CRUDE OIL I Weekly CLS I KL - Breaker I |Model 1 to 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 7 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Chart Patterns
Strategic Short on Bitcoin — Textbook Pattern Broadening wedge structure identified. On 1HR timeframe. Price tapped the upper trendline and showed rejection.
Expecting a breakdown towards major support near 91,650 -$91250
Clean invalidation above wedge highs $96200
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUSDT #PriceAction #TradingSetup #CryptoTrader #RiskReward
$Hype to new lows? GETTEX:HYPE looks like it's forming a double top here below key resistances.
If we end up falling lower here, and get to the bottom of the channel, I think that price is likely to break down from the channel and hit one of the lower supports before we start the next bullish move.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
$ALGO | #3D Macro Outlook #long📌 Setup:
— Ideal entry: retest of 0.618 fib ($0.167–0.172)
— Targets: $0.29 / $0.34 / $0.42 / $0.56
— Invalidation: daily close below $0.165 on volume
⚙️ Triggers:
— Retest + bounce from $0.167 zone
— Strength in CRYPTOCAP:BTC
— Increasing volume + demand confirmation
Midterm potential: +100–150% if trend confirms.
BTCUSD – Double Top Reversal Setup with Bearish TargetsBased on the BTC/USD 4H chart you shared, here’s a detailed breakdown of the technical analysis:
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🟠 Pattern & Setup
- Double Top Formation: Clearly highlighted at the recent highs, signaling potential bearish reversal. This is a classic sign of buyers losing steam near a resistance level.
- Rejection Arrows: Indicate strong resistance where price failed to break higher, adding confluence to the reversal idea.
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🔻 Sell Bias & Confirmation
- Sell Zone: Around the double top zone (~$93,700+), price is stalling and showing bearish pressure.
-Bearish Arrow: Suggests a move downward is anticipated, likely toward the support zone and trendline confluence.
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📉 Key Support Zone
- Support Zone Highlighted: Around $88,000–$89,000, where previous structure and buying interest occurred. This is the first potential target for a bearish move.
- Trendline Confluence: Also aligns with the support, adding strength to this level. If price breaks and closes below both, further downside could follow.
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☁️ Ichimoku Cloud
- Price is currently above the cloud**, indicating short-term bullish structure still intact. However, a break below the support + cloud would be a strong bearish signal.
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🔑 What to Watch For
- Bearish Confirmation: If the neckline of the double top breaks (around ~$92,250–$92,150), it could confirm the pattern and trigger the move toward support.
- Invalidation: A breakout above the double top would invalidate this bearish setup and suggest continuation toward higher highs.
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✅ Summary
- Bias: Bearish (short-term)
- Trigger: Break below ~$92,150
- Target 1: $88,000–$89,000 support zone
- Trendline + Cloud support: Key areas to watch for either a bounce or further breakdown
Sell Setup: Double Top Formation
Entry Zone: Around 93,700 (top of the double top)
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Take Profit Levels:
- TP1: 91,600
Just above the neckline for a safer partial exit.
- TP2: 89,300
Aligns with the major support zone and previous consolidation area.*
- TP3: 87,000
At the trendline + cloud support confluence — a strong area for a possible bounce.
ADAUSDT 1$ is cooking (More pump ahead)As we said before 0.5$ will pump the price and the pump started now for a while we can expect some range here for a while and soon after that price would be above 1$ again and also good news in upcoming weeks can push the price higher too.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
ETH/USD TRADE SIGNAL ANALYSIS | GO CHECK THE CAPTIONHello traders!
BUY setup on ETH/USD.
Let’s break it down:
Technical Analysis:
• Price approaching strong support zone around $1,790 ✅
• Bullish reversal pattern expected from entry zone ✅
• Clear upside targets based on recent resistance levels ✅
Trade Setup:
📊 • Entry Zone: $1,790 – $1,793
🎯 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): $1,805
🎯 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): $1,815
🎯 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): $1,827
⛔ • Stop Loss (SL): $1,781
Plan:
Waiting for bullish confirmation within the entry zone.
