SUI | Spot Buy Zone for PullbackPrice has pulled back after a local top and is heading toward a clear demand zone.
Key buy area sits around $3.12, aligned with 0.618 retracement and recent consolidation.
Strong structure below—if majors keep retracing, this is where risk/reward for new spot buys becomes attractive.
Plan:
Waiting for price to reach the green zone to accumulate spot.
Invalidation below $2.80, targeting a move back toward $4.45 and higher if momentum returns.
Chart Patterns
My View for SOLANA next moveMy View for SOLANA next move.
Technically, SOL has been trading within a channel for a while now, with the formation of HHs and HLs.
If fundamentals play out positively long to mid-term, we are likely to see SOLNA fall to $150 zone before another upward leg forms. This leg may rally to as high as $220.
Trade with care.
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EURGBP Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8667 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.8675
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8650
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDZAR Bullish ideaAs we can see this is our USDZAR quarterly shift idea were we are anticipating price to rally to the upside toward our draw on liquidity objectives. We had a weekly volume imbalance and monthly mean threshold order block show us support after we took out major liquidity points. We also showed more support on our daily FVG and a market shift taking place after a displacement. We are anticipating a rally for USDZAR and will be looking to see how price plays out.
USDZAR is an exotic pair that is part of the emerging markets and emerging markets/exotic pairs can usually lead ahead of major forex pair or lag between major forex pairs so this can also help us with our intermarket analysis of forex pairs when determining our dollar strength against other basket currencies.
dYdX Bottom Consolidation Continues, Bullish NextHere you are looking at the formation of a bottom. The formation is a process not a single day event. It can take months for a bottom to fully form.
The way you know this to be true is because there is no downtrend. There are no new lows.
DYDX has been sideways now for 179 days, 6 months. Since early February 2025. In just three months, between December 2024 and March 2025, there is a very strong decline; lower highs and lower lows. A bearish move, a down-wave, a downtrend.
Ever since February the downtrend is no more. Rather than new major lows we have shy lower lows and finally not even that, no new lows. You can see the pattern how the market turned from bearish to sideways. This is the transition period. From sideways it will turn bullish, bullish goes next.
This is the point in time when most people will lose patiently and fold at a loss. Sell at the bottom, near support. This is the most important time to be patient, to accumulate, to even buy more and hold because we are looking at bottom prices. When prices are trading at the bottom and you are a bull, you can't go wrong.
Buy and hold. Continue holding because the market will soon turn.
Namaste.
BTC | Short Bias — Targeting $113kPrice rejected perfectly off the 0.5 retracement and is now filling the previous imbalance.
Yesterday's daily close was decisively bearish, confirming downside momentum.
There’s a lack of convincing reversal signals at current levels.
Plan:
Main expectation is continued downside toward the $113k support.
Not interested in longs until price stabilizes at or below that level.
Hear me out... I've not been posting much (welcome to adhd/autistic life), but if anyone ever drops me a message, I'm always still trading, so feel free to ask me any questions ever :)
So while much of the tariff movement was priced in with the recent drop from the top (1.38 range), we could (and have seen) an expected fall out, with today being the official tariff announcement/last day from Trump.
This afternoon we have NFP, unemployment rate and PMI.
Based on where we are from a TA standpoint, I imagine these to be positive for GBPUSD (least not much more downfall anytime soon/ much lower than where we bottomed out today).
I'm going to update this idea with further notes, but you can see what we're currently working with and get an idea based on the chart what I'm thinking.
We've got the small H&S pattern at work (neckline #1), and a potentially bigger one at play (neckline #2), and then a previous one which I will discuss in the notes (neckline #3).
You can see across the chart a number of downward resistance lines (red).
I've shown them to express that we can see that every time we cross over the line, while it might bounce off it and then keep dipping further, it never crosses back under.
The only time it does cross back over is usually quite briefly (as per the orange arrows), but it's always short lived.
Case and point, we're not only very close to the current resistance-turned-support red line, but we're also hitting major support area.
This paired with such a big drop out (i.e. we could do with at least some short/mid term reversal) and the possibility of a retest of neckline #1, we've got plenty to work with.
You can see I've posted 2 arrows - one GREEN, the other WHITE.
I'll explain my thesis on that at some point and why I think it could easily cross back over the neckline before continuing to the downside.
We've also got the thin purple lines, which as you can see previously act as a resistance to where the reversal will happen at the lower end of the chart (which lines up with the major support line on the weekly chart, which I'll add to the notes at some point too.
Let me your thoughts.
I have a position open from today's drop to neckline #2, so let's see where it takes us :)
BTC - Cleaned up the lows!Bearish momentum is starting to stall here at the lows.
