ETH - Super bullish inverse H&SCould we be looking at a super bullish scenario of an inverse head and shoulders for ETH? It looks ugly, but could work if the neckline is decisively breached. If it is, we could be looking at some serious gains for ETH. This isn't meant to be fake news or an attempt to gain followers, it's all on the pile of possibles until made improbable. So, we'll keep our fingers crossed and look for higher highs. Until then, follow for more.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍
🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670.
💡 Key Insights:
📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum.
📌 Target support area: 2680/2670.
📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades.
⚠️ Historical Note:
When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious!
💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
GOLD FORECAST 2025 The peak could see 2883! and Down n sidewaysThe likely formation for The Gold market in 2025 .We are now in one of two counts .First the BEARISH Count the rally is that of of an ABC to a small New high forming a wave B Top . and then we should see the reversal real soon . and decline back to 2550 . The Not so bearish /bullish count is we run up to 2883 for the Top of wave 3 of 5 of 5 and then drop about a100 to 122 $ from 2883 for wave 4 then run in wave 5 of 5 to 2990/3100 . The buying signal The BIG one is not until oct 2026 best of trades WAVETIMER
Toshi Bull-Market Signal: 260% Daily Bullish BreakoutThis is a signal signaling the start of the 2025 bull-market. This trading pair, TOSHIUSDT, broke up yesterday and produced a candle that topped at 260%+, within the day.
If we take the 13-Jan. low as the start of the bullish move to the peak yesterday we get a total breakout amounting to 300%. This is seen only and can be seen only within a bull-market. Since it is early, we can take it as the start of the next major bullish move. Early is good.
Join early and you get lower risk and higher potential for rewards.
Early entries are better for sure because you get to enjoy the full bullish move.
This is a short post just to let you know that the bull-market is on, and it is going to go for a long while... Prepare for massive growth-massive growth; ultra-green in the days, weeks and months that are yet to come.
Thank you for your continued support. It is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
Is Ethereum set for more gains, with $4200 as the target?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ethereum , 📚🎇
After a few days of moving outside its typical range, the price has now returned to the parallel channel it previously established. Given this, I expect additional upward momentum from the lower boundary of the channel, with higher targets ahead. This price action indicates the trend is likely to continue, supported by a clear trendline that outlines the ultimate target. The trendline provides a solid reference point for predicting the price's future movement. As a result, the outlook remains bullish, with an expectation of continued gains, potentially yielding at least a 23% profit. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
After several days, the price has returned to its previous parallel channel, and I expect further upward movement from the lower boundary, with the final target confirmed by a clear trendline.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
$XAUUSD: Gold firing on all cylindersSeems like OANDA:XAUUSD triggered a weekly up trend again, you can see it has been trending up strongly since I called the long term trend in Gold would take place a while back (see related ideas). Trump's ideas regarding inflation and rates might influence the Federal Reserve's actions going forward, perhaps the market is pricing this in now.
Historically, precious metals move in correlation to real interest rates, that is, inflation adjusted interest rates. At times, Gold might be affected by broad scale deleveraging at times of market stress, since it acts as collateral for many investors, or it might be bought as a hedge for geopolitical risk. In normal periods, real rates influence price the most.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Trump Coin: Bearish Signals and Double Bottom AheadAs of January 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $102,378, exhibiting bearish tendencies. This downturn is influencing altcoins, including Trump Coin (TRUMP), which is currently priced around $27.14.
Technical Analysis of Trump Coin (TRUMP):
Head and Shoulders Pattern: On higher timeframes, TRUMP has formed a head and shoulders pattern, a classic bearish indicator suggesting potential downward movement in the mid-term.
Double Bottom Support Level: The anticipated decline may lead TRUMP to revisit its previous double bottom support around the $5 mark.
Short-Term Bullish Spike: Before reaching the $8.80 support level, a brief bullish surge towards $12.544 is expected, possibly offering short-selling opportunities.
Supporting News and Market Sentiment:
Recent developments have contributed to the bearish outlook:
Regulatory Concerns: President Donald Trump's executive order to establish a task force for proposing new cryptocurrency regulations has introduced uncertainty, leading to market declines.
Meme Coin Volatility: The launch of TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins saw initial surges followed by significant crashes, highlighting the speculative nature of these assets and raising concerns about their impact on the broader crypto market.
Given these factors, traders should exercise caution. Monitoring key support and resistance levels, along with staying informed about regulatory developments, is crucial for making informed decisions regarding TRUMP and the broader cryptocurrency market.