Will execute upon clear bullish reaction.
Patience and risk management are key!
NOTE: Trade at your own risk, do proper risk management.
Bitcoin :What is next?These are my 3 major trades for this month and the next one.
First we got that 98k npoc level. After that i will open a nice little short postion until 88k region is tapped. Then i will long until 104k or 107k npoc levels close . I will consider also entering short from 104k region.
I think during the summer btc will go down just like last year .
60k-70k is waiting for btc.
BTC NEXT MOVE?🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
We are expecting a small dip in Bitcoin's price, potentially down to the 89,000–90,000 USD zone. From that level, we anticipate a strong rally toward 101,000 USD, as highlighted in the chart.
📈 This move could also lead Bitcoin toward making a new all-time high!
Stay patient and follow the setup carefully.
$DOGE going to 0.50$ This chart provides an updated technical outlook on Dogecoin (DOGE) against USDT on the daily timeframe, showcasing a significant shift in market structure. After months of descending price action, DOGE has successfully broken out of its long-standing downtrend, reclaiming momentum with a clean breakout above the resistance trendline.
The highlighted green zone reflects a strong accumulation base near the $0.13–$0.14 range, which held as critical support during the recent consolidation phase. The breakout above this structure, accompanied by a subtle increase in volume, suggests renewed buying interest and a potential trend reversal.
The yellow zone outlines two bullish targets:
Lower Timeframe (LTF) Upside: $0.21 – $0.26 – $0.30
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Upside: $0.35 – $0.40 – $0.50
These levels correspond to Fibonacci retracement zones and past resistance points, providing likely profit-taking zones for traders.
However, the bullish thesis remains valid only as long as the price holds above $0.13 on a daily closing basis. A close below that level would invalidate the breakout and reintroduce bearish risk.
Overall, DOGE is showing promising bullish potential with well-defined targets, making it a chart to watch closely for further upside in the coming weeks
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (USDX or DXY) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a weighted basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). Established in 1973 after the Bretton Woods system ended, the index serves as a benchmark for the dollar’s strength in global markets.
How the Dollar Index Drives Trade Directional Bias in Forex
Indicator of Dollar Strength or Weakness
When the USDX rises, it means the U.S. dollar is strengthening against this basket of currencies; when it falls, the dollar is weakening. Since the dollar is the world’s primary reserve and trading currency, its strength heavily influences forex market trends.
Correlation with Major Currency Pairs
Inverse correlation with EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Because the euro and pound have large weights in the index, a rising USDX typically causes EUR/USD and GBP/USD to fall, and vice versa.
Positive correlation with USD/JPY and USD/CAD: For pairs where USD is the base currency, these pairs tend to move in the same direction as the USDX.
Commodity-related pairs like AUD/USD and NZD/USD often move inversely to the USDX due to their sensitivity to global risk sentiment and commodity prices.
Guiding Trade Decisions and Confirming Signals
Traders use the USDX to confirm directional bias in forex trades. For example, if the USDX is rising, it supports taking long positions in USD-based pairs or short positions in pairs where USD is the quote currency. Conversely, a falling USDX suggests caution on USD longs and potential opportunities in other currencies.
Macro and Sentiment Indicator
The USDX reflects broader economic conditions, U.S. monetary policy, and global risk sentiment. For instance, Fed rate hikes often strengthen the USDX, causing shifts in forex markets. It also acts as a proxy for the health of the U.S. economy and influences global trade flows.
Summary
Aspect Effect on Forex Trading
Rising USDX Dollar strengthens; EUR/USD & GBP/USD tend to fall; USD/JPY & USD/CAD tend to rise
Falling USDX Dollar weakens; EUR/USD & GBP/USD tend to rise; USD/JPY & USD/CAD tend to fall
USD as Base Currency (USD/xxx) Moves in line with USDX
USD as Quote Currency (xxx/USD) Moves inversely to USDX
Use in Trading Confirms trade signals, guides directional bias, gauges macroeconomic trends
In essence, the U.S. Dollar Index is a vital tool in forex trading, providing a consolidated view of the dollar’s strength and helping traders anticipate market movements and set trade directional bias accordingly.