New month, and we started it by cleaning up the previous month's bad lows.
If we can hold here I'm looking for a trendline retest and VAL retest soon. Maybe we get one more sweep of the low, giving us a three drive pattern.
Reclaim VAL then it's back to VAH, maybe take out all the bad highs.
If we start bleeding into the lower demand zone (green box), I will start paying attention for a potential bearish retest into 110k, which we be our last area of imbalance to fill.
Correction ahead for DJIA, attributed to weak momentumDJ:DJI saw strong potential of a larger degree correction targeting 42,890 or lower support at 41,935. Reason being that there's a bearish divergence between the price chart and 23-period ROC. Furthermore, mid-term stochastic has shown bearish overbought signal. Another worthy price action signal showing weakness is that the index has fail to break above the high at 45,000 psychological level.
Despite the weak outlook, we are looking at a long-term upside targeting 46,200 (6 months and beyond)
ENA | Range Low Reclaim — Targeting Midrange and AboveClear reclaim of the range low and a strong daily close confirm a bullish market structure shift.
Printing a higher high signals potential for continuation.
Dips toward the reclaimed range low are healthy, providing buy-the-dip opportunities.
Accumulation at the range low with invalidation below keeps risk tight.
Plan:
Accumulate pullbacks toward the range low.
Hold for midrange ($0.83) and upper range/major resistance.
DOLLAR INDEXDepartments Responsible for Each Economic Report
Indicator Responsible Department/Source
Average Hourly Earnings m/m U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), part of the Department of Labor
Non-Farm Employment Change BLS (Establishment Survey)
Unemployment Rate BLS (Household Survey)
Final Manufacturing PMI S&P Global/Markit (private company)
ISM Manufacturing PMI Institute for Supply Management (ISM, private sector)
ISM Manufacturing Prices Institute for Supply Management (ISM)
Revised University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment University of Michigan (private/public university)
Construction Spending m/m U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce
Revised UoM Inflation Expectations University of Michigan
How the Federal Reserve Interprets “Greater Than” or “Lower Than” Forecast
1. Average Hourly Earnings,
2.Non-Farm Payrolls,
3. Unemployment Rate
Higher than forecast (stronger labor market):
Tight labor markets (higher wages, more jobs, lower unemployment) suggest inflationary pressure.
The Fed may view this as a signal to keep rates higher for longer, as wage and job growth could fuel inflation.
Lower than forecast (weaker labor market):
Signals cooling in employment and wage growth, reducing upward pressure on inflation.
The Fed may see this as justification to consider easing policy or at least pausing further rate hikes.
2. Manufacturing PMIs (ISM, S&P)
Above 50: Signals expansion in manufacturing; below 50 indicates contraction.
Higher than forecast: Points to stronger economic momentum; the Fed may see upside risks to inflation.
Lower than forecast: Indicates weaker manufacturing activity; a possible sign of slowing demand, which could support rate cuts or dovish policy if persistent.
3. ISM Manufacturing Prices
Higher than forecast: Suggests inflationary pressures in manufacturing input costs; Fed interprets this as a reason for vigilance on inflation.
Lower than forecast: Implies easing input price pressures, supporting a dovish outlook if inflation remains subdued.
4. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
Stronger than forecast sentiment: Consumers are more optimistic, often a sign of solid spending potential. May amplify inflation if this leads to greater demand.
Higher inflation expectations: If consumers expect higher future inflation, this can become self-fulfilling and the Fed may maintain tighter policy.
Weaker sentiment/lower inflation expectations: Reduces inflation risk, gives the Fed more flexibility to ease if needed.
5. Construction Spending
Higher than forecast: Indicates resilient investment and demand in the real economy.
Lower than forecast: Suggests cooling real estate and infrastructure spending; may support a dovish Fed outlook if sustained.
Summary Table
Data Surprises Interpretation for Fed Policy
Higher-than-forecast More hawkish; raises risk of persistent inflation
Lower-than-forecast More dovish; reduces pressure to hold rates higher
The Fed looks at the overall pattern across these data. Persistent upside surprises heighten concerns about inflation, supporting tighter policy. Downside surprises suggest cooling economic momentum and may encourage future rate cuts or pauses. The relative impact depends on which indicators surprise and the broader economic context.
#DXY #DOLLAR
Bitcoin at $110,000?After reaching its last ATH, Bitcoin practically went into a coma. Now, with the strengthening of the dollar, it's undergoing a correction — and if that correction deepens, there's a possibility it could drop to \$110,000. We'll have to see whether it finds support around the \$112,000 level or not.