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Bitcoin Price Analysis / Cup and Handle BreakoutOn the weekly Bitcoin chart, we can see a cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish formation: Cup and Handle Formation: The price formed a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation dip (the handle). This pattern is a sign of long-term accumulation and typically signals a continuation of the uptrend after a breakout. Breakout: Bitcoin broke out of the handle’s resistance, confirming the bullish pattern. The breakout suggests strong buying pressure, pushing the price toward a new peak. Retest Zone: After the breakout, the price is testing the previous resistance (now support). A successful retest could confirm the breakout, setting the stage for another rally. Bitcoin Peak Target: The green arrow suggests a potential price peak if the retest holds and the trend continues upward. Peaks often align with historical halving cycles and market sentiment, so the upward channel could act as a guide for price discovery. Key Levels: Support: The lower yellow trendline. Resistance: The upper yellow trendline. A bounce from support would strengthen the bullish case, while a breakdown could signal a deeper correction.
Long
by Yassine_Houd
3.3-day latest gold trading analysis strategy Gold technical analysis: From the current market perspective, even if gold prices are likely to decline in the short term, we must be wary of weak non-farm payroll data this week or slowing wage growth, which may reignite market expectations for the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts and promote a rebound in gold prices. The short-term resistance target can be moved up to the range of US$2868-2888. If it breaks through US$2900, it is expected to restart the bullish trend. If the negative non-agricultural data will strengthen the Federal Reserve's stance of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further pressured to test the support of $2,800. After the technical level breaks, short momentum may accelerate and the short-term downside risks will intensify. From a technical perspective, at the weekly level, the weekly line closed with a large negative line with upper and lower shadows, breaking the 10 consecutive positive lines, completely engulfing the consecutive positive lines of the previous two weeks, which reflects the strength of the bears. Driven by this, it pierces the short-term 5-week moving average and continues to extend downward. Although it releases the momentum of the bears, other periodic indicators still maintain a long arrangement. In addition, the Bollinger Bands remain upward as a whole, and the MACD indicator continues to form a golden cross upward, so the weekly level decline is still a correction for the bulls. From the daily level, the daily continuous negative pattern allows the gold price to effectively run below the short-term moving average and the Bollinger middle track, and drives the two to turn downward to form suppression respectively. In addition, other periodic indicators maintain a short arrangement, the MACD indicator crosses downward, and the RSI indicator shows sufficient downward potential, so it will be beneficial for the bears to continue to develop. However, the Bollinger Bands have begun to close as a whole, so the overall bearish view at the daily level needs to wait for a high level, and at the same time, we must also beware of a wave of high-level resistance in the gold price at any time. At the 4-hour level, although gold prices hit a low of 2832 late last Friday and ushered in a rebound, as the price is still running below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and the short-term 10 moving average, and driving the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area, other cycle indicators remain unchanged The short positions are arranged, and the overall downward trend of the Bollinger Bands has intensified. However, the fast line of the macd indicator has turned upward, failing to give the short positions downward momentum. The RSI indicator has intentionally strengthened the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, the overall 4-hour level can still see the gold price falling again after the short-term correction. The 1-hour moving average is still in a dead downward bear arrangement, MACD is an underwater golden cross, and gold bears may not have turned the trend yet. As long as the rebound is not large, there is still room for gold to move downward. This week, gold will focus on the resistance near the moving average of 2877. As long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2877, gold can still continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Taken together, in terms of gold's short-term operation today, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The upper short-term focus will be on the 2877-2885 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term will focus on the 2855-2850 first-line support.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman1
