Gold Market Update (XAUUSD) – April 3, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) has been highly profitable after breaking a key resistance level and reaching a new all-time high. The strong bullish momentum has created a parabolic move on the daily time frame (TF), which often signals an impending retracement or correction as the market seeks stability. While the overall trend remains positive, a pullback could occur soon as price action cools down.
On the 1-hour time frame (TF), key support levels are emerging where gold may find temporary stability. The first major support to watch is around $3,080, where the 200 EMA could act as a dynamic support level. If this level fails to hold, a deeper correction could push prices toward the next significant support at $3,050, which has previously acted as a strong demand zone.
Despite the possibility of a short-term pullback, the broader outlook for gold remains bullish, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, inflation concerns, and central bank policies. Traders should closely monitor these support levels to assess potential buying opportunities or signs of a further downward move before the next leg higher.
#XAUUSD #Bitcoin #ethereum #forextrading #forex #cryptocurrency
Chart Patterns
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs.
Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099
Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver
Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly
Resistance levels: 3135, 3167
Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077
Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth.
Regards R. Linda!
S&P500 Tariff comeback may be starting a whole new Bull Cycle!The S&P500 index (SPX) is making a remarkable comeback following the non-stop sell-off since mid-February as, following the tariff 90-day pause, it is staging a massive rebound just before touching the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Since that was almost at the bottom of its bullish channel while the 2W RSI hit its own Higher Lows trend-line, this can technically initiate a 2-year Bull Cycle similar to those that started on the October 2022 and March 2020 bottoms (green circles).
The fact that the current correction has been almost as quick as the March 2020 COVID crash, may indicate that the recovery could be just as strong. In any event, it appears that a 7200 Target on a 2-year horizon is quite plausible, being close to he top of the bullish channel, while also under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which got hit during both previous Bullish Legs.
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Gold Sweeps 3100s — Bullish Build Up Eyes 3160sJust as anticipated, Gold market made a clean sweep through the 3100s, fueling momentum in its bullish structure. Current sentiment sets the stage for a continued rally, with eyes now locked on the 3160s as the next key zone.follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
Correction has begun in SPXWe can almost say that 4800 has been touched and given that the downward movement was very fast, this wave is most likely the A-wave of a triangle and the upward waves that are forming after the 90-day suspension of the stalls are considered as a corrective wave.
Previous SPX Analysis
SHORT 1hour candlestick chart on BITCOIN (BTC/USD) AnalysisFollow Risk management
Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 1H
Signal Type: Short (Sell)
Entry Zone: Around 81,872 – 81,900 (retest of broken support as resistance)
Stop Loss: Above 82,900 (above the recent high)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 78,500 (near mid-support zone)
TP2: 74,500 (major support)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 (depending on entry)
Reasoning:
Price broke out of a descending resistance and sharply rallied.
It's currently pulling back and retesting the broken structure.
If rejection confirms, shorting from the retest with the expectation of a drop back to support levels is valid.
80K pullback is done, but it is not for selling anymoreMorning folks,
So, the upside bounce to 80K resistance that we were watching is done now. It has happened even twice. D. Trump so efficiently tarrifying markets, and them provides them the relief that BTC mostly is just a hostage of this so called "news stream". Actually as well as all other markets.
Once 90 day tariffs postpone has been provided, stocks jumped and liquidity returns, supporting all other things around. It might be temporal? Sure. But nobody knows what in the old Donny's head.
By looking at current action, it seems that 80K support is more reasonable to use for long entry with 85.5 target at least. Definitely it would be better to not sell by far...
Gold's Price Movements: Impact of Tariffs and Technical UpswingUnder the influence of tariffs, gold currently has significant fluctuations. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the price is above 3,100, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. In addition, the CPI data will be released during the US trading session today, and this data is also likely to cause abnormal fluctuations in the price of gold.
Today, the price of international gold still has significant fluctuations under the influence of tariffs. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the highest price is 3,130, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space.
From a technical perspective, a powerful bullish candlestick on the daily chart has directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the early stage. Now, the bullish candlestick has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pulled up the moving averages, and there is a significant trading volume. Thus, gold has entered a very strong bullish trend. In this state, it is expected to continue rising to the previous high of 3,150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish.
It is a normal trend that the small cycle has made adjustments under the suppression of 3,100. Now, the Bollinger Bands of the H4 cycle have just opened, and the one-sided upward movement has just shown the first wave of strength. There is no problem for the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. So, as long as the price of the H4 cycle falls back to the support of the one-sided moving average, it is an opportunity to go long.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3150
Bitcoin in a Descending ChannelHello guys!
BTC is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows since mid-March.
Descending Channel: The upper and lower boundaries have acted as reliable resistance and support zones.
Double Bottom Pattern: Price action recently formed a double bottom near the $75,000 zone (marked "HUNT2"), which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Target: The neckline breakout from the double bottom targets the $85,000–86,000 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel — a confluence resistance.
Fakeouts (HUNT1 & HUNT2): These "hunt" zones likely represent liquidity grabs or stop-loss sweeps, indicating strong institutional manipulation before major moves.
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🔮 What's Next?
🎯 Bullish Scenario: After touching the lower level of the neckline, it goes to touch the top line of the channel and touches the target of the pattern.
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⚠️ Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the $85K zone could send BTC back down toward FWB:73K –$ 74 K. Further downside could bring the $69K–$70K zone into focus.
Gold short-term market analysis and operation suggestionsJudging from the 4-hour gold chart, the turbulent mode caused by uncertainty in the global market may continue. In the short term this week, the day when the reciprocal tariffs take effect is uncertain, and the CPI data is released. It is not ruled out that there will be another extreme reversal on the trading day. As the tariff war has once again driven the market's risk aversion, gold directly chose to break through and surge. As for the market, the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of decline, and the pressure of 3132 above is obvious. The 4-hour chart is still running strong, and the short-term upward momentum is running well. The support below focuses on the integer mark of 3100. In terms of operation, it is recommended that gold rebound around 3129 first, and continue to buy at the integer mark of 3100 if it falls back. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds around 3129, and continue to buy at the integer mark of 3100 if it falls back.
DXYThe DXY is expected to become bearish and decline significantly, possibly reaching levels between 96.50 and 94.78. This is primarily due to the taxes imposed by Donald Trump, which led to an economic war. As a result, the dollar has weakened, and we are seeing a severe economic downturn, similar to the financial crisis during the COVID-19 pandemic or the 2008 global recession. Therefore, it is anticipated that the DXY will experience a sharp decline or a strong bearish trend.