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S&P500 down -4.84%, worst day since 2020 COVID crash! GAME OVER?The S&P500 (SPX) had yesterday its worst 1D closing (-4.84%) in exactly 5 years since the COVID flash crash started on March 11 2020 (-4.89%). Not even during the 2022 Inflation Crisis did the index post such strong losses in a day. Obviously amidst the market panic, the question inside everyone's minds is this: 'Are we in a Bear Market?'. The only way to view this is by looking at SPX's historic price action and on this analysis we are doing so by examining the price action on he 1W time-frame since the 2008 Housing Crisis. As you can see, starting from the Inflation Crisis bottom in March 2009, we've had 4 major market corrections (excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash which was a Black Swan event). All of them made contact with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and immediately rebounded to start a new Bull Cycle. Those Bull Cycles typically lasted for around 3 years and peaked at (or a little after) the red vertical lines, which is the distance measured from the October 15 2007 High to the May 07 2011 High, the first two Cycle Highs of the dataset that we use as the basis to time the Cycles on this model. The Sine Waves (dotted) are used to illustrate the Cycle Tops (not bottoms), so are the Time Cycles (dashed). This helps at giving a sense of the whole Cycle trend and more importantly when the time to sell may be coming ahead of a potential Cycle Top. This model shows that the earliest that the current Cycle should peak is the week of August 11 2025. If it comes a little later (as with the cases of October 01 2018 and June 01 2015), then it could be within November - December 2025. The shortest correction to the 1W MA200 has been in 2011, which only lasted 22 weeks (154 days). The longest is the whole 2008 Housing Crisis (73 weeks, 511 days). All other three 1W MA200 corrections have lasted for less than a year. On another note, the 1W RSI just hit the 34.50 level. Since the 2009 bottom, the market has only hit that level 5 times. All produces immediate sharp rebounds. The December 17 2018, March 16 2020 and August 15 2011 RSI tests have been bottoms while May 09 2022 and August 24 2015 bottomed later but still produced sharp bear market rallies before the eventual bottom. Uncertainty is obviously high but these are the facts and the hard technical data. Game over for stocks or this is a wonderful long-term buy opportunity? The conclusions are yours. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
2
SONIC road map !!!The SONIC will increase FIVE cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
Is BTC ready to move to 66k?I honestly hate to say it but BTC looks like its about to breakdown to 66k. Looks like a symmetrical triangle on declining volume almost ready to move. The Trump Tariffs are the culprit of course and tomorrow 10 percent tariffs will hit across the board. On the 9th, heavier tariffs will hit. Price action will be determined by these regulations. I hope that a lot of countries renegotiate them and actually turn these things into bullish news but I'm very doubtful. I think its more likely that these hit and take us lower. Stay vigilant
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BTC-HONDA
EURUSD road map !!!The Euro will increase two cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Friday. I am not taking any trades today. I caught 2 good scalp trades this week and being Friday, and with all the volitility I am going to sit this one out. Saying that, I have marked the area of interest for a push down or another push up to take out anyone who caught the short trade from the overnight sessions. Let's see how things play out over the next hour or so as Pre NY volume comes in. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets all my thanks and a shout out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
GOLD Bullish consolidation supported at 3058Gold maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support. Key Level: 3058 This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level. Bullish Scenario: A pullback toward 3058 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3141, with extended upside potential toward 3167 and 3198 over the longer term. Bearish Alternative: A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3058 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 3000 and 2974. Conclusion: Gold remains technically bullish while trading above 3058. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3058 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
SONIC Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think now is the time for SONIC to rise again to 0.27 . STRONG SUPPORT 0.382=0.21 TO 0.23. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
BTC sign of weakness & more drop coming BTC Struggles to Break Trendline Resistance: Signs of Weakness on 1D Timeframe Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance on the daily (1D) timeframe, struggling to break above the trendline. This indicates potential weakness, with BTC showing signs of a downside move towards the $70K–$75K range. While we cannot pinpoint an exact support level, this zone serves as a potential drop area. Additionally, a sharp wick could extend lower, possibly touching $69K or even FWB:67K , as liquidity is swept from below before a potential recovery. On the bullish side, a bullish RSI divergence is forming, which suggests that sooner or later, BTC could experience a strong upward move. This could lead to a significant rally in the market. Given the current market structure, it’s a good time to position yourself in high-quality utility projects rather than meme coins. Focusing on fundamentally strong assets can lead to massive gains in the next bullish phase. Stay strategic, manage your risk, and be prepared for future opportunities.