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and plan for 03-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 3, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,163 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher after a consolidation phase. If the price sustains above 22,163, it could target the resistance zone of 22,355–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,355–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,127–22,063 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close). Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,163 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,355–22,460, aiming for 22,127–22,063. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the current consolidation range of 21,613–21,600. Waiting for a retest of 22,163 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,355–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,063–22,127) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,063–22,127, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 22,127 could drive prices toward 22,355–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 22,063 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,127 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,063 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,127 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,063–22,127 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,127 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,063 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,963 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,063–22,127 could occur. If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,063–22,127. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,355 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,127 → Target: 22,355–22,460. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,063 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,063–22,127 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 3, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
BNB/USDT weekly chart indicates a few key points for analysis:As of the latest update, BNB is trading around $614.87. Strong resistance is visible around $663.27. Key support levels are highlighted around $478.30 and $205.25. The chart shows a potential cup-and-handle formation, suggesting a bullish outlook if the price breaks above the resistance level. Recent price action indicates a potential consolidation period, with movement occurring between established support and resistance. For a more detailed analysis, consider factors such as trading volume, market news, and overall trends in the cryptocurrency market. Always exercise caution and do further research before making any trading decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup Timeframes Analyzed: 30-Minute (M30) 1-Hour (H1) 4-Hour (H4) Daily (D1) Market Structure Overview ✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum. ✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal. ✅ Premium & Discount Zones: Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions. Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point. Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%) Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher) Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670 Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+ Probability: 70% 📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short. 📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%) Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530 Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Probability: 55% 📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears. Conclusion & Recommendations Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550. Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play. Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
Short
by wizzywise1
USDCHF H1 | Bearish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 0.9016. A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit, which will be at 0.8973, an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 0.9054, which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
0303-0307 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, **Gold** This week, a series of important economic data will be released, particularly the U.S. non-farm payroll data on Friday. If the employment data is very weak, leading to a significant increase in market expectations for interest rate cuts, this could drive up the prices of all assets. Particular attention should be paid to the exchange rate of the dollar against the yen. In the week ending February 25, speculative funds heavily sold off bullish positions on the dollar, causing the dollar index to drop by 0.7%. Specifically, bullish positions on the dollar decreased by one-third, falling to $15.4 billion. Meanwhile, bullish positions on the yen surged by 58%, reaching a record 96,000 contracts. This indicates that the market has become more sensitive to fluctuations in the dollar/yen exchange rate. This increased sensitivity means that market participants are more focused on the volatility of the dollar/yen exchange rate, and any adverse economic data or changes in market sentiment could lead to dramatic fluctuations in the exchange rate. There is a need for heightened vigilance as the dollar/yen exchange rate could fall back into a risk zone, potentially triggering risks related to the unwinding of arbitrage trades. The unwinding of arbitrage trades could lead to further declines in the exchange rate, creating a vicious cycle. In the current technical and futures market environment, the trend of gold shows a clear bearish tendency, but the market situation is complex and needs to be analyzed from multiple perspectives. 1. **Technical Analysis** - **Bearish Trend**: From a technical perspective, gold is in a clear bearish trend. This may mean that prices could continue to be under pressure in the short term, especially when market sentiment leans towards risk aversion or lower risk appetite. - **Key Support Level**: If the gold price breaks below the key support level, near last week's new low of around 2833, it may further accelerate the decline. Conversely, if it can hold above the support level, it may provide a basis for a price rebound and result in a range-bound market. 