XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
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Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Chart Patterns
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! Gold appears to be in a bullish trend following a successful test of an important daily/intraday horizontal support level.
The price violated a minor falling trend line resistance and formed a local Change of Character (CHoCH).
There is a strong possibility that the price will continue to rise with a target of 3080.
Warning Relief Rally Maybe DelayedLooking how closed tonight on that support
does not bond well for me
So if we break that low I am out long and will short SPY
Add IWM MAGS short they make new lows
Add TZA new high. Guys it breaks we will just drop few days 450 lower
We hold that good also banks Friday earnings can be a NASTY day tomorrow rest week
GBP/JPY Daily AnalysisPrice is testing support for the 3rd time (last tested and rejected in late 2024 and February 2025)
This MAY now lead to opportunities to buy if we see a bullish setup or bullish impulse and correction.
A break and close below support would invalidate this idea.
This is just an idea of what could happen. You should always trade with a well tested and profitable trading strategy using good risk management.
RSI bearish divergence seen on EURUSDFundamental Perspective:
The euro steadied around $1.09 as markets awaited the EU's next move after the US rejected its zero-for-zero tariff proposal. The EU is now planning 25% counter-tariffs on the US goods, signaling a more confrontational stance. The escalating trade tension could create uncertainty over the EU's economic growth, as tariff retaliation could harm both EU exports to the US and potentially escalate into further trade restrictions. A weaker outlook for the EU economy could put the euro under pressure.
Technical Perspective:
EURUSD is testing the upper bound of the ascending channel and weekly fair value gap, with a bearish divergence seen on the RSI, indicating the potential for a reversal. If EURUSD reverses below the resistance zone at 1.1050, the price could plunge to the support at 1.08880, which resides near the previous day's low. Conversely, a decisive close above the weekly resistance zone could prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 1.1200.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context:
EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout.
⚙️ Price Structure Overview:
The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion.
1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor.
Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward:
Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level.
Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March.
A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number.
🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction:
Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone.
Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket.
A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control.
⏳ Conclusion:
The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming.
This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
NZDCHF: Intraday Bearish PatternNZDCHF has good potential for further decline. After a strong bearish wave, the pair was consolidating within a horizontal range on an 4H time frame.
The support of this range was recently broken, signaling the strength of sellers and a likely continuation of bearish momentum.
I believe the pair could soon reach the 0.4621 level. On the 4-hour time frame, I will be monitoring the price action closely.
Gold Technical Outlook: Bounce Likely Before Deeper Drophello guys.
The recent price action on gold suggests a potential short-term upward move, followed by a possible continuation to lower levels based on key technical factors:
🔹 1. Channel Support Touched – Expecting a Bounce
Price has touched the bottom boundary of the ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this trend.
This technical level often brings in buyers, suggesting we may see a relief rally or bounce from this area.
🔹 2. Targeting Upper Blue Zones
If this upward correction materializes, price could reach:
The first blue resistance area around 3,090 – 3,100.
Possibly the second zone near 3,120, which aligns with previous structure and minor volume resistance.
These zones offer ideal points for watching price reaction—either rejection for shorts or breakout confirmation.
🔹 3. Potential for Further Downside
If the price gets rejected from one of those resistance areas, we could see a move down to:
The low-volume zone below 3,000, specifically the support at 2,965.
The lack of volume profile in this area (as shown on the left) suggests that once price enters this zone, it can drop quickly due to thin liquidity.
📌 Conclusion
Short-term bullish: bounce from channel support targeting 3,090–3,120.
Mid-term bearish bias: If rejection occurs in resistance zones, anticipate a drop to 2,965 or even lower.
Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to refine entry and exit points.
EURUSD may accelerate growth on the back of DXY declineEURUSD takes a chance amid a weaker dollar after the US increased tariffs on China. Euro rises with weak dollar
Scenario: Breakout of downward resistance followed by a rise to the zone of interest and key resistance.
A consolidation above 1.098 will signal
The fundamental background is not in favor of the dollar, which is falling due to Trump's policies. Euro is rising.
GBP-USD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key wide horizontal
Level of 1.2851 then made a
Pullback so we are bearish
Biased and a further bearish
Continuation is to be expected
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR /USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown and idea behind the analysis:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Trend Structure:
The price was in a downtrend, moving within a descending channel.
Recently, the price has rejected the upper boundary of the channel (noted as "down reject").
There's a 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) acting as dynamic support around the 1.09086 level.
Mr SMC Trading point
2. Support Zone:
A strong demand zone (highlighted in yellow) is visible near the 1.08183 area.
This zone aligns with previous structure support and a potential reversal point.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 49, showing a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
No overbought/oversold signals yet, suggesting room for further downside before a reversal.
4. Projection Idea:
The analyst expects a possible short-term drop into the yellow support zone (target: 1.08183).
After reaching the target, a bullish reversal is anticipated, aiming for a breakout above the downtrend with a rally towards the 1.10500+ zone.
Trading Idea:
Short-Term Bearish Move: Sell toward 1.08183 if price confirms rejection of the trendline or 200 EMA.
Medium-Term Bullish Reversal: Watch for bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, RSI divergence) at the 1.08183 zone to go long toward higher highs.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Don't Let It Slip Away: Dragon Signal Active on EUR/USDHi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential Dragon pattern with long opportunity:
🔹 Entry: 1.0956
🔹 TP: 1.11367
🔹 SL: 1.07787
Price action has formed a classic Dragon pattern — two symmetrical legs and a clear head, with the neckline (the hump) being retested as support. Currently, the pair is testing the neckline zone just above the 200 EMA. RSI is mid-range and curving up, showing early signs of bullish momentum.
If the neckline holds, we may see a strong bullish wave toward 1.1136. This pattern often leads to explosive upside moves once confirmed.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
THORChain: Your Altcoin ChoiceTHORChain (RUNE) looks great, for buyers. Right now the action is happening right above a major low, the November 2022 low.
RUNEUSDT hit a major low in November 2022 together with Bitcoin. It then went on to produce a lower low that was followed by a ~1,400% bullish wave. This is only the preview pre-bull market year. In this bull-market year, growth should be much stronger.
Much of this bullish wave has been erased, corrected and now RUNEUSDT stands above long-term support. This is the buy-zone, a long-term buy-zone. The accumulation zone.
This is a great place/price to buy-up, buy-in, rebuy and reload. Buy, buy, buy, buy focusing on the long-term. This is truly a great opportunity and entry price. We do not focus on the fact that prices are dropping nor the short-term. We focus on the future and the potential we have for growth.
Just as the 2022/2023 bearish cycle produced a major bullish phase; this strong correction we are seeing now in early 2025 will launch the next bull market, growth will be many times bigger compared to the last wave.
This is a good one. You are wise if you are looking at this pair.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
RUNEUSDT (THORChain), Your TOP Altcoin Choice.
A strong and solid target for this cycle can be $30. It can go higher just as it can reach lower, but this is a good level to look for. A good price to use as a reference point.
Namaste.
GOLD (XAUUSD) 2h Update Forecast, technical analysis and Trading1. Current Price: Gold is trading at approximately $2,984.615.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
A resistance zone is marked near the $3,200–$3,150 area, where price action has previously reversed.
Two support zones are highlighted:
First at around $2,950–$2,975, which the price recently touched and bounced from.
Second near $3,050, where a retest might occur before potentially continuing upward.
3. Market Structure:
The price had a strong upward rally before sharply pulling back from the resistance zone.
A bullish reversal is suggested with the price expected to bounce from the lower support, retest the upper support, and head higher toward the $3,100+ region.
4. Trade Idea (illustrated with a blue arrow):
The chart suggests a long (buy) setup if the price respects the lower support.
A projected path indicates a possible bullish continuation after confirmation of support holding.
Bitcoin has seen sharp rises and falls recentlyBy analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin Death Cross Approaching: Is History About to Repeat Itse🚨 Death Cross Alert! 🚨
Bitcoin is on the verge of forming a Death Cross, where the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses below the 200-day MA. Historically, this pattern has been viewed as a bearish signal, often indicating potential for deeper corrections.
(only for beginners)
🔍 What Is a Death Cross?
A Death Cross occurs when short-term momentum (50MA) weakens and crosses below the long-term trend (200MA). While it’s often seen as a bearish indicator, it’s important to note that the immediate impact varies, and sometimes it can be a lagging signal.
📉 What Happened Last Time?
Looking at previous Death Cross events on BTC:
• June 2021: Price dropped ~55% from the local top before finding support.
• March 2020 (Covid crash): BTC tanked nearly 60%, but bounced hard after capitulation.
• Late 2019: Followed by a ~40% decline before bottoming out.
🛑 Key Support Levels to Watch:
• $58,000 – Previous resistance flipped support zone.
• $53,000 – Strong historical demand area.
• $48,000 – Major liquidity zone and psychological level.
⚠️ My Bias:
I’m leaning bearish in the short to mid-term. The confluence of weakening momentum, macro uncertainties, and historical patterns suggests we could see more downside.
That said, I’m also wary of fake-outs—especially with large players potentially trapping late shorters before a squeeze.
❓ What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Is this the beginning of a major correction, or will Bitcoin defy history and surprise us with a bullish twist?
Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