Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin Is Scripted To Go To $70-73KWhat a week we had, where currently we are seeing some smaller signs of recovery, yet on the bigger picture we see that the 200 EMA line has been a strong resistance zone holding its ground.
As we see some sort of recovery currently and we are about to enter the weekend market, we might see some quick pump and dumps in the next few days.
Despite that, the overall image is still bearish, so we are just going to wait for more dips.
Swallow Academy
Chart Patterns
NIFTY IT - The Trump Effect :XThe chart is self-explanatory as always.
Trump's tariffs have sparked serious recession fears in the U.S., negatively impacting both the U.S. economy and its trading partners. Nifty IT is simply following the lead of IG:NASDAQ , which saw a sharp decline of over 5% yesterday.
From a technical standpoint, the price is currently at a crucial level near the 200 WEMA. The key support zone, in my opinion, lies between 31,450 and 31,400, with 30,000 serving as a significant psychological bounce point.
Now will it respect these levels or just bleed on panic? Time will tell.
What is your take on this sector?
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute trading advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and trading involves significant risk. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTC/Gold: A Clean Retest Confirmation. Reversal point the BTC/Gold chart reveals a cleaner and more structured representation compared to the BTC/USD chart. The BTC/Gold ratio highlights a key retest of a significant support/resistance zone, which aligns with historical trends in this pairing.
This retest solidifies the validity of the level, providing a clearer technical setup for traders. The BTC/Gold chart eliminates much of the noise found in USD-denominated charts, offering a more precise outlook for potential bullish continuation or breakdown.
Profit targets and stop-loss placements should consider key Fibonacci levels and prior swing lows for strategic risk management.
Aud/Usd Long Term SellAud is weak. So has also Usd been this week. But, what I'm looking for here is long term picture. Institutions are shorting Aud and buying Usd. This we can see looking at COT reports and priceaction.
Looking at monthly and weekly charts bulls have difficulties to move price higher. Simply put, sellers are holding their resistance at 0.6400 level and price is ranging in side movement. Also, Aud had a strong push up from 0.6240 level after US put tarrifs on foreign countries on April 2nd. Despite this price was pushed down again on April 4th.
Entry: 0.62400
SL: 0.65000
TP: 0.5800
For best performance: trade in small size and scale into trade. This gives you opportunity to DCA with small size while keeping risk down.
Bitcoin (BTC): Smaller Correction Is Over, Sellers Push Again!We are starting this week with sharp moves, where we are seeing the weekend selling pressure continue into the new week.
As we are approaching the end of the month for March, we are expecting to see a big volatility, and as we still have not touched our major support zone, we expect the next month to start with some sharp moves as well to lower zones. The week has started well so far!
We been talking about our major target being near $70-73K for long time, so we wait patiently
Swallow Team
Bitcoin (BTC): Another Buying Push Been Suppressed By Sellers!Weekends were pretty bloody and so is Monday. We are seeing a strong dominance of sellers where one last push of the month has been suppressed by sellers with strong dominance.
Price is again below both EMAs and we think this might be the start of the movement toward our major target zone!
Swallow Team
USD/CAD(20250404)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.4147
Support and resistance levels:
1.4436
1.4328
1.4258
1.4036
1.3966
1.3858
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.4147, consider buying, the first target price is 1.4258
If the price breaks through 1.4036, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3966
GOLD BULLS FULL TANK AND READY FOR MOON :))As you can see, gold yesterday came and fill the imbalance and grab liquidity while doing it
Now just waiting for NFP for fireworks, If we get NEGATIVE number will help the spark POSITIVE we might dip a bit and BOOM GALAXY TIME
Im in since yesterday dip
Good luck
DXY reversal, Bullish for BTC, but 50 day chop is likelyGood Sunday, dear friend! I'm scribbling down some ideas I had. It's good to be back home after a week on a job project. TradingView on a phone is awesome, but I definitely prefer a bigger screen.
The chart was not as clean as I wished, but it just tells some history with the correlations between DXY and BTC. For instance:
Q4 2022 - DXY tops (BTC bottoms).
Trend reversal for DXY (BTC corrects ABC after W1 after bear market).
DXY declines to a WCL, BTC soars from 25k to 73k.
In the meantime, as BTC soared, DXY also inclined, which led to an extended correction of 7.5 months. DXY rolled over in June 2025, and there was a 60-day lag before BTC felt the boost from the DXY decline.
This leads us to today. DXY and BTC have gone up together. I believe the last leg up is a consequence of the June - September decline of DXY, and BTC went up with DXY, and BTC is now left to feel the consequences of the DXY upturn. Given DXY (most likely) topped 11 days ago, we might chop for 50 more days before BTC resumes upward.
In the last WCLs, DXY retraces a minimum to 0.786. In this case, the trendline suggests a March timeframe for a low in DXY. History suggests the BTC local top is in when DXY bottoms, or is soon to top in about 2 months.
AUDUSD POTENTIAL LONG POSITION Q2 W14 Y25 FRIDAY 4TH APRIL 2025AUDUSD POTENTIAL LONG POSITION Q2 W14 Y25 FRIDAY 4TH APRIL 2025
Could well be the only position to provide fun coupons on a successful week of trading.
The concept is quite simple but does lack a few of our favourite confluences. If this was the beginning of the week, we would perhaps wait for a 15' break of structure but this takes away the Tokyo range fill confluences.
We require a tap into the 15' order block, followed by a bullish move from the point of interest. This in turn we wish to leave behind a void and order block creation. In the same breath, we require lower time frame breaks of structure since the break of 15' would not then give us enough time on an NFP Friday for price action to pull back to the low point of interest and a move long.
Lets see how it plays.
FRGNT x
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3050.Dear colleagues, the price has been in an upward movement for quite a long time and I believe .that it is time for a correction in the “2” wave.
I think it is possible that there may be a small update of the maximum of the top of wave “1” to 3176.771, then I expect a correction to the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3050.
As usual there are 2 possible entry options:
1) Market entry
2) Entry by pending limit orders, if the price updates the maximum.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
28% Intraday Price Explosion—Go home Bears!We’ve just witnessed an extreme intraday surge of over 28% within roughly 40 minutes, fueled by significantly higher volume. This kind of sudden spike often signals a strong wave of bullish buying, and can be the start of a larger rally if momentum holds. However, dramatic moves like this are prone to swift pullbacks as traders lock in profits. Keep an eye on whether price consolidates above new support levels—if so, it could be a stepping stone to further upside.
COINBASE GLOBAL - Technical Analysis Key Observations:
Elliott Wave Structure: COIN has been trading within a clear Elliott Wave pattern across the timeline shown. The chart displays a complete 5-wave impulse followed by a corrective phase. Currently, we are observing the development of another impulse wave which could be signaling the start of a new bullish cycle.
Fibonacci Levels: The stock finds significant support and resistance at key Fibonacci levels. Notably, after touching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $239.3, COIN shows signs of a bullish reversal, initiating the potential formation of a 3rd wave which often is the strongest and longest.
Channel Trading: COIN has respected a rising channel, bouncing off the lower bounds and facing resistance at the upper. The interaction with these channel lines provides crucial entry and exit points.
Technical Indicators:
Volume: Trading volume appears to corroborate the wave counts, with spikes in buying volume at the start of impulse waves and increased selling pressure during corrective phases.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index shows fluctuating momentum, with recent readings heading towards overbought territory, which aligns with our observation of the beginning of a potentially strong upward wave.
Future Projections:
If the bullish momentum continues, and COIN respects the Elliott wave pattern, the next significant resistance is expected at the 1.618 level around $575.70. However, a break below the current support at the 0.618 level could invalidate this bullish outlook and may lead to a retest of lower support levels.
Trading Strategy:
Long Position: Traders might consider taking a long position near the 0.618 Fib level with a stop-loss just below it. The target would be the 1.618 Fib level, aligning with the peak of the projected 3rd wave.
Short Position: A break below the 0.618 Fibonacci level could be used as a signal to initiate a short position targeting the next key support level.
Conclusion:
COIN exhibits a strong technical structure that offers potential for both bullish and bearish trades depending on key levels. Monitoring these levels along with volume and RSI can provide valuable signals for entry and exit points.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's TariffApple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's Tariff Announcement
Many stock indices declined after the US President announced the introduction of tariffs for multiple countries, as we reported yesterday morning. During yesterday’s trading session, the sell-off in equities intensified.
According to media reports, market participants had hoped that the tariff threats were mere rhetoric and a negotiation tactic. However, many were shocked by both the number of countries affected and the scale of the imposed tariffs. Several well-known technology companies led the market downturn.
How Do Trump's Tariffs Impact Big Tech Companies?
Significant tariffs were imposed on Chinese imports, yet Apple manufactures around 90% of its iPhones in China. Many affordable products sold on Amazon are also set to become more expensive, as they are sourced from China.
Meta Platforms' advertising business could suffer considerable losses as companies worldwide cut advertising budgets. Nvidia and Broadcom may also struggle, given that the tariffs apply to many electronic devices incorporating their chips.
As a result, shares of Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), Broadcom (AVGO), and Nvidia (NVDA) fell by approximately 9% by the close of trading yesterday.
Microsoft (MSFT) shares, however, proved more resilient, dropping just 2.3%, as software products are not easily subject to tariffs. Moreover, software developers do not rely on international supply chains.
Technical Analysis of AAPL Chart
Apple’s stock price fluctuations have formed a trend channel (shown in blue), with:
→ The upper boundary acting as resistance since last autumn, although bulls managed to push the price above it during the Christmas rally. We previously highlighted Apple’s overbought condition and the possibility of a correction on 27 December 2024.
→ New data indicates that resistance has now shifted to the median at around $225.
This puts the lower boundary of the trend channel at risk of a bearish breakout. In the coming days, AAPL’s chart may see a bearish assault on the psychological $200 level, which proved significant in August 2024.
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