The last chance for bulls to fight back after the gold crash!After gold rose rapidly, it ushered in a rapid decline. At present, the key support below has moved down to the 3057 line. This is the previous top-bottom conversion level, and it is also the support near the daily 10 moving average. If it does not break here, gold is still in a long correction. After consolidation, it will stand on the 5-day moving average. The line will rise again and hit the previous high. If the level is broken, it will enter the mid-term adjustment. The current lowest market price has touched the first line of 3062, which is closer to the previous high of 3157. We must dare to test near the key support level. Gold is near 3057, and the target is 3100-3105;
Strategy: It is recommended to buy around 3057, stop loss at 3050, target at 3100-05-20;
Chart Patterns
TUT/USDT – Short Opportunity Ahead?We’re spotting a potential short setup as TUT BINANCE:TUTUSDT.P approaches a key support level with increasing selling pressure.
📉 Market Recap & Why This Looks Bearish:
Strong rejection from the $0.0498 - $0.0525 resistance zone.
Price failed to hold momentum and is grinding lower.
Support at $0.0372 - $0.0369 is being tested again – multiple retests weaken the level, making a breakdown likely.
🔎 Short Setup & Targets:
🔻 Entry: Below $0.0372 (after confirmation of breakdown)
🔻 Targets:
$0.0328 (first TP)
$0.0287 (strong support)
$0.0229 - $0.0250 (final TP for full breakdown)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $0.0400 (to avoid a liquidity grab)
🎯 Trade Scenario:
1️⃣ If $0.0372 breaks, we enter short for $0.0328+ targets.
2️⃣ If price bounces off support, we wait for a better re-entry on the next rejection.
3️⃣ Fakeouts possible! Watch for a liquidity grab before confirmation.
⚠️ Final Thoughts
Bearish Bias – Sellers are in control unless we see strong bullish reaction.
Patience is Key – Wait for a clear breakdown before entering.
Manage Risk! – Use proper stop-loss & don’t overleverage.
📊 Follow for more setups!
💬 Are you shorting this? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/4/2025Gold was quite mad yesterday. After touched a new ATH of 3167, it quickly dropped more than 1k pips to 3155 and went back another 800pips to 3135. Finally it closed the day above 3110.
While in smaller timeframes it showed bearish signals, in 12hrly TF, it is above EMA and daily support of 3105. I will be cautious about trading today as it is NFP today.
In short, I will trade breakout today. If 3137 is broken, i will buy towards 3175. If 3105 is broken, I will sell towards 3137.
Safe and Confident Entry ZoneStock reached resistance and rejected with fake break-out.
The stock targeting the green 4h zone.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Take Care.
BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE ON NINTENDO? SWITCH 2 RELEASE DATE BELOW!Nintendo (NTDOY), the Kyoto based home entertainment company known for games like Mario, recently announced the release date of its new video game console: the Nintendo Switch 2. According to Nintendo they hope to have the system released by June 5th 2025 for customers. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1 hour chart. Will this provide investors with a bullish opportunity, or will Trump Tariff's keep this stock's costs from rising?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
A few scenarios for the SPY! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Repricing the Curve – Bonds Lead the ShiftAsset Focus: 5-Year T-Note Futures (ZF1!)
Setup Type: Volatility Breakout – Long Continuation Opportunity
⸻
Theme: Repricing the Curve – Bonds Lead the Shift
The bond market is signaling a decisive regime transition. With softening macro data, trade war escalation, and growing fears of a policy misstep, the 5-Year T-Note has broken out of a multi-month range. This is not simply a yield trade — it’s a shift in market psychology. Bonds are moving first, front-running a potential pivot in the broader economic narrative.
The breakout in ZF1! is not speculative — it’s structural. And while equities continue to lag in response, duration is being bid in size.
⸻
Setup Overview:
The 5-Year T-Note has resolved a broad, well-defined base to the upside. The expansion is impulsive, momentum-backed, and likely tied to flow-based repositioning by macro funds and risk parity models.
The current move is being driven by a re-rating of growth expectations and increased hedging demand amid policy uncertainty. With the market no longer fixated on “higher for longer,” the path for yields is now asymmetrically lower — and futures are responding accordingly.
⸻
COT & Sentiment Snapshot:
• Leveraged funds were positioned defensively — many flat or net short into the move.
• A breakout at this stage may initiate a multi-week flow chase from underexposed players.
• Commercials likely began paring hedges as yields topped — confirming net buyer pressure.
• Sentiment has shifted from complacency to fragility — driven by policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and weak forward-looking indicators.
⸻
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown:
• Clean breakout from consolidation — range resolved with urgency and clarity.
• No signs of blow-off or overextension — this is a fresh trend, not a climax.
• Prior range structure now provides a firm base and validation layer.
• Trend is being confirmed by rising momentum, increasing participation, and narrative support.
• Absence of resistance clusters above allows for continuation until new macro resistance develops.
⸻
Behavioral Finance Layer:
“The fastest markets aren’t driven by greed — they’re driven by fear of being wrong late.”
• Most market participants missed the pivot in tone — bonds are reacting faster than risk assets.
• Short-term underperformance from duration-sensitive portfolios has created rotational pressure.
• Belief in the Fed’s control is eroding — and fixed income is the first responder.
• Traders are no longer fading strength — they’re chasing protection.
⸻
Reflexivity Risk Model:
• Phase 1: Market dismisses recession risk — stays underweight bonds
• Phase 2: Tariffs, macro slowdown, and policy language disrupt narrative
• Phase 3: Breakout forces re-entry and chasing of missed exposure
• Phase 4: New belief forms — bonds now viewed as strategic asset, not tactical hedge
⸻
Strategic Stance:
Maintain a directional long bias. This is a conviction breakout — not noise. With macro volatility rising, trade tensions escalating, and equity markets yet to reflect these risks, 5-Year Notes remain a preferred vehicle for front-running the broader regime shift. Repricing is underway — and fixed income is leading it.
USOIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅CRUDE OIL fell down sharply
And will soon retest a key wide
Support area around 66.00$
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
Therefore we will be able to enter
A long trade with the TP of 68.20$
And the SL of 65.17$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Tactical Setups & Opportunistic Fades
Asset Focus: Crude Oil (WTI)
Setup Type: Bull Trap Reversal with Structural Decompression – Tactical Short Bias
⸻
Setup Overview:
Crude Oil has transitioned from an emotionally driven rally into a reactive phase of structural decompression. The advance was underwritten by geopolitical risk and inflation narratives, but failed to sustain as macro catalysts reversed. The recent U.S. tariff announcement and OPEC+’s unexpected supply adjustment have directly challenged the bullish framework, forcing a revaluation of near-term demand and policy trajectory.
The result: a rejection event that is less about price and more about positioning. The crowd narrative cracked — and the structure followed. What unfolds now is not collapse, but reset.
⸻
COT & Sentiment Snapshot:
• Leveraged funds expanded long exposure aggressively into strength — classic trend-chasing.
• Recent positioning data shows contraction in net longs, signaling early-phase exit behavior.
• Open interest has dropped in parallel with price — a sign of liquidation, not new conviction.
• Commercial activity likely neutral-to-hedging, providing natural resistance into strength.
• Sentiment rotated quickly — from supply fears to demand caution — validating the trap thesis.
⸻
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown:
• Structure confirms a failed continuation — rejection at a known inflection zone undercuts trend integrity.
• Rally occurred without foundational support — gaps beneath price reflect structural imbalance.
• Price has rotated back through key pivots, invalidating prior momentum.
• Thin, untested zones now offer a path of least resistance if pressure continues.
• Current structure suggests rotational or decompressing behavior rather than directional clarity.
⸻
Behavioral Finance Layer:
“When the justification for a trade becomes a headline, the trade is already crowded.”
• Market participants had fully embraced oil as a geopolitical and inflation hedge — a one-dimensional thesis.
• The introduction of U.S. tariffs and the OPEC+ supply shift challenged that belief in real time.
• The rejection was not just technical — it was narrative failure.
• Emotional capital is now unwinding. The next phase will not be fast — it will be unsure.
⸻
Reflexivity Risk Model:
• Phase 1: Risk-driven narratives drive flow into the asset (conflict, inflation, supply tightness).
• Phase 2: Price rise validates the narrative — conviction deepens, flows accelerate.
• Phase 3: Macro catalysts shift (tariffs, supply bump), undermining belief system.
• Phase 4: Narrative fails — positioning begins to unwind, structure decompresses under pressure.
⸻
Strategic Stance:
Hold a tactical short bias grounded in structural rejection and narrative breakdown. No immediate directional call is required — the edge is in recognizing the psychological unwind already underway. Until a new belief structure emerges, the path forward remains governed by residual flow and fading conviction.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
SOLUSDT – Smart Money’s Next Big Move! | Brealdown or Reversal?📉 SOLUSDT is at a key decision point, currently testing a major support level at $112-$115. Based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Market Maker Cycle (MMC), and Manipulative Thinking, let's break down what could happen next.
📌 Market Structure & Pattern Analysis
🔹 Pattern Identified: Right-Angled Ascending Broadening Wedge
Flat Lower Trendline (Support at $112).
Ascending Upper Trendline (Expanding Highs, last peak at $295).
This pattern signifies increasing volatility and market indecision, leading to a strong breakout or breakdown.
🔹 Current Market Structure:
The overall trend is bearish with a series of lower highs and lower lows since the $295 high.
Price is now at a critical support level ($112-$115), which has held multiple times.
🔹 What Happens Next?
If the price holds this level and reverses → Bullish breakout.
If price breaks down → Bearish continuation toward lower liquidity levels.
🔎 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Perspective
1️⃣ Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks
Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone): $112 (Currently Testing)
Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): $134 - $136 (Next Resistance)
Liquidity Pool Below Support: $100-$105 (If support fails)
2️⃣ Liquidity Manipulation by Smart Money
Retail traders see $112 as strong support. Market Makers may push price slightly below this level to trigger stop-losses before reversal.
Fakeouts likely: If price sweeps below $112 and recovers above $115, this confirms a liquidity grab for a potential bullish reversal.
Conversely, if price breaks $112 with strong bearish volume, expect a drop toward $100-$105.
📊 Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Perspective
📌 Market Makers Control the Trend – Here’s What to Expect:
🔹 Current Phase: Accumulation or Redistribution?
Price is consolidating near $112-$115, a critical level.
If this is Accumulation, market makers will push price below $112 to trigger retail sell-offs, then reclaim the level for a bullish move.
If this is Redistribution, price will break below $112 and continue downward toward $100-$105.
🔹 Signs of Market Maker Activity
✅ Bullish Clues: Fakeout below $112 followed by a quick reclaim above $115 with strong volume.
❌ Bearish Clues: A clean break below $112, retest as resistance, and rejection.
🔥 Trading Plan & Targets
🔹 Bullish Scenario (Breakout from Support)
Entry: Long position on strong bounce from $112-$115 with confirmation candle. (High Probibality)
First Target: $125
Second Target: $134-$136 (Key resistance & supply zone)
Final Target: $175-$180 (If breakout continues)
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below $112)
Entry: Short position if price breaks below $112 and retests it as resistance.
First Target: $109-110
Second Target: $96-98 (Major demand zone)
Final Target: $85 (Next liquidity pool)
📢 Final Thoughts
⚠️ A Big Move is Coming – Be Ready!
🔹 Smart Money is watching this $112-$115 level closely.
🔹 A liquidity sweep below $112 followed by a bullish reclaim = Long Setup.
🔹 A clean break and rejection from $112 means Market Makers are pushing lower.
🚨 Risk Management: Always use stop-loss and proper risk-to-reward ratios.
This is not financial advice—trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
📊 Follow for more setups!
📊 Are you trading with the Smart Money or getting trapped by it? 🚀 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Gold fell into a high-level consolidation.Although the gold price briefly fell back to 3100 points, the strength was limited. The big positive line quickly broke through, showing that the short-term momentum was insufficient, the long-term was still strong, and the probability of a new high was greatly increased. On the hourly chart, the gold price maintained high fluctuations, and the strength and sustainability of the retracement were not strong. The technical form of the small-level cycle was gradually adjusted in place, and it was expected to continue to rise in the late trading. The upper resistance was concentrated in the 3127-3133 range, and the lower support was in the 3107-3103 range.
Strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, target at 3120-3130, and break at 3140.
When will gold's continued highs peak?In terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 line of support.
Operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold around 3127-3130, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold around 3100-3102, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
EUR-AUD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
And a retest of the key
Horizontal level of 1.7420
And is going up now so
We can enter a long trade
On a local pullback with
The Take Profit of 1.7551
And the Stop Loss of 1.7362
Buy!
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USDCAD WHAT TO LOOK FOROur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Let’s master the market together. Please share your thoughts and encourage us to do more by liking this idea.
I'm begging again, buy ETHUSD,BTCUSD!! Don't miss out...One thing about crypto, just like stock is that it is always bullish. There may be corrections but it will cover them in few years.
You may be waiting for a better entry, a steeper fall, you may be waiting for when you're sure but I assure you, now is the time.
Now, ETH has corrected really well, to price I've never expected. Buying eth at 1800 is like buying BTC at 20k. You may think it can fall more but that doesn't matter, it can always rise more
DXY has been falling, crypto falling with it. This doesn't usually happen in bull market.
It signifies either accumulation for an explosive move, or a ranging market.
Either way, you're safe buying now.
The market recovered from 2008 market crash, what then will make ETH or BTC not to recover?
Dont start liking posts after the trade is profitable. Trade and make money.
SL- 1735
TP- 5000
ENTRY- 1800
Ya gaziere unu
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
UPDATE ON EURGBP BUY BIASThis pair took us out once but our buy bias was still the same so we looked for another buy opportunity and lurkingly for us we found one.
The confluences were the same, both normal retail head and shoulders structural patterns and some others. Trade is running about 8:1 RR. What a good catch!!!
(ETH) ethereum "update"Ethereum update. Nothing per se to analyze. More of an image to share with two indicators. Not much else to say here. It would be better if the average lines (pink and purple) had dots closer together. The further those dots become on a descent, the higher the likelihood there is of a big drop in price. We want the purple line to begin to curve in a reversal pattern for the price to recover from what is losing right now. Huge discount on Etheruem though, if you like that sort of thing, and Ethereum.