RUSSELL: Short term consolidation before ATH test.Russell is technically neutral on its 1D outlook (RSI = 55.323, MACD = 20.400, ADX = 20.042) as for the whole month of May it is trading sideways inside the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. April's bottom and the subsequent RSI DB rebound, is very much like the October 27th 2023 bottom. The rebound that was followed, also had the index consolidate between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 and soon after it resumed the uptrend to cross above the R1 level (prior High) before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Based on that we remain bullish on Russell, aiming for the R1 (TP = 2,470).
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Chart Patterns
Technical Analysis → Gold will remain stableThroughout May, the news backdrop, including international trade tariffs and geopolitical turmoil, led to a technical peak of around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 in gold. As of now, the price per ounce is stable at around $3,300, roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month.
This shows that supply and demand forces are basically balanced, and prices are maintained between these two extremes. Gold technicals further confirm this and highlight the importance of the $3,300 level.
Bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms a peak high and a cycle low, which is a clear downtrend signal. The trajectory is marked in red, and the upper line constitutes resistance.
Bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the price of gold has been in an upward trend, represented by the blue channel, and its lower boundary constitutes key support (marked with arrows).
It is worth noting that these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle. This shows that supply and demand are balancing and the market has reached a consensus around the $3,300 level, which is exactly the central axis of the triangle.
Based on this, we can reasonably assume that the technical side of gold in June may continue to fluctuate within this triangle unless a special event occurs that causes a significant break in the current balance.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Repeated rejections on the 1D MA50.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.483, MACD = -0.530, ADX = 16.270) as it is trading sideways for the past 2 weeks, unable however to cross above the 1D MA50, which along with the LH trendline, keep the trend bearish. Sell and aim for thr S1 level (TP = 56.00). Emerging Bearish Cross also on the 1D MACD.
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BTCUSDTHi snipers. On the one-day time frame, the price has decreased and reached a support point. According to the evidence of Ichimoku and RSI, there is a possibility of the price suffering and increasing again. If the news of interest rates, tariffs and other news does not affect the market. I am practicing and learning. This is not an offer to buy or sell.
Market next move 🚫 Disruption Points
1. No Clear Breakout Confirmation
Issue: The chart does not show a clear breakout of any recent highs or resistance levels.
Disruption: Without a break of a key level (like 1.3480–1.3500), the bullish target is premature.
2. Bearish Price Structure
Observation: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows over the last few candles.
Disruption: This may indicate a downtrend, not a setup for a bullish target.
3. Low Momentum
Issue: Volume appears to be declining, and recent bullish candles are smaller and weaker.
Disruption: The move toward the target may lack strength and could reverse without momentum.
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary
Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360
Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern)
Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout
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🚫 Disruption Points
1. False Breakout Risk
What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it.
Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone.
Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal.
2. Fundamental Risk
What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly.
Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility.
Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs.
3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable)
What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising.
Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals.
Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
ETHEREUM Wedge Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
ETHEREUM was trading in an
Uptrend but then the coin
Formed a bearish wedge pattern
And we are now seeing a bearish
Breakout so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting a long awaited
Bearish correction
Sell!
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30 of May 2025 Trading plan Our trading plan first was buying but the price change its direction and i also change to the selling in NY times
1- PDA:-bearish H4-FVG(narrative) to the target of swing low of the bullish candle where the (Reclaimed OB-H2)
2- Rejection Block bearish on 15min associated with CISD-15m
3- bearish CISD or MSS 2 times on the 5m-TF
4- (1-2-3 ) pattern :-3 violate 2 that support the bearish trend
5-TURTLE SOUP in area of CISD
6-AMD IS evident
XAUUAD UPDATE BUY ENTRY WEEK LAST DAYThe chart you’ve shared is for CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows:
Key Observations:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around the 3,273.506 level, marked by the lower yellow box.
Resistance Zone: Around the 3,313.665 level, marked by the upper yellow box.
2. Price Action:
There was a significant dip followed by a bullish reversal from the support zone.
A zigzag pattern (possibly an Elliott wave or price structure) indicates a bullish outlook.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,292.270 (current price).
Take Profit (TP): Near 3,313.665 (resistance zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Around 3,273.506 (support zone).
4. Risk-Reward:
This setup offers a favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio, suggesting a long (buy) position with a defined stop and target.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bullish trade idea based on price bouncing off the support and targeting the resistance. The highlighted zones provide clear invalidation and profit-taking levels. If you're considering entering, monitor for confirmation like strong bullish candlesticks or volume spikes near the support area.
Let me know if you’d like a deeper analysis or want to explore alternative scenarios (e.g., bearish reversal or range continuation).
CHFJPY MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTION CHFJPY, is consolidating at the Institutional renegotiation zone, the decision will favor the Bears because price has already grab the BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY for bearish movement. Next week, I will be expecting price to break the renegotiation trend line with a FVG and head towards the renegotiation support to sweep the SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY. Price is at the entry position now.
Entry, take profits and stop loss are clearly stated on the chat.
Good Luck Guys!
Latest gold trend trading strategy on May 30:
Core driving factors
Trump tariff revocation: US court ruled that "Liberation Day tariffs" were overreaching, trade policy uncertainty decreased, market risk aversion cooled, and gold was under pressure.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts weakened: The Fed was cautious about rate cuts, the US dollar strengthened briefly, but weak economic data (such as employment and PMI) limited the dollar's gains, and gold bottomed out and rebounded.
Technical oversold rebound: Gold prices fell to 3245 support and then quickly rebounded. Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but we need to be wary of overbought callback risks.
Key points
Resistance:
3335-3340 (key pressure zone, breaking through will open upside space)
3350-3360 (previous high resistance, strong pressure level)
Support:
3305-3310 (short-term long-short boundary, long position if stable)
3280-3270 (strong support if callback, weak if broken)
Technical signal analysis
Bollinger channel: 1-hour level opens upward, price runs along the upper track, short-term strong, but overbought risk increases.
