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XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – August 4–8, 2025New Month. New Week. New Questions. Will the market reward hesitation — or bold reaction? Will POTUS pump price with policy noise, or will smart money fade the manipulation? August is historically a quieter month for hedge funds — but don’t mistake silence for safety. It's also the time when the Fed retreats to Jackson Hole, reflecting and recalibrating. Will September bring another rate cut… or another twist? Stay sharp. This isn’t a month to sleep on. "Last week's game plan played out nearly to perfection — well, almost! Let’s dive in and break down where gold could be headed next week." Gold kicks off August with a strong breakout above $3360, powered by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising global risk appetite, and persistent institutional demand. With Jackson Hole on the horizon and shifting Fed expectations, volatility is set to spike. The big question: will gold extend above premium, or retrace to rebalance? After the last rejection near 3440, price broke cleanly below its ascending channel. Now, gold appears to be forming a potential lower high around the broken trendline — a rejection here could trigger a drop toward the key $3250 support zone. 🟡 XAUUSD – August Macro Outlook 💰 Price: $3362 📅 Date: August 3, 2025 📈 Bias: Bullish but extended — high in premium 🔸 Monthly Overview 📊 Trend: Bullish continuation (CHoCH April 2023) 🧱 Supply Zone: 3350–3439 → monthly wick trap ⚠️ RSI 80+, price nearing 100% Fib extension 🔮 Breakout above 3439 → 3505 / 3610 next 🔻 Rejection → pullback to 3270 / 3180 🔸 Weekly Outlook 💥 Structure: Strong bullish, EMA stack intact 🟥 Final HTF Supply: 3350–3439 (currently testing) 🟦 Demand Below: 3270 → 3215 → 3070 🎯 Targets if breakout: 3505 → 3560 → 3610 🔸 Daily Structure ⚔️ Now testing: 3355–3375 → last valid supply 🎭 Above that → internal trap at 3398–3412 🧨 Final ceiling at 3430–3439 — breakout or reversal? 🔸 H4 / H1 Key Zones 🟥 Supply: 3360–3375 / 3385–3398 / 3430–3439 🟫 Flip Long Zone: 3322–3310 🟦 Bullish Demand: 3285–3260 → 3222–3205 ⚠️ RSI elevated, watch for reaction not breakout 🔹 Execution Plan ✅ Above 3439 → Expansion to 3505 / 3610 🔁 Pullback to 3325 / 3285 → Sniper long zones 🔻 Rejection from 3375 → Short scalp → Target 3320 📌 3439 = Key Monthly Pivot 🟢 Hold above → New expansion wave 🔴 Fail below → Retrace toward value Extended: 🔸 Scenario 1: Breakout and Expansion If bulls push through 3375 with conviction and break above 3439, gold enters a fresh leg of macro price discovery. This would activate a clean expansion path toward: 3405 (short-term extension) 3505 → 3560 → 3610 (Fibonacci projections) 3740 (full trend extension if momentum persists) This scenario requires solid bullish confirmation, especially on H4 or D1 structure. Traders should look for LTF OB re-entries or bullish flags above 3350 to join the trend safely. 🔸 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retrace If gold rejects from the 3360–3375 zone and fails to hold above it, a controlled retracement is likely. Key downside targets include: 3325 → first flip zone for re-entry 3285 → origin of the latest rally (strong buy zone) 3215–3180 → high-timeframe demand and imbalance fill Only a breakdown below 3260 would threaten the bullish structure and shift bias toward neutral or bearish. 🔸 Conclusion Gold is approaching its inflection point. The macro trend is intact, but momentum is stretched, and the market now demands clear validation. 📌 3439 remains the weekly pivot: Above → Expansion toward 3500+ Below → Retracement to reclaim value For next week, the most probable path is early consolidation inside 3360–3375, followed by a decisive reaction — either continuation toward 3405+, or a corrective drop toward 3325/3285 to reset structure. Disclaimer: For educational context only. #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #TradingAnalysis #SMC #USD #GoldOutlook
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FX_Scrubbs