ETH preparation Anyone who is looking to go long on ETH just be a bit careful and consider this analysis as something which could play out.
The first reason why I think we don’t start going up quickly again until mid-late Feb is partly due to the technical analysis showing unmitigated areas of supply / significant imbalances /FVG’s- which typically slow the market down by causing some negative price action.
The second reason is because of the bitcoin miners and related equities like Coinbase and Microstrategy…they have just entered a significant area of supply after a 3 wave move up - this implies the more likely move is down for at least a couple of weeks. Also on the daily timeframe Coinbase and Microstrategy show Elliot Wave counts which imply wave C down has not come in yet depending on how you interpret the charts.
The third reason is because $3000 ETH is a psychological level resting in an untested demand zone which is nestled underneath a double bottom type structure which indicates it to be a likely area for price to head down to.
It is tricky to find a highly probable trade on ETH at the moment - so it’s a waiting game until something clearer develops.
Analysis and Forecast for the TRUMP ($TRUMP) Token
Here's the corrected version with grammar errors fixed:
The $TRUMP token seems likely to tank further. $TRUMP has lost close to 55% of its all-time high (ATH) value. This is a CLASSICAL example of a speculative, volatile, and risky trade.
This crypto (token) went from nothing to roughly $77 in hours, and investors were still willing to buy, knowing by many that the DUMP had started. This led to an unimaginable loss for many traders.
My view is: this coin is likely going downhill as indicated on my chart. If it breaks the current support level and the ascending trendline,
if the above happens, we might see $TRUMP hit $30, or bottom out at $27 zones.
Trade with care.
GOLD POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current MONTHLY AREA. Will be watching out for a possible reversal pattern which could lead to SELL.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Short Position Idea on Gold (XAU/USD), 15M Timeframe (QML StrateThe chart shows confirmation of a bearish structure, aligning with the Quasimodo Level (QML) strategy. I identified an order block on the 15M timeframe, from which I expect a rejection downward. The target is the lower FVG (Fair Value Gap), located below the current price.
Strategy:
Enter short from the order block aligned with the QML after confirmation.
Place the stop-loss above the order block.
Take-profit at the lower FVG level.
This strategy leverages market structure and imbalance zones for precise entries. Watch for volumes and additional confirmations on smaller timeframes!
SILVER (XAGUSD): Technical Outlook ExplainedSilver is currently trading within a tight horizontal range on a 4-hour chart.
To confirm a bullish trend, it is recommended to wait for a break above the upper boundary of the range.
A 4-hour candle closing above 31.00 would confirm a the violation, with a potential continuation to at least 31.43.
On the other hand, a break below the support of the range would signal a bearish trend.
this is the MOST COMPLETED ANALYSIS on #NOT !#NOT
lets start from the begining !
1) we had a nice rising spike which has some liq in its small correction
2) after that the first demand zone was touched it could be the first wave down or a subwave for the first bearish wave
3) the second demand zone was touched and it was the real 1st bearish wave and the rising after that was the 2nd bearish wave
4) we had another demand zone at the bottom of the first rising spike when the market went down to touch this demand zone made an ABC pattern , the whole pattern made the 3rd wave
5) the market made a good rise this was our 4th wave
6) after the 4th wave , now the market is making an ABC structure to make the last wave , 5th wave , in this structure wave A and B are made now we are waiting for wave C to be made
this was the whole elliot waves and technical analysis for notcoin
as a fundamental for not coin :
Notcoin (NOT) has recently experienced significant developments in the cryptocurrency market. In June 2024, following its listing on Binance, Notcoin's value surged, reaching an all-time high. However, it subsequently declined by approximately 39%, trading at $0.0166, reflecting the volatile nature of the crypto market.
In August 2024, the arrest of Telegram's founder, Pavel Durov, in Paris on multiple criminal charges, including allegations related to illegal transactions and money laundering, had a profound impact on Notcoin. The token's price plummeted by 25%, dropping to $0.0086, as investor confidence was shaken.
Despite these challenges, Notcoin's trading volume exceeded $1 billion, marking one of the largest gaming token launches of 2024. The token's market capitalization reached approximately $776 million, with a total supply of 102.7 billion tokens minted at inception.
Analysts observe that Notcoin is currently near a critical support level, with technical indicators suggesting a potential bullish reversal if it maintains above this threshold. The formation of a falling wedge pattern indicates the possibility of a trend reversal, with target estimates potentially reaching up to $0.018.
The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and Notcoin's future performance will depend on various factors, including legal developments and market sentiment. Investors are advised to monitor the situation closely and exercise caution in their investment decisions.
