Hudbay Minerals setting new 10-year highsThis Minerals company just broke above a resistance level that goes back over 10 years, all the way to April 2015. With all the excitement going around about Gold, Silver and Mineral mining companies lately, this looks like a great opportunity to buy a mining company that looks to be breaking out much higher in the coming years. Watch for HBM to break higher and then come down and test this long-term orange trendline as support before going higher.
Chart Patterns
The Sandbox (SAND): Reached Strong Bullish Trend | Bounce AreaSandbox coin has recently touched again the local bullish trend from which we have been seeing some great upward movement (previously). With current bullish sentiment in the markets, we might be seeing a strong upward movement from here, and the 100EMA is our last confirmation for now.
Upon seeing it to be broken, we will be looking for a long position from there.
Swallow Academy
HolderStat┆SOLUSD aims for the $170 levelBINANCE:SOLUSDT has broken above triangle resistance, retesting the $146.60 level as new support. The breakout echoes earlier consolidation-based rallies, opening the path toward $170. As long as the structure remains intact, bulls could extend the climb over the next few sessions.
AUDUSD AUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
ETHUSD is moving within the 2110.00 - 2500.00 range 👀Possible scenario:
Ether briefly crossed $2,500 on June 29 but remained range-bound on June 30, fluctuating between $2,445 and $2,525. Traders are closely eyeing this resistance level amid rising volatility and renewed investor interest. With $269 million in net inflows in the past 24 hours, sentiment is improving. A clean breakout above $2,500 could drive further upside, but for now, THE remains in a tight consolidation, with traders on alert for the next move.
On the fundamentals side, Ethereum continues to strengthen. Over 35 million ETH—worth \$84 billion—are now staked, representing 28.3% of total supply. June saw a spike in staking after the SEC’s supportive guidance, though concerns linger as Lido, Binance, and Coinbase now control nearly 40% of validator power. Adding to momentum, the Ethereum community launched an onchain “time capsule” at EthCC, inviting users to lock messages and memories until the network’s 11th anniversary in 2026.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Support levels is now located at 2,400.00.
Now, the resistance levels are located at 2,500 and 2,550.00.
HolderStat┆BNBUSD came out of the wedgeBINANCE:BNBUSDT just cleared a multi-week wedge resistance, signaling a bullish breakout above $635. The price is now poised to retest the upper channel boundary near $700–730. If bulls maintain momentum, this breakout could mirror prior impulsive legs higher, especially following similar consolidation patterns earlier this year.
EURUSD Bullish and Looking for SupportWe have seen more USD weakness since the ceasefire in the MIddle East as the threat of Global inflation caused by higher Oil prices lowers, raising hopes of future rate cutes by the FED
EURUSD has broken out cleanly from a previous resistance zone, and can act as support on any retests of the 1.1616-1.1632 zone
Stops would need to be below 1.1612
Targets to be around 1.1670-1.1685
ETHUSDT WEEKLY UPDATE — PART 1
When Conviction Fails: Apex Rejection, Hidden Redistribution, and the Illusion of Demand
Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you're tapping in from. Now, as always, I’m not here to waste your time with unnecessary waffle. Let’s get straight into it and unpack this mess step-by-step.
THE APEX REJECTION | MORE THAN JUST A WICK
So picking up from last week's update, we find ourselves right at the crossroads, and not the romantic kind either. What we’re looking at right now so far, is a clean yet 100% conclusive rejection from the apex of a key macro structure.
This isn’t just any level. This is the intersection of vertical momentum and horizontal memory, the apex of a triangle that’s been forming for months. This is where bullish intent was supposed to hold, supposed to assert dominance, but instead, what did we get? A strong push into resistance, a failure to fix above it, followed by exhaustion and signs of institutional unloading.
Now, to the untrained eye, this may look like a pullback, or even a healthy correction. But we’re not here to look at charts with retail goggles. We’re here to track the true intent behind the price action, and if you know your schematics, this is screaming redistribution. And not just any redistribution, the kind that happens right before the market changes its personality.
WHERE ARE WE IN THE SCHEMATIC?
If we overlay Wyckoff logic on top of this structure, it's very clear:
We’ve had our PSY (preliminary support).