Go long on gold at low prices, targeting above 3400.Go long on gold at low prices, targeting above 3400. Gold 4-Hour Chart: As shown in the chart, from a macroeconomic perspective, despite the rise in gold prices, it remains trapped within a trend channel. Currently, gold prices are under pressure in the 3370-3380 range. On Friday, driven by risk aversion, gold prices briefly rose to $3363. With the Federal Reserve resuming its rate hikes over the weekend, expectations for a September rate hike have risen to 80%. The most robust strategy for gold prices next week: enter long at low prices and manage your position accordingly. Going long at current prices is not recommended. Instead, watch for potential declines due to profit-taking after the price dips. Upward resistance lies near 3370 and 3380, where previous reversals occurred. Every waterfall pattern offers a buying opportunity on the decline. Although gold is currently strong, if we are bullish, we should not chase the gains. Simply wait patiently for prices to fall back to lower levels before going long. Short-term intraday trend Upside focus: Resistance at 3372-3385 Downside focus: Support at 3345-3340 and 3315-3320. Gold Strategy: 1: Buy on the first dip into the 3338-3343 range, with a small stop-loss and a target price of 3370-3380. 2: Go long at low prices and control position size. This is definitely the most stable trading strategy. Patiently maintain a swing strategy. Target 3400+. 3: Continue to monitor resistance near 3440 next week. As shown in the chart, a converging triangle pattern may form.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_Suri2025
ETH/USD Double Bottom with Bullish RSI Divergence 1HETH/USD has formed a double bottom pattern on the 1 -hour timeframe , signaling a potential bullish reversal after recent downside pressure. The pattern is supported by a bullish RSI divergence, where price made lower lows but RSI printed higher lows — indicating a momentum shift. A buy stop entry is placed just above the neckline, targeting a continuation toward key resistance zones. Trade Setup Buy Stop Entry: 3539.52 (on confirmed neckline breakout) Stop Loss: 3424.13 (below second bottom – invalidation level) Take Profit 1: 3658.19 Take Profit 2: 3774.71
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by fahadfarooq54
Bitcoin is experiencing a major collapse!BTC/USD – Historical Cycle Analysis & Mid-Term Outlook (1W) Exchange: Coinbase Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Key Observations: Long-Term Trendline Resistance The black ascending trendline has historically acted as a major resistance zone since 2017. Every touch of this line in the past has been followed by a significant correction. Bearish Divergences (DIV / HDIV) Red arrows indicate historical bearish divergences on RSI/MACD. Each divergence marked a local or macro top before a sharp retracement. Major Historical Resistance – $64,899 Derived from 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the primary cycle. Served as a key ceiling during previous cycles before new all-time highs. Bitcoin Cycle Behavior BTC historically forms parabolic tops followed by deep corrections. The current cycle (2024–2025) mirrors 2017 and 2021 structures, suggesting we may be approaching a macro inflection point. Mid-Term Scenario Price near the trendline (~$120K) implies high risk of volatility and correction. Primary support zone: ~$65K (historical + Fibonacci confluence). Likely scenario: range-bound movement between $65K–$120K before any sustainable breakout or new parabolic leg.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by IngemarBurns
LTC/USDT Robbery Underway | Bullish Setup, Get In Now!🔥💎 LTC/USDT HEIST PLAN: ROB AT ANY PRICE! 💎🔥 🚨 Bullish Move Incoming | Layered Entries | Thief Trader Exclusive 🚨 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️ The time has come for another high-stakes Thief Trading heist, and this time we're lockin' in on LTC/USDT – aka "Litecoin vs Tether" 💣💸 🎯 Thief’s Mission Plan: BULLISH AT ANY PRICE LEVEL! We're going full stealth mode with a layering strategy — stacking multiple limit orders like a true pro thief preparing for a clean escape! 🔪📉📈 🚪 ENTRY: "Anywhere, Anytime" 🚪 📈 Buy from any price level — but for optimal entry: 🟢 Use Buy Limit orders near recent lows (15-30 min TF) 🔔 Don’t forget to set alerts for breakout confirmation! 🛑 STOP LOSS: Strategic Defense 🛑 🗣️ "Listen up, team! Stop loss ain’t a maybe — it’s your armor. Place it smart, or prepare for pain." 🔥 📍Recommended SL: 100.00 🔐 Adjust based on your lot size & how deep you stack your orders. 🏁 TARGET: 130.00 🏁 💸 But always Escape Early if the plan gets too hot! Use a Trailing SL to lock in gains and slip out clean 😎🧨 🧠 PRO TIPS from the THIEF: 🔎 Only Buy. No Shorting! 💣 Scalpers: Jump in with the trend, not against it. 🧲 Swing Traders: Stay patient, and execute the full heist. 🚀 Use Trailing Stops – Let profit ride, but stay protected! 📢 MARKET INSIGHT: 🔥 Bullish Bias backed by: ✅ On-Chain Metrics ✅ Sentiment Shifts ✅ Macro Flows ✅ COT Reports ✅ Intermarket Divergence ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: Stay Sharp! 📰 News Events = Volatility. 💡 Avoid fresh entries during high-impact events. 📉 Use Trailing SL to secure your running trades. 💖 SUPPORT THE CREW 💖 🚀 Smash that Boost Button if you believe in the Thief Style Strategy 👑 Let's rob the market together, one level at a time. 🧠 Stay sharp, stay sneaky – and I’ll see you at the next target 🎯 — Thief Trader 🐱‍👤💰🚁🌍
