Chart Patterns
Could the Silver drop from hereThe price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 29.83
1st Support: 28.81
1st Resistance: 30.73
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Could the price reverse from here?GBP/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1262
1st Support: 1.1188
1st Resistance: 1.1314
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Breaking: Joe Biden Might Pardon Sam Bankman, Founder of FTXThe crypto world is abuzz with speculation that President Joe Biden could pardon Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the defunct cryptocurrency exchange FTX. Bankman-Fried, sentenced to 25 years for fraud and money laundering, remains a polarizing figure. This speculation is fueled by his substantial political donations to the Democratic Party, estimated to total hundreds of millions. These ties have sparked debate about the potential influence on Biden’s discretion to grant a pardon.
Elon Musk’s commentary has added weight to these rumors, suggesting that such a move could distract from the upcoming power transition to Donald Trump, scheduled for January 20, 2025. Despite the speculation, platforms like Polymarket estimate only a 16% probability of a pardon, underscoring the general skepticism among political traders.
FTT’s Resurgence Amid Bankruptcy Developments
While political speculation swirls, FTX Token ( TSX:FTT ) has seen a remarkable 15% surge in value. This comes after FTX announced plans to begin creditor payouts in early 2025 as part of its Chapter 11 bankruptcy process. The court-approved plan will commence on January 3, 2025, with the first tranche of payments targeting "Convenience Classes" claims. The announcement has buoyed investor sentiment, pushing FTT’s price to $3.28 and its market cap to $1.08 billion, with trading volume surging 170%.
Despite this positive step, FTX’s recovery journey remains fraught with legal and financial complexities. The company’s eventual revival hinges on asset liquidation and the resolution of outstanding legal issues, a process likely to take years.
Technical Analysis of TSX:FTT
FTT’s recent price action highlights a bullish reversal pattern, defying the broader crypto market’s bearish trend. Trading at $3.20, FTT has a bullish RSI of 61.77, signaling strong momentum. Key technical levels include:
- Support: Immediate support lies at the 65% Fibonacci retracement level, providing a cushion for potential pullbacks.
- Resistance: The immediate pivot is the one-month high. A break above this level could ignite a bullish rally, targeting higher resistance zones.
FTT’s resilience amid market uncertainty suggests growing investor confidence, potentially driven by the promise of creditor payouts and speculation about the exchange’s future.
Overview
FTX Token’s value proposition has historically been tied to the FTX platform, offering benefits like fee discounts, staking rewards, and leveraged token creation. However, with FTX’s bankruptcy, the token’s utility has diminished. The recent price surge reflects speculative interest rather than intrinsic value, as the token’s future remains uncertain.
FTT Token Overview
- Launch: May 8, 2019
- Utility: Discounts on trading fees, staking rewards, and collateral for leveraged positions
- Current Status: Associated with a defunct platform, under Chapter 11 proceedings
Investor Caution
While the recent rally is promising, investors should approach TSX:FTT with caution. The token’s price movements are heavily influenced by speculative trading and bankruptcy developments. Moreover, the potential for token liquidation to pay creditors poses a significant risk to its value.
Conclusion
The dual narratives surrounding Sam Bankman-Fried’s potential pardon and FTX’s bankruptcy proceedings underscore the complexity of the situation. For TSX:FTT , the path forward is uncertain, balancing speculative optimism against the harsh realities of a defunct platform. Investors should closely monitor legal and market developments to navigate this volatile landscape effectively.
AMD to $300 Dec-25AMD currently sitting at key historic support providing a good entry, 48% off of highs, a good short term bounce in the next few weeks should be accompanies by a much larger trend reversal as the fundamentals of the comapany don't seem to warrant its current valuations.
A good TP at Fib 618 and recent high at $220. Beware double top.
Optimism (OP):The Hidden Gem Poised for a 5x Rally—Don't Miss A tempting investment possibility, the OP/USDT chart shows a good potential for significant increase in the next bull run. This is a thorough analysis:
### **Main Points of Interest** 1. **Levels of Support and Resistance:**
The present price of $1.804 indicates a good entry point because it is close to the strong support zone at $1.965.
- The following key resistance levels—$2.10, $2.54, $2.97, and $3.43—indicate possible short-term price goals.
- A far bigger rise could begin if the price breaks above $3.43.
The price is closely interacting with the 200-day EMA ($1.969) and 50-day EMA ($2.102), as shown in **Moving Averages (EMA):**. A well-known bullish indication is the "Golden Cross" situation, which occurs when the shorter EMA crosses over the longer EMA.
A breakout might be fueled by a robust rebound from these levels.
