD/CHFNZD has a high interest rate (around 5.5% as of 2025), as New Zealand is battling inflation and maintaining tight monetary policy.
CHF has a very low or even negative interest rate (Switzerland traditionally keeps rates low due to deflationary tendencies and currency stability).
📉 Current Imbalance:
The NZD/CHF currency pair is at historically low levels, meaning the Swiss franc is too strong relative to the New Zealand dollar.
This is a fundamental imbalance, because NZD should be stronger (higher yield = more attractive asset). and gain big SWAP
💼 Carry Trade:
This is a perfect setup for a carry trade: borrow CHF at low interest and invest in NZD at high interest.
When this type of trading becomes popular, it puts upward pressure on the pair – NZD is bought, CHF is sold.
📈 Conclusion:
NZD/CHF has potential to rise:
To correct the fundamental imbalance.
Because the market may shift toward carry trades.
If central banks (especially SNB) remain dovish, while RBNZ stays hawkish.
Hank Tough - Long ride down to 4,514 for US500Even with better than expect numbers with NFP.
The matter remains that the world is not on great terms with MAGAs Tariff plan. Tariffs are in an indirect way a threat when it comes to trade wars.
Because, there'll need to be reciprocals and larger measures to make up for the mess.
Apparently, the calculations of the tariffs was to make up for the trade deficit, but it means that there'll need to ACTUALLY be the same amount or more of exports - which we know won't happen as there are two types of goods.
Elastic - Where the price and demand and supply changes.
Inelastic - where they a don't change much.
Right now there is a LARGE Inverse Cup and Handle forming on the daily with the price below 20 and 200 - showing strong downside to come.
So, we can expect looking at the pattern to continue to 4,514.
'Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thoughts?
Inverse Head and shoulders NFP An increasing probability of stagflation risk in the US may see further narrowing of the 2-year sovereign yield premium spread between US Treasuries and JGBs.
CAD/JPY is the second worst-performing major yen crosses in the past three months.
CAD/JPY may see another round of impulsive down move sequence with the following medium-term supports coming in at 99.60 and 97.55.
ETH-----Sell around 1825, target 1750 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 4: Today, the daily level of the large cycle closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price is still below the moving average and is obviously suppressed. The fast and slow lines of the attached indicator continue to close negative today, so the pattern will cross downward. Therefore, the general trend remains unchanged and continues to be bearish. Trading remains short-term and risk control is done well; the short-term price decline yesterday broke the previous low of 1750, but did not continue. The current price fluctuates within the range and there is not much movement. From the perspective of various technical indicators, the four-hour chart is a continuous negative line, and the intraday price is suppressed, so the trend is still bearish, and the previous correction high is near 1850.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 1825 area, stop loss at the 1855 area, and target the 1750 area;
BTCUSD Weekly Log ChartOften preceding the general market movement, bitcoin currently holds its support pretty well.
Emergency VIX Analysis... 30+When I woke up this morning, I had to run my son & his friend to school. When I got back home and sat down in front of this computer, my eyes widened and I said "MY GOD!" Someone said capitulation is a feeling. Well honey... this is it. Spiked VIX, huge gaps down, nausea, & nerves shook. On to the analysis.
We are wicking from the top as of now. But this journey has been a lesson of what can happen during times of a a heightened VIX (sustained time over 20). Here are a couple of things that I have learned and confirmed with my own eyes since the new year (2025).
Monthly wicks should not be ignored. Price needs to regain the top of the wick and hold for further move up.
VIX divergence is a thing. General observations...
VIX up, mkt down = mkt down as VIX continues up
VIX down, mkt up = mkt up as VIX stays down
VIX holding above 20 in a range is still bearish. After major spikes, watch for this. Methodical sell off likely to occur.
If you have other observations to express... please do. Taking a breath as we navigate these bearish times .
POTENTIAL SHORT TRADE SET UP FOR GBPCHFAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
Entry: The price approached the previous swing high zone with an ascending structure on the higher time frame (HTF), then plummeted from the swing high area signaling a bearish shift, and formed another bearish continuation-like pattern on the LTF. We shall be looking for an entry with a small bearish continuation structure here targeting the base of the bigger structure
Expectation: A downward move is anticipated.
⚠️ Reminder: Conduct your own analysis and implement proper risk management, as forex trading carries no guarantees. This is a high-risk endeavor, and past performance does not predict future outcomes. Trade responsibly!
OMXC25 - Hopefully not lower than this!I was hoping for a bottom just above 1700.. Didn't turn out that way. This area was my next target. Seems optimistic at the moment though :/
DAX reached upper limit of rising wedge - reversal possibleWhen in doubt - zoom out
On Thursday and Friday the DAX / GDAXI reached a high of 21800. Could this be a potential top ?
Looking at the W and M chart (log) the DAX (XETRA) has been trading in a rising wedge since 2003.
With reaching the 21800 level, the DAX has touched the upper line of this rising wedge again. The last time was in April 2015.
The monthly MACD (5 30) has never been this high and the last time the RSI was this high (77) was in 2015 and 2007.
Zooming in on the 5 minute chart (GDAXI), price touched the 21790-21800 region five times in the last two trading days, fell below the current trend line (since Jan 13th), retested it and was rejected to the downside.
There are no certainties in the stock market, but this being at least a local top is quite probable.
POTENTIAL SHORT TRADE SET UP FOR USDCHFAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
Entry: The price has reached the upper boundary of a higher time frame (HTF) bearish continuation structure, approaching this zone with an ascending channel on the mid time frame (MTF). On the lower time frame (LTF), a bearish impulse has developed, and we will be watching for a continuation pattern to pinpoint a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: A downward move is anticipated, targeting the lower boundary of the HTF bearish continuation structure.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
Gold Cup and Handle Gold look like it form a cup and handle and it can target 3000 in the next few months to year.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about getting the confirmation about this bearish, my deeply analysis is creating the white wave X in this correction which consist of the Green waves ABC and we are still moving in this Green B as yellow WXY.
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
US2000 Small Caps DANGER!Fully formed rising channel ready to collapse.
-Where do I begin with this chart? Wave 3 up ending.
-Multiple Double Top (Daily time frame and 4 hour.)
-Head and Shoulders
-Multiple CRACKS already in place.
-Consolidation at the bottom of the structure
All screaming DANGER to bulls!!
4/4 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday’s sharp drop, gold quickly rebounded, and by the end of the session, prices had returned close to the opening level. I’m not sure if anyone is currently stuck in unfavorable positions. Under normal circumstances, if your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance, such volatility shouldn’t cause major damage. However, for those with weak positions or who bought at the top or sold at the bottom, losses may have occurred—especially common among newer traders who are often influenced by emotions.
If you are currently holding short positions and hoping to wait for a price pullback, you'll need both time and sufficient margin. Based on current candlestick patterns, gold may attempt to test the 3128–3136 resistance zone again. Whether it moves higher will depend on the strength of the bulls.
Importantly, there are several key U.S. economic data releases during the New York session today. Based on preliminary expectations, the data appears to favor the bears, which could put additional pressure on gold prices.
📉 Today’s Trading Strategy:
Sell within the 3133–3152 zone
Buy within the 3065–3032 zone
📊 Scalping/Short-Term Trades:
Be flexible in the 3128–3088 range
USD/JPY SELL/SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