Long
by The-Thief
Bitcoin Analysis (3D)Bitcoin is currently trading in a very specific zone that resembles a classic bull flag continuation pattern, similar to the one we saw during last year’s rally. Back then, a slow-forming bull flag broke to the upside, pushed to new all-time highs, and then retested the top of the same flag before continuing higher. Now, we are witnessing a similar setup, but this time the formation has developed much faster. The key difference: While last year’s bull flag took a longer time to mature, the current one is more compressed, indicating a potentially sharper move if confirmed. The $108K daily level is critical. As long as Bitcoin remains above this level, the structure favors a new rally. This could be the start of another impulsive leg, targeting the $128K Area.
Long
by vs_sayin
Gold Daily Bias – Bulls Have the Ball, But Watch the TrapGold Daily Chart – August Outlook Bias is still bullish for August. Price is holding well above the big 3M FVG ($2,900–$3,100). Strong bounce from Weekly Low ($3,331) heading toward Weekly High ($3,416). Above $3,416 we’ve got $3,451 (M-H) and ATH ($3,508) as liquidity targets . Seasonal tailwinds could help push us higher into Q4. Blind spots to watch: Still range-bound between $3,330–$3,450 for months — no clean break yet. Unfilled FVG near $3,210 could be a draw if we reject from resistance. August liquidity is thin — spikes can reverse fast. Triple-top risk if we reject near $3,450 again. Game plan: Bullish if we get a daily close above $3,416 (confirmation) and ideally above $3,451 to aim for ATH. If breakout fails, I’ll target range play back toward $3,290–$3,210. Bias = bullish, but I’m staying nimble.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
XAUUSD - Daily | More Consolidation??Gold is back in the upper range of this consolidation zone. You can see the high of the range is 3430, and the low is 3240 roughly. Bulls: Gold is pulling back into an Inverted FVG. If the price is bullish, then we should clear the gap with ease. Gold has just eliminated 4 days' worth of choppy bearish price action. Look for gold to give clear signs to enter a buy. **A new daily candle should appear, creating a new FVG showing buyers are winning Bears: So with that said... If Gold fails to remain bullish after Friday's (Aug 1st) 700-pip jump, then the iFVG may have the price react bearishly. Watch for gold to give a clear sign of rejection before entering a sell **Price may drop to cover Friday's gap. Doesn't mean it's bearish
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by nikdobii
ETH Targets $12,500 With Potential Ascending Triangle BreakoutThis post updates my earlier post and revises the previous prediction upwards. Pattern As we can see on the 3-Month ETH/USD log chart, ETH price compresses within an Ascending Triangle formed by trendlines set at the candle bodies (not wicks). The upper trendline is almost perfectly horizontal and sits at $3600. ETH is currently attempting breakout, but would need a 3-Month close (end of Q3) above the upper trendline at $3600 to confirm the new uptrend. Target Price As someone new to Technical Analysis, my original chart used the linear layout, which I have come to learn is less well suited for charting patterns on long timeframes. The updated chart here shows a much more reliable pattern, but also suggests a much higher, yet still conservative, price target of $12,500. I am unsure of the timeline for which ETH could achieve this price, but I assume it would occur this cycle, which is consistent with other bullish ETH predictions, such as Tom Lee's recent call for $10k - 15k. Method Ascending Triangles are bullish continuation patterns. The breakout price target is obtained by measuring the percentage distance from the widest part of the triangle and projecting that same percentage above the upper trendline. Please feel free to offer your criticisms and observations. This is not financial advice.