Index of Relative Strength (RSI):
Right now, the RSI is hovering close to the neutral zone at 47.24. This indicates that there is potential for substantial upside momentum as purchasing pressure increases because the asset is neither overbought nor oversold.
Analysis of Volume:
Growing investor interest is indicated by a recent increase in trading volume. Such volume spikes typically occur before price breakouts.
Historical Trends:
The OP/USDT saw tremendous increase from comparable levels during the previous bull cycle, swiftly hitting new highs. If this pattern continues, it might reach more than $10.
Bullish Projections: OP/USDT might rise to $10 or higher in the event of a larger market bull run, which would be more than a five-fold return from current levels. The asset presents a great chance for long-term growth due to its technical positioning and solid fundamentals.
Investment Plan:
Short-Term Goal: $2.10–$3.43 (low resistance breakout levels)
Target for the medium term: $5–$7.00 (strong resistance areas in prior rallies)
Long-Term Goal: $10 or more (possible goal for the next bull market high)
Appeal to Investors:
OP/USDT is a high-upside investment because to its current undervaluation and track record of outperforming in bullish markets. It is a desirable asset for both short-term traders and long-term holders because of the possibility of exponential returns and the controllable downside risk brought about by solid support.
Dollar Cost Averaging, or DCA, in a Strategic Investment Plan:
Build a position gradually to reduce the risks associated with short-term volatility. During dips, increase your allocation to the $1.70–$1.80 area.
Hold Long Term, or HODL:
A long-term holding strategy might generate significant profits due to OP's solid fundamentals and alignment with upcoming market trends.
Opportunities for Active Trading:
For the long-term bull case, use swing trading around the resistance levels while maintaining a core position.
Next Steps
Monitor key metrics such as:
On-chain activity (TVL, daily transactions)
Exchange inflow/outflow data
Social sentiment indicators
Place alerts for breakout above $2.10 and $3.43.
Review quarterly development updates from the Optimism Foundation for news on network upgrades or partnerships.
TRX May Resume Bullish Movement SoonTRX May Resume Bullish Movement Soon
TRX completed a Bullish Harmonic Pattern and we can also see an interesting price reaction near 0.224.
The accumulation during these days looks very good again and the next upward wave should start soon.
The first resistance is expected near 0.265 and the second resistance near 0.2900.
Also, since TRX is discussed several times for price manipulation, this should support our bullish movement.
You can find more details in the chart!
Thank you!
XAUUSD: Get Ready For Big Move! First Swing Sell then Swing Buy!Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have an amazing selling opportunity coming up on gold. Where we can expect price to reverse for a massive 2000 pips. The overall view on gold market remain bearish since the us elections result came out in the market. So our view or bias remain the same. Good luck and trade safe.
Bullish Cypher - SPY spotted a bullish Cypher pattern on SPY’s daily chart, and it looks promising.
Entry: Current Market Price
Stop Loss: 575.50, just under the D-point, to give the trade some breathing room.
Targets: All time high
Ideas and Inputs are welcome.
Thank you for dropping by.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Correction to Avert Deeper DeclineXAUUSD Analysis: Navigating a Complex Gold Market Amid Volatility
The XAUUSD pair is currently navigating a critical juncture as it tests key zones of interest within an ongoing counter-trend correction. This comes after successfully breaching a significant resistance level earlier. However, the broader market landscape remains challenging, with bearish sentiment taking the forefront.
Fundamental Overview
The downward pressure on gold is largely driven by a combination of factors, primarily stemming from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Persistent concerns about inflation, the uncertain trajectory of Trump's future policy, and mixed economic data from the past two weeks have all contributed to a negative outlook for the yellow metal.
One critical point to note is the speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy in 2025. The cycle of interest rate cuts, initially expected to be more aggressive, now appears to be slowing, with projections indicating only two potential cuts for the year. This cautious stance has diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, adding to the bearish tone in the market.
The correction observed on Friday was largely influenced by the release of PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data, which acted as a temporary catalyst for price movement. However, this correction does not appear sufficient to alter the broader bearish narrative. As the year draws to a close, liquidity in the markets is expected to decline further. This seasonal trend could exacerbate volatility, particularly if assets become mispriced in thinner trading conditions. Traders are advised to exercise heightened caution during this period.
Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, it is essential to acknowledge the ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to underpin the gold market. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have provided a degree of support, acting as a counterbalance to the otherwise negative fundamental backdrop.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold appears to be forming a flag pattern following its recent sharp decline. The price is currently trading within the boundaries of this consolidation pattern. For traders, the critical focus should be on the local channel's support and resistance levels, as they will likely dictate the next significant price movement.
Resistance Levels:
2620: A pivotal level where bearish momentum could intensify if broken and defended by sellers.
2631: Secondary resistance that could act as a hurdle for any upward attempt.