2. **Futures Market Dynamics** - **Net Selling Phenomenon**: Gold has experienced net selling, indicating that market participants are reducing their long positions in gold. This reflects a bearish sentiment in the short term. - **Changes in Short Positions**: Traditional large short swap traders have significantly reduced their net short positions in gold over the past three weeks, cutting 37,100 contracts (approximately 3.7 million ounces, equivalent to $10.7 billion). This indicates that short selling pressure is weakening, which may provide some support for a future price rebound. Therefore, before the non-farm data is released this Friday, trading gold can be approached with a range-bound strategy. 3. **ETF Market Dynamics** - **Capital Inflow**: Despite the net selling in the futures market, the gold ETF AMEX:GLD recorded a capital inflow of $4 billion last week, the largest single-week inflow in history. This indicates that the demand for physical gold investment remains strong, possibly related to risk aversion or long-term investment strategies. - **Investment Demand**: The inflow of funds into ETFs may provide some support for gold prices, especially in a bearish sentiment in the futures market. On the weekly chart, gold formed a large bearish candlestick last week, creating a weekly bearish engulfing reversal pattern. On the daily chart, after four consecutive trading days of decline, gold needs a period of consolidation to determine whether it will continue to move downward. Considering that gold is trading below the EMA, it's advisable to follow the trend. After consolidation, the probability of shorts covering and longs exiting will be higher, increasing the chances of further declines in gold! This week's trading plan is to follow the trend below the EMA on the weekly and daily charts and look for downward opportunities on the 4-hour chart to continue shorting gold. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FUNTRADER-Vera
GBP/JPY Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Probability Estimation **Timeframes Covered:** - **30-Minute (M30)** - **1-Hour (H1)** - **4-Hour (H4)** - **Daily (D1)** **Key Observations Across Timeframes:** **1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis:** - **Short-term:** (M30, H1) Price is trading near **equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800)** with minor bullish structure. - **Mid-term:** (H4) Price is rejecting from a previous **liquidity zone**, but still inside a bearish structure. - **Long-term:** (D1) Overall, **GBPJPY is still bearish** with price bouncing from the **discount zone (188.000 - 187.500)** but failing to break above **key resistance (190.500 - 191.000).** **2. Supply & Demand Zones:** - **Premium Zone (~190.500 - 193.000):** Strong supply zone, price may reject if it reaches this level. - **Discount Zone (~187.500 - 186.500):** Strong demand zone where price recently found buyers. - **Equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800):** Price is currently consolidating, meaning market is undecided. **3. Liquidity Areas & Key Levels:** - **Previous Daily High (PDH ~190.000) & Previous Weekly High (PWH ~192.000):** These levels may act as liquidity magnets. - **Previous Weekly Low (PWL ~187.500):** If price drops, this will be the next area of interest for liquidity. - **Weak High near 190.500:** If price struggles here, expect a reversal. --- **Probability-Based Scenarios:** **1. Bullish Scenario (Move Towards 190.500 - 192.000)** - **Probability: 50%** - **Reasons:** - Short-term bullish momentum (M30 & H1) suggests price might push toward the **premium zone (190.500 - 192.000).** - If price **breaks and holds above 189.800**, it could push higher. - Liquidity above **PDH (190.000) could be a target** before a potential rejection. **2. Bearish Scenario (Drop Below 188.500 Towards PWL)** - **Probability: 50%** - **Reasons:** - **H4 & D1 remain bearish**, meaning a continuation of the downtrend is still possible. - If price **fails to hold above 189.600**, expect a move lower towards **188.500 or even 187.500 (PWL).** - The **0.618 Fibonacci level (190.626) is acting as strong resistance.** **Final Thoughts & Trade Plan:** - **Market is currently in a neutral zone (50/50 probability)**, meaning it can go either way. - **Key Confirmation Levels:** - **Above 189.800:** Bullish towards **190.500 - 192.000**. - **Below 189.600:** Bearish towards **188.500 - 187.500**.
by wizzywise1
GOLD SELL SETUP📉 Gold (XAUUSD) - Sell Setup Analysis 🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minutes 📅 Date: March 3, 2025 🔹 Key Observations: Resistance Zone (Red Box - 2,885) The price is approaching a strong resistance zone, previously tested as a supply area. A trendline resistance (yellow) converges at this level, increasing the probability of rejection. Bearish Reaction Expected If the price fails to break above 2,885, a short position is valid. A rejection candle in this zone could confirm the sell entry. Entry & Risk-Reward: Entry: Around 2,885 - 2,890 (after confirmation) Stop-Loss: Above 2,896 (blue box) Take-Profit: TP1: 2,840 (first green zone) TP2: 2,831 (major support) Risk Management: Maintain a proper stop-loss to protect against a breakout. If the price closes above 2,896, invalidation of the sell setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CivilianPipster