Moving average system:
Short-term moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, supporting gold prices.
If it pulls back to 3305-3310 (near the 20-day moving average), it can be regarded as a low-long opportunity.
RSI indicator: close to the 70 overbought area, if there is a top divergence, be alert to the callback.
Operation strategy
1. Long strategy (main idea)
Entry conditions:
Price falls back to 3305-3310 and stabilizes (combined with K-line patterns such as hammer lines).
Or break through 3340 and then step back to confirm (light position to chase long).
Target: 3335-3340 (first target), 3350-3360 (second target).
Stop loss: below 3295 (to prevent false breakthrough).
2. Short strategy (auxiliary idea)
Entry conditions:
Price touches 3340-3350 stagflation (such as long upper shadow, RSI overbought).
Target: 3320, 3305.
Stop loss: above 3355.
Breakthrough response:
If it breaks through 3350 strongly, stop loss for short orders and wait and see whether the trend reverses.
If it falls below 3270, long orders will leave the market and look down to 3245 support.
Summary
Short-term trend: oversold rebound continues, but facing strong pressure at 3340, be wary of highs and falls.
Operation priority:
Mainly long at low levels (3305-3310 support area).
Short selling at high levels is auxiliary (3340-3350 pressure zone).
Position management: single transaction ≤5%, stop loss is strictly enforced to avoid chasing up and selling down.
APL LONG TRADEAPL LONG TRADE
APL is uptrend since Aug 2023. For one year, it was trading in a slightly upward channel/trading range.
It gave breakout from that trading range in Dec 2024 and made a high of 575. Since then, it went into downward corrective channel and retested the Breakout at its Major Support level.
It gave reversal supported by Volume Distribution. One momentous occurrence is that it has created a Bullish Breaker Block on 1D TF which is a first-rate place to enter a trade.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – APL🚨
🎯 BUY1: Rs. 490
BUY2: Rs. 478
BUY3: Rs. 470
📈 TP1 : Rs. 514
📈 TP2: Rs. 559.8
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 440 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
NZD-CHF Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF is going down
Now and the pair will soon
Hit a horizontal support
Of 0.4881 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Market next move ⚠️ Disruption of the Bullish Silver Setup:
---
1. Misleading Support-Resistance Interpretation
The resistance zone highlighted is flat and overlapping with multiple wicks.
The support zone is not well-established; it's only tested once or twice with weak bounce reaction, which is not enough to consider it strong support.
---
2. Lack of Bullish Confirmation
The price is currently hovering around the support with no breakout candle or strong bullish engulfing pattern.
The recent candlesticks near resistance are small-bodied with long wicks, suggesting indecision or weakening buying power, not strength.
---
3. Volume Disagreement
There's no surge in bullish volume that would confirm buyers stepping in.
The large red volume bars toward the right indicate selling pressure dominating, which contradicts the bullish target.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Bullish Setup on GOLD:
1. Range Market Ignored:
The price is moving sideways in a tight consolidation, indicating range-bound behavior rather than a breakout setup.
The chart projects a bullish move, but there's no confirmed breakout of the resistance zone yet.
2. Weak Resistance Zone:
The identified “resistance” zone is very narrow and lacks strong rejection wicks or significant bearish volume.
It's unclear if this is true resistance or just part of the ongoing chop.
3. Lack of Volume Confirmation:
Volume remains moderate and doesn’t show increasing buying pressure, which would be expected if bulls were preparing a breakout.
No signs of volume climax or absorption, which are typical before breakouts.
4. Premature Targeting:
The target area is placed far above the resistance zone without a measured move or pattern basis (e.g., no flag, no cup-and-handle, no inverse head and shoulders).
This could be misleading as it sets unrealistic expectations.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Current Bearish Setup:
1. Mislabeling of Levels:
The chart labels a newly broken support as "Support" still, even though price has clearly broken below that zone.
In proper technical analysis, once support is broken, it often turns into resistance, so the labels should be reversed.
2. Premature Downside Projection:
The bearish arrow assumes continued downside immediately after the breakdown, but there’s no confirmation candle or retest yet.
This could easily be a false breakdown or a liquidity sweep below support before a bounce.
3. No Confirmation from Volume:
Volume spiked on the breakdown, but the follow-up candle doesn’t confirm seller continuation.
Absence of sustained volume makes the move questionable. It could be a trap for breakout traders.
4. Lack of Trend Context:
The chart doesn't consider the broader trend. If BTC was in a strong uptrend before this pullback, this could be a bullish retracement, not a true reversal.
Drawing a trendline or checking a higher timeframe would help validate the direction.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption/Critique of the Current Target Analysis:
1. Lack of Technical Justification:
The chart marks a “Target” level without referencing a clear technical basis (e.g., resistance, Fibonacci level, or moving average).
Without a corresponding pattern or indicator signal (e.g., breakout, double bottom, divergence), the target seems arbitrary.
2. Volume Spike Misinterpretation:
While there’s a volume spike in the last candle, it's accompanied by a bearish candle, suggesting potential selling pressure, not buying strength.
A bullish continuation would ideally require a green candle with increasing volume, which is absent here.
3. Market Context Ignored:
No consideration of broader market context such as macroeconomic news, DXY strength, or interest rate expectations which heavily impact GBP/USD.
The U.S. flag icon indicates upcoming news – trading before such events can be risky and invalidate the technical target.
4. Resistance Zone Overlooked:
The “Target” lies near the 1.3500 psychological level, which often acts as resistance. This isn’t discussed or marked.
Recent price action near that level shows rejection, making it a questionable target without strong buying confirmation