2640-2650: This zone could serve as a testing ground if the price attempts to break above the channel resistance.
Support Levels:
2606: Immediate support level that may provide short-term stability.
2560: A deeper support level, which, if breached, could signal a more substantial downside move.
The 2620 level deserves particular attention. Should sellers manage to push the price below this threshold and maintain control, it could significantly amplify bearish pressure, potentially triggering a more pronounced price drop. Conversely, the possibility of a breakout above the flag pattern's resistance cannot be entirely dismissed. In such a scenario, the price might retest the 2640-2650 zone before resuming its downward trajectory.
Market Outlook and Final Thoughts
As we approach the final stretch of the year, market participants should prepare for heightened volatility fueled by reduced liquidity. Mispriced assets during this period could lead to unexpected price swings, making risk management a top priority. While the bearish narrative remains dominant, traders should remain vigilant for any developments that could shift the balance of power, including geopolitical escalations or unexpected shifts in monetary policy.
In summary, the gold market presents a complex mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers. Navigating this environment requires a careful balance of short-term tactical positioning and a broader understanding of the macroeconomic landscape. Keep an eye on key levels and stay prepared for potential surprises in this volatile market.
Filecoin bullish scenarioIf we see BTC bounce in the next couple of days or so, we could see a good entry here for Filecoin.
1h timeframe shows the starting of bullish price action, with a possible bull flag on lower timeframes. If we get a good reaction at 618 or 786 fib, we could see price try to break out from this trend line. Aggressive option to long at the 786 with a stop below previous low or wait for break out and long on the retest.
Keep stops tight as we still not sure if btc will have another leg down.
GBPCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.128.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.122 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
$TSLA is now "Playing Ping Pong" Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is currently trading at $430.60, with significant dark pool activity at $430.75 (DP 1.5M). The stock is in an uptrend, but recent price action shows a pullback from the $492 high, indicating indecision. Tesla is now "playing ping pong" between the 4 EMA and 8 EMA, with price reacting to the $430.75 dark pool level.
Technical Analysis
Key Observations
Ping Pong Action:
The stock is oscillating between the 4 EMA (red) and 8 EMA (yellow), creating a range-bound movement as buyers and sellers fight for control.
The dark pool level at $430.75 is acting as a pivot point, with the price consolidating around this critical level.
Trend Analysis:
Tesla remains above the 21 EMA (blue), which indicates the uptrend is still intact despite the pullback.
A breakdown below the $430.75 dark pool level could signal further bearish momentum.
Dark Pool Activity:
The $430.75 (DP 1.5M) level represents significant institutional interest and is a critical support/resistance zone.
Failure to hold this level would likely lead to a test of lower targets, such as $399.45.
Fibonacci and Targets:
Target 1: $348.74.
Target 2: $306.85.
Target 3: $269.95.
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones and long-term support areas.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price bounces off the 8 EMA or $430.75 dark pool level and reclaims the 4 EMA, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry:
Long position above $435, confirming a bounce above the 8 EMA.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $450.
Second Target: $492.
Stop Loss:
Close below $430, as it invalidates the bullish setup.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price breaks below the 8 EMA and the $430.75 dark pool level, confirming bearish pressure.
Failure to hold the 21 EMA would accelerate the downtrend.
Entry:
Short position below $429, confirming a breakdown.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $399.45.
Target 2: $348.74.
Target 3: $306.85.
Stop Loss:
Close above $435, as it invalidates the bearish setup.
Conclusion
Tesla is currently oscillating ("ping pong") between the 4 EMA, 8 EMA, and the $430.75 dark pool level, signaling consolidation with no clear trend direction yet. A break above $435 could lead to a retest of $450, while a breakdown below $430.75 may target $399.45 or lower. This setup offers clear entry points and risk management for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
SOLANA Bull Flag (UPDATE)The solana token move-UP has begun , I published a previous idea where I spotted the bull flag earlier, while building up.
Previous idea here below, if you missed it.
A near resistance level has just been broken to confirm that CRYPTOCAP:SOL is ready to push up on a parabolic run, despite bitcoin dumping. I am holding from GP price level. My hopeful target is $300 - $500 .
CRYPTOCAP:SOL is expected to go back to previous high price. More update to follow as we go along
Merry Christmas TRADENATION:SOLANA 🎄🎅
Comment if you agree. Like if you disagree
DeGRAM | GOLD preparations for the breakout of the channelGOLD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the support level and has already broken the trend line.
The chart has formed a rising bottom and a harmonic pattern.
We expect the rebound to continue if the price successfully consolidates above the 38.2% retracement level.
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EURUSD H1 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0421, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0373, which is a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0479, a pullback resistance.
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