Why Blind Index Investing Could Be Costing You Thousands?!Index-based investing has been one of the most popular ways to grow a long-term portfolio for decades. Today, it has become even more accessible and favored, offering a safer foundation for investing and generally carrying lower risk compared to portfolios composed of individual stocks. For someone like me, a technical analyst, index investing isn't exactly an adrenaline rush. Under societal pressure, I decided to test a few hacks and dive deeper into it ;)
I set out to compare three of the most popular U.S. index ETFs – SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and IWM (Russell 2000) – and analyze how to implement a brief technical analysis into index selection could influence long-term results. Starting in 2005, I "invested" $1,000 every quarter, completing a total of 81 test purchases. Each time, I selected the index that technical analysis suggested was in the strongest position.
If done strictly and consistently, there were often situations where all three indices had just reached their all-time highs. In those moments, I had to make a choice. Technical analysis is not just about drawing lines on a chart – experience, market intuition, and behavioral patterns of the price play a big role here.
My Test and Strategy
The goal was to compare the following three U.S. index ETFs:
- SPY (S&P 500)
- QQQ (Nasdaq 100)
- IWM (Russell 2000)
Test conditions:
- Start date: 2005
- Investment period: 81 quarters
- Mandatory quarterly investment: $1,000
- Index selection: Based on technical analysis and market intuition.
Distribution of trades during the test period:
- SPY: 35 times
- QQQ: 31 times
- IWM: 15 times
The chart illustrates SPY, QQQ, and Russell with blue arrows marking purchase points.
Results of the Experiment
Performance of my strategy:
- +344% return
- Invested: $81,000
- Final value: $360,000
Comparison indices (each quarter regular purchases):
- SPY: +233% (final value: $272,000)
- QQQ: +579% (final value: $552,000)
- IWM: +128% (final value: $186,000)
My strategy outperformed SPY and IWM because I focused on selecting the ETFs in the strongest technical condition at the time. While QQQ delivered higher absolute returns, my diversified approach offered competitive returns with lower risk and more stable outcomes.
Key Takeaways
1. Diversity and Stability: Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization
The goal wasn't just maximum returns but also reducing risk and adopting a smarter approach. While QQQ had the highest returns, remember that it is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, making it riskier. Back in 2005, it wouldn't have been easy to predict that QQQ would outperform. A technical analysis strategy allows for risk diversification by choosing the strongest index at any given time, delivering significant returns while maintaining diversity and stability.
2. Thoughtful Regularity Outperforms Blind Regularity
Strict quarterly investing avoids the biggest mistake investors fear – timing the market. Regularity is crucial, but it needs to be thoughtful. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. My strategy allowed selecting the strongest index at each point, yielding significantly better returns.
3. Wrong Index Choice Can Be Costly
Had I chosen only IWM throughout the period, my return would have been just +128%. This clearly shows the importance of not sticking to one index but instead evaluating regularly to find the one with the greatest potential at any given time.
How to Choose the Best Index: Follow my Newsletter to Guide You
One of many of the topics of this newsletter (You will find it here, in the profile section, visiting my "website") will be sharing my monthly and quarterly top lists of indices, making regular purchases easier for you. The test proved that sticking to one index isn’t the best way forward – but which one should you choose? That’s where the monthly top list comes in.
I firmly believe this strategy and approach have significant potential to help investors make smarter and more confident decisions. That’s why I’m starting a newsletter, where one of the many topics will be sharing this list regularly:
- The technically strongest indices for investing.
- Explanations of why a particular index is technically more attractive than others.
Conclusion
My research proves that technical analysis and understanding of charts can be powerful tools for long-term index investing. Regularity, fact-based decisions, and risk diversification help achieve optimal results.
Your portfolio deserves better decisions. Don’t waste time analyzing indices yourself.
All the best,
Vaido
QQQ Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 529.65 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 519.17
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Oil Market Update: Bearish Trend ContinuesOil Market Update: Bearish Trend Continues
The oil market is currently facing a bearish trend, with prices experiencing a significant decline. The highest price was recorded on January 15th at $80.73 per barrel, and it has since dropped to $74.50 per barrel, representing a depreciation of nearly 8.5% over about 9 days
Technical Analysis:
Technically, the price decline has broken several support levels, confirming the bearish trend. The next potential targets for the oil price are $73.00 and $71.30, which are critical support levels.
Key Factor Driving the Decline:
U.S. President Donald Trump demanded OPEC lower oil prices and the world drop interest rates in a speech to global business and political leaders and warned them they will face tariffs if they make their products anywhere but the U.S.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️