#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊
🧠Currently in the resistance zone, but the trend direction is bullish. We are doing narrow fluctuations in the range of 91800-95000. There are some contradictions between the long and short positions here. If we want to participate in new transactions, we must wait until the absolute support and resistance levels.
➡️If it falls below the first support zone near 91800, then we need to pay attention to the second support zone of 88000-89000
➡️We need to wait for the structure to become clearer before looking for new trading opportunities.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
GBPUSDThe pair shows resilience against a broadly stronger U.S. dollar, supported by hopes of favorable UK-US trade outcomes and potential Fed rate cuts if U.S. inflation cools.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Interest Rate Differentials:
The Bank of England’s monetary policy versus the Federal Reserve’s stance is a primary driver. A hawkish BoE or dovish Fed tends to strengthen GBP/USD, while the opposite pressures it lower.
Economic Data:
UK GDP, inflation, employment, and retail sales relative to U.S. data influence directional bias. Softer U.S. inflation data may accelerate Fed rate cuts, weakening the dollar and supporting GBP/USD gains.
Political and Geopolitical Factors:
Trade negotiations, political stability, and geopolitical tensions affect sentiment and volatility. Positive UK-US trade developments or easing geopolitical risks tend to favor GBP/USD upside.
Market Sentiment:
Risk appetite influences flows; risk-on environments support the pound, while risk-off favors the safe-haven U.S. dollar
Summary of Directional Bias
Factors Current Bias Impact on GBP/USD
BoE vs Fed Interest Rates Mixed; market waits for clearer signals
U.S. Inflation Data Softer data could weaken USD, bullish GBP/USD
Trade Negotiations Positive UK-US talks support GBP upside
Market Sentiment Moderate risk appetite favors GBP
Dollar Index Trend Dollar weakness supports GBP/USD rally
Conclusion
GBP/USD’s directional bias in April 2025 leans cautiously bullish, supported by strong technical support zones and potential Fed dovishness amid softer U.S. inflation. However, the pair remains sensitive to U.S. dollar strength, BoE-Fed policy divergence, and geopolitical developments.
This balanced outlook aligns with recent analysis highlighting GBP/USD’s resilience and the importance of macroeconomic and technical factors in shaping trade bias
YE Chart Kuch Kehta Hai : ANURAS : Anupam RasayanThe chart presents a textbook breakout setup, exhibiting a classic cup formation with a low-risk entry point. Key observations include:
Channel Breakout Level: The price has decisively broken out above the channel resistance at ₹810, confirming bullish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement : Using the swing low at ₹627 as the base, the price is now advancing towards the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately ₹1028.
Resistance Zone: This ₹1028 level corresponds to a significant historical resistance from January 2022, which was breached once before, signaling a potential strong supply zone.
Outlook: Given the current trajectory, the price is poised to challenge and potentially break this resistance again, indicating a high-probability continuation of the upward trend.
In summary: The chart is perfectly aligned for a breakout play, with a well-defined entry at the cup formation’s low-risk zone and strong confluence of technical indicators supporting further upside.
Play your game based on your risk appetite.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bearish Continuation Toward 2910 | Swing Analysis> Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bearish continuation after rejecting the 3370 resistance area. The structure suggests further downside movement as sellers gain control.
Key levels to monitor:
3216 — minor support
3102 — major support
3000 — psychological round number
2910 — final target zone
As long as price holds below 3371, the bearish bias remains valid.
A breakout above 3371 would invalidate this scenario.
Market Bias: Bearish
Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss and proper position sizing.
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king".
After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it.
Quaid's analysis:
Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term.
In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends.
The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold.
There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis.
Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.