Long
by DeadCat25
NZDUSD What Next? SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5920 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.5899 My Stop Loss - 0.5932 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
HYPEUSDT 1D#HYPE is moving inside an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern on the daily chart — a structure that typically carries a bearish bias. However, for now, #HYPE has bounced from the wedge support line and the daily EMA100, suggesting a possible short-term move to the upside. If momentum continues, potential targets are: 🎯 $42.538 🎯 $44.708 🎯 $46.878 🎯 $49.968 🎯 $53.903 📉 On the other hand, if price breaks below the pattern, the daily EMA100, and the $36.597 support, deeper correction could follow toward: 🔻 $34.376 🔻 $29.588 ⚠️ As always, use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
by Bithereum_io
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | $3,285 Key Level and Structure SetupHere’s my outlook on gold (XAUUSD) for the week of August 4–9, 2025. Last week’s move was shaped by strong early dollar momentum, a 3% U.S. GDP report midweek, and Friday’s sentiment shift after the surprise tariff announcement. Price is now sitting near the $3,380 supply zone, a structure that’s been in play since April. I highlight: ✅The key demand zone ($3,245–$3,285) ✅The broken descending trendline is now acting as support ✅Potential reaction around $3,360 early in the week ✅$3,285 remains my key level going forward. If ever price comes close, I’m watching for signs of strength or breakdown there to guide my setups. I’ll update my thoughts in the comments as price action unfolds. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by darcsherry
GBPJPY: A BULLISH REVERSALThe GBP/JPY pair has shown a significant turnaround, bouncing back strongly from a critical support zone. This resurgence is in line with the overall upward trend seen in GBP pairs, largely due to the Japanese yen's weakness stemming from the Bank of Japan's accommodative monetary policy. From a technical standpoint, the 4-hour chart reveals a notable pattern. The pair has rebounded decisively from the 195.30-195.50 support range, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. With the pair currently trading at 195.73, it's poised for a possible upward move. Looking ahead, as long as the pair holds above 195.34, it's likely to target 197.30 and potentially 199.70 if the GBP's strength endures. This outlook hinges on sustained buying interest and the pair's ability to break through key resistance levels. The fundamental picture supports a bullish view, driven by: 1.⁠ ⁠The Bank of England's balanced approach to monetary policy, which is bolstered by ongoing inflation concerns. 2.⁠ ⁠The Japanese yen's fundamental weakness, which is rooted in the Bank of Japan's dovish stance and reluctance to tighten policy. 3.⁠ ⁠A mildly positive risk appetite, which tends to favor the GBP over the safe-haven JPY. However, two key risks could impact this outlook: 1.⁠ ⁠Intervention by the BoJ in the FX markets, which could temporarily boost the JPY and disrupt the bullish trend. 2.⁠ ⁠A shift in the BOE's policy stance towards a more dovish tone, which could undermine the GBP's momentum and alter the bullish trajectory.
by WINEGOTRADES