Short
by Traderscorpion
ALGO Ready to Break Out—or Fake Out? Watch This Critical ZoneYello, Paradisers! have you been watching #ALGOUSD’s recent moves closely—or are you about to miss the bounce that could catch 90% of traders off guard? 💎After topping out in December 2024, ALGO entered a clear corrective phase. That correction just completed an ABC zigzag pattern right into a strong support region, slightly above its key weekly level—a zone where buyers historically step in. 💎#ALGOUSDT is showing clear bullish reactions between the 0.165–0.145 levels. More importantly, a complex bullish divergence is forming—on both RSI and MACD. This is your first warning sign that the bears are losing steam and bulls are ready to step back into control. 💎On the upside price must break and hold above the moderate resistance zone at 0.22 level. A successful reclaim here would not only validate the divergence but also represent a deviation reclaim, where price recovers a previously broken support level. 💎If this reclaim is successful and supported by volume, the next key zone to monitor is between 0.25 and 0.275. This region carries particular significance, as it aligns with both the descending trendline resistance and the 25% Fibonacci retracement. It is a critical level that will likely determine whether the current bounce evolves into a sustained bullish leg. 💎Should buyers maintain momentum beyond that point, the next upside target lies between 0.365 to 0.380 levels. Paradisers, strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
COINBASE:ALGOUSDLong
by MyCryptoParadise
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News) Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish – 4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence Lower Timeframe Breakdown 1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC 15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup & Analysis🔹 Trend Analysis: 📉 The chart shows a downtrend followed by a reversal attempt. 📈 The price bounced off a support zone and is moving upwards. 🔹 Indicators: 📊 The 9-period DEMA (83,805.38) is slightly above the current price, acting as a resistance level. 🔹 Trade Setup: 🟢 Entry Zone: Around 82,943 (Current Price) 🔴 Stop-Loss: 81,183.22 ❌ (Below support level) 🎯 Target Point: 85,563.52 ✅ (Upper resistance level) 🔵 Strategy: The trade anticipates a price dip before
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jameshead007
3
EZPW (EZCORP) - Potential for Quick Upside Momentum!Technical Analysis: EZPW has recently shown signs of a bullish breakout, and based on the current chart, there could be a strong upside momentum coming in the short term. Here's why: Breakout Above Key Resistance: EZPW has successfully broken through a key resistance level, indicating a potential trend reversal and the start of an uptrend. Strong Support Zone: The stock has found solid support at lower levels. 1x to 3x Return Potential: Given the breakout and favorable technical setup, EZPW could see a 1x to 3x return in the coming months if the momentum continues and the stock maintains its upward trajectory. Stop Loss: Consider placing a stop just below the support zone to manage risk effectively. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer: As always, conduct your own research and use proper risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Let’s see if the bulls take charge here! 📈 #EZPW #EZCORP #StockBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumTrading #StockPick Feel free to adjust the target prices or any specific details based on your analysis.
NASDAQ:EZPWLong
by FaizalFaizi
Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance. NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today. The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution. 📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H) Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway. Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160. Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050. 📍 Setup 1 SELL Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone). Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M. Stop Loss: Above $3,153 TP1: $3,125 TP2: $3,110 TP3: $3,090 📍 Setup 2 SELL Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest). Entry: 3091-3095 Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5. Stop Loss: Above 3,096 TP1: 3066 TP2: 3054 TP3: 3040 📍 Setup 2 BUY Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry. Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075. Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M). Stop Loss: Below $3,070. TP1: $3,100 TP2: $3,120 TP3: $3,135 📍 Setup 3 BUY Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge)⁠. Entry: Buy at 3048-3055 Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume⁠. Stop Loss: Below 3048 TP1: 3085 TP2: 3115 TP3: 3128 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
3
BTC - Crawling back up after Trump's tariffs.🚀 BTCUSDT - 4H Chart Analysis 🚀 📊 Market Context: Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp move, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that price is now retracing into. The large gap in price action was influenced by recent economic uncertainty and speculation around Trump's tariffs. 📌 Technical Insights: 🔹 Price rebounded strongly from the support zone 📈. 🔹 Now approaching the FVG, where sellers may step in. 🔹 A potential lower high formation could lead to a continuation downward. 📉 Trade Expectation: If price shows signs of rejection within the FVG, we could see a bearish move unfold towards previous support levels. The red arrow highlights the expected move if the resistance holds. ⚠️ Market Caution: Given the macroeconomic impact of recent events, volatility remains high. Always wait for confirmation before making decisions! 📢 Do you think BTC will reject this zone or push higher? Drop your thoughts below! 💬🔥🚀
by Louigi_24
30