Followed by a spring, a shakeout, and a fake rally.
Now we’re dancing around what appears to be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution) — but weaker.
This isn’t classic distribution, it’s redistribution masked in macro confusion.
Here’s the thing this range isn’t just price consolidation, it’s behavioural conditioning. This long, choppy sideways movement is designed to wear out both bulls and bears, making them question their bias, mismanage their risk, and either overstay or exit too early.
The market is methodical, not random. These candles aren’t accidents, they are footprints of algorithmic trap setting, and right now, it looks like the net is about to close.
VOLUME TELLS THE TRUTH
Let’s not forget volume. Look at the weekly volume through this recent push:
Decreasing volume on the rallies,
Higher volume on the red closes,
And multiple spikes that failed to carry price past resistance.
That’s your dead giveaway. You don’t need to be a wizard, just follow the clues. Price is being pushed, not lifted. Demand isn’t stepping in, liquidity is being removed. This isn’t smart money accumulation, if confirmed by the endd of this week, this most recent move up cout be doing of smart money unloading, Quietly and Efficiently.
THE MARKDOWN IS PRIMED
Let’s now address the elephant in the room, the range low and point C of the triangle on the 4H.
T hat’s where liquidity is sitting.
That’s where the market’s next objective lies.
We’ve now failed to reclaim the apex, the wick was slapped down, and unless something significant shifts, the next logical move is to sweep that C point, take out the emotional support, and either:
Tap into true demand (if it exists), or
Begin the cascade toward the final green demand zones between 2,150–2,070, which we marked weeks ago.
And don’t forget, this sweep may not be clean. We could get a fakeout bounce mid-range — enough to bait in more longs, only to roll over again.
PSYCHOLOGICAL LAYER
What’s happening here isn’t just technical, it’s emotional warfare. This entire range has been one long gaslight for the average trader. Between the failed breakouts, failed breakdowns, and chaotic intraday behaviour, retail has been turned into liquidity.
And if you’re still trying to long blindly at the top of this, hoping for 3k ETH without a confirmed structure reclaim, then respectfully, you’re the product right now.
Coming next in Part 2:
A full breakdown of the 4H macro setup
Analysis of the internal range mechanics
Recalculated fib zones
Where the liquidity pockets are
What the most probable path is short, medium, and long-term
Stay tuned — I’ll keep the flow coherent, structured, and aggressive. No fluff. No hopium. Just structure, psychology, and execution.
XAUUSD-bias long Bullish indications:
PD low is supported .
HHHL
Major support respected.
Bullish divergence in 4 hr.
Morning star candle from support.
forming IHS pattern in 1 hr .
Inverted hammer candle in higher low indicates possible bullish movement.
Bearish indications:
trend line support is broken.
Weekly bearish divergence.
MA 21 being respected.
Trade plan bias long @ 3383
SL:3273
TP1:3293
TP2:3303
Buy limit order post-1H liquidity sweep I’m 1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with consecutive green candles indicating sustained buying pressure. This suggests institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side resistance.
4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart presents a continuation of the bullish momentum with recent candles forming higher highs. This indicates ongoing institutional demand and a potential preparation for a further push upwards.
1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, we observe a slight pullback in the form of a small bearish candle. This could represent a minor profit-taking phase or a setup for a liquidity sweep to capture stops below recent lows before continuing the uptrend.
15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart shows more pronounced pullbacks, yet these are contained within the overall bullish structure observed on higher timeframes. This could be indicative of retail selling or minor institutional rebalancing.
5M and 1M Timeframes: Both these lower timeframes display increased volatility and a sharper pullback. This is typical in lower timeframes where retail trading is more pronounced, and institutional traders may use these moves to engineer liquidity before making significant market moves.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, using minor pullbacks to engineer liquidity and trap retail traders on the wrong side of the market. The expectation is for continued upward movement once these phases complete.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H liquidity sweep before continuation of 4H bullish momentum."
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) ENTRY PRICE: $22,850.00 STOP LOSS: $22,800.00 (below the recent minor low to account for any further liquidity sweeps) TARGET PRICE: $23,000.00 (next psychological round number and potential resistance area) CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1H liquidity sweep confirming a bullish continuation on the 15M timeframe. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish market structure on higher timeframes, a potential liquidity sweep on the 1H chart, and a continuation of buying pressure indicated by the 4H and 1D charts. STRATEGIES USED: 1H Liquidity Sweep, 4H Bullish Continuation URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term to medium-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on alignment across multiple timeframes and clear bullish signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows:
Risk: $22,850.00 (entry) - $22,800.00 (stop) = $50.00
Reward: $23,000.00 (target) - $22,850.00 (entry) = $150.00
Ratio: $150.00 / $50.00 = 3:1
This trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio exceeding the minimum 2:1 threshold, aligning with institutional trading principles and confirming a high-probability entry for a bullish continuation.
Looking for 2 scenarios to play outRight now we are a little extended on this move to some higher levels of liquidity. There was a big move that took place on the 29th that left a major imbalance from 44,301 - 44,264. I'm looking two things to happen.
1) Ill wait for a pullback into a 5M FVG in the 44,362 area for some Shorts.
2) I wait us to drop into the 1H FVG which is that major imbalance i spoke of then ill watch to see if price action and volume confirm a bounce or we break thru and continue lower.
Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:
1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction
✦ Review of key factors:
The situation in the Middle East has eased
The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices.
Fed Focus: PCE Price Index
If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure
If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound
Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up
→ There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet.
2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas
Daily structure:
The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward;
The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold;
The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests.
Key points at the 4-hour level:
A step-down channel is clearly formed;
Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern;
Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245
Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310
III. Gold trend forecast for next week
📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out
If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected;
After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling;
Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend.
IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core)
Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance
Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position
Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short
V. Summary and Outlook
✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level.
Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.
NQ1! H1: Sustaining the Uptrend - Support Areas in FocusOverall Trend: The price of NQ1! is clearly in an ascending channel (or parallel channel), signifying a robust uptrend over the observed period. This suggests sustained buying pressure and higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel (Dynamic Support & Resistance):
The lower trendline of the blue channel has consistently acted as dynamic support. Price has repeatedly bounced off this line upon testing it (highlighted by the light blue oval markers), demonstrating strong buying interest at these levels.
The upper trendline of the channel serves as dynamic resistance, defining the upper boundary of the current bullish movement. Price has approached this line but has not yet shown a clear breakout above it.
Support Levels:
22850 to 22860 (1st Supporting Area): This is identified as the most immediate support zone. The current price (22,862.75) is hovering just above or within this area, indicating it's presently being tested as a potential floor.
22800 to 22820 (Intraday Key Level): Located below the first support, this range represents a significant intraday support level. Should the immediate support fail, this zone would likely be the next area where buyers might step in.
22725 to 22750 (1Hr Support): This is a deeper support level on the 1-hour timeframe, strategically placed near the lower bound of the ascending channel after the June 28th pullback. It suggests a strong historical area of demand or price reversal.
Large Green Shaded Area (Lower Left): This extensive green area at the bottom of the chart represents a broader, long-term support or accumulation zone from which the current uptrend appears to have initiated.
Price Action (Candlesticks):
The prevalence of green candlesticks indicates dominant buying momentum.
The significant red candlestick on June 28th shows a sharp intraday pullback, but the long lower wick suggests that buyers rapidly re-entered the market, pushing the price back up from the lower channel boundary. This rebound reinforces the strength of the dynamic support.
In summary, NQ1! in a clear uptrend, guided by an ascending channel, with distinct horizontal support levels identified that align with historical price action and the channel's dynamic support. The current price is testing an immediate support area.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:
1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction
✦ Review of key factors:
The situation in the Middle East has eased
The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices.
Fed Focus: PCE Price Index
If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure
If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound
Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up
→ There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet.
2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas
Daily structure:
The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward;
The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold;
The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests.
Key points at the 4-hour level:
A step-down channel is clearly formed;
Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern;
Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245
Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310
III. Gold trend forecast for next week
📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out
If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected;
After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling;
Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend.
IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core)
Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance
Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position
Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short
V. Summary and Outlook
✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level.
Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.