SPY Breakdown Watch – Smart Money Concepts (1H Chart)🔎 Chart: SPY | TradingView 1H
At Wavervanir International LLC, our discretionary analysis on SPY (S&P 500 ETF) using SMC + ORB logic is signaling potential downside.
🔍 Market Structure:
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after BOS (Break of Structure), suggesting buyer exhaustion.
Premium zone rejection with multiple failed attempts to reclaim the weak high.
Liquidity has shifted toward discount zones, aligning with volume imbalance and OB zones below.
🎯 Target Zones:
Immediate liquidity pool: 579.85
Demand block confluence: 575–565 zone
Deep mitigation OB: 560–557.50 zone
📊 Macro Context:
Bond volatility rising (MOVE index)
Fed holding rates steady, inflation stickiness remains
Liquidity tightening into quarter-end
🧠 Strategic View:
SPY looks poised to fill inefficiencies into the 575–565 range unless macro tailwinds emerge. Volume supports this as market seeks equilibrium post-premium rejection.
Chart Patterns
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42,126.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.984 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.109.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
I Dont Trade GoldBut I Have been in the market to trade some potentially new markets.
In my search, I found XAU goes with a price action. Also Tradeable during Killzone.
(check screenshot of Daily Fair value gaps and LV being hit, for a reversal and Confirmation and retest in London.)
Although I am not sure if it is tradeable on a higher frequency, Ill add it to my list of weekly portfolios.
BEARISH PULLBACK GOLD!!!SELL TRADE SHORT TERM
Top of Bull Flag sell entry at 3300 with stop loss at 3330, playing down to 3130 that marks the 38$ fibo retracement. TARGET1
If this supports break I will add to sell trade with TARGET 2 at 3010 that meets the 50% Fibo Retracement.
From here I would manage the 50% and 61.8% Fibo support levels for possible buy entries with target at $4000.
DEXE Update!You might not want to miss out on DEXE! 🚀
On the daily timeframe, DEXE has respected its support trendline and is currently in a rebound phase. The 100 EMA remains a key challenge, and historically, whenever DEXE has broken above it, the price has made massive moves.
With the support trendline holding strong, there’s a solid probability for DEXE to begin a bullish rally. 📈
You can wait for a breakout confirmation to enter this trade, or hold a small position and DCA.
🔹 Strategy:
~ Entry: $12.50 to $14.50
~ Trade Type: Spot or 3x leverage
~ Holding Period: Q3 (July–September 2025)
~ Invalidation: Breakdown and close below the support trendline
📝 Note: Always do your own analysis before investing.
HolderStat┆XRPUSD rebound renaissanceCRYPTOCAP:XRP bounced off a long falling wedge, logged a labeled “rebound”, and now glides within a widening channel. Multiple consolidation pauses plus higher lows keep momentum positive; watch the 740 USDT overhead zone as resistance where breakout traders may aim next.
PepsiCo: In the Target ZonePepsiCo is currently trading in the middle of our active Long Target Zone (coordinates: $133.53 – $125.10). Although all technical requirements for the correction of wave a in beige have already been met here, we still see some remaining downward potential for the subordinate wave 5 in turquoise within our Target Zone. There's even a 36% chance that the price will fall below our Target Zone as part of the beige wave alt.a , which is relevant for any stop-loss orders and could potentially cause a significant short-term drop. In both our scenarios, however, we expect significant increases after the wave a low.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
HolderStat┆ADAUSD coiled for new highsCRYPTOCAP:ADA has printed boxy consolidations, respected its rising base and survived a sharp pullback; price now rests on ascending support. With prior “new highs” still warm and trendline resistance nearby, the setup flags a rebound toward 0.78 amid persistent bullish price action.
ICX/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1265 - 0.1285
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
ETH – Approaching Key Support (4H)⚠️ CRYPTOCAP:ETH has dropped over 5% after getting rejected at resistance and is now nearing a crucial lower trendline support on the 4H chart.
👀 A solid hold here could spark a sharp rebound 🚀, while a break below might drag it down to test deeper support levels 🔥.
Stay focused and monitor the price